拉美经济驶入新“黄金十年”

在美国经济减速的形势下，拉美国家与欧洲经贸关系迅速发展，与此同时，拉美地区经济一体化趋势进一步发展。     

2013年一季度工业经济形势与预测

2013年一季度,全球经济回暖,整个工业形势呈扩张态势,在发达国家持续的政策推动下,全球制造业扩张动能增强。在此背景下,全球贸易中制造业贸易增速放缓趋势比较明显,尤其是对新兴国家的冲击较大。     

高校贫困生就业心理现状及思考

在大学生就业形势日趋严峻的趋势下,高校贫困生因就业引发的心理问题值得关注。本文尝试在问卷调查分析的基础上了解高校贫困大学生就业心理的现状,提出笔者对这些问题的思考。     

试析我国中小企业国际化发展面临的挑战与机遇

在经济全球化的背景下,在各国经济更加开放的形势下,中小企业国际化发展已经成为世界经济发展的重要趋势。走国际化经营道路并适时开展对外投资也已成为我国中小企业生存的必由之路。本文对我国中小企业国际化发展的宏观经济形势、技术经济背景、国内基础状况进行了一般分析,并对我国中小企业的国际化发展面临的挑战与机遇及其对策进行了探讨。     

北部湾经济区契机下的南宁房地产价格发展趋势

在广西北部湾经济区成为国家战略的形势下,南宁房地产的价格受到较大影响,呈现稳步增长的趋势。文章分析了在北部湾经济区建立的发展契机下,南宁房地产价格上涨的原因,认为南宁房地产目前的价位还有较大的增长空间,属于健康发展阶段。     

通胀预期有远忧

【法国《欧洲时报》7月27日】在中国经济形势呈现复苏势头的当下，通货膨胀再次成为媒体和民众热议的话题。中国国家统计局总经济师姚景源26日接受媒体采访时表示，中国经济下行趋势已经得到遏制，总体形势企稳向好。在产能过剩的背景下，通货膨胀短期内不会出现。     

CEPA的法律问题研究

在经济全球化形势的影响下,区域经济一体化的趋势也在加强,在这一趋势下,各国及各地区都在加快调整经济发展战略,通过开展多边和双边等不同形式的经济合作来增强本国及本地区的经济竞争能力,以抵御或减少经济全球化带来的影响及冲击。2003年6月30日,《内地与香港关于建立更紧密     

2013年一季度工业经济形势与预测

2013年一季度，全球经济回暖，整个工业形势呈扩张态势，在发达国家持续的政策推动下，全球制造业扩张动能增强。在此背景下，全球贸易中制造业贸易增速放缓趋势比较明显，尤其是对新兴国家的冲击较大。     

我国保险公司治理结构发展趋势简析

在当前形势下,结合国际七保险公司治理结构变化的趋势,探讨我国保险公司治理结构的未来发展趋势,对做大做强中国保险业和保险公司都具有非常重大的意义。     

加快转型升级 推进开放发展——对提升发展绍兴“三外”经济的若干思考

在严峻的国际国内经济形势下，绍兴需要积极把握趋势，顺势而动，积极有为，创新发展开放型经济，努力往困难中抓住机遇，先人一步     

外贸政策对FDI技术溢出效应的影响机制

FDI技术溢出效应实证研究呈现不同结果,有正面溢出效应,有负面溢出效应,还有的不存在显著溢出效应,学者们针对这些不同结果给出了不同解释。本文主要研究了外贸政策对FDI技术溢出效应的影响机制,首先总结了FDI技术溢出渠道及影响FDI技术溢出效应的因素,接下来界定外贸政策范围,最后研究了外贸政策对FDI技术溢出效应的影响机制:外贸政策的不同会导致外商不同的投资动机,进而影响FDI的流向,使跨国公司在东道国市场结构中处于不同地位,从而对FDI技术溢出渠道产生影响,最终影响到FDI技术溢出效应。     

市场是否可以换来技术进步？——来自广东省工业部门面板数据的实证分析

本文首先构建了一个考虑FDI的中间产品质量提高型内生经济增长模型，然后运用Panel Data计量方法对广东1997～2002年39个工业行业的数据对理论模型进行了实证检验，检验结果表明：FDI对广东省内资工业部门有正向的技术外溢效应，但效应有限；而负向的竞争效应和人力资本流动效应却大大超过了正向的技术外溢效应。另外对不同所有制结构的企业研究还表明，改制后的国有企业是外资外溢效应的最大受益者。最后是相应的政策建议。     

The impact of education on health in China

In this paper, we investigate the causal effect of education on health using an instrumental variable approach. The instruments we employ consist of two institutional changes in China that generated discontinuities in educational attainment among individuals. To ensure the validity of the instruments and obtain prudent conclusions, we adopt more restrictive identification tests than previous studies. The results indicate no causal impact of education on either perceived health or anthropometric health. With regard to the impact of education on male health behavior, namely smoking, we cannot provide conclusive results due to a violation of the exogeneity of our instruments. Nevertheless, we can confirm that education has no causal effect on female health behavior. To overcome the widely documented shortage of quasi-experimental identification, we also employ spouse's education as an alternative instrument to examine the causal effect of education. Identical results are obtained, with the exception that the impact of education on the reduction of overweight among women becomes significant. We conclude that this provides some evidence of a causal impact of education on health.     

人力资本投资与收入不平等——教育质量不平等的影响

本文在人力资本理论和社会分层理论的基础上,建立个体从最大化个人效用出发,考虑地域间房屋租金和子女教育质量的差异,选择居住地的OGM模型。首先分析社会分层持续的条件和原因,进而分析教育质量的不平等对收入不平等的影响,最后,对中国教育质量的不平等进行统计性描述,并估计了区域性教育质量不平等对收入不平等的影响,发现教育质量差异对收入差异影响显著,而教育年限差异的影响对非东部地区的收入差异是不显著的,而对东部地区是显著的．     

中国权证市场涨跌幅限制效应的实证研究

涨跌幅限制制度作为金融体系中稳定价格,防范价格过度波动的措施之一,被许多国家所采用。一直以来,理论界和实务界对涨跌停机制的实施效应存在争议,焦点集中在制度实施过程中可能存在的流动性干扰效应、波动性溢出效应、价格滞后发现效应和磁吸效应等。自2005年中国权证市场采用涨跌幅限制以来已近五年,其实施效果和对权证市场的发展产生的影响值得我们进行研究和探讨。本文选取截至目前我国已经和正在上市交易的55只权证日交易数据进行分析,检验涨跌幅限制对权证非理性波动的影响,以及流动性干扰效应、波动溢出效应和价格发现延迟效应是否存在,来考察我国权证市场中涨跌幅限制制度的实施效果和效应。     

Fighting the forces of gravity - Seapower and maritime trade between the 18th and 20th centuries

How have large naval powers affected international commerce in history? Using a panel gravity model, we investigate the interactions of wars, alliances, naval power and trade from the 18th to mid-20th centuries. Striking an alliance with a naval power helps a country’s interstate commerce. Fighting a naval power on the other hand limits a country’s interstate commerce. Further, we split this effect on trade between an extensive effect (effect on a country’s trade when fighting a naval power) and an intensive effect (effect of that power gaining more naval strength). We conclude that the intensive effect is a powerful one - large navies have historically been destroyers of trade when mobilized to combat.     

Effects of quantity of education on health: A regression discontinuity design approach based on the Chinese Cultural Revolution

In this paper, we exploit the negative educational shock caused by the Chinese Cultural Revolution to apply a regression discontinuity method in identifying the causal effects of education on health. While we find that better education reduces the probability of having poor self-assessed health and disabilities, we do not find statistically significant effects of education on the probability of having poor physical functioning status or uncomfortable body pains in the previous four weeks. Moreover, we find an interesting result that better education increases the probability of having chronic diseases. While most existing studies only identify the effect of education at a particular level, one contribution of our paper is that it provides estimates much closer to the population average effect. Moreover, our results imply that the underlying mechanism behind the effect of education on health might be different in developing countries from that in developed countries.     

FDI,labor market flexibility and employment in China

This paper discusses the influence and underlying mechanisms of foreign direct investment (FDI) and the labor market on Chinese employment. We analyze data from 30 Chinese provinces and municipalities over the period 2000–2015, in the first instance to examine employment effects of both FDI and labor market flexibility through the moderating effect; here we verify the moderating effect with respect to labor market flexibility. Second, using subsamples, we explore the effects of regional and skill differences on the employment. Finally, to test the three mechanisms, we employ a mixed model of moderating and mediating effects. Contrary to previous studies, we observe a positive employment effect of FDI, with labor market flexibility playing a significant positive moderating role, a 1% increase in FDI is associated with an expected employment increase of 0.216. Additionally, wages, human capital, and R&D investment play positive mediating roles when labor market flexibility moderates the employment effect of FDI.     

产业集群对技术创新的外部经济效应分析

本文从产业集群的创新载体效应、创新激励效应两方面分析了产业集群对技术创新的外部经济效应。产业集群创新载体效应主要从政府扶植效应和创新平台效应两方面进行阐述;产业集群创新激励效应主要从成本效应、风险规避效应、"企业衍生"效应三方面进行阐述。     

Efficiency Wages,Interfirm Comparison,and Unemployment

The paper presents an efficiency wage model where worker effort depends on own wages relative both to wages of other workers in the firm and to similar workers in other firms. First, we show how the Solow conditions are modified if internal comparison effects are at work. Second, we discuss the effect of internal wage comparison on wage inequality within firms. Third, we study unemployment and relative wage determination within a general equilibrium model, and analyze the effect of technological change and various tax policies on equilibrium unemployment and relative wages. Finally, the short-run effects of aggregate demand shocks are analyzed.