Estimating the effects of higher coupon face values on the timing of redemptions,the mix of coupon redeemers,and purchase quantity

One of the key decisions a manager must make in designing a coupon promotion is to decide on the face value. In this study we examine the effects of higher face values on coupon redemption timing, category purchase timing, the mix of buyers who redeem the coupon, and purchase quantity. Data from a field experiment on coupon face values are used to test the hypotheses. A new method of measuring the effects of a coupon on category purchase timing is proposed. We find that coupons per se tend to advance category purchase timing, but higher face values do not increase the magnitude of this effect. Surprisingly, higher face values appear to increase redemption rates for both the prior nonbuyers and prior buyers of the brand in a similar way. However, higher face values have little effect on the package size purchased, the number of units purchased, or the total quantity (package size times units) purchased.     

Coupon face value: Its impact on coupon redemptions,brand sales,and brand profitability

Although much research has examined the impact of coupons on redemption rates, incremental sales, and market share, only a few studies have addressed the impact of coupons on brand profitability. One possible reason is lack of readily available profitability data. In the absence of such data, researchers have used managerial judgments (Neslin and Shoemaker, 1983) and experiments (Chapman, 1986) to investigate the profitability of coupons. We propose an integrative framework for evaluating the impact of coupon face value on brand profitability and implement it by using readily available scanner data. The research reveals that when a manufacturer optimizes the market-level profitability from a coupon program, profit for individual chains in the market could be suboptimal.     

Category-specific coupon proneness: The impact of individual characteristics and category-specific variables

In seeking to enhance the effectiveness of coupon promotions, researchers have long sought to identify “coupon prone” consumers. Previous measures of coupon proneness have not examined differences in coupon usage across product categories and have ignored the confounding effect of coupon attractiveness. An Item Response Theory (IRT)-based framework overcomes these limitations and yields category-specific estimates of propensity to redeem coupons that are independent of coupon attractiveness. The authors utilize an IRT-based model to estimate consumers’ category-specific propensities to redeem coupons for two product and two service categories, and investigate how coupon proneness varies across consumers and across categories as a function of individual characteristics and category-specific variables.The authors find that category-specific measures of propensity to redeem coupons achieve an average accuracy of 89 percent in predicting redemption intentions. Propensity to redeem coupons is also found to be related to category-specific brand loyalty and perceived coupon availability, as well as to individual characteristics such as general coupon proneness, value consciousness and price consciousness. These findings highlight the importance of studying coupon proneness at the category level and suggest that the IRT-based approach has considerable promise as a methodology for studying coupon usage. Using the approach proposed in this study, marketers can forecast the impact coupons are likely to have in their particular category, rather than relying on general coupon proneness measures to predict coupon redemption rates at the category level. The study's findings can also be used to identify categories and consumer segments where coupon promotions are likely to have a larger impact, and have important implications for managers planning joint couponing strategies.     

Influences on consumer response to direct mail coupons: An integrative review

A substantial and growing body of research on coupons and coupon effectiveness has emerged in the marketing literature. The objective of this paper is to review and consolidate the findings of previous studies to provide a better understanding of the factors that influence consumer response to direct mail coupons. The effects of coupon, brand, product category, and consumer characteristics on redemption behavior and incremental sales are examined, and their implications for the effectiveness of direct mail coupon promotions are discussed. Based on the findings of prior studies, a theoretical model of coupon effects on purchase behavior is proposed. Several key issues that need to be addressed in future research are identified. © 1996 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.     

The different faces of coupon elasticity

Coupons account for over two-thirds of all consumer promotional efforts initiated by the manufacturers of consumer goods. In this study, the impact of coupons on brand sales is investigated and how that impact decays over the life of the coupon is demonstrated. Specifically, we present an econometric model that can capture coupon effects in terms of equivalent price reduction, account for coupon effects over time, allow inference of coupon effects when retailers decide to double or triple the coupon value, and provide both self-coupon and cross-coupon elasticities at different levels of aggregation. A widely used sales response model is adapted, and an analytical model is proposed to estimate both the self-coupon and cross-coupon (face value) elasticities of sales at the store level. From the store-level elasticity estimates for a given week, the authors analytically derive the coupon elasticities for the chain level by aggregating across stores, and over the life of the coupon by aggregating over time. The proposed sales response model is estimated with the data obtained from three markets for various product categories, and the coupon elasticities are computed. The proposed framework allows one to demonstrate the hypothetical equivalence of a shelf-price reduction for a given coupon face value in each week. Also, the effect of doubling the face value of a coupon results in more than a proportionate increase in elasticity. The authors find that both self and cross-coupon elasticities are much smaller in magnitude than the average self and cross-price elasticity measures reported in the literature.     

Assessing the Influence of Coupon Collecting

This study fds a void in the literature in regards to couponing by investigating the influence of coupon collecting rather than what causes coupon redemption. The study more specifically ex- amines the relationship between coupon collecting and brand aware- ness. Several information processing models are used Lo help explain the potential influence of coupon collecting. The results show nearly Uuee-fourths of respondents mentioned the brand they collected a coupon for as their togof-mind brand for vari- ous product categories. These fmdings suggest that a couponing strate- gy may be used to boost a brand's position in consumer's minds, and be more economical than alternative marketing strategies.     

Omnichannel retailing operations with coupon promotions

This paper explores an omnichannel retail system under which the retailer offers coupons via online channels for market share and profit. It investigates the action mechanism of coupon promotion on omnichannel price and operational decisions by employing a theoretical model. Three coupon distribution modes are investigated; a scenario in which the omnichannel retailer does not offer coupons, offers coupons with a common face value, or offers coupons with a different face value. The results show that the distribution of coupons does not always lead to increased market share. Rather, market volume may be reduced if the competition between different channels is intense. When conducting a coupon promotion, the retailer always charges a higher price, but if the negative effects of coupon promotion for the competitive channel are relatively large, the retailer will reduce their price. Larger cross-selling revenue comes from ‘Buy Online, Pick Up in Store’ channel, indicating a stronger willingness to offer coupons and higher profits for the retailer. If the retailer takes the channel characteristics and consumers' channel preferences into consideration and offers different coupon face values across channels, they will derive higher profits.     

Coupon characteristics and brand choice

The effects of coupons on brand choice and repurchase behavior were examined in a laboratory panel experiment. Each of the 122 consumers purchased a candy bar on 10 different occasions; on the seventh purchase occasion, each consumer received an announcement of a new candy bar and one of four versions of a coupon. Results showed that whether or not a consumer will use a coupon depends on the size of the coupon offer, how easily the consumer can redeem the offer, how brand loyal the consumer is, and whether or not the consumer is deal prone. We also found, after statistically adjusting for our censored sample, that loyalty and coupon Characteristics influence whether or not a consumer will continue to purchase a formerly discounted brand. Information aggregation theory (Tybout & Scott, 1983) explains better than attribution theory how the coupon affects repurchase decisions.     

Coupons and private labels: A cross-category analysis of grocery products

This article examines the influence of coupons on private label shares of grocery products. The impact of national brand and private label coupons, distributed by manufacturers and retailers, is examined. A consumer framework and a typology of coupon effects are developed to explain different types of coupon usage behavior. Aggregate scanner panel data on 480 product categories are used in the analysis. Both the type of coupon and the method of distribution (by manufacturer or by retailer) are found to be important determinants of private label share response. Couponing activities by the national brand manufacturer are negatively related to private label share, thus indicating that they may be effective deterrents of private label penetration. However, couponing activities related to private labels do not help increase private label shares. The surprising finding is that national brand store couponing activity is positively related to private label share.     

Increasing repurchase rates: A reappraisal of coupon effects

One criticism of the use of sales promotions, particularly couponing efforts, is that they may contribute to the deterioration of a brand's consumer franchise. A consumer may be less inclined to repurchase a couponed brand than a brand bought without a coupon. Cognitive evaluation theory is used as a means of further understanding this phenomenon, and a study is conducted to testspecific hypotheses derived from the application of this theory. As hypothesized, this study presents evidence that allowing coupon users to choose between two defferent deals on the same brand may increased the repurchase rates of the couponed brand. © 1994 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.     

The relationship between FSI advertising style and coupon redemption

We investigate the relationship between free-standing insert advertising style and coupon redemption. Results from two experiments indicate that the propensity to clip a coupon can be enhanced by matching ad tone (emotional vs rational) to the nature of a consumer’s primary motivation with respect to coupon usage. Moreover, this result appears to hold for consumers with both procoupon and anticoupon inclinations.

The effects of constrained mobile coupons in the mobile channel

Despite the popularity of constrained mobile coupons in recent years, little research has examined their effectiveness. This paper presents a hidden Markov model (HMM) framework to examine the short-term and long-term effectiveness of minimum-threshold coupons (i.e., threshold-constrained coupons) and limited-time, low-price coupons (i.e., time-constrained coupons). We find that both of them boost consumers' purchase probability during the coupon redemption period. Furthermore, minimum-threshold coupons not only increase consumers’ purchase quantity during the redemption period, but also improve the customer-firm relationship beyond the redemption period. By contrast, limited-time, low-price coupons strengthen the customer-firm relationship only for consumers in a higher relationship state but not a lower relationship state. This study can help marketers allocate limited marketing resources effectively, strengthen and manage the relationship between consumers and firms, and increase product sales.     

Digital coupon promotion and platform selection in the presence of delivery effort

In recent years, physical retailers have started selling products to consumers through either third-party or self-operated online platforms. Doing so, they face demand which depends on digital coupon promotions, delivery effort by the platform (i.e., deliver products from retailers to consumers), and channel preference. In this paper, we develop a game-theoretic model to examine the interactions between the physical retailer's distribution channel choices and coupon promotions. In normal operation, retailers prefer to pay lower fees to the third-party platform, but we find, counterintuitively, that when carrying on a digital coupon promotion, the retailer can be better off paying a higher participation fee to the third-party platform. We also identify the conditions under which the retailer prefers the third-party platform over the self-operated platform with and without coupon promotions. Furthermore, we show that digital coupon promotions and delivery effort boost the retailer's profits by price discriminating among consumers with differing purchase utilities.     

Competitive location-based mobile coupon targeting strategy

At present, retailers are increasingly targeting consumers based on consumers' geographic locations by distributing mobile coupons. We develop a theoretical model to compare uniform coupon targeting with one-to-one coupon targeting for two competing retailers with asymmetric mobile accessibilities. We find that retailers engage in targeting promotion only when the marginal cost of targeting is not too high. Adopting uniform coupon targeting does not necessarily lead to the prisoner's dilemma. Additionally, the asymmetry of mobile accessibility lessens inter-firm price competition. Finally, our results further demonstrate that marketers should switch from offensive to defensive targeting as the marginal cost of targeting declines.     

The dark side of up-selling promotions: Evidence from an analysis of cross-brand purchase behavior☆

This research investigates how up- and down-selling promotions affect customers’ cross-brand purchasing and churn behavior at a multi-brand retailer. We employ a hidden Markov model that accounts for the dynamics of customers’ latent brand preferences and attrition and captures the resulting purchase behavior in response to promotional offers. Using data on coupon promotions and purchase transactions from an online retailer, we find that coupons for a higher-end brand increase customers’ likelihood of purchasing the brand. While this suggests that the retailer can increase its short-term revenues by sending coupons for the higher-end brand to customers of the lower-end brand, we find that customers up-sold via coupons are more likely to switch back to the lower-end brand, in comparison to other customers of the higher-end brand, limiting the positive effect of up-selling promotions in the long term. Moreover, lower-end brand customers’ promotion-induced brand switching leads to their increased attrition from the retailer, which negatively affects long-term purchase behavior and revenues. In contrast, when triggered by down-selling coupons, customers’ brand switching does not impact their attrition. Based on these findings, we demonstrate how our model-based approach can assist marketers’ multi-brand couponing decisions.     

Coupons in context: discounting prices or decreasing profits?

A coupon is a commonly used sales promotion device offering the user a discount on the purchase of a product. Consumer coupon offerings are also becoming increasingly diverse: from “% off” and “$ off” to “Buy one, Get one free” (BOGO) offers and co-promotions (Buy X, Deal on Y). This paper reports the results of three experiments that examine whether the economic value of a coupon is a source of information to infer the price of the product/service, and the quality of the product/service, which inference can undercut the economic value, with resulting consequences for deal evaluations and purchase intentions. The framework predicts, and empirical results show, that increasing the value of the coupon does not always improve deal evaluations or purchase intentions. This could imply lower profits for the company. The presence of past price information about the brand, information about prices of other brands offered by the company, and information about competitors’ prices moderate the impact of coupon value on brand-related inferences. When such alternate sources of information are present and are diagnostic of the price of the promoted product, consumers are less likely to infer price and quality from the value of the coupon and higher coupon values are more likely to increase deal evaluations and purchase intentions. Implications for managers designing and communicating promotions are offered.     

Consumer responses to mobile coupons: The roles of shopping motivation and regulatory fit

Retailers increasingly use mobile coupon services to deliver promotional offers to consumers. This paper draws on the theory of regulatory focus to explain mobile coupon redemption. The paper proposes that redemption depends on the extent to which a mobile coupon requires consumers to divert from their focal shopping motivation. Regulatory fit, the perception of receiving an offer that is relevant to consumers' regulatory goals, mediates this divergence effect, but only for utilitarian shoppers. Results from two scenario experiments support the main hypothesis and show that utilitarian shoppers perceive greater regulatory fit when an offer is compatible with their focal shopping motivation. In contrast, hedonic shoppers perceive no difference in regulatory fit when an offer diverts them from their focal shopping motivation. This explains why hedonic shoppers redeem a wider variety of offers than utilitarian shoppers and why utilitarian shoppers require more personalization to generate coupon redemption.     

Redemption time for coupons with limited duration: role of regulatory focus and product type

Firms spend a lot on coupon promotions and are concerned with their profitability. The characteristics of coupons are associated with success of coupon promotions. This research explores how consumer’s regulatory focus (promotion vs. prevention) and product type (material vs. experience) affect when consumers prefer to redeem coupons (coupon redemption time). Results from two studies show that people’s prevention goal strength is negatively related to redemption time consumers prefer. Besides, a fit between people’s regulatory focus and product type leads to earlier redemption than unfit condition. Specifically, experiential purchases are compatible with promotion-focused consumers and material purchases are compatible with prevention-focused consumers. We discuss the findings in the contexts of coupon research and theory on regulatory focus, and further posit managerial implications for the design of coupon promotions or other marketing activities with limited duration.     

The impact of advertising along the conversion funnel

We assemble a unique data set that combines information on supermarket feature advertising with path-tracking data on consumers’ movement within the store as well as purchase information. Using these novel data, we trace out how advertising affects consumer behavior along the path-to-purchase. We find advertising has no significant effect on the number of consumers visiting the category being advertised. The null effect is precisely estimated. At the upper bound of the confidence interval, a one-standard-deviation shift in advertising increases category traffic by only 1.3%. We do find a significant effect at the lower end of the conversion funnel. A one-standard-deviation change in advertising (evaluated at the point estimate) increases category-level sales by 10%. We further decompose the impact on sales and find the increase is driven by the same number of consumers buying a larger number of products of the same brand. We find no evidence of spillover effects of advertising between categories that are stocked in proximity of each other, nor between different products in the same category. Two mechanisms are consistent with these patterns: consumers retrieve memory of the ad only when interacting with the category or only consumers wanting to purchase the brand choose to consume the ad.     

An exploratory investigation into how socioeconomic attributes influence coupons redeeming intentions

In this study, we examine the effects that opportunity cost, income effect, coupon proneness and devaluation effect have on coupon redemption intention. Overall, the results of a survey received from approximately 2250 respondents suggest that prospect of savings and coupon proneness are positively associated, while opportunity cost is inversely associated with coupon redemption intention. The results are consistent across several sub-samples of grocery stores, which further underline the robustness of our hypotheses. Our analyses are more exhaustive than and therefore, contribute to, extant literature on promotions using coupons, because we base our study on behavioral, social and economic factors that influence coupon redemption intentions.