Financial sector development and domestic savings in South Asia

Given the limited capital flows to developing countries in South Asia, domestic savings is the primary source of investment and growth. Financial sector development and access to financial institutions are important determinants of savings ratios in developing countries. In this context, we empirically examine the role of financial development on savings ratios of five South Asian countries after controlling for other relevant variables for the period 1975–2010 and also for two sub-periods—the pre-reforms period (1975–1991) and the post-reforms period (1992–2010). We find that financial sector development positively affects total and private savings in South Asia along with per capita income, share of agriculture and foreign savings. Results also support the humped-shaped relationship between financial development and savings. The causality results support that financial development leads to higher savings mobilisation in South Asia.     

Financial liberalization,financial regulation and bank efficiency: a multi-country analysis

This article investigates the impact of financial reforms on bank efficiency. More specifically, we distinguish between two different types of financial reforms, i.e. financial liberalization measures and measures of the quality of bank regulation and supervision (i.e. financial regulation), and study their relationship to bank efficiency separately. Moreover, we analyse whether the impact of financial liberalization on bank efficiency is conditional on the quality of regulation and supervision of the banking system. We apply stochastic frontier analysis to calculate bank efficiency at the individual bank level and use a new and detailed database that measures different aspects of financial reforms. The data-set consists of 87 312 bank-year observations covering 61 countries for the period 1996–2005. Overall, we show that the impact of financial liberalization policies on bank efficiency is conditional on the extent to which bank regulation and supervision has been adopted and developed.     

Financial distress,bank debt restructurings,and layoffs

We develop a model of a financially distressed firm to analyze the implications of a bank debt restructuring when the operational characteristics of the firm's project for the post-distress period are endogenously determined as part of the workout. We establish a formal link between the debt restructuring and operational actions such as employee layoffs, and show how these actions are affected by the firm's capital structure, the ordering of absolute priorities, and the allocation of control rights and residual claims after reorganization. Finally, we discuss the implications of our analysis for the design of reorganization law.     

Capital regulation, bank competition, and financial stability

We analyze capital requirements if banks compete for loans and deposits. Banks and firms are subject to a risk-shifting problem. The ambiguous effect of competition on banks’ risk-taking translates into an ambiguous effect of capital requirements on financial stability.     

金融发展和国有商业银行改革

2002年12月4～5日,“中国:资本之年”国际论坛在北京召开,来自24个国家和地区的700多位代表参加了此次盛会。在会上,中国人民银行行长戴相龙和四大国有商业银行的代表与专家学者就当前金融形势和国有商业银行综合改革进行了深入的探讨,引起了与会者的极大关注。     

Capital controls,macroprudential regulation,and the bank balance sheet channel

We incorporate a banking sector with balance sheet frictions into a model of a small open economy and compare the effectiveness of capital controls and macroprudential regulation. We show that the welfare-improving effect of capital controls is larger than that of macroprudential regulation if the degree of financial friction between domestic banks and foreign investors is high, while the welfare-improving effect of macroprudential regulation is larger than that of capital controls if the degree of financial friction is low. We also show that the welfare ranking of the two policies depends on whether an economy suffers from liability dollarization.     

Financial liberalization,financial sector development and growth: Evidence from Malaysia

The objective of this paper is to examine whether financial development leads to economic growth or vice versa in the small open economy of Malaysia. Using time series data from 1960 to 2001, we conduct cointegration and causality tests to assess the finance-growth link by taking the real interest rate and financial repression into account. The empirical evidence suggests that financial liberalization, through removing the repressionist policies, has a favorable effect in stimulating financial sector development. Financial depth and economic development are positively related; but contrary to the conventional findings, our results support Robinson's view that output growth leads to higher financial depth in the long-run.     

邮储银行“三农”金融服务的思考

我国是一个农业大国,农业经济发展水平高低,很大程度上影响着我国整体的经济效益。面对新时期农业现代化发展要求,如何调动农民生长积极性,引进更多农机设备提升生产效率,一个关键点则是提供充足的资金支持。而当前农业资金来源一方面是国家财政补贴,另一方面则是金融机构提供信贷服务,而邮政银行依托于政府平台,在"三农"问题方面给予了充足的资金支持,金融服务多样,极大的缓解了农村地区融资难、融资贵的问题,在促进农业生产的同时,进一步扩大了邮政银行在农村地区的影响力,对于银行健康持续发展意义深远。本文就邮政银行"三农"金融服务进行分析,明确服务要点,提出合理有效的措施应用到实处。     

Financial intermediation and endogenous risk in the banking sector

The paper revisits the impact of uncertainty on the decision problem of a bank. The bank extends risky loans to private investors and sells deposits to savers at fixed rates. The uncertainty under which deposit/loan-portfolios are chosen by banks is endogenized through an information system that conveys public signals about the return distribution of bank loans. Transparency in the banking sector is defined in terms of the reliability of these signals. We find that higher transparency always raises expected bank profits, but may lead to a higher or lower expected loan volume. Moreover, higher transparency may reduce economic welfare.     

Crop failure,price regulation,and emergency imports of Japan's rice sector in 1993

In 1993, an extraordinarily cool summer in Japan brought about low rice yields, which caused considerable disturbances to the rice markets. Japan imported a large amount of rice as an emergency measure. Two controversies about Japan's rice policies were raised, particularly in that period. The first centred on the effectiveness of the price regulation policies in stabilizing rice prices and farmers’?incomes. The second involved the newspapers’?arguments that the emergency imports harmed other countries, especially developing countries. These controversies were examined with a world trade computable general equilibrium model.     

Concealment of risk and regulation of bank risk taking

This paper analyzes the effectiveness of banking regulation when risk can be concealed from the regulator. Three banking regimes are considered: regulation with direct controls, incentives-based regulation, and laissez-faire banking. The relative performance of the three regimes depends on the effectiveness of monitoring. Regulation with direct controls is superior when monitoring effectiveness is low, while incentives-based regulation is superior when monitoring effectiveness is high. Laissez-faire banking is equivalent to incentives-based regulation if market analysts and the regulator have access to the same information. When monitoring effectiveness is low, a regulator with direct controls can better restrain banks' risk taking than can the market; this result applies when banks can conceal much of their risk from the regulator.     

Private and public sector regulation of competitively tendered contracts

This paper addresses two contractual issues using a sample of competitively tendered contracts for cleaning services. First, the paper considers the characteristics that distinguish private from public sector organisations in their methods of selection and regulation of contractors. Secondly, the paper examines the perceived effectiveness of such regulatory mechanisms in terms of compliance with contract specifications and overall assessment of quality. Econometric analysis reveals that private sector organisations differ from their public sector counterparts in the selection procedures of contractors. Moreover, significant differences emerge in the apparent efficacy of a range of regulatory instruments in assuring contractual performance.We are grateful to Jörg Finsinger and participants at the Industrial Organization Conference in Vienna (1992) for helpful comments. The usual disclaimer applies.     

Reconsidering bank capital regulation: a new combination of rules,regulators, and market discipline

Despite revisions to bank capital standards, fundamental shortcomings remain: the rules for setting capital requirements need to be simpler, and resolution should be an essential part of the capital requirement framework.We propose a revised system of capital regulation that addresses these needs by making changes to all three pillars of bank regulation: only common equity should be recognized as regulatory capital, and risk weighting of assets should be abandoned; capital requirements should be assigned on an institution-by-institution basis according to a regulatory (s, S) approach developed in the paper; a standard for prompt, corrective action is incorporated into the (s, S) approach.     

Interdependence between regulation and technological innovation in the telecommunications sector

Telecommunications has attracted increasing public attention because of technological and regulatory dynamics which have transformed this into the backbone of the future information society. This article foucses on the interrelationship between technological development and regulation in three sections. First, attention is paid to technological development and the question as to what degree regulation is determined by technology. Next is discussed the role of European Union regulation, which affects technological innovation and diffusion in many direct and indirect ways. The final section address the remaining role of national regulation.     

Interdependence between regulation and technological innovation in the telecommunications sector

Telecommunications has attracted increasing public attention because of technological and regulatory dynamics which have transformed this into the backbone of the future information society. This article foucses on the interrelationship between technological development and regulation in three sections. First, attention is paid to technological development and the question as to what degree regulation is determined by technology. Next is discussed the role of European Union regulation, which affects technological innovation and diffusion in many direct and indirect ways. The final section address the remaining role of national regulation.     

Return migration,uncertainty and precautionary savings

"This paper presents a life-cycle model where migrants determine re-migration and consumption simultaneously in a stochastic environment. Whether precautionary savings of migrants are above or below those of natives is ambiguous in general--the sign depends on the risk in host- and home-country labor markets and on the correlation of labor market shocks. Furthermore, the effect of an uncertain environment on migration and re-migration plans cannot be unambiguously signed for the general case. It depends on the size of the wage differential as well as the relative risk the migrant exhibits in the two labor markets."     

Derivatives holdings and market values of U.S. bank holding companies

We examine the impact of derivatives held by US bank holding companies on their market valuations over the period 2000 to 2010. By using bank-level data with detailed information on the notional amounts of derivative positions according to holding purposes and underlying asset types, our regression analyses provide three main findings. First, derivative instruments held for hedging rather than trading purposes contribute to enhancing market values. Second, the positive effects exhibit nonmonotonic patterns indicating that excessive amounts of derivatives holdings deteriorate market values. Third, interest rate derivatives are the main source of high valuations.