基于生态位理论的山东半岛蓝色经济区旅游业竞争力

运用生态位理论构建业绩维、潜力维、环境维三维指标体系对山东半岛蓝色经济区七个城市的旅游业竞争力进行了评价,并结合聚类分析法,将旅游业竞争力综合生态位划分为三种类型,按照核心边缘理论将青岛定为核心城市,烟台、潍坊为节点城市,威海、日照、东营、滨州为网络城市,并根据山东半岛蓝色经济区旅游业竞争力生态位空间格局进行了旅游业竞争力格局空间意象分析,提出了相应的旅游业竞争力提升策略。     

Market risk disclosures,corporate governance structure and political connections: evidence from GCC firms

This paper investigates the joint effect of political connections, in the form of the royal family member on board, and corporate governance on the market risk disclosures of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) financial firms from 2007 to 2011. Previous research suggest that politically connected firms reduce the level of transparency in the GCC. However, we find that better corporate governance improves transparency and can be used as an effective tool in curbing the potentially adverse impact of politically connected board members on firms’ transparency. Our results have important implications for policy makers and can be generalized to other emerging markets.     

山东半岛蓝色经济区旅游联动开发模式研究

区域旅游联动开发本质上是区域合作的一种方式,是避免同质旅游地恶性厮杀的必由之路。山东半岛蓝色经济区规划已上升为国家战略,此背景下,在对山东半岛蓝色经济区七城市旅游经济联系强度与旅游业发展水平分析的基础上,针对七城市区域旅游联动开发的优势条件,提出亚圈层多边联动、区域定位的地域分工两大联动开发模式。     

人民币升值压力与货币政策:基于货币模型的实证分析

利用1994年1月至2008年1月的月度数据,采用外汇市场压力的货币模型,构建了人民币外汇市场升值压力指数,并利用向量自回归方法研究了中央银行国内信贷变化、中美相对经济增长率变化、中国利率水平变化与外汇市场压力之间的相互作用,探讨了美国基础货币增长、美国利率水平变化等外生变量对人民币升值压力的影响。发现中国中央银行国内信贷与人民币升值压力呈现负向关系,而中国经济增长和国内利率水平与人民币升值压力呈正向关系。当人民币升值压力增加时,货币当局的反应是减少其净国内信贷,而国内利率水平的变化则并不显著地反映人民币升值压力的变化。     

中国模式的市场经济体制改革进程与市场经济发育水平

在改革新时期,中国党和政府对社会主义市场经济的探讨和实践经历了四个阶段,1992年后,正式确立了建立社会主义市场经济体制的经济体制改革目标.这是一条邓小平理论指引下的中国模式发展之路.本文还就1992～2001年的中国市场经济发展水平试做估价.     

沪深港股市动态联动性研究——基于三元VAR-GJR-GARCH-DCC的新证据

随着经济全球化的迅速发展,国际资本市场呈现出一体化趋势,各地证券价格的联动性也日趋显著。本文梳理已有理论文献,并总结经验成果的不足,在此基础上,构建三元VAR-GJR-GARCH-DCC整合分析框架,对沪深港股市联动效应进行了严谨而全面的实证检验。研究结果表明:沪深港三个市场具有联动效应,直接或间接引导对方;沪深股市对港市的新息冲击做出类似的反应,并且它们与港市的动态关联性具有趋同性,该结论为沪深两市合并提供了新证据;三个市场的相关性具有时变的动态特征,"中国因素"与"世界因素"的相关性正趋于增强。上述实证结论对投资者重新认识市场运行机制,合理制定投资策略以及监管当局有效防范国内外股市风险,推进股市整合均具有重要的启示意义。     

Optimization and competition promotion of industrial structure in Blue Shandong Peninsula Economic Zone

Blue economic zone is a typical regional economic mode,which is specially characterized by marine economy and has multiple economic types coexisting and interacting through integrating marine and land resources.With the continuous progress of science and technology,marine economy as a strategy to promote economic development is approved in many countries.The Blue Shandong Peninsula Economic Zone（BSPEZ） reflects the local demands of economic development,and its upgrading and enhancing competitiveness of the industrial structure is also of obvious significance for enhancement of the development of eastern China and the national marine economy.This paper thinks that the BSPEZ has many advantages,such as unique marine economy,growing high-tech industries,more and more mature industrial system,advancing technological innovation,and outstanding big enterprises,large projects and regional bright brands,but it is also facing problems of low industry cluster,similar industrial structure with each other,still weak technological innovation.So we put forwards the basic approaches to upgrade and enhance the industrial structure：transforming and upgrading the traditional marine industries with advantages,accelerating the development of new marine industries and high-tech industries,integrating marine and land industry,and promoting the rational system arrangements.     

中国信贷市场利率对经济波动的冲击效应研究

笔者基于VAR模型对我国信贷市场利率与经济波动的关系进行实证分析。研究结果表明:(1)信贷市场利率对投资、消费均处于负向冲击并有时滞,但对投资的影响更显著。投资、消费对信贷市场利率的影响非常有限。(2)投资波动对产出波动起主要作用;产出对投资波动和消费波动的影响程度有限;投资波动影响消费波动的程度远远大于后者对前者。基于这些分析结论,笔者提出若干政策建议。     

Regional wages and market potential in the enlarged EU: an empirical investigation

This article empirically analyses the link between market potential and regional wages in the enlarged EU. We contribute to the existing literature in several ways: (1) we analyse the link between market potential and wages for the EU27 and (2) deconstruct total market potential into several geographical components and analyse their respective contributions to explaining the geographical wage structure. We correct for existing spatial autocorrelation and endogeneity by using an instrumental variable generalized spatial two-stage least squares (IV GS2SLS).     

市场潜力、经济集聚与地区间工资差异

基于劳动力、产业在地区间分布的不平衡性以及地区间工资差异的事实,本文构建了一个市场潜力与工资的新经济地理学(NEG)理论模型。理论分析表明:市场潜力对工资产生正面影响。市场潜力对工资产生正面影响来自两种渠道:一是市场潜力引发了经济集聚效应;二是市场潜力产生了逆经济集聚。相比之下,市场潜力引发了经济集聚效应更能提高和扩大地区工资水平与差异,因为经济集聚需要更低的贸易成本、较大的市场规模以及较高的经济发展水平。     

Tax-spending policies and economic growth: Theoretical predictions and evidence from the OECD

We present an endogenous growth model to study the growth effects of the composition of government expenditure and the associated tax burden. When we use data from a set of 23 OECD countries during 1970–2000, our econometric results support the predictions of the theory. The share of productive government expenditure is associated with higher growth, and this result is more robust when we use effective average tax rates and statutory tax rates as measures of the tax burden. With respect to the tax burden, different tax rates have different growth effects.     

论科学发展视角的市场经济行动规律与经济发展方式转变

科学发展观实质上揭示了中国模式市场经济的行动规律。转变经济发展方式必须符合以人为本、全面协调可持续的科学发展理念,尤其应关注资源有限和市场经济复杂性的双重约束,探索符合中国国情的可持续适度规模。从市场经济行动规律的视野把握科学发展理念,促进加快转变经济发展方式,有助于实现中国经济的平稳较快发展。     

Teen families,welfare transfers,and the minimum wage: evidence from Canada

Abstract This study evaluates the impacts of welfare transfers and the minimum wage on teen family formation by pooling provincial data from Canada between 1990 and 2005. OLS estimates suggest that welfare transfers have had limited impact on teen births. On the other hand, a 10% increase in the minimum wage is significantly correlated with a 3%–5% rise in teen birth rates. This finding is explained by further regressions, which reveal that an increase in the minimum wage is significantly associated with (1) higher earnings among male teens, (2) an increase in teen marriage rates, and (3) an increase in fertility among married teens but not among unmarried females. Finally, estimates based on the 2003 and 2005 waves of the Canadian Community Health Surveys demonstrate that married teens are more likely to engage in sex as well as unprotected intercourse in comparison with single teens.     

论市场经济与个人经济权利的进步

市场经济是推动个人经济权利进步的重要动力。市场经济之所以能够推动个人经济权利的进步，是因为市场经济与个人经济权利之间存在着密不可分的联系。市场经济的分工与交换、独立的主体利益和自由选择三个特征从不同的方面推动着个人经济权利的进步。     

Liquidity commonality in order-driven trading: evidence from the Athens Stock Exchange

We examine the presence of liquidity commonality in the order-driven Athens Stock Exchange (ASE). Unlike the majority of liquidity commonality studies that focus on the bid–ask spread, our analysis extends deeper in the Limit Order Book, providing insight on the price impact of both small and large trades. We utilize a 6-month FTSE/ATHEX-20 intraday data set to estimate the liquidity factor model of Chordia et al. (2000). To this end, we conduct single-equation analysis as well as panel data analysis with the use of two-way clustered errors, correcting for simultaneous firm and time correlations. Moreover, we apply standard principal component analysis on stock liquidities to extract the marketwide liquidity component. We find that liquidity commonality is low at the bid–ask spread, whereas it increases deeper in the book; consequently, large traders face liquidity risks associated with both individual stock and marketwide illiquidity. Moreover, our empirical evidence hints that liquidity commonality is asynchronous, suggesting that the ASE trading process includes various levels of information speed. Our analysis contributes to the understanding of liquidity commonality in order-driven trading, especially in emerging markets like the ASE where trading activity is limited and information speed is low.     

Market discipline and corporate efficiency: evidence from Bulgaria

In this paper we investigate the impact of an increase in market discipline on total factor productivity (TFP) growth at the level of the firm in Bulgaria during 1991–95, focusing in particular on the effect of trade liberalization, corporatization and rationalization of conglomerates, and hard budget constraints. The data support the predicted relationship between increases in market discipline and subsequent productivity growth. Our results demonstrate the need to distinguish between exporting and non-exporting enterprises in assessing the impact of trade liberalization and the importance of taking into account other relevant policy changes. JEL Classification: F14, D24     

Market dynamics and dichotomy: evidence from Taiwanese manufacturing

In Taiwan, a dichotomous market structure is closely related to the progress of economic development. The purpose of the present article is to examine the market dynamics and dichotomous nature of Taiwanese manufacturing. A model of dynamic adjustment of industry structure is considered when both the speed of adjustment and the long-run market concentration are allowed to vary across industries. We use 118 four-digit manufacturing industries for empirical analysis of our models spanning between 1981 and 1991. Empirical findings show that both the speed of adjustment and long-run industry concentration are predominantly determined by minimum efficient scale. The speed of adjustment is much faster in a small open economy like Taiwan compared to mature economies like the US and Australia. In addition, the dichotomous nature of the market is supported in our findings for both periods, viz, 1981–1986 and 1986–1991, albeit weaker for the later period.     

环境不确定性、市场导向与企业绩效——基于嵌入性视角的关系重构及实证检验

本文以嵌入性视角取代原子主义思维方式,重构环境不确定性、市场导向与企业绩效三者之间的关系,并运用结构方程模型进行了实证检验。研究结果表明,环境不确定性的三个构面中,技术变革与市场导向、企业绩效正相关,而竞争强度与市场导向及企业绩效负相关。