Systemic risk network of Chinese financial institutions

The Chinese stock market crash in June 2015 has demonstrated necessary to improve understanding of systemic risk from the perspective of financial network. This study constructs a tail risk network to present overall systemic risk of Chinese financial institutions, given the macroeconomic and market externalities. Employing the Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) method of high-dimensional models, our results show that firm's idiosyncratic risk can be affected by its connectedness with other institutions. The risk spillover effect from other companies is the main driving factor of firm-specific risk, comparing with macroeconomic state, firm characteristics and historical price movement. The number of connections between institutions significantly increases during June 2014 to June 2016. Moreover, we utilize the Kolmogorov-Smirnov statistic to test significance of systemic risk beta based on tail risk and further rank the systemic risk contribution. Finally, we test the determinants of systemic risk contribution in a forward-looking way. Regulators could detect those firms that are most threatening to the stability of system.     

系统性金融风险的传导机制和防范建议

金融是现代经济体系中极为重要的一环,防范金融风险、维护金融安全是保证经济稳定运行的前提,近年来关于防范和化解系统性金融风险以及完善金融监管框架的议题一直是社会各界关注的热点。本文对系统性金融风险的传导机制和影响因素展开了系统的梳理和分析,并提出相应的政策建议。     

Sources of increasing systemic risk in international financial markets

In its annual report, published in June, the Bank for International Settlements (BIS) warned of increasing systemic risk in international financial markets. Competitive pressures will intensify in the years to come and financial institutions and regulators around the world appear ill-prepared to cope with the resulting challenges. The pressures are expected to grow for three reasons above all: the prospective “Big Bang” of the Japanese financial system, a further erosion of the Glass-Steagall restrictions in the United States and the preparations of financial institutions in Europe to position themselves for the introduction of the euro.¹     

浅谈行政事业单位财务管理

行政事业单位财务管理,是单位管理的重要组成部分,是规范单位经济活动和社会经济秩序的重要手段.行政事业单位的财务管理必须符合国家有关法律、法规和财务规章制度.行政事业单位应建立健全单位各项财务管理制度,完善内部监控制度.本文通过对行政事业单位的财务管理的分析,针对存在的主要问题,提高出了几点改进的建议.     

Need for modernizing financial institutions

As the flow of financial aid from the industrial countries may be expected to shrink rapidly as a consequence of their economic difficulties, the developing countries will have to find out possibilities of using their own financial resources more effectively. In this connection the task of modernizing their financial institutions should not be neglected.     

浅析科研事业单位的财务管理

随着经济的发展,我国对与科学技术的重视程度也在加深,对科研体制的改革也从未停止过,与过去相比,现在科研单位的从内到外都发生了本质的变化,而科研事业的单位由于其自身的特点,与一般的民营或者国营企业有着很大的差距,因此对于这类特殊的科研事业单位的财务管理模式进行分析和研究,使科研事业单位的财务管理可以更加的明确和管理.     

浅议如何有效加强事业单位财务管理

根据事业单位资金运作特点,其财务管理的具体应包括筹资管理、投资管理、成本管理和分配管理四个方面.     

浅谈事业单位如何健全财务内控机制

事业单位的财务内控机制是事业单位一切管理活动的基础.事业单位的财务管理与控制如果得不到重视,出现问题得不到及时解决,必然会影响到其他工作的开展.本文首先分析了我国事业单位财务内控机制建设的必要性,然后介绍了健全财务内控机制的原则,最后针对当前存在的财务管理问题提出了对策.     

Privatisation: politics,institutions, and financial markets

This paper presents evidence on privatisation processes in 49 countries for the period 1977–1996. The empirical analysis shows that the decision to privatise and the choice of privatisation method appear to be influenced by the governing political majority and public-sector budget constraints, while the success of privatisation in terms of revenues and stakes sold requires suitable legal institutions and developed capital markets.     

浅谈事业单位财务管理存在的问题及对策

本文就针对事业单位在财务管理方面存在的问题及对策进行简要分析.     

浅谈事业单位基本建设管理财务制度的建设

随着我国会计改革的不断深入,现行基本建设财务制度已出现不能适应新形势发展的要求,制度建设已滞后体制改革进程,急需对目前的基本建设财务制度进行修订和改革.本文就事业单位基本建设管理财务制度的建设对策进行初步探讨.     

浅析事业单位财务管理新思路

在经济改革的不断深化和社会主义市场经济建立的过程中,事业单位的内外环境发生了根本变化.因此,事业单位的财务管理也应该适应更广泛的市场经济需要,本文探讨了如何创新事业单位财务管理的思路.     

Fiscal risk and financial fragility

We propose a new methodology to evaluate the importance of fiscal risk to financial stability. We first develop a method to estimate the probability of non-compliance of public entities, which takes into account the strict legal framework that is mandatory for governments. While in our model the evolution of public entities' revenues is stochastic and heavily depends on expectations about macroeconomic risk factors, the evolution of their personnel expenses and debt is rather deterministic due to the stickiness of the regulation. We then estimate the resilience of the financial sector to the public sector by simulating bank credit defaults in a multilayer network with interacting agents comprising banks, firms, and the public entities. Using Brazilian data at the state level, we establish a statistical link between states' probability of non-compliance and probability of default, enabling us to estimate the expected impact of the public sector in terms of financial losses on the economy. We find that, while most Brazilian states are struggling to comply with budget legal constraints on personnel expenses, the richest states are more likely to not comply with limits on their consolidated debts. We show that financial contagion is small mostly because banks that are more exposed to the public sector are highly capitalized.     

The impact of banks and non-bank financial institutions on economic growth

Empirical studies examining the relationship between financial sector development and economic growth without including non-bank financial institutions (NBFIs) will likely generate biased empirical results. This study provides evidence that NBFIs can have a statistically significant negative impact on economic growth using cross-country data for both emerging and advanced countries. This finding suggests that these non-bank institutions, often loosely regulated, may introduce an excessive level of risk into the financial sector and the general economy. It is consistent with the current global financial crises where NBFIs, such as investment banks and insurance companies, introduced an excessive level of risk into the global economy. Hence, policy-makers may need to consider more timely and effective regulation of NBFIs and insure that adequate transparency and disclosure is provided to all financial markets participants.     

我国金融市场对外开放的利与弊

本文着重探讨我国金融市场对外开放的利与弊,以深化认识,增进开放进程.     

我国农村市场的金融理财问题及策略

本文将在明确农村市场金融理财概念内容的前提下,了解我国农村市场金融理财问题的现状,分析我国农村市场金融理财方面存在的具体问题,从而在此基础上提出相应的解决策略.     

China to promote financial institutions to boost rural development

China＇s banking regulator on July 29 announced a plan to set up financial institutions in 1,294 rural locations by 2011 to boost rural development.