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This paper draws its title from a paper written over 35 years ago by Geoffrey H. Moore (1967). Why the need for a reprise? First, there would appear currently to be somewhat diverging views as to what properly constitutes a recession. Second, largely as a result of this, in many countries other than the US, there does not exist a single, widely accepted business cycle chronology for the country in question. This paper will argue that, in addition to output, there are other important aspects to aggregate economic activity that need to be taken into account in determining the business cycle, viz., income, sales and employment. As such, our perspective would seem to be at odds with the apparent position taken by some other recent commentators on this issue who argue that GDP is all that is needed to represent a country's business cycle. We will also argue against using the currently popular ‘two negative quarterly growth rate’ rule in dating the onset of a recession. 相似文献
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Summary. We identify conditions under which preferences over subsets of a consumption world can be reduced to preferences over bundles of "commodities". We distinguish ordinal bundles, whose coordinates are defined up to monotone transformations, from cardinal bundles, whose coordinates are defined up to positive linear transformations.Received: 27 March 2002, Revised: 17 March 2003, JEL Classification Numbers:
D11.I am grateful to S. Barberá, C. Chambers, K. Nehring, and O. Sprumont for stimulating conversations and useful remarks. I also thank a referee for helpful comments, and the Social Sciences and Humanities Research Council of Canada for support. 相似文献
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Nurse turnover costs thousands of dollars and negatively affects patient outcomes. Study results indicate experienced nurses perceive decreased autonomy and task orientation, and increased work pressure in their work environments. Strategies are presented to help retain RNs, save money, and improve patient outcomes. 相似文献
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Tobias Henschen 《Journal of Economic Methodology》2018,25(1):1-20
The paper aims to develop an adequate account of macroeconomic causality. It discusses the definition that is central to Woodward’s interventionist account and the definitions that can be extracted from Hoover’s remarks on privileged parameterization and from the potential outcome approach that Angrist and Kuersteiner have introduced into macroeconomics more recently. The definition to be defended can be regarded as the gist that is common to all three definitions when they are relieved of overly restrictive conditions. It says (roughly) that X causes Y if and only if there is a possible intervention on X that changes Y, where X and Y stand for macroeconomic aggregates, where an intervention is understood as a manipulation of an intervention variable I that satisfies conditions requiring that I be a cause of X, and that there be no confounders of X and Y, and where an intervention variable is either a variable or a parameter. 相似文献
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Ulrich Witt 《Journal of Evolutionary Economics》2008,18(5):547-575
Ever since an “evolutionary” perspective on the economy has been suggested, there have been differing, and partly incommensurable,
views on what specifically this means. By working out where the differences lie and what motivates them, this paper identifies
four major approaches to evolutionary economics. The differences between them can be traced back to opposite positions regarding
the basic assumptions about reality and the proper conceptualization of evolution. The same differences can also be found
in evolutionary game theory. Achievements of the major approaches to evolutionary economics and their prospects for future
research are assessed by means of a peer survey.
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Ulrich WittEmail: |
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Paul Oslington 《The Australian economic review》2020,53(4):482-493
The value of a job is an important issue for management, human resources, law and public policy, yet we lack good empirical estimates of this value. This article presents a theoretical framework for valuing jobs and estimates the average economic value of an Australian job at approximately $104,000. However, judges awarding compensation for unfair dismissal under the Fair Work Act implicitly value a job at around $10,000. If the economic value estimate is correct then workers place a high value on keeping their job, which has important human resources management implications, such as worker commitment and risk-taking. 相似文献
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Matthias Almus 《Applied economics》2013,45(12):1497-1508
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Ali M. Ahmed 《Applied economics》2013,45(21):2715-2723
This article reports results from two experiments that investigate possible incidence of discrimination against people with foreign backgrounds in Sweden. In the first experiment, participants played the trust game and the dictator game with co-players of different ethnic affiliation. The family name of the players was exposed to their co-players. Results for the trust game showed no significant discrimination against co-players with foreign backgrounds. On the other hand, the results for the dictator game showed a statistically significant discriminatory behaviour by men against co-players with non-European backgrounds. The discriminatory behaviour was solely a male phenomenon. In the second experiment, the dictator game was replicated to check the stability of the results in the first experiment. The second experiment also examined whether people with foreign backgrounds discriminate against other people with foreign backgrounds; that is, the purpose was to discover whether discrimination is systematic. The observations in the second experiment underlined the results found in the first experiment: foreign co-players are discriminated against by Swedish players. However, we did not find that people with foreign backgrounds discriminated against other people with foreign backgrounds. 相似文献
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Michael T. Ghiselin 《Journal of Bioeconomics》2016,18(2):153-158
Natural, artificial, and sexual selection played different roles in Darwin’s theoretical system and his arguments. Natural selection explained adaptation without recourse to teleology. Artificial selection provided a plausibility argument for selection in general. Sexual selection provided a critical test of selection and showed that it may lead to maladaptation. Sexual selection in evolutionary theory resembles rent-seeking in economic theory. 相似文献
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Thomas MC 《Medical economics》1991,68(4):36-40
It's a possibility you'll have to consider from now on. Because of legal loopholes, dozens of outfits have started selling counterfeit coverage. 相似文献
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Experimental Economics - In experimental economics there is a norm against using deception. But precisely what constitutes deception is unclear. While there is a consensus view that providing false... 相似文献
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Why are some constitutions amended frequently and others hardly at all? An obvious candidate determinant is constitutional rigidity, i.e., the size and number of procedural barriers to amendment. Given some demand for amendment, greater rigidity implies a smaller supply. However, measures of rigidity often do not correlate significantly (or even with the predicted sign) with amendment rates. Ginsburg and Melton (2015) argue that amendment culture – “shared attitudes about the desirability of amendment” – is a more important determinant of amendment rates. We study up to 128 constitutional episodes from 54 countries and estimate relationships between amendment rates and Hofstede cultural indices. Cultures that are more individualistic and less prone to uncertainty avoidance are associated with higher amendment rates. When cultural dimensions are controlled for, the lagged amendment rate (Ginsburg and Melton’s proxy for culture) is not a robust correlate. 相似文献
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