国外产业平衡增长和不平衡增长理论综述

经济增长理论从增长方式看包括平衡增长理论和不平衡增长理论，从研究对象上看可分为产业增长（发展）理论和区域增长（发展）理论。本文仅对产业的平衡增长和不平衡增长理论综述如下。     

“引进式技术进步方式”下的中国 经济增长与不平衡结构特征

中国经济保持高速增长的同时也伴随着诸多的结构问题。本文以引进式技术进步方式为基本假设条件，对高速增长和结构不平衡等问题进行了系统论述。中国经济不平衡增长方式是在国际产业转移和国内技术引进背景下形成的，并且要保持高速经济增长就必须采取不平衡增长方式。在引进式技术进步方式下，高端部门对低端部门具有生产力和收入传递效应。在理论研究基础上，本文对高低端两部门的不平衡结构演变及结构演变与经济增长的关系还进行了实证研究。研究结果表明：随着中国经济发展和国际环境的变化，原有经济增长方式难以维系，结构调整和发展方式转变才能使得中国经济向更为可持续的方向发展，而结构转变的核心在于技术进步方式的转变，只有自主创新替代技术引进才能从根本上解决中国经济结构问题。     

浙江产业发展不平衡与经济增长关联性的实证分析

一、引言 在经济发展问题上一直有平衡与不平衡增长之争.平衡增长理论是以哈罗德-多马新古典经济增长模型为理论基础,强调产业和地区间的关联互补性,主张在各产业、各地区之间均衡部署生产力,实现产业和经济协调发展.     

新经济增长理论与中国农产品加工业的发展

法国经济学家佩鲁20世纪50年代提出的以“发展极”为标志，以“不平等动力学”为基础的不平衡增长理论，曾经为世界经济的发展做出了重要贡献，我们也曾经用经济不平衡增长理论，对农产品加工业优先发展以带动农村经济全面发展进行过分析。20世纪90年代初，“发展极”理论被经济学家重新认识形成了新的理论，对世界经济的繁荣与增长又一次起到了积极的促进作用，     

金融产业集聚与区域经济增长关系研究

金融行业对经济的影响一向是非常直接的,我国金融发展特点就是分布不平衡,产生产业集聚现象.而金融集聚与区域经济的增长有着紧密的联系.本文从金融产业集聚的理论入手,首先对产生这些现象的动因进行了总结,然后分布介绍了金融集聚对经济增长的影响机理与途径,最后结合北京金融集聚的实例进行研究.本文对此进行研究就是为了让金融集聚与区域经济增长的关系更加清晰,为我国金融事业的发展与经济建设起到一定的推动作用,同时也是对相关理论起到补充作用.     

经济增长收敛与赶超

本文通过对经济增长理论发展进行梳理，分析国家在工业化过程中实现经济增长收敛，达到经济增长稳态均衡的过程。本文认为国家发生经济增长赶超，实现收敛的原因可能有部门间技术差异的不平衡因素，资本深化，以及技术进步。     

云南省产业发展状况分析

本文在产业经济学的理论基础上，对当前云南省产业发展过程中存在的问题提出一个理论分析框架，然后证明在这个框架下，云南省的产业发展必须既要做到采取强势的不均衡增长，因为要使各个产业都一起均衡发展是不现实的，必须优先发展资源效率高的产业；又要做到不均衡中求均衡，进行产业补短，发展一些落后产业，使它们避免成为未来的瓶颈产业。同时本文也对云南省现存的地理性二元经济的现状提出了自己的看法，并借鉴佩鲁的“增长极理论”和威庶森的“倒U型理论”来证明采用非均衡的区域发展模式有助于改变这种局面。     

区域物流发展与区域经济增长关系的实证分析——以贵州为例

为了研究区域物流与区域经济增长之间的关系，文章通过对贵州在1978—2007年期间经济增长和物流业的时间序列进行协整分析与因果关系检验，建立了二者之间的误差修正模型，并进行脉冲响应函数和方差分解。研究结果表明：贵州经济增长与物流产业发展之间具有长期稳定的协整关系，贵州物流业是经济增长的granger原因，经济增长不是物流业发展的granger原因；从脉冲响应函数可以看出物流发展的一个正向冲击使GDP增长逐渐上升，GDP正向冲击对物流的影响为负；方差分解表可以看出物流产业对GDP的影响和贡献较大，GDP对物流产业的影响不显著。     

基于产业生态理论的河北沿海产业集群的绩效评价分析和指标体系设计

注重产业集群的发展模式,打造绿色健康的河北沿海经济隆起带,是实现河北省经济腾飞发展的重要路径,也对从根本上转变河北省经济增长方式和发展模式具有深远的战略意义。本文从产业集群下沿海产业集群的发展状况入手,在研究生态产业理论对产业集群的增长效应实现的条件的基础上,对基于产业生态理论下的河北省沿海产业集群的发展绩效评价指标体系进行了研究并提出了指标体系的设计内容和基本要求     

中国和印度不平衡发展的比较研究

本文考察了中国和印度近年来经济增长不平衡的情况,并分析了不平衡增长对不均等和贫困的影响。通过对家庭调查数据和官方加总数据的分析,本文发现增长存在不平衡——区域间、产业间和家庭层面上,这表明减贫工作进展不平衡,若增长更平衡,减贫效果可能更好;另外,收入不均等程度也在提高。本文探讨了增长不平衡及其应引起重视的原因。具体讨论围绕"有利的"和"不利的"不均等两个概念展开——不均等与不平衡增长对公平性以及长期增长与发展的有利或不利影响。我们认为,需要制定相关政策,保持有利的不均等——继续鼓励创新和投资,同时降低不利的不均等的程度,尤其是通过人力资本和农村基础设施投资,帮助贫困人口参与市场。     

John Stuart Mill's Theory Of Justice

John Stuart Mill has traditionally been portrayed as self-contradictory and failing to construct a unified social theory. Recent scholarship, however, has challenged this view, finding Mill's work to be creatively synthetic in bridging the antinomies inherent in liberal democratic thought. This revisionist interpretation of Mill is advanced by an understanding of his theory of justice and its role in shaping his policy positions on issues such as welfare, education, voting rights, property rights, taxation, government intervention, and the future of capitalism.     

A Rich Vein for “Reality Mining”北大核心CSSCISSCI

Arik Hesseldahl In the aftermath of the September 11 attacks, U.S. officials quickly turned their attention to other potential targets, including California's Golden Gate Bridge. What would happen if terrorists took down the bridge between San Francisco and Marin County? How much of the region would be affected and for how long?     

John Stuart Mill's Theories of Wealth and Income Distribution

Although he was much influenced by David Ricardo when he wrote the classical part of his Principles , John Stuart Mill was not a Ricardian when he penned his theories of wealth and distribution. They are based on a triple foundation. First, a belief that economics is a moral discipline. Second a theory of custom-driven human behavior. Third, an empirically formed conviction that the institutions of state, education and business cooperate to structure the distribution of income. On the basis of these presuppositions, Mill formulated 1) an institutional theory of the formation of human and non-human wealth and 2) an even more institutional theory of distribution demonstrating how the aforementioned institutions malignantly skew the distribution of income to the advantage of the propertied classes and to the extreme disadvantage of the working class. As a social economist, Mill recommended institutional reforms designed to eradicate the poverty of the working class.     

中国养活自己能力的长期预测:技术和政策分析

中国拥有世界五分之一强的人口 ,收入又在迅速增长。因此 ,国际上很自然地会考虑或推测她在今后的几十年是否有能力养活自己。中国的人口预计将从 2 0 0 0年的 1 2 8亿增长到 2 0 2 0年的 1 4 6亿 ,和 2 0 3 0年的 1 4 9亿。与此同时 ,人均收入的增长将导致对家畜和鱼类产品更大的需求 ,因而对饲料的需求也将有很大的增长     

Toward a Phylogenetic Reconstruction of Organizational Life

Synopsis Classification is an important activity that facilitates theory development in many academic disciplines. Scholars in fields such as organizational science, management science and economics and have long recognized that classification offers an approach for ordering and understanding the diversity of organizational taxa (groups of one or more similar organizational entities). However, even the most prominent organizational classifications have limited utility, as they tend to be shaped by a specific research bias, inadequate units of analysis and a standard neoclassical economic view that does not naturally accommodate the disequilibrium dynamics of modern competition. The result is a relatively large number of individual and unconnected organizational classifications, which tend to ignore the processes of change responsible for organizational diversity. Collectively they fail to provide any sort of universal system for ordering, compiling and presenting knowledge on organizational diversity. This paper has two purposes. First, it reviews the general status of the major theoretical approaches to biological and organizational classification and compares the methods and resulting classifications derived from each approach. Definitions of key terms and a discussion on the three principal schools of biological classification (evolutionary systematics, phenetics and cladistics) are included in this review. Second, this paper aims to encourage critical thinking and debate about the use of the cladistic classification approach for inferring and representing the historical relationships underpinning organizational diversity. This involves examining the feasibility of applying the logic of common ancestry to populations of organizations. Consequently, this paper is exploratory and preparatory in style, with illustrations and assertions concerning the study and classification of organizational diversity.     

Information infrastructure: Who builds broadband networks?

This paper examines the essential difference between the U.S. and Japan, when one considers information infrastructure. There are seven perception gaps between the U.S. and Japan concerning Information Infrastructure policies. These gaps must be understood in order to compare the countries' governmental policies in this area. In looking at the present circumstances, the essential question to answer concerns who is to build, own and operate the network(s) of the infrastructure. Liberalization is certain to be a central factor in the ongoing telecommunications debates. Now that customers have had a taste of the liberalized market-place, the movement toward more open markets will be difficult to stop. When considering options, it is necessary to pay close attention to standardized network access and the increasingly important role software plays. These issues are causing us to take a new approach to the traditional role played by regulators. They also force a closer look at the appropriate structure of utility companies. This paper addresses the above issues in hopes of stimulating dialog on the new telecommunications infrastructure paradigm.     

Nonlinearity in Stock Exchange Markets: The Case of Bist 100 Indices

In this paper,using data for the Bist 100 index,we investigate the presence of nonlinearities by employing several nonlinearity tests.The Brock,Dechert,and Sche...     

Solidified Branding Function: How the Urban Brand Affects a Small Town’s Development? Case Study of Wangqingtuo,Tianjin, China

Chinese small towns are usually developed with single core industry,and the urban brand is the identity of a town that formed with the development of its indust...     

海岛地区产业演替及资源基础分析--以舟山群岛为例

改革开放以来,舟山市产业构成发生了显著变化,其经济发展过程可以划分为三个阶段。1992年前,是以产业结构渔业占绝对地位的单一结构阶段;1993—1998年,以旅游业为主的第三产业快速发展阶段;上世纪末以来,又进入了新一轮的经济发展时期,即工业产值比重快速增加阶段。根据海岛的自然资源基础和特点,在新世纪的经济发展过程中,舟山市应定位为生态型的港口旅游城市。以港口及临港工业为主导,以海岛旅游和海洋经济为特色,大力发展第二产业和第三产业。海岛地区的主导产业应体现海岛资源优势及区位优势,以集群性环保型产业为主。同时由于海岛地区淡水资源缺乏,主导产业也应着重选择低耗水型产业。