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This article is based on the results and conclusions derived from an international colloquium held on the subject of young people in the year 2000. 1 It is mainly policy oriented and reflects what is desired rather than what is predicted. The authors cover the many factors that affect adolescence: modern communications, relative population decline, family size, conflict, equality, and diversity. Other topics included are the family (and its alternatives), socialisation, parental roles, divorce, education, peer relations, work and leisure, and social policy. The initiatives required now are outlined, and the authors identify many areas of importance to policy making where basic data are still lacking.  相似文献   

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Wilfrid Legg 《Futures》1980,12(3):212-222
The nine-member EEC, soon to be enlarged to 12 countries, is a major agricultural producer and trader. The author describes the assumptions behind two scenarios: high agricultural-commodity output (protectionist), and low output (liberalisation). After examining the pressures for change, he concludes that some measure of liberalisation is likely, possibly with new adjustment mechanisms (eg farm-income support rather than price intervention). However, the complexity of present EEC agricultural policy and the prevailing interests of current member countries make radical change unlikely.  相似文献   

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The authors use the second-generation Mesarovic-Pestel model to produce global scenarios. In the first (open-loop) case there is little interaction between different areas (eg agriculture, energy, or resources). The results are similar to forecasts made by other research groups. The authors show that in the long run this open-loop approach is implausible. The closed-loop approach significantly alters the scenarios. This is highlighted by the combined-problem scenario, which adopts some of the more pessimistic assumptions from the other organisations' projections while retaining the interactions between areas. The authors stress the importance of the closed-loop approach when considering global futures. They also examine the regional trends which may be masked by the global figures.  相似文献   

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Bruce Tonn   《Futures》2004,36(10):424-1126
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1999年1月1日,欧洲单一货币——欧元宣告诞生成为世界货币史上一个划时代的事件。2009年新年的第一天,欧元在迎来10岁生日的同时,欧元区大家庭也迎来了第16个成员——斯洛伐克。一方面,尽管欧元自问世以来一直备受争议,但是经过10年的发展,欧元已经成为国际主要货币之一;另一  相似文献   

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Nicholson speculates that in the 21st century, universities evolve to become quite different from their precursor institutions. The changes, fuelled by the unwillingness of students to enrol in overpriced and overrated degree-granting programs, have propelled higher education in two directions. In 2030, one type of higher education takes place in ‘Experience Camps.' These organisations are publicly funded enterprises which provide study and social service experiences for a relatively small group of students. They take place in physical settings such as former military bases and farms. ‘Advanced Learning Networks' are the other type of higher education enterprise. These are vast distance learning enterprises without campuses, and they provide high quality education to a great number of students around the world, while offering a variety of opportunities for faculty.  相似文献   

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韩青  黎乙东 《海南金融》2001,(2):25-32,28
本文较全面地论述了2000年海南省经济金融运行情况,从社会供求和信贷资金流向等方面论述全省经济金融形势,总体上保持较平稳的运行态势;指出了经济金融运行中存在的并且值得关注的问题及其对经济增长的影响;从不同角度包括各种有利因素和不利因素对全省经济金融运行情况进行比较客观的判断。  相似文献   

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The challenge for the UN and for all publicly funded institutions that distribute surpluses for international needs is nothing less than to devise new global mechanisms for the collection and distribution of the surplus generated in a global economy. A minimalist interpretation of when individual governments can and cannot provide public goods has exercised strong influences on perceptions as to what is appropriate at international levels and with regard to the financing of international institutions. There is a strong consensus on an important range of international social goods. Three kinds of financing alternatives should be accorded priority in policy research—charges for the use of the global commons, monetary measures, and international taxation.  相似文献   

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自7·23温州高铁动车事故发生至今已经4个月了,关于事故原因的调查报告仍未有结果。然而,一些细微的改变正在悄然发生。11月22日,铁道部开始将大站段进行拆分,大型高铁车站改由铁路局直管。大站段拆分表明铁道部  相似文献   

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John Robinson 《Futures》2008,40(1):70-86
This paper articulates a view of interdisciplinary derived from actual practice. Based on a distinction between different types of interdisciplinary temperament, the paper proposes five characteristic of ‘issue-driven interdisciplinarity’ in the sustainability field: being problem-based, integration, interactivity and emergence, reflexivity, and strong forms of collaboration and partnership. Each of these characteristics is illustrated by examples drawn from a series of interdisciplinary projects undertaken over the past decade. The paper concludes with some views on how best to institutionalize issue-driven interdisciplinarity in the dominantly disciplinary culture of universities.  相似文献   

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The Euro area is experiencing a severe and highly complex crisis. It comprises three problem areas: the difficulties of some highly indebted European sovereigns to ascertain funding at palatable cost, the disconcerting fragility of the European banking system and disappointing growth prospects in the Euro area periphery. To make matters even worse, these problems have developed into a systemic crisis of the European Monetary Union (EMU), since observers have apparently developed fundamental doubts over its integrity. To overcome this systemic crisis, it would not be sufficient, if only the stronger Euro area economies provided more solidarity, nor would it be sufficient, if only all of Europe adhered to ironclad budgetary discipline from now on. A European Redemption Pact could be a strong political commitment to the EMU and offer a bridge between the proponents of fiscal discipline and structural reform and those governments advocating more support. This pact would entail two indispensable aspects, the codification of a credible and coherent reform path and a temporary and limited instrument for joint refinancing.  相似文献   

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