论现代商业银行的营销策略和营销方式

现代银行非常重视市场营销和营销策略。借鉴发达国家商业银行市场营销经验 ,建立并不断完善中国银行业的市场营销体系 ,是当前中国商业银行的重要任务。要确立以客户为中心的经营理念 ,研究市场营销策略 ,加大银行营销力度 ,创金融品牌 ,树银行形象 ,建立起良好的市场营销运行机制。     

中国金融制度改革的渐进性问题研究

“入世”之初，加快建立现代金融制度呼声日高。建立中国现代金融制度是一个渐进过程，这是由现阶段中国的国情所决定的。中国金融既要稳定又要发展，只有进行综合改革，稳步推进，中国现代金融制度的建立才能实现。     

切实做好金融调查统计工作

要依法统计。为宏观调控提供预警预报服务。当前，一是要认真贯彻执行人总行颁发的《金融统计管理规定》，增强依法统计的自觉性。二是保证金融统计制度在辖内得以全面贯彻实施，不留死角。三是加大统计信息质量检查力度，保证从源头上不出假数。四是加强统计分析，对变化较大的项目作出解释，对金融性风险要及时监测和预报。五是要完善制度，建立《金融统计信息查询和发布制度》、《金融统计检查查询反馈制度》、     

金融制度创新与我国“十五”时期的金融改革和发展

我国迄今已有的金融制度变迁就其特征而言是一场强制性、渐进式的制度变迁，它倚赖并滞后于经济制度变迁。基于此我目前以市场为主导的金融制度在相当程度上只是具备了市场金融制度的外壳，如果从制度效率角度观察，现行的金融制度已处于一种典型的非均衡状态，这种非均稀状态具有不可持续性。因此，制度创新是我国“十五”时期金融改革与发展的主题。从总体上讲，“十五”时期的金融制度创新应紧紧围绕着发展这一主题，以制度的市场化为导向，以制度结构调整为主线，加快金融制度的全方位改革与发展，创新的范围涵盖金融组织制度创新、金融市场制度创新、金融调控制度创新和金融监管制度创新。     

按科学发展观设计我国的金融制度

科学发展观的核心是以人为本，协调发展。我国金融制度的设计，既要商业性金融、政策性金融，又要互助性金融和扶贫性金融。对此，必须转变和建立金融观念，建立和发展互助性金融的构想，需要按“三十二个字”的思路探索前进：即“从下到上，倡导创新；相互授信，自愿参与；政策到位，差别监管；利益共享，风险共担”；建立和发展扶贫性金融的构想，则需要培育金融资源，利用金融手段，扶助弱势群体，推动贫穷落后地区发展，让他们分享经济金融发展、改革、开放的成果。     

中小企业金融“脱媒”与金融制度创新

我国中小企业的金融“脱媒”实质上是导源于金融抑制的制度安排,因此解决问题的根本出路在于制度层面。应该摈弃以规模和所有制为标准的金融资源配置格局,以效率为导向,对金融制度进行市场化重构。     

中国诱致性制度变迁路径分析:以民间金融为例

本文从诱致性制度变迁的角度指出，民间金融存在的基础是我国的乡土社会，国有商业银行对金融资源的垄断、正规金融对小规模经济的规模歧视，及非国有经济和农村地区经济的发展是民间金融产生和发展的诱因：民间金融对我国金融制度的改革具有推动作用。     

论我国金融产业制度的构建

在我国，还没有把金融业作为独立的产业来整体、系统地规划、引导和管理，并形成金融产业制度。随着商业银行向现代金融企业的逐步改制，研究探索和建立金融产业制度已是当务之急。金融产业制度是一个中观管理制度体系。金融产业制度的形成主体是政府、金融产业协会和社会，其中政府是金融产业制度形成的主体。金融产业制度的内容主要包括金融产业的管理制度、金融产业的法规制度、金融产业的信用制度、金融产业的文化制度和金融产业的协调制度五大类。     

金融偏好与金融发展:一种静态分析尝试

金融增长只有作为金融发展的结果才是有效的,金融发展必须表现为一定规模的金融增长才具有可度量性;静态金融偏好就是要解决人们对金融资产的横向配置问题,动态金融偏好则解决人们对金融资产的跨期配置问题;而在经典市场经济中存在金融制度决定和影响金融偏好,金融偏好又决定和影响金融发展格局。     

金融企业建立自身企业年金制度的实践与思考

企业年金制度不能代替员工的基本养老保险，也不是年底企业发给员工的奖金，而是补充养老保险。金融企业有条件、有能力建立企业年金制度。金融企业建立年金制度要注意防范风险，加强风险控制。     

Almanac of anticipations: The age of affluence—of anticipation—of anxiety—of automation—of discontinuity—of longing—of overkill—of space exploration

With this survey of developments in the futures field since 1945, I.F. Clarke completes his present series for Futures. He makes two major points: that forecasting techniques have become essential tools in the management of change; and that nuclear weapons and ecological problems have added a moral dimension to the study of the future. In the next issue of Futures he will start a new series on the range of future-thinking in the USA, from the expectations of the first settlers to the Star Wars programme.     

基金公司经营融资融券业务的问题审视

融资融券业务正式运营已经开展,为证券市场带来了革命性的改革,作为证券市场的一大主体,基金公司面对融资融券也迎来了新的发展方向和挑战,本文从融资融券业务的运行机制入手,分析了基金公司融资融券的新契机,并对其即将面临的问题进行审视和剖析,进而提出策略建议.     

对基层人民银行科技工作的几点建议

银监会分设后,人民银行将专司货币政策、金融稳定、金融服务三大职能。作为人民银行的分支机构,基层人民银行的工作重心也将从金融监管调整到这三大职能上来。人民银行的科技部门,就要积极运用科技手段,为人民银行履行新的职能发挥“服务、支持、促进、发展”的作用。一、围绕三大职能搭建五大平台经过“六五打基础、七五作准备、八五大发展”几个阶段后,人民银行相继实现了核算电算化、清算网络化和办公信息化。特别是近一两年来,陆续开通了大额支付系统、信贷登记咨询系统、会计四集中系统、金融信息服务网站等系统,人民银行信息化水平又…     

The Usefulness of Measures of Consistency of Discretionary Components of Accruals in the Detection of Earnings Management

Abstract:  Prior research has shown the prevalence of measurement error in models used to estimate aggregate discretionary accruals. In these models, the incremental information content of the various components of accruals is ignored. Limited prior research and data gathered from firms under Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) litigation indicate that managers use either one or more than one component of accruals simultaneously, in a consistent way to manipulate bottom-line earnings in a given direction. I propose two measures that capture the consistency between the discretionary components of accruals and test their significance in earnings management (EM) detection in firms that have artificially added accrual manipulation and firms that were targeted by the SEC for accrual manipulation. There is evidence that this information is incrementally useful in detecting EM. This finding paves the way for improvements in the discretionary accruals measure by including consistency information from the components of aggregate accruals.     

社会主义所有制形式的改革、完善与共产党执政能力的提高

在中国,所有制形式的调整、改革与完善,先进生产力的发展,党的执政能力建设,是社会主义建设过程中密切结合在一起的三个不同层面的发展关系.应在相互促进和共同提高中促进社会的和谐发展,保证社会主义现代化建设战略目标的顺利实现.     

Summary of Results of Survey of Seminar Attendees

Abstract

The Society of Actuaries undertook a three-phase research project on mortality improvement in the three NAFTA countries: Canada, Mexico, and the U.S. Phase 1 consisted of a literature review of papers on projecting mortality levels in the future and a study of the trend in mortality improvement during this century. Phase 2 consisted of a discussion of different facets of modeling mortality rates at a seminar attended by 79 experts (actuaries, demographers, economists, and medical researchers) representing different countries. The last session of the seminar consisted of the completion of a survey by the attendees to obtain input for Phase 3, which would analyze the impact of mortality improvement on the social security system of each country. This paper summarizes the results of the survey.

The survey results illustrate the difficulty in forecasting mortality levels, because the effects of many factors that could have significant impact on mortality rates are unknown. This suggests the need for dynamic forecasting, which allows for the possibility of random shocks. A majority of the survey respondents believe that stochastic forecasting models, despite their complexity, have significant potential to add value. Respondents also believe that both historical data and cause-specific mortality forecasts are useful as input and also in validating forecasts of the aggregate levels of mortality. The challenge is to develop more sophisticated forecasting models to produce results that are relatively easy to interpret and to communicate these results to the desired audiences, including the public and policymakers.

The survey results suggest that the aggregate effect of lifestyle changes, medical advances, diseases, catastrophe, and physical environmental changes is an increase in life span. However, there is much uncertainty about the future. Respondents expect that beyond the year 2020 the mean annual rate of reduction in mortality for males age 65 and over will average about 0.58% for Canada, 0.76% for Mexico, and 0.67% for the U.S. The results for the female age 65 and over population are 0.64%, 0.83%, and 0.70%, respectively. The age 65 and over population is expected to see larger percentage reductions in mortality than the 0–14 and 15–64 populations. The reductions in male and female mortality will be ultimately the same, and the mortality levels in the three countries will ultimately converge, although differences may persist for decades.     

Separation of Unit of Account from Medium of Exchange

The separation of a unit of account (UoA) from a medium of exchange (MoE) in the commodity–money system is investigated by considering explicitly a seller's choice of UoA in terms of either an MoE or a unit of metal weight. If the likelihood of debasement of an MoE and its rate are high enough, the price is posted in terms of a unit of metal weight rather than an MoE. Interestingly, this MoE–UoA separated equilibrium yields the flexible nominal price, whereas an MoE–UoA integrated equilibrium yields the sticky one. This implies the nominal price rigidity in the fiat‐money system where MoE and UoA are integrated.     

银行软件项目外包管理分析

一、引言随着国民经济的不断发展,银行业务与外部企业的联系越来越密切。银行正逐步成为现代经济活动的中心,作为数据处理核心的银行业务应用也越来越大型化、越来越复杂化,因此许多银行也把软件项目逐步由原来的自主开发转变为与公司合作的方式,或直接外包开发的方式,银行本身的技术人员也逐步由开发转向项目管理。二、项目外包的分类银行项目的外包有以下几种情况:①部分子系统外包,有时由于银行的软件项目太大,单靠银行自身的开发力量基本无法在预定的时间内完成项目,只好把相对独立的部分外包;②直接购买软件公司的成熟产品,有些金融软…     

银行管理信息平台建设发展的思考

一、目前国内银行IT发展现状及面临的问题 银行数据集中工作的完成,标志着银行的业务由电子化建设阶段转入信息化建设阶段.一方面银行数据的集中提供了丰富全面的基础数据,面对日益庞大的数据源,如何将数字转化为对银行有用的信息,并从中发现知识,为银行的经营决策提供支持,是摆在银行IT人员面前的一个亟待解决的问题.另一方面用户对银行信息的需求日益增长,如果银行没有一套完整、实用的信息管理系统,将对业务发展非常不利.南京爱立信公司倒戈花旗银行事件曾经轰动一时,其中一个重要原因就是中国本地银行不能满足爱立信全球总部对南京爱立信公司的要求:每周财务上报和每天贷款限额管理.这一事件为中国商业银行的未来发展敲响了警钟,如果不加快管理信息系统的开发,迅速提升业务管理水平,类似的事件还会接连不断地发生,并最终导致国内商业银行在同国外商业银行的竞争中全面溃败.     

Properties of time-series estimates of degree of leverage measures

Empirical studies suggest that time-series regression estimates of the degrees of operating and financial leverage have a tendency to produce measures less than one. According to ex ante theory, these measures should be greater than one for firms operating above the breakeven point. There have also been suggestions that the biases in these estimates may be attributable to an underlying increase in unit sales. This work presents evidence that these counter-intuitive measures are produced by changes in the firm's operating parameters (unit price, variable cost, fixed cost and interest payments). It further suggests that attempts to control for the underlying change in unit sales substantially increase the volatility of predicted estimates.