湖南省金融生态环境评价问题研究

从经济环境、金融环境、政策环境、社会环境四个方面展开,选取10个指标构成指标体系,对湖南省生态环境进行横向评价和纵向评价.纵向方面,2000年到2013年湖南省金融生态环境逐年得以改善,但是在横向方面,2013年湖南省的金融生态环境在中部六省中仅位居第三.分析湖南省金融生态环境建设中存在的问题,认为应加快地区经济建设,提高金融服务水平,建设服务型政府,加强法制与信用环境建设,以优化湖南省金融生态环境.     

金融生态环境评价问题研究

在市场经济条件下,区域间资金的流动性、效益性、安全性更多地取决于地区金融生态环境,特别在经济转轨时期,哪里有支持金融发展的政策,金融资源就会流向哪里。金融生态环境评价就是运用科学、客观的手段和方法,考察和评价区域金融生态环境各个构成要素的建设和发展状况以及最终得以实现的程度和效果,并对此评定出各种级别,商业银行可以此为据,确定资金的地区流向。     

地区信用环境与金融投入关系实证研究

地区信用环境好坏不仅影响招商引资活动,更重要的是影响金融信贷的投入及金融业的发展变化趋势.为了构建良好的地区信用环境,本文以河池为视角,用实证分析方法,调查研究地区信用环境的构成要素及其影响力,评价地方信用状况,重点分析信用状况与金融投入及业务发展的关系.     

区域金融生态环境差异与经济增长效率

本文利用实证分析的方法,选取金融生态环境不同的地区样本,运用定量指标对影响金融生态环境的诸多要素进行深入对比分析,指出金融不是孤立的,它内生于经济社会的大环境之中.良好的金融生态环境能够营造"资金洼地",从而促进当地的经济增长;不良的金融生态环境,往往造成巨额的不良资产,导致金融资源的低效配置,不利于经济的发展壮大.因此,改善金融生态环境、促进经济增长,实现经济可持续发展,必须从影响金融生态环境的不同因素及不同层面上加以完善与改进,必须要发挥政府的主导作用,依靠法律的、经济的、文化的乃至全社会的共同努力培育良好的金融生态环境.     

基于AHP的昆明金融生态环境模糊综合评价

在综合分析金融生态环境构成要素的基础上构建评价指标体系,借助层次分析法与模糊综合评价法对昆明金融生态环境进行评价,结果显示尚好,表明昆明的金融生态环境还有进一步提升的空间。通过增强经济基础,加大政府对金融的支持力度和改善信用法治环境可以较快地提升昆明金融生态环境。     

中部地区金融生态环境的审视与优化

近年来,我国中部地区金融生态环境有所改善,但金融发展速度滞后、经济外向度不高、政策性溢出严重、法制环境不健全、信用环境缺失等造成了中部地区金融生态环境失谐.因此,构建和谐的金融生态政策环境和经济环境、完善金融生态法制体系、优化金融信用环境、加快金融中介服务体系建设等,对优化中部地区金融生态环境,实现中部经济与金融发展的良性互动至关重要.     

对西部欠发达地区外汇金融生态环境建设的思考——对阿克苏地区外汇金融生态环境的调查

外汇金融生态环境对一个地区的外向型经济和金融质量影响深远。本文通过对阿克苏地区外汇金融生态环境质量的分析，对当地外汇金融生态环境作出了总体评价，并提出了改善外汇金融生态环境的建议。     

区域金融生态环境差异与经济增长效率

本文利用实证分析的方法，选取金融生态环境不同的地区样本，运用定量指标对影响金融生态环境的诸多要素进行深入对比分析，指出金融不是孤立的，它内生于经济社会的大环境之中。良好的金融生态环境能够营造“资金洼地”，从而促进当地的经济增长；不良的金融生态环境，往往造成巨额的不良资产，导致金融资源的低效配置，不利于经济的发展壮大。因此，改善金融生态环境、促进经济增长，实现经济可持续发展，必须从影响金融生态环境的不同因素及不同层面上加以完善与改进，必须要发挥政府的主导作用，依靠法律的、经济的、文化的乃至全社会的共同努力培育良好的金融生态环境。     

欠发达地区金融生态环境建设问题及对策

本文以河池市为视角,重点分析了当前欠发达地区金融生态环境的状况、金融生态环境建设的难点,探讨了欠发达地区如何加强金融生态环境建设,促进地方经济金融协调发展的问题.     

民族地区金融生态环境评价与影响因素分析

为了进一步优化民族地区的金融生态环境,促进民族地区金融业的发展。在对民族地区金融生态环境做基本评价的基础上,分析了经济基础、金融发展、政府治理、制度环境四个因素对民族地区金融生态环境的影响,并有针对性地提出了优化民族地区金融生态环境的相关对策。     

Almanac of anticipations: The age of affluence—of anticipation—of anxiety—of automation—of discontinuity—of longing—of overkill—of space exploration

With this survey of developments in the futures field since 1945, I.F. Clarke completes his present series for Futures. He makes two major points: that forecasting techniques have become essential tools in the management of change; and that nuclear weapons and ecological problems have added a moral dimension to the study of the future. In the next issue of Futures he will start a new series on the range of future-thinking in the USA, from the expectations of the first settlers to the Star Wars programme.     

基金公司经营融资融券业务的问题审视

融资融券业务正式运营已经开展,为证券市场带来了革命性的改革,作为证券市场的一大主体,基金公司面对融资融券也迎来了新的发展方向和挑战,本文从融资融券业务的运行机制入手,分析了基金公司融资融券的新契机,并对其即将面临的问题进行审视和剖析,进而提出策略建议.     

对基层人民银行科技工作的几点建议

银监会分设后,人民银行将专司货币政策、金融稳定、金融服务三大职能。作为人民银行的分支机构,基层人民银行的工作重心也将从金融监管调整到这三大职能上来。人民银行的科技部门,就要积极运用科技手段,为人民银行履行新的职能发挥“服务、支持、促进、发展”的作用。一、围绕三大职能搭建五大平台经过“六五打基础、七五作准备、八五大发展”几个阶段后,人民银行相继实现了核算电算化、清算网络化和办公信息化。特别是近一两年来,陆续开通了大额支付系统、信贷登记咨询系统、会计四集中系统、金融信息服务网站等系统,人民银行信息化水平又…     

The Usefulness of Measures of Consistency of Discretionary Components of Accruals in the Detection of Earnings Management

Abstract:  Prior research has shown the prevalence of measurement error in models used to estimate aggregate discretionary accruals. In these models, the incremental information content of the various components of accruals is ignored. Limited prior research and data gathered from firms under Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) litigation indicate that managers use either one or more than one component of accruals simultaneously, in a consistent way to manipulate bottom-line earnings in a given direction. I propose two measures that capture the consistency between the discretionary components of accruals and test their significance in earnings management (EM) detection in firms that have artificially added accrual manipulation and firms that were targeted by the SEC for accrual manipulation. There is evidence that this information is incrementally useful in detecting EM. This finding paves the way for improvements in the discretionary accruals measure by including consistency information from the components of aggregate accruals.     

社会主义所有制形式的改革、完善与共产党执政能力的提高

在中国,所有制形式的调整、改革与完善,先进生产力的发展,党的执政能力建设,是社会主义建设过程中密切结合在一起的三个不同层面的发展关系.应在相互促进和共同提高中促进社会的和谐发展,保证社会主义现代化建设战略目标的顺利实现.     

Summary of Results of Survey of Seminar Attendees

Abstract

The Society of Actuaries undertook a three-phase research project on mortality improvement in the three NAFTA countries: Canada, Mexico, and the U.S. Phase 1 consisted of a literature review of papers on projecting mortality levels in the future and a study of the trend in mortality improvement during this century. Phase 2 consisted of a discussion of different facets of modeling mortality rates at a seminar attended by 79 experts (actuaries, demographers, economists, and medical researchers) representing different countries. The last session of the seminar consisted of the completion of a survey by the attendees to obtain input for Phase 3, which would analyze the impact of mortality improvement on the social security system of each country. This paper summarizes the results of the survey.

The survey results illustrate the difficulty in forecasting mortality levels, because the effects of many factors that could have significant impact on mortality rates are unknown. This suggests the need for dynamic forecasting, which allows for the possibility of random shocks. A majority of the survey respondents believe that stochastic forecasting models, despite their complexity, have significant potential to add value. Respondents also believe that both historical data and cause-specific mortality forecasts are useful as input and also in validating forecasts of the aggregate levels of mortality. The challenge is to develop more sophisticated forecasting models to produce results that are relatively easy to interpret and to communicate these results to the desired audiences, including the public and policymakers.

The survey results suggest that the aggregate effect of lifestyle changes, medical advances, diseases, catastrophe, and physical environmental changes is an increase in life span. However, there is much uncertainty about the future. Respondents expect that beyond the year 2020 the mean annual rate of reduction in mortality for males age 65 and over will average about 0.58% for Canada, 0.76% for Mexico, and 0.67% for the U.S. The results for the female age 65 and over population are 0.64%, 0.83%, and 0.70%, respectively. The age 65 and over population is expected to see larger percentage reductions in mortality than the 0–14 and 15–64 populations. The reductions in male and female mortality will be ultimately the same, and the mortality levels in the three countries will ultimately converge, although differences may persist for decades.     

Separation of Unit of Account from Medium of Exchange

The separation of a unit of account (UoA) from a medium of exchange (MoE) in the commodity–money system is investigated by considering explicitly a seller's choice of UoA in terms of either an MoE or a unit of metal weight. If the likelihood of debasement of an MoE and its rate are high enough, the price is posted in terms of a unit of metal weight rather than an MoE. Interestingly, this MoE–UoA separated equilibrium yields the flexible nominal price, whereas an MoE–UoA integrated equilibrium yields the sticky one. This implies the nominal price rigidity in the fiat‐money system where MoE and UoA are integrated.     

银行软件项目外包管理分析

一、引言随着国民经济的不断发展,银行业务与外部企业的联系越来越密切。银行正逐步成为现代经济活动的中心,作为数据处理核心的银行业务应用也越来越大型化、越来越复杂化,因此许多银行也把软件项目逐步由原来的自主开发转变为与公司合作的方式,或直接外包开发的方式,银行本身的技术人员也逐步由开发转向项目管理。二、项目外包的分类银行项目的外包有以下几种情况:①部分子系统外包,有时由于银行的软件项目太大,单靠银行自身的开发力量基本无法在预定的时间内完成项目,只好把相对独立的部分外包;②直接购买软件公司的成熟产品,有些金融软…     

银行管理信息平台建设发展的思考

一、目前国内银行IT发展现状及面临的问题 银行数据集中工作的完成,标志着银行的业务由电子化建设阶段转入信息化建设阶段.一方面银行数据的集中提供了丰富全面的基础数据,面对日益庞大的数据源,如何将数字转化为对银行有用的信息,并从中发现知识,为银行的经营决策提供支持,是摆在银行IT人员面前的一个亟待解决的问题.另一方面用户对银行信息的需求日益增长,如果银行没有一套完整、实用的信息管理系统,将对业务发展非常不利.南京爱立信公司倒戈花旗银行事件曾经轰动一时,其中一个重要原因就是中国本地银行不能满足爱立信全球总部对南京爱立信公司的要求:每周财务上报和每天贷款限额管理.这一事件为中国商业银行的未来发展敲响了警钟,如果不加快管理信息系统的开发,迅速提升业务管理水平,类似的事件还会接连不断地发生,并最终导致国内商业银行在同国外商业银行的竞争中全面溃败.     

Properties of time-series estimates of degree of leverage measures

Empirical studies suggest that time-series regression estimates of the degrees of operating and financial leverage have a tendency to produce measures less than one. According to ex ante theory, these measures should be greater than one for firms operating above the breakeven point. There have also been suggestions that the biases in these estimates may be attributable to an underlying increase in unit sales. This work presents evidence that these counter-intuitive measures are produced by changes in the firm's operating parameters (unit price, variable cost, fixed cost and interest payments). It further suggests that attempts to control for the underlying change in unit sales substantially increase the volatility of predicted estimates.