商业银行利率风险及防范

目前我国利率市场化改革的进程正在不断推进,市场利率的波动日益频繁,利率风险正上升为我国商业银行经营管理中面临的主要风险,利率风险的防范与管理也将成为我国商业银行的一项重要工作,本文将对利率市场化环境下我国商业银行的利率风险管理进行探讨。     

商业银行利率风险成因及其防范措施

本文在利率市场化的背景下,对商业银行利率风险的成因和防范措施进行了深入的研究,同时为商业银行在利率市场化的影响下如何有效地避免和防范利率风险提出了建议。本文运用了理论描述和实证分析研究方法,结合国内现阶段的实际情况,系统地分析现阶段商业银行利率风险的成因,提出更为有效的利率风险防范措施。     

利率市场化与商业银行的利率风险管理

利率市场化是市场经济发展到一定时期的产物,也是我国深化金融体制改革,开展金融创新的必由之路和政策选择。而利率市场化在给予商业银行资金定价自主权的同时,也往往导致利率风险的产生,包括阶段性利率风险和恒久性利率风险。商业银行应当树立以利率风险管理为中心的经营理念,大力拓展中间业务,推进金融产品和服务创新,完善利率风险内控机制,加强监管体系建设,培养和提高人才素质,积极、主动、有效地防范和化解利率市场化过程中的利率风险。     

我国商业银行利率风险管理

随着利率市场化改革的推进,利率的波动越来越频繁和剧烈,利率风险也成为商业银行面临的最严重的风险之一。利率风险管理也成为商业银行越来越重要的一项工作,将对利率风险管理的各个方面进行探析。     

利率市场化以后我国商业银行利率风险分析

一、利率市场化进程中商业银行利率风险衡量指标及风险分析商业银行利率风险的形成可简单归因于两方面：一是，商业银行资产负债结构的不匹配导致了利率风险敞口；二是，市场利率的意外变动导致了商业银行市场价值的盈亏。用函数形式表示为：利率风险＝F（利率风险敞口，利率的变动）（１）公式中的利率风险敞口是利率风险产生的基础，如不存在利率风险敞口，则利率的任何变动均不影响商业银行的经营业绩。换言之，商业银行的利率风险可根据对其敞口的测度来加以衡量。（一）利率敏感性缺口在市场利率发生变化时，并非所有的资产和负债都受…     

市场利率化改革与商业银行风险管理研究

我国利率市场化改革不断推进,商业银行的利率风险正逐渐增大,如何管理利率风险是一个重要的问题,我国商业银行的利率风险管理还不完善。文章通过分析利率市场化带来的影响,对商业银行产生的风险提出商业银行应该如何应对利率市场化的影响。     

利率市场化对商业银行资本结构的影响研究

银行资本是商业银行的经营基础和风险保证,合理的资本结构是商业银行实现经营目标的重要保障.利率市场化下,利率风险凸显,银行传统盈利模式受到冲击,必然对商业银行债权结构以及权益资本造成影响.在我国利率市场化不断推进的背景下,分析利率市场化对银行资本结构的影响并提出相应的应对措施,有利于利率市场化下银行资本结构合理化,对于商业银行有效抵御利率市场化的冲击具有实际意义.     

我国商业银行利率风险管理研究

利率问题是银行界的永恒主题,然而随着利率市场化的进程日益加快,利率波动的幅度和频率越来越大,商业银行作为金融市场中的重要主体,更将直接面临利率波动的挑战.利率风险是我国乃至各国商业银行面对的极具严酷、极具潜在破坏力的风险,因此,研究如何将利率风险管理和中国银行业的真实情况相结合,如何更加有效的控制和管理利率风险是我国商业银行长期生存发展的必要条件,成为金融界和学术界人士的焦点问题.本文就目前我国商业银行利率风险的现状为现实依据,再针对利率风险管理中出现的不足和缺陷,探寻我国商业银行利率风险管理的优化途径,开拓新思路.     

国有商业银行利率风险的防范和化解浅谈

加入WTO后，我国金融市场运行将逐步与国际接轨，作为金融市场有机组成部分的价格机制，利率市场化的改革取向是必然选择。更为重要的信号是，银行利率市场化甚至被写进党的十六大报告中。随着我国利率市场化进程的不断加快，利率风险将逐渐上升为商业银行主要的经营风险之一。笔者试结合国有商业银行的实际，就防范和化解利率风险发表一管之见。一、国有商业银行利率风险的主要表现形式商业银行的利率风险是指在一定时期内，由于利率的波动和资产负债期限结构不匹配，致使商业银行资产收益与价值相对于负债成本与价值发生不等量变化而造…     

商业银行利率风险成因分析及对策

近年来,随着我国利率市场化改革的进一步深化,市场利率变动的不确定性给商业银行带来的利率风险日渐突出。但长期以来,我国商业银行受到政策、市场以及银行自身等内外部复杂因素的影响,对利率风险的管理还缺乏有效的应对措施,严重影响商业银行的经营发展。因此,分析和研究商业银行利率风险成因,防范和化解利率风险,有效地进行利率风险管理,是本文所探讨的问题。     

Valuation of callable accreting interest rate swaps: Least squares Monte-Carlo method under Hull-White interest rate model

Using the Hull-White interest rate model, this paper proposes a valuation method of callable accreting interest rate swap (CAIRS) and how it can be used for managing the risk of zero callable bonds (ZCBs). Firstly, CAIRS can be decomposed into accreting payer interest rate swaps and Bermudan options. Considering the financial valuation of both components, the former can be valued directly while the latter has no close-form due to its early exercise characteristics. Using the Least Squares Monte-Carlo method (LSM) proposed by Longstaff and Schwartz (2001), we find that the two options embedded in ZCB and CAIRS have the same exercise strategy since the terms of the swaps will include the bonds in practice. However, the cash flow of risk management in swaps and bonds can differ when considering the time value. Hence, CAIRS is not the best financial instrument for managing risks of ZCB under the current design.     

关于在我国现阶段发展利率期货的思考

随着中国利率市场化的推进,利率风险日益显现,推出利率期货是大势所趋。本文立足国情,分析了我国在现阶段发展利率期货的可行性,并提出我国应适时推出利率期货。     

Low interest rate policy and the use of reserve requirements in emerging markets

This paper sheds light on the link between the interest rate policy in large advanced economies with international funding and reserve currencies (the United States and the euro area) and the use of reserve requirements in emerging markets. Using reserve requirement data for 28 emerging markets from 1998 to 2012, we provide evidence that emerging market central banks tend to raise reserve requirements when interest rates in international funding markets decline or financial inflows accelerate, most likely to preserve financial stability. In contrast, when global liquidity risk rises and funding from the large advanced economies dries up, emerging markets lower reserve requirements.     

Nominal interest rate policy rules and the feasibility of real interest rate control

In this paper the author builds a financial market model to demonstrate that policy aimed at reducing the variance in nominal interest rates reduces the information content of these variables. This has the undesirable effect of destabilizing real interest rates. The researcher demonstrates that nominal interest rate policy rules stabilize the component of the variance in the ex ante real interest rate attributable to the variance in the nominal rate. The variability of the expected inflation rate can, however, be increased by such policy rules, making the net effect of a nominal interest rate policy on the variance in the real interest rate ambiguous.     

商业银行应对利率市场化的对策

随着利率市场化进程的逐步加快,商业银行经营发展中的不确定性因素将会增加,对此,商业银行要未雨绸缪,为适应利率市场化的需要并推动其发展,商业银行只有转变经营观念,调整经营战略,加强风险管理与控制,才能适应利率市场化的进程,应对中外银行的竞争格局。     

对加入WTO后我国利率市场化改革进程的思考

我国现行利率形成机制的失效及对经济的抑制要求利率市场化改革.以加入世贸为标志,中国必将更深入地融入全球经济一体化之中,中国的非市场化的利率形成机制也将由于与WTO的各项规则冲突而受到巨大冲击.内外因素的共同作用必将加快利率市场化改革的进程.     

Rising House Prices and Ultra‐low Interest Rates: A Recipe for a New Banking Crisis?

Are overheating housing markets and rising interest rate risks becoming a breeding ground for yet another banking crisis? We assess these risks for the German case. We find that they are indeed building up and may very well form the basis for a new banking crisis – unless prevented through responsible banking decisions, supervisory guidance, and policy adjustments.     

Switching interest rate sensitivity regimes of U.S. Corporates

We study interest rate sensitivities of U.S. investment grade BBB-rated and high yield corporate bonds over the period of 2001–2016. Our methodology assesses the capital gains of corporate bond portfolios and risk-free government bond portfolios, using average coupon and blended yield indices for the U.S. market. For both, U.S. BBB and high yield corporate bonds, we evidence the switching, from positive to negative interest rate sensitivity, occurring over the transition from the normal economic conditions to the periods of economic distress and vice-versa. The proposed theoretical explanation of such binary behavior posits an interrelation between interest rate and creditworthiness of issuers, which varies according to the phases of the business cycle. This research advances an economic understanding of interest rate risk management and sheds light on how financial institutions may develop strategies that hedge against downside risk.     

加快推进利率市场化：主要障碍与政策建议

建立有效的金融市场是世界大多数国家金融改革的基本目标,利率市场化问题的解决是有效金融市场建立的关键。我国的二元金融结构阻碍了利率市场化改革进展。要推进我国利率市场化需要从几个方面入手：实现真正意义上的“金融分权”;加强存款保险制度建设;进一步健全货币市场;设计金融机构市场化退出机制。     

我国利率市场化的发展呼唤国债期货的推出

我国利率市场化进程的发展,在有效的利率风险规避机制和手段存在之前,使利率风险日益累积,不仅影响债券市场的发展,也不利于各类经济主体进行利率风险管理。综合我国的实际情况,考虑推出国债期货将成为不可回避的问题。