企业并购财务风险控制研究

财务风险是并购过程中的主要风险,对并购财务风险控制进行研究,具有积极的理论意义和现实意义。本文首先对企业并购财务风险控制的相关概念进行了梳理,指出财务风险控制必须贯穿于并购决策期、并购交易期、并购整合期三个阶段;继而阐述了我国企业并购财务风险控制现状及风险控制各阶段中存在的问题,包括决策期目标企业价值评估问题、交易期的融资支付问题、财务整合期的整合问题等;最后,提出了针对于我国国情的企业并购财务风险控制对策,包括并购决策期进一步完善财务报告体系、并购交易期避免现金支付带来流动性风险、并购整合期财务目标导向整合等。     

企业并购风险分析与风险管理

企业并购作为企业快速有效的扩张手段，推动体制变革、产业升级和资本结构的优化配置是必要和有效的，但对并购过程的政策、财务、整合、法律等风险必须充分认识，并在并购过程的各个阶段，建立风险预警、风险监测、风险评价、风险控制、风险预防等并购风险防范和控制意识，以确保企业并购的规范、稳健发展。     

煤矿企业并购中的风险及控制

并购是企业实现规模扩张的重要手段。近年来,许多大型煤矿企业为了实现综合发展,对煤炭、电力、煤层气和化肥生产等企业进行了资源整合和并购重组。然而,并购是有风险的,从项目的选择、价值的评估到价款的支付、并购后的整合,风险贯穿了并购的全过程。如何在并购决策中控制、降低风险,防患于未然,变得尤为关键。一、煤矿企业在并购中存在决策风险(一)并购支付能力评估风险并购支付能力风险是指并购方按时、足额支付并购资金能力的不确定性。并购决策中,并购支付能力评估风险体现在由于高估资金实力和再融资能力,导致草率的决策,最后造成并购行为搁浅、无效或增大并购方经营风险和财务风险的情况。目前,许多煤矿企业为实现并购大规模举债,使得资产负债率居高不下,对资本结构和资产规模产生重大影响,甚至制     

浅谈企业并购财务风险的识别及控制对策

一、企业并购财务风险的涵义 企业并购指各种兼并、收购及接管等产权交易与重组行为的总称。企业并购属于价值判断过程，一旦失策，其最大的风险是财务风险，特别是由于筹资决策行为而引发的偿债风险。从狭义上理解，并购的财务风险仅指负债融资的并购行为而引发的企业出现财务危机或破产的可能性；     

企业并购的财务风险探析

随着我国市场经济的发展,企业并购是我国目前经济发展中比较普遍的现象,企业之间的竞争越来越激烈,为了在市场中迅速找到自己的一席之地,很多企业都偏爱选择并购方式,但是在并购的过程中也存在很多问题亟待解决,尤其是并购过程中的财务风险问题。本文对企业并购财务风险的内容;企业并购的财务风险的影响因素及后果等进行了分析,并提出了企业并购财务风险的应对措施。     

企业并购财务风险的防范与控制

近年来,企业并购行为在中国愈演愈烈,成功的企业并购,既可以扩大经济规模、优化资源配置、提高市场占有率以及向新经济领域渗透,又有利于促进经济增长方式的改变;然而企业并购是一项风险比较高的经营活动,在整个并购过程中风险始终存在,其中财务风险是企业并购成功与否的重要影响因素之一.文章从并购的现状出发,从定价风险、融资风险、支付风险等几个方面对我国企业并购的财务风险进行分析,并提出了采用合适的价值评估方法、扩大融资渠道、选用灵活支付方式等几种防范措施,使企业在并购中注意财务风险,合理规避和防范财务风险.     

企业并购后整合的风险与意义研究

本文主要阐述了并购后整合的风险和意义,企业并购过程中,整合风险是收购所面临的最主要的风险。整合风险一般包括经营上的风险、资本市场的风险和文化冲突等。并购协议签署后,一定要根据事先的规划安排,有计划有步骤地对并购后的企业进行整合。     

企业并购财务风险及防范

企业并购的过程中,需要考虑到经济规模、资源配置以及组合协同等问题,企业并购是各国企业大势所趋,其中的财务风险是因为定价、融资以及测量方式等种种原因导致的.本文主要介绍了企业并购财务风险的概况,并从三个方面进一步介绍了企业并购的过程中容易出现的财务风险成因,在文章的最后,笔者介绍了企业并购财务风险的防范措施.     

企业并购财务风险的分析与防范

经济全球化下,并购行为在中国愈演愈烈。成功的企业并购可以给企业带来资源有效配置、规模经济、协同效应、实现价值最大化等效应。但风险与收益同在,企业并购同时也是一项高风险的经营活动,风险贯穿于整个并购过程中,其中并购财务风险是影响并购行为成功与否的关键因素。本文针对并购的财务风险及其诱因进行有力分析,并在此基础上提供应对策略,以提高成功并购的概率。     

对企业并购风险的几点思考

通过并购,企业可以得到快速的发展,迅速壮大自己,获得更大的市场份额,从而取得较大的经济利益。但是企业在并购过程中存在很大的风险,这大大降低了企业的并购成功率。本文对企业并购风险的进行识别分析,并分析了企业并购风险的影响因素,在此基础上提出了针对性的规避并购风险措施。     

Almanac of anticipations: The age of affluence—of anticipation—of anxiety—of automation—of discontinuity—of longing—of overkill—of space exploration

With this survey of developments in the futures field since 1945, I.F. Clarke completes his present series for Futures. He makes two major points: that forecasting techniques have become essential tools in the management of change; and that nuclear weapons and ecological problems have added a moral dimension to the study of the future. In the next issue of Futures he will start a new series on the range of future-thinking in the USA, from the expectations of the first settlers to the Star Wars programme.     

基金公司经营融资融券业务的问题审视

融资融券业务正式运营已经开展,为证券市场带来了革命性的改革,作为证券市场的一大主体,基金公司面对融资融券也迎来了新的发展方向和挑战,本文从融资融券业务的运行机制入手,分析了基金公司融资融券的新契机,并对其即将面临的问题进行审视和剖析,进而提出策略建议.     

对基层人民银行科技工作的几点建议

银监会分设后,人民银行将专司货币政策、金融稳定、金融服务三大职能。作为人民银行的分支机构,基层人民银行的工作重心也将从金融监管调整到这三大职能上来。人民银行的科技部门,就要积极运用科技手段,为人民银行履行新的职能发挥“服务、支持、促进、发展”的作用。一、围绕三大职能搭建五大平台经过“六五打基础、七五作准备、八五大发展”几个阶段后,人民银行相继实现了核算电算化、清算网络化和办公信息化。特别是近一两年来,陆续开通了大额支付系统、信贷登记咨询系统、会计四集中系统、金融信息服务网站等系统,人民银行信息化水平又…     

The Usefulness of Measures of Consistency of Discretionary Components of Accruals in the Detection of Earnings Management

Abstract:  Prior research has shown the prevalence of measurement error in models used to estimate aggregate discretionary accruals. In these models, the incremental information content of the various components of accruals is ignored. Limited prior research and data gathered from firms under Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) litigation indicate that managers use either one or more than one component of accruals simultaneously, in a consistent way to manipulate bottom-line earnings in a given direction. I propose two measures that capture the consistency between the discretionary components of accruals and test their significance in earnings management (EM) detection in firms that have artificially added accrual manipulation and firms that were targeted by the SEC for accrual manipulation. There is evidence that this information is incrementally useful in detecting EM. This finding paves the way for improvements in the discretionary accruals measure by including consistency information from the components of aggregate accruals.     

社会主义所有制形式的改革、完善与共产党执政能力的提高

在中国,所有制形式的调整、改革与完善,先进生产力的发展,党的执政能力建设,是社会主义建设过程中密切结合在一起的三个不同层面的发展关系.应在相互促进和共同提高中促进社会的和谐发展,保证社会主义现代化建设战略目标的顺利实现.     

Summary of Results of Survey of Seminar Attendees

Abstract

The Society of Actuaries undertook a three-phase research project on mortality improvement in the three NAFTA countries: Canada, Mexico, and the U.S. Phase 1 consisted of a literature review of papers on projecting mortality levels in the future and a study of the trend in mortality improvement during this century. Phase 2 consisted of a discussion of different facets of modeling mortality rates at a seminar attended by 79 experts (actuaries, demographers, economists, and medical researchers) representing different countries. The last session of the seminar consisted of the completion of a survey by the attendees to obtain input for Phase 3, which would analyze the impact of mortality improvement on the social security system of each country. This paper summarizes the results of the survey.

The survey results illustrate the difficulty in forecasting mortality levels, because the effects of many factors that could have significant impact on mortality rates are unknown. This suggests the need for dynamic forecasting, which allows for the possibility of random shocks. A majority of the survey respondents believe that stochastic forecasting models, despite their complexity, have significant potential to add value. Respondents also believe that both historical data and cause-specific mortality forecasts are useful as input and also in validating forecasts of the aggregate levels of mortality. The challenge is to develop more sophisticated forecasting models to produce results that are relatively easy to interpret and to communicate these results to the desired audiences, including the public and policymakers.

The survey results suggest that the aggregate effect of lifestyle changes, medical advances, diseases, catastrophe, and physical environmental changes is an increase in life span. However, there is much uncertainty about the future. Respondents expect that beyond the year 2020 the mean annual rate of reduction in mortality for males age 65 and over will average about 0.58% for Canada, 0.76% for Mexico, and 0.67% for the U.S. The results for the female age 65 and over population are 0.64%, 0.83%, and 0.70%, respectively. The age 65 and over population is expected to see larger percentage reductions in mortality than the 0–14 and 15–64 populations. The reductions in male and female mortality will be ultimately the same, and the mortality levels in the three countries will ultimately converge, although differences may persist for decades.     

Separation of Unit of Account from Medium of Exchange

The separation of a unit of account (UoA) from a medium of exchange (MoE) in the commodity–money system is investigated by considering explicitly a seller's choice of UoA in terms of either an MoE or a unit of metal weight. If the likelihood of debasement of an MoE and its rate are high enough, the price is posted in terms of a unit of metal weight rather than an MoE. Interestingly, this MoE–UoA separated equilibrium yields the flexible nominal price, whereas an MoE–UoA integrated equilibrium yields the sticky one. This implies the nominal price rigidity in the fiat‐money system where MoE and UoA are integrated.     

银行软件项目外包管理分析

一、引言随着国民经济的不断发展,银行业务与外部企业的联系越来越密切。银行正逐步成为现代经济活动的中心,作为数据处理核心的银行业务应用也越来越大型化、越来越复杂化,因此许多银行也把软件项目逐步由原来的自主开发转变为与公司合作的方式,或直接外包开发的方式,银行本身的技术人员也逐步由开发转向项目管理。二、项目外包的分类银行项目的外包有以下几种情况:①部分子系统外包,有时由于银行的软件项目太大,单靠银行自身的开发力量基本无法在预定的时间内完成项目,只好把相对独立的部分外包;②直接购买软件公司的成熟产品,有些金融软…     

银行管理信息平台建设发展的思考

一、目前国内银行IT发展现状及面临的问题 银行数据集中工作的完成,标志着银行的业务由电子化建设阶段转入信息化建设阶段.一方面银行数据的集中提供了丰富全面的基础数据,面对日益庞大的数据源,如何将数字转化为对银行有用的信息,并从中发现知识,为银行的经营决策提供支持,是摆在银行IT人员面前的一个亟待解决的问题.另一方面用户对银行信息的需求日益增长,如果银行没有一套完整、实用的信息管理系统,将对业务发展非常不利.南京爱立信公司倒戈花旗银行事件曾经轰动一时,其中一个重要原因就是中国本地银行不能满足爱立信全球总部对南京爱立信公司的要求:每周财务上报和每天贷款限额管理.这一事件为中国商业银行的未来发展敲响了警钟,如果不加快管理信息系统的开发,迅速提升业务管理水平,类似的事件还会接连不断地发生,并最终导致国内商业银行在同国外商业银行的竞争中全面溃败.     

Properties of time-series estimates of degree of leverage measures

Empirical studies suggest that time-series regression estimates of the degrees of operating and financial leverage have a tendency to produce measures less than one. According to ex ante theory, these measures should be greater than one for firms operating above the breakeven point. There have also been suggestions that the biases in these estimates may be attributable to an underlying increase in unit sales. This work presents evidence that these counter-intuitive measures are produced by changes in the firm's operating parameters (unit price, variable cost, fixed cost and interest payments). It further suggests that attempts to control for the underlying change in unit sales substantially increase the volatility of predicted estimates.