北京地铁晚间和非高峰期用作城市物流系统探讨

北京市区物流量越来越大,但受交通拥堵状况影响流通效率低下,而北京地铁四通八达,晚间却在闲置,论文提出把北京地铁在晚间和非高峰期用作城市物流系统的观点,并分析了必要性和可行性,以及北京地铁用作物流系统的技术需求和现实障碍,最后针对性地提出了一些政策建议。     

REPETITION AND FINANCIAL INCENTIVES IN ECONOMICS EXPERIMENTS

Abstract While experimental methods have been an effective tool for economic research, there have been controversies on the methodological aspects. The reason why we need to care about it is clear: if the method in an experiment is not valid, the results from that experiment cannot be valid too. Among other things, the methodological issues of financial incentives and repetition, which are norms in experimental economics, have been at the centre of many debates. While there are previous reviews that investigate financial incentives and repetition separately, our view is that the effects of these two factors are interdependent rather than independent. Thus, our review here is more specific and more conditional, that is, we are interested in the answer to the question, ‘Do we need to use financial incentives conditional on the use of repetition?’ After we discuss the relationship between financial incentives and repetition, we argue, from a review of 44 experimental studies, that using financial incentives would be more necessary to improve the validity of experimental results if an experimenter needs to use repetition.     

基于京沪对比的金融服务外包发展潜力与借鉴

大力发展金融服务外包是我国未来金融服务贸易主要的经济增长点。在发展实践中,以京沪为代表的大城市起到了良好的带动作用,尤其是上海的金融服务外包发展较为成熟,具有完善的融资平台和成熟的市场体系,并定位高端化市场。与之相比,北京金融服务外包国际化水平相对不足,高端金融BPO业务仍处于初级阶段,通过两市金融服务外包的对比分析,为北京提供了经验与借鉴,也为进一步提高我国大城市金融服务外包的国际竞争能力提供了有益尝试。     

Financial reporting fraud and CEO pay-performance incentives

Because prior studies find mixed results on the relation between CEOs’ pay performance incentives and a firm’s likelihood of financial reporting fraud, we restudy their relationship using innovative research methods. First, we concentrate on incentives from granting options rather than equity-based incentives. Second, we emphasize vested options, disregarding unvested option holdings, and take the logarithm transformation of option incentives. Third, we analyse the impact of option incentives on future financial reporting irregularities. Using this innovative approach as well as a full sample and a matched sample, we find that an increase in executives’ option incentives raises the likelihood of financial reporting violations. Moreover, the effect of option incentives on financial reporting fraud is moderated by auditor effort. In addition, we find that another proxy for the measurement of executives’ option incentives, namely, the number of vested options by executives, is highly correlated with the CEO’s vested stock option sensitivity.     

北京市写字楼市场空间一体化模型研究——基于UrbanSim的模型标定与情景模拟

城市空间仿真系统(UrbanSim)为构建城市土地利用和交通空间一体化模型提供了基础平台。以写字楼市场为研究对象,基于企业选址和写字楼开发选址的相关理论构建了写字楼市场供给(开发选址)与需求(企业选址)一体化模型,通过地理信息系统(GIS)建立了北京市写字楼开发/价格、企业选址及城市基础设施和公共服务的空间数据库,并在UrbanSim平台上利用这些空间微观数据对写字楼市场一体化模型进行了标定。利用已标定的一体化模型,论文进行了城市政策效果和城市发展的情景模拟,包括轨道交通建设对企业选址和开发选址的影响,以及北京市两个重要的商务办公区(商务中心区和金融街)功能区扩张的预期效果。     

深基坑支护结构的施工技术选择分析

本文根据北京地铁14号线工程的施工中出现的问题,总结地铁深基坑支护体系采用两种结构形式的施工经验,通过施工方案对技术质量控制、成本控制方面的对比总结深基坑支护结构的施工选用的方案注意事项,为地铁施工方案制定提供依据。     

Environmental Policies for Sustainable Development: An Analysis of the Drivers of Proactive Environmental Strategies in the Service Sector

This article examines the drivers of environmental proactivity in the service sector. Hypotheses were tested using multiple hierarchical regression analysis with data from a sample of 41 managers in Spanish environmental consulting companies. Results show statistically significant relationships between (1) managers’ attitude towards sustainable development, (2) positive short‐term firm performance and (3) the strategic attitude of environmental consulting firms and the adoption of proactive environmental strategies by the studied companies. This article is pioneering in the analysis of drivers of corporate proactive environmental strategies in the consultancy sector. The findings have practical implications for policy‐makers, investors and other agents interested in a better management of the environment. Economic incentives such as subsidies to environmental training programmes for managers can induce changes in cognitive components of managers’ attitudes. Education policies could also affect managers’ attitudes towards the environment. Companies may also encourage attitude change by providing their managers with financial assistance to receive environmental training. External assistance to develop a strategic attitude could be an interesting policy to encourage voluntary environmental initiatives. Finally, fiscal deductions, tax breaks or subsidies to those companies interested in managing the environment can be effective incentives for those firms facing a weak short‐term financial situation. Copyright © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd and ERP Environment     

上海地铁乘客平峰期出行行为影响因素及机理研究

针对上海地铁平峰期客座率不高、运能低的问题,对乘客愿意增加平峰期出行行为的影响因素进行归纳分析,并根据居民对地铁票价优惠、增值服务的需求进行现场问卷调查,统计分析各措施下乘客平峰期地铁出行意愿情况;建立平峰期出行意愿二项Logit模型,研究出行者特性、出行行为特性以及选择方案特性等因素的影响。由此为平峰期地铁客流提升制定更加有针对性的互联网营销方案奠定理论基础。     

Cashing In On Quality? Pay Incentives and the Quality Culture

In this article, the authors explore the relationship between total quality management (TQM) and financial incentives in British manufacturing industry. In particular, they examine the view of some of the most influential quality management ‘gurus’ that there is an incompatibility between incentive pay and TQM. Drawing on survey and case study evidence, they show that TQM is being implemented in the presence of financial incentives. Furthermore, those organisations which had such incentives did not appear to have less success in implementing TQM. On the basis of the evidence presented, the authors conclude that it is not possible to rule out a role for financial incentives in implementing TQM, although incentives are only likely to form one element in a broader implementation strategy.     

高管股权激励能推动企业承担社会责任吗？

如何激励高管主动承担企业社会责任一直是学术研究的热点话题。利用中国A股上市公司数据对高管股权激励与企业社会责任间的关系进行实证检验,研究结果表明,高管股权激励能够推动企业承担社会责任,表现为实施股权激励的样本有更高的企业社会责任得分。在年度政策不确定程度更高的样本中,高管股权激励对企业社会责任有更明显的推动作用;在地区市场化程度更高的样本中,高管股权激励对企业社会责任有更明显的抑制作用。作用机制检验表明,高管股权激励主要通过激励风险承担和缓和融资约束两条路径对企业承担社会责任产生积极的影响,表现为在风险回避倾向更高的样本以及融资约束更严重的样本中,股权激励与企业社会责任得分的正相关关系更显著。经济后果检验表明,实施股权激励企业的社会责任得分越高,企业的财务业绩和市场业绩也越好。     

Managing Discretionary Accruals and Book‐Tax Differences in Anticipation of Tax Rate Increases: Evidence from China

This paper investigates how firms manage their earnings to trade off various incentives when tax rates increase. We hypothesize and find that firms generally choose to manage their taxable income upward in a book‐tax non‐conforming manner rather than in a book‐tax conforming manner before a tax rate increment, which in turn reduces the detection risk of aggressive financial reporting. These results suggest that firms give more weight to tax incentives and tax audit or regulatory inspection risks than to boosting financial reporting income in tax management. However, when firms have higher book management incentives or lower tunneling incentives (i.e., non‐state‐owned enterprises), we find that they manage their taxable income and book income upward together (i.e., in a book‐tax conforming manner), whereas their counterparts (i.e., state‐owned enterprises) do not. Overall, our paper contributes to the literature by demonstrating the interplay of tax, tunneling and financial reporting incentives in influencing tax management strategies. The findings from our paper should also help government and regulators understand more about firms’ reactions to tax rate increases.     

地铁正外部性作用范围的计量研究

针对地铁正外部性作用范围的问题,在总结同类研究的基础上,提出了站点周边房地产价格受到地铁的影响是通过“人”的因素而产生作用的,这种作用可通过选乘地铁的概率进行考察.本文在分析影响“人”选乘地铁的因素的基础上,构建了地铁选乘的logistic模型.通过北京市调研的数据验证模型,观察通过调整变量X4对选乘概率的影响情况得到...     

Financial incentives and advanced construction procurement systems

Construction clients often use financial incentives to encourage stakeholder motivation and commitment to voluntary higher‐order project goals. Despite the increased use of financial incentives, there is little literature addressing means of optimizing outcomes. Using a case‐study methodology, the examination of a successful Australian construction project demonstrates the features of a positively geared procurement approach that promotes the effectiveness of financial incentives. The research results show that if the incentive system is perceived to be fair and is applied to reward exceptional performance, and not to manipulate, then contractors are more likely to be positively motivated.     

IDENTIFYING THE RESPONSE OF FERTILITY TO FINANCIAL INCENTIVES

While using financial incentives to increase fertility has become relatively common, the effects of such policies are difficult to assess. We propose an identification strategy that relies on the fact that the variation in wages induces variation in benefits and tax credits among ‘comparable’ households. We implement our approach by estimating a discrete‐choice model of female participation and fertility using individual data from the French Labor Force Survey and a detailed representation of the French tax–benefit system. Our results suggest that financial incentives have had a significant effect on fertility decisions in France. As an example, we simulate the effects of an additional, unconditional child credit of 150 euros per month. The effects are strongest for the third child. Copyright © 2013 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Strategic compensation in South Korea's publicly traded firms

This strategic compensation model based on contingency theory of organizations proposes that a fit between the organization's business environment and compensation system will affect the firm's performance (Rockmore, 1991; Rockmore and Scarpello, 1994). This proposition was tested with a set of Korean sample data of seventy-five publicly traded companies within thirty-four three-digit Standard Industrial Classification codes.

The cluster analysis applied to the 7-item task environment uncertainty components resulted in two group classifications that face relatively ‘more certain’ and ‘more uncertain’ environments. Principal component factor analysis of the 8-item compensation system components resulted in three compensation system factors and subsequent cluster analysis classified firm pay plans into two clusters, which we labelled ‘more traditional’ and ‘more innovative’. Discriminant analysis confirmed the resulting classifications of both task environment and compensation system types. With both ROA and EPS measures, significantly more ‘fits’ (firms in stable environment that use traditional compensation system or firms in uncertain environment that use innovative compensation system) showed financial gains compared with ‘nonfits’. This financial impact of the contingency was more salient for those firms that face uncertain environment. The same results were obtained when ANOVA was performed.     

北京地铁车站室内设计之构成艺术应用浅析

构成艺术不仅是现代艺术中影响广泛的一种艺术形式,也是自德国包豪斯以来一种重要的现代设计理论体系,它对地铁车站空间的设计起到一定的影响。简要地论述了构成艺术与地铁车站室内设计的关系,同时通过调研北京地铁线路中几个有特色的地铁车站,分析其空间以构成艺术为主要装饰手法的表现方式,提出了结舍地铁车站空间的特点,借鉴和吸收构成艺术的精髓以提高我国地铁车站空间设计水平的观点。     

Why More Forward-Looking Accounting Standards Can Reduce Financial Reporting Quality

A premise of standard setters and of much empirical research is that improving the quality of accounting standards and their implementation increases information in capital markets. This paper challenges this premise and shows that there are situations in which ‘better’, that is, more forward-looking, accounting standards reduce the information content of financial reports. The reason is that a forward-looking accounting standard affects the smoothness of reported earnings, which can conflict with the manager's smoothing incentive and her willingness to incorporate private information in the financial report. Although the manager could eliminate the effect by earnings management, it is too costly to do so. As a consequence, the capital market's ability to infer the financial and nonfinancial information in reported earnings declines. This finding should increase the awareness that an ‘improvement’ in accounting standards, without considering incentives and other information residing in firms, can adversely affect the quality of financial reporting.     

Federal mandates with local agenda setters

This paper investigates the effect of local monopoly agenda setting on federal standards. Federal standards specify a minimum (or maximum) point in policy space which can be raised (or lowered) by local option. Without local agenda setters, this creates incentives for nonmajoritarian outcomes, with a tendency for policies to be too high (low). Local agenda setters may have incentives to distort these outcomes even further. We demonstrate that federal standards can counterbalance the distortions of local agenda setters. We wish to thank LEESP, CNRS, and NSF for financial support. The paper has benefitted from helpful comments by Andy Postlewaite, Howard Rosenthal, Norman Schofield, and an anonymous referee.     

Organizational remembering as a trigger for cultural change: Exploring the episodic memories of a financial scandal

Organizational memory research has developed from the 'storage bin' model of memory towards emphasizing collective remembering. We advance this view by proposing organizational remembering not just as the process of evoking past events to reproduce traditions but also as a projection into the future using imagination. Empirically this is illustrated through the qualitative analysis of 27 episodic interviews with employees of a global financial institution, documents and the media coverage of the organization’s involvement in two well-publicized financial scandals. We explore the impact of the episodic memories of those events on employees' readiness for the cultural change programme launched by management after the scandals. The analysis shows how the negative media coverage of the organization generated a powerful dis-confirmation of its working practices among employees and how this was amplified by the strong emotional reactions remembering those events provoked. Management used both to re-frame the past in a narrative used to increase receptiveness to change. Yet the past was brought differently into the present by different organizational groups depending on the future each group imagined, counteracting the impact of the generic management narrative. The findings illustrate the collective, emotional and imaginative qualities of organizational remembering and provide new insights into the process of cultural change through the lens of memory showing how while memories may be shaped by management to respond to crisis, they can also become part of prospective and transformative change processes.     

Portfolio diversification and systemic risk in interbank networks

This paper contributes to a growing literature on the ambiguous effects of risk diversification. In our model, banks hold claims on each other’s liabilities that are marked-to-market on the individual financial leverage of the obligor. The probability of systemic default is determined using a passage-problem approach in a network context and banks are able to internalize the network externalities of contagion through their holdings. Banks do not internalize the social costs to the real economy of a systemic default of the banking system. We investigate the optimal diversification strategy of banks in the face of opposite and persistent economic trends that are ex-ante unknown to banks. We find that the optimal level of risk diversification may be interior or extremal depending on banks exposure the external assets and that a tension arises whereby individual incentives favor a banking system that is over-diversified with respect to the level of diversification that is desirable in the social optimum.