利率市场化背景下我国商业银行效率比较研究-基于SE-DEA 视角

本文选取我国15家商业银行2008～2013年数据,运用 SE-DEA模型测度了各商业银行的效率。研究结果表明,面对利率市场化挑战,虽然国有商业银行的总体效率高于股份制商业银行,但它们之间的差距正逐渐缩小,且股份制商业银行效率改善更明显;实行的贷款利率市场化对商业银行效率的影响不显著,这一方面是由于利息收入占我国商业银行总收入比较大,另一方也是因为现阶段没有开放存款利率管制。     

存款利率市场化对银行存款市场份额的影响

本文基于存款利率市场化与银行存款市场份额的关系模型,并以存款利率市场化实现的政策虚拟变量为自变量,利用FGLS方法对16家商业银行2013Q3-2017Q3的非平衡季度面板数据进行回归分析,实证研究存款利率市场化对银行存款市场份额的影响,结果表明:在整体银行存款市场和个人存款市场上,存款利率市场化的实现都对国有商业银行不利,而对股份制商业银行和城市商业银行有利,将导致在这两个存款市场上银行存款从国有商业银行转移至股份制商业银行和城市商业银行,并且转移至股份制商业银行的比例都高于城市商业银行;在企业存款市场上,存款利率市场化的实现对国有商业银行和城市商业银行都不利,只对股份制商业银行有利,将导致企业存款从国有商业银行和城市商业银行转移至股份制商业银行,并且,国有商业银行"流出"的企业存款要多于城市商业银行。     

利率市场化背景下我国商业银行效率比较研究-基于SE-DEA视角

本文选取我国15家商业银行2008²013年数据,运用SE-DEA模型测度了各商业银行的效率。研究结果表明,面对利率市场化挑战,虽然国有商业银行的总体效率高于股份制商业银行,但它们之间的差距正逐渐缩小,且股份制商业银行效率改善更明显;实行的贷款利率市场化对商业银行效率的影响不显著,这一方面是由于利息收入占我国商业银行总收入比较大,另一方也是因为现阶段没有开放存款利率管制。     

利率市场化背景下我国股份制商业银行转型发展研究——以招商银行为例

随着利率市场化的逐步推进,我国股份制商业银行在各项业务中将获得更大的自主权,与此同时,丧失了利率管制下固定的利差收入,股份制商业银行也正面临着巨大的经营压力。研究以招商银行为样本银行,通过分析其经营现状与转型业务发展现状,为我国股份制商业银行在利率市场化背景下的转型发展提供决策依据。     

利率市场化与银行竞争策略

目前我国利率市场化巳初露端倪，利率市场化和利差的缩小是我国商业银行将在面临的重要课题，本分析了当前金融市场竞争的特点，通过分析预测近期利率的走势，探索商业银行应对利率市场化的竞争策略。     

贵州省银行业金融产品创新比较研究

按照WTO有关协议,现阶段我国已取消了对外资银行外币业务、人民币业务、营业许可等方面的限制。外资银行的进入,使我国银行业进入了全面开放时期,五大国有股份制银行和其它中小国有及地方性股份制银行面对外资银行的冲击,竞争趋于白热化。2012年6月,利率市场化改革试水：央行宣布将贷款利率下限扩至0.8倍,存款利率上限扩至1.1倍,各商业银行在此范围内可自行定价,商业银行的利差随之收窄。传统的存贷差盈利模式受到严峻的挑战,中间业务的发展因此成为商业银行竞争的重点。     

洪崎:拓展竞争力内涵,打造银行核心竞争力

商业银行竞争力是一个老问题。从银行市场化改革至今的近二十年,有的银行快速发展,有的付出了惨痛教训,竞争之激烈表现得淋漓尽致,竞争力提升已经成为业界关注的核心。客观地说,到目前为止同质化竞争的桎梏始终没有摆脱。在当前利率市场化、金融脱媒等外在压力下,中国银行业都在进行战略转型,但是转型越来越呈现出一种趋同性。现在是城商行向股份制银行看齐,股份制银行以国有大     

宁波市银行机构贷款利率定价机制的情况调查

随着我国利率市场化改革的深化,各商业银行的利差收入和风险管理将面临巨大的挑战。利率市场化正考验着商业银行的经营能力,考验着我国商业银行的贷款利率定价机制。宁波市银行机构比较齐全,因此宁波市各商业银行、农信社(包含农村合作银行,下同) 贷款利率定价机制现状具有一定的代表性,能反映当前商业银行和农信社的贷款利率定价能力。中国人民银行宁波分行最近对全市13家国有／股份制商业银行在宁波的分行、1家城市商业银行和9家农村信用社就贷款利率定价机制建设情况进行了专题调查,以配合利率市场化改革及为下一步利率改革提供参考。     

央行推进利率市场化的政策目的以及商业银行的应对措施

利率水平是中央银行宏观金融调控的货币政策工具之一,而央行货币政策中的信贷渠道传导机制则是商业银行最基本的一项职能。从宏观金融市场角度来看,利率市场化的实施将会刺激社会信贷需求、降低企业借贷成本、稳定宏观经济增长;从商业银行业务经营角度来看,利率市场化的实施将会促进商业银行增强自主定价能力、加快金融产品和服务创新,更好的服务实体经济,推进战略经营结构转型发展。但是,利率市场化对商业银行又是一场严峻的挑战,因为利率市场化会加剧商业银行间的竞争,从而对其产生深层次的影响和冲击。如何把握利率市场化带来的机遇、应对利率市场化带来的挑战,成为摆在商业银行面前的迫切命题。     

利率市场化条件下商业银行面临的新课题

利率市场化是市场经济发展的必然要求,这已为包括发达国家和发展中国家在内的许多国家的实践所证明。笔者认为 ,对于长期处于利率管制环境下的我国商业银行而言 ,利率市场化为商业银行营造了新的发展机遇 :一是商业银行将拥有自主定价权 ;二是商业银行之间的同业竞争将进入新的     

Almanac of anticipations: The age of affluence—of anticipation—of anxiety—of automation—of discontinuity—of longing—of overkill—of space exploration

With this survey of developments in the futures field since 1945, I.F. Clarke completes his present series for Futures. He makes two major points: that forecasting techniques have become essential tools in the management of change; and that nuclear weapons and ecological problems have added a moral dimension to the study of the future. In the next issue of Futures he will start a new series on the range of future-thinking in the USA, from the expectations of the first settlers to the Star Wars programme.     

对基层人民银行科技工作的几点建议

银监会分设后,人民银行将专司货币政策、金融稳定、金融服务三大职能。作为人民银行的分支机构,基层人民银行的工作重心也将从金融监管调整到这三大职能上来。人民银行的科技部门,就要积极运用科技手段,为人民银行履行新的职能发挥“服务、支持、促进、发展”的作用。一、围绕三大职能搭建五大平台经过“六五打基础、七五作准备、八五大发展”几个阶段后,人民银行相继实现了核算电算化、清算网络化和办公信息化。特别是近一两年来,陆续开通了大额支付系统、信贷登记咨询系统、会计四集中系统、金融信息服务网站等系统,人民银行信息化水平又…     

基金公司经营融资融券业务的问题审视

融资融券业务正式运营已经开展,为证券市场带来了革命性的改革,作为证券市场的一大主体,基金公司面对融资融券也迎来了新的发展方向和挑战,本文从融资融券业务的运行机制入手,分析了基金公司融资融券的新契机,并对其即将面临的问题进行审视和剖析,进而提出策略建议.     

社会主义所有制形式的改革、完善与共产党执政能力的提高

在中国,所有制形式的调整、改革与完善,先进生产力的发展,党的执政能力建设,是社会主义建设过程中密切结合在一起的三个不同层面的发展关系.应在相互促进和共同提高中促进社会的和谐发展,保证社会主义现代化建设战略目标的顺利实现.     

金融企业员工考核系统的设计

一、概述 为配合公司人事考核制度的贯彻执行,保证该制度执行过程中各项工作能够长期、高效、准确地完成,我们开发了公司员工考核系统,实现了人事考核工作中员工投票、考核统计、考核信息分析、报表生成等功能,减少了人事部门人员的手工操作,提高了考核工作的自动化程度.     

Summary of Results of Survey of Seminar Attendees

Abstract

The Society of Actuaries undertook a three-phase research project on mortality improvement in the three NAFTA countries: Canada, Mexico, and the U.S. Phase 1 consisted of a literature review of papers on projecting mortality levels in the future and a study of the trend in mortality improvement during this century. Phase 2 consisted of a discussion of different facets of modeling mortality rates at a seminar attended by 79 experts (actuaries, demographers, economists, and medical researchers) representing different countries. The last session of the seminar consisted of the completion of a survey by the attendees to obtain input for Phase 3, which would analyze the impact of mortality improvement on the social security system of each country. This paper summarizes the results of the survey.

The survey results illustrate the difficulty in forecasting mortality levels, because the effects of many factors that could have significant impact on mortality rates are unknown. This suggests the need for dynamic forecasting, which allows for the possibility of random shocks. A majority of the survey respondents believe that stochastic forecasting models, despite their complexity, have significant potential to add value. Respondents also believe that both historical data and cause-specific mortality forecasts are useful as input and also in validating forecasts of the aggregate levels of mortality. The challenge is to develop more sophisticated forecasting models to produce results that are relatively easy to interpret and to communicate these results to the desired audiences, including the public and policymakers.

The survey results suggest that the aggregate effect of lifestyle changes, medical advances, diseases, catastrophe, and physical environmental changes is an increase in life span. However, there is much uncertainty about the future. Respondents expect that beyond the year 2020 the mean annual rate of reduction in mortality for males age 65 and over will average about 0.58% for Canada, 0.76% for Mexico, and 0.67% for the U.S. The results for the female age 65 and over population are 0.64%, 0.83%, and 0.70%, respectively. The age 65 and over population is expected to see larger percentage reductions in mortality than the 0–14 and 15–64 populations. The reductions in male and female mortality will be ultimately the same, and the mortality levels in the three countries will ultimately converge, although differences may persist for decades.     

The Usefulness of Measures of Consistency of Discretionary Components of Accruals in the Detection of Earnings Management

Abstract:  Prior research has shown the prevalence of measurement error in models used to estimate aggregate discretionary accruals. In these models, the incremental information content of the various components of accruals is ignored. Limited prior research and data gathered from firms under Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) litigation indicate that managers use either one or more than one component of accruals simultaneously, in a consistent way to manipulate bottom-line earnings in a given direction. I propose two measures that capture the consistency between the discretionary components of accruals and test their significance in earnings management (EM) detection in firms that have artificially added accrual manipulation and firms that were targeted by the SEC for accrual manipulation. There is evidence that this information is incrementally useful in detecting EM. This finding paves the way for improvements in the discretionary accruals measure by including consistency information from the components of aggregate accruals.     

Properties of time-series estimates of degree of leverage measures

Empirical studies suggest that time-series regression estimates of the degrees of operating and financial leverage have a tendency to produce measures less than one. According to ex ante theory, these measures should be greater than one for firms operating above the breakeven point. There have also been suggestions that the biases in these estimates may be attributable to an underlying increase in unit sales. This work presents evidence that these counter-intuitive measures are produced by changes in the firm's operating parameters (unit price, variable cost, fixed cost and interest payments). It further suggests that attempts to control for the underlying change in unit sales substantially increase the volatility of predicted estimates.     

浅议金融机构的举证责任

金融纠纷案件是当事人以存单或进账单、对账单、存款合同、保险单、票据、证券等凭证为主要证据向人民法院提出诉讼的案件,对于不同种类金融纠纷的当事人的举证责任,我国现行的金融法律、法规及司法解释有不同的规定。由于金融机构的特殊法律地位,发生金融纠纷时存在有关当事人将最后偿付风险转移给金融机构承担的主观故意,在客观上会使金融机构难以提供相应的证据来对抗不法债权人的诉讼请求,而导致金融机构败诉。为此,对金融诉讼案件中金融机构的举证责任加以研究具有重要的实践意义。     

纳税申报法律制度的弊端分析及完善建议

纳税申报是税收民主的一种具体体现形式,基于此,世界各国普遍建立了纳税申报法律制度。我国的纳税申报法律制度也已经有20年的历史,其间经过多次修改和完善,也曾极大地促进了税收法制与税收民主的进程。但从总体来看,我国现行的纳税申报法律制度依然存在相当多的问题,不仅与税收征管改革不配套,还存在侵害纳税人权益的问题。因此,有必要修改相关法律法规,以完善我国的纳税申报法律制度。