技术进步的恐慌与诱惑

从上个世纪的80年代开始，我们感受到了前所未有的社会变化，人们的生活发生了巨变，以“芯片”作为主要电子元件的设备充斥着人类的生活。我们传输信息的速度加快了，我们收集、整理信息的速度也加快了，我们的管理水平提高了，我们工作的速度也提高了，我们对世界改变的速度也加快了。人们感受到了由于技术进步带来的好处，工资的待遇提高了，汽车、洋房增多了，人们所需的日常物品丰富了，人们休闲娱乐的方式增多了。人们的寿命增长了。     

企业家们的新年祝福

商场在疯狂甩卖,其降幅和冷清堪比非典时期;出租车的空位多了,地铁公交却更拥挤了;公司的年终奖打折了,企业都在喊亏损;华尔街爆发危机了,全球的股市都在跌;公司晚会不办了,出国旅游取消了,皮草名车也不买了……经济危机真的来了。企业家们受影响了么?显然不会例外。央行行长的头发都白了,而更多企业家的头发都掉光了;有的企业家绝处逢生,东山再起,而有的从云端落下,光环尽失;有的企业家卷款逃     

卡内基的墓志铭

今天的院务会上,讲了当前和今后一段的工作,讲了干部管理问题、讲了带队伍和落实责任的问题、也讲了思想政治工作和分配问题,表扬了好的现象、做法和苗头,也批评了一些不良现象。晚饭后我思索着一天的事情和自己讲过的话,突然想起了一个从书本上熟悉了的人,他就是卡内基。在19世纪后半叶的美国,随着现代工业的崛起,不但造就了大量的商品和财富,也造就了一批富可     

刘晓光：生命中无法忘却的天山

“刚当兵就想跑,到了兰州发了一件棉大衣,毛的,给了一缸子肉,我觉得可以了,吃饱了,也够本了,想回家了,就准备逃跑了,实际上还是怕吃苦呗。”     

丘吉尔庄园 做一名优雅快乐的“乡下人”

有人说,古罗马人学会了奢华,就有了名利的庄园：英国人看透了工业,就有了乡村的庄园;俄国人得到了农奴,就有了贵族的庄园;法国人创造了葡萄酒,就有了飘满酒吞的庄园。     

把引力接到新的空间

卡缪搬家了。马奎斯搬家了。卡尔维诺搬家了。莫内搬家了。林布阑搬家了。毕加索搬家了。瑞典KOSTA BODA彩色玻璃搬家了。英国WEDGWOOD骨瓷搬家了。法国HEDIARD咖啡搬家了。诚品敦南店搬家了。写下以上文字的许舜英搬家了。     

标准体系方法论中程序模块的理论和方法

本文对标准体系方法论中核心程序模块的理论和方法进行了深入的分析,研究建立了标准体系目标分析的纵横目标分析方法,建立了标准体系的三维目标空间,构建了结构化和概念化的标准对象系统,建立了目标关联的标准需求分析方法,定位了标准适用性分析的对象和判据项目,在标准体系结构设计方面引入了标准体系拓扑结构,丰富了标准体系结构设计的选择,给出了技术标准、管理标准、工作标准区分的要点,制定了标准体系表的编制方法,确定了标准体系研究报告和编制说明的编写方法等,明确了标准体系构建的成果形式。     

盛名之下的执着——广州地产二十年健康发展高峰论坛纪实——铸就辉煌 再创未来

广州地产二十年的发展，改变了广州的形象，创造了一个良好的投资环境，提高了广州市的城市品位，提升了老百姓的生活品质，使广大的老百姓从中得到了许许多多的实惠。”     

品德品质品牌——企业成功的三大法宝访石家庄安延汽车服务中心总经理:李毅

人物背景 1996年,技校出身的李毅创建了石家庄安延汽车服务中心,经过12年的发展,拥有了一流的配套设备和先进技术,树立了以人为本的管理理念,组建了专业的团队队伍,完善了企业文化.     

略论我国城镇住宅业发展模式的转变

近十多年来．我国城镇住宅业发展已经取得了举世瞩目的成就：一是许多居民不同程度改善了居住条件，二是拉动了经济增长．推动了几十个行业的发展，增加了财政收入，三是促进了劳动就业，四是改变了城市形象。在取得重大成就的同时．也产生了一系列问题：一是房价持续上涨，过分脱离了大多数居民收入水平，使许多住房困难家庭看不到改善住房的希望；     

Analysis of high dimensional multivariate stochastic volatility models

This paper is concerned with the Bayesian estimation and comparison of flexible, high dimensional multivariate time series models with time varying correlations. The model proposed and considered here combines features of the classical factor model with that of the heavy tailed univariate stochastic volatility model. A unified analysis of the model, and its special cases, is developed that encompasses estimation, filtering and model choice. The centerpieces of the estimation algorithm (which relies on MCMC methods) are: (1) a reduced blocking scheme for sampling the free elements of the loading matrix and the factors and (2) a special method for sampling the parameters of the univariate SV process. The resulting algorithm is scalable in terms of series and factors and simulation-efficient. Methods for estimating the log-likelihood function and the filtered values of the time-varying volatilities and correlations are also provided. The performance and effectiveness of the inferential methods are extensively tested using simulated data where models up to 50 dimensions and 688 parameters are fit and studied. The performance of our model, in relation to various multivariate GARCH models, is also evaluated using a real data set of weekly returns on a set of 10 international stock indices. We consider the performance along two dimensions: the ability to correctly estimate the conditional covariance matrix of future returns and the unconditional and conditional coverage of the 5% and 1% value-at-risk (VaR) measures of four pre-defined portfolios.     

The Geography of Innovation in China and India

The BRICS countries in general, and China and India in particular, are now widely regarded as the areas of the world likely to challenge the economic leadership of the United States (US) and the European Union (EU). A large part of this challenge will come from rapid technological catch‐up by China and India. Yet, despite a recent rise in interest, there is limited knowledge about how and where innovation takes place in these two leading emerging countries and to what extent the Chinese and Indian territorial systems of innovation differ from those in the EU or the US. In this article we explore the geography of innovation in China and India, concentrating on understanding key territorial‐level innovation trends by country, region and technology field, using the US and the EU as benchmarks. We find significant contrasts between the geography of innovation in China and India and that of the US and the EU. First, the degree of concentration of innovative activities in both countries is extremely high. Levels of agglomeration of innovation in the coastal provinces of China, as well as in Delhi and the South of India, significantly exceed the levels of agglomeration found in the USA and the EU. Secondly, China has witnessed a more rapid increase in the degree of concentration of innovation than India. We posit that the differences in the geography of innovation between, on the one hand, China and India and, on the other hand, between these countries and the developed world are rooted in different institutional settings, different systems of innovation and different national innovation strategies.     

RIP与OSPF协议在中小型网络中的性能研究

论文从网络的拓扑结构与网络设备的性能指标入手,从rip协议与OSPF协议在中小型网络中的运行机理与算法入手,通过分析协议在网络中的稳定性、传输性能等综合性能标,研究了rip协议与OSPF协议的具体算法,最后综合网络设备的性能指标与网络的拓扑结构得出两种协议的最佳匹配网络匹配环境。     

Towards a Theory of Serendipity: A Systematic Review and Conceptualization

Serendipity – the notion of making surprising and valuable discoveries – plays a major role in the success of individuals and organizations alike. Previous research has established the importance of serendipity and identified important individual- and organizational-level antecedents. However, the literature has been dispersed and the boundaries of the concept have been blurry, leading to a lack of conceptual clarity and structure, and thus limiting validity and managerial actionability. Based on a systematic literature review, I synthesize existing management-related research on serendipity and explicate the emergence and composition of serendipity in the organizational context. I first identify three necessary conditions that differentiate serendipity from related concepts such as luck or targeted innovation: agency, surprise, and value. Then, I draw from the literature on sensemaking, event-based theorizing, and quantum-based approaches to management to conceptualize the process of cultivating serendipity in the organizational context as a process of enabling potentiality and materialization, and develop a multi-level theory of (cultivating) serendipity. This conceptualization contributes to our collective understanding of how, why, and when (i.e., under what conditions) organizations can leverage the value in the unexpected, which opens up fruitful avenues for further research.     

马克思、恩格斯生态经济思想及其对生态环境法治观的启示

马克思、恩格斯具有丰富的生态经济思想,其中主要包括:自然资源是人类生存发展前提和财富源泉、尊重自然规律和合理调节"物质变换"以及"两个和解"的思想,等等。马克思、恩格斯生态经济思想,为人类走向生态文明奠定了深厚的思想渊源和理念基础,同时对确立科学的生态环境法治观具有重大启示。     

浅谈如何加强水电科技资料管理和保密工作

文章对水电科技资料管理和保密工作的重要性进行了论述,并从内部管理的实际情况出发,分析了如何加强科技管理及科技档案的保密工作,对建立内部管理制度、加强内部控制提出了对策。     

论宣传报道在交通运输改革和发展中的重要作用

加强交通运输宣传报道工作,是促进交通运输行业又好又快发展的有效手段和重要途径。文章结合广西交通运输新闻宣传工作实际,分析宣传报道对交通运输发展的影响,探讨宣传报道在交通运输改革和发展中的重要作用。     

WHAT'S TO KNOW ABOUT THE CREDIBILITY OF EMPIRICAL ECONOMICS?

The scientific credibility of economics is itself a scientific question that can be addressed with both theoretical speculations and empirical data. In this review, we examine the major parameters that are expected to affect the credibility of empirical economics: sample size, magnitude of pursued effects, number and pre‐selection of tested relationships, flexibility and lack of standardization in designs, definitions, outcomes and analyses, financial and other interests and prejudices, and the multiplicity and fragmentation of efforts. We summarize and discuss the empirical evidence on the lack of a robust reproducibility culture in economics and business research, the prevalence of potential publication and other selective reporting biases, and other failures and biases in the market of scientific information. Overall, the credibility of the economics literature is likely to be modest or even low.     

武汉光电子产业标准与专利现状及推进策略研究

在全球市场竞争中,技术标准已成为企业抢占国际分工的关键环节及重要手段。在信息产业领域,专利借助技术标准这一载体与平台,逐渐成为国际贸易的游戏规则及非关税壁垒,谁控制了专利,谁就可以控制国际市场和国际贸易,技术标准与专利的结合是发展的必然趋势。文章在调研的基础上,对武汉光电子产业的的标准与专利现状进行了分析,并结合实际问题,站在企业的视角,对企业最为关注的专利进入标准的问题,提出了在实际操作过程中应注意的一些问题及对策建议。     

现代教学评价发展的路径探析

现代工业发展使教学评价的价值追求与意义追问成为关注的焦点,多元文化使评价标准的合理性遭到质疑,理念与实践的空白地带使操作面临两难困境。科学的评价体系和教学管理机制需要教学管理者具备开放的思维和支持的态度,重视多元评价主体间的合作,探索科学的方法和技术。