Information Asymmetry and Corporate Liquidity Management: Evidence from Real Estate Investment Trusts

We examine the impact of information asymmetry on a firm??s choice between cash and credit lines for corporate liquidity management using a panel data set from real estate investment trusts (REITs). Information asymmetry, as measured by analyst forecast error and dispersion, is negatively related to the use of lines of credit. Specifically, firms with more severe information asymmetry are less likely to have access to bank credit lines. Concurrently, more transparent firms are more likely to utilize bank credit lines as opposed to cash for liquidity management. The results are robust to alternative information asymmetry proxies and specifications. These findings suggest that information asymmetry plays an important role in corporate liquidity management.     

Earnings Predictability, Information Asymmetry, and Market Liquidity

We investigate the relation between earnings predictability, information asymmetry and the behavior of the adverse selection cost component of the bid-ask spread around quarterly earnings announcements for NASDAQ firms. While we find an increase in the adverse selection component of the bid-ask spread on the day of and the day prior to quarterly earnings announcements for firms with less predictable earnings, we find no evidence of such changes for firms with more predictable earnings. During a non-announcement period, we find that firms with relatively less predictable earnings have consistently higher total bid-ask spreads than firms with more predictable earnings. This finding suggests that firms with relatively less predictable earnings have a higher cost of equity capital than comparable firms with more predictable earning streams, ceteris paribus. Hence, earnings predictability may be a legitimate concern of managers who wish to minimize their cost of equity capital at least as it pertains to bid-ask spreads.     

Commonality in Liquidity and Real Estate Securities

We conduct an empirical investigation of the exposure of U.S. REIT returns to commonality in liquidity. Taking advantage of the specific characteristics of REITs, we study three types of commonality in liquidity: within-asset commonality, cross-asset commonality (with the stock market), and commonality with the underlying property market. We find evidence that the three types of commonality in liquidity represent significant risk factors for REIT returns but only during bad market conditions. We also find that using a linear approach, rather than a conditional, would have underestimated the role of commonality in liquidity risk. This could explain (at least partly) the small impact of commonality on asset prices documented in the extant literature. We also analyze the economic sources of commonality in liquidity and find that demand-side factors prevail over supply-side factors.     

江西省房地产市场发展与房地产金融风险关系实证研究

金融危机爆发后,世界主要经济体普遍实行了宽松货币政策。在这一背景下,我国房地产市场强势反弹,销量涨幅创历史新高,成交均价一路走高。2009年,江西省房地产市场实现逆势上扬行情,呈现出投资增速逐月回升,供给面积低位增长,销售规模大幅上升,成交均价一路走高的运行特点。在分析江西省房地产市场运行特点的基础上,本文从实证角度考察了房地产市场发展与金融支持之间的关系。实证结果表明,房地产市场的发展、房价的上涨与金融支持之间具有相互促进、互为因果的密切关系。在此基础上进一步分析了房地产市场发展中隐含的金融风险,并提出相应的对策建议。     

Liquidity and Liquidation: Evidence from Real Estate Investment Trusts

This study provides evidence that highly leveraged owner-managed properties liquidated assets during the commercial real estate decline of the late 1980s, and that this provided buying opportunities for better capitalized buyers. The analysis documents significant financial distress costs for highly leveraged firms during an industry-wide downturn and shows that these costs are particularly large for owner-managed firms.     

房地产金融对房地产市场发展的影响研究：北海实证

本文通过向量自回y-5模型（VAR）研究房地产金融对房地产市场的实际影响。选取北海市金融类和房地产市场类等4项指标,建立2个VAR模型系统;利用脉冲相应函数和方差分解方法,分析信贷市场指标变化对房地产市场供需影响的时滞、持续时间及作用强度。结果表明：北海房地产金融市场与房地产市场无论在长期还是短期都存在均衡关系,两者具有一定程度的共生性。基于以上分析,提出相应的政策建议。     

人口负增长对延边州房地产市场和地产金融的影响研究

根据第七次全国人口普查结果,延边州总人口为1941700人,与2010年第六次全国人口普查相比减少281563人,下降12.66％,年均下降1.34％.本文通过对人口负增长下延边州房地产市场和房地产金融的变化的梳理,以期探讨人口负增长对房地产市场的具体影响机制与效果,从而为延边地区房地产市场和房地产金融稳健可持续发展提...     

我国房地产市场现状及运行特点——以大连市房地产市场为例

2010年4月国务院出台的针对房地产市场的国10条,可以说是近几年实施房地产调控政策以来最严厉的政策组合,包括政府政策、金融监管、交易税费、土地交易等多方面。在我国当前形势下、房地产走势已不再是一个单纯的经济现象,它已经和很多社会、民生问题甚至国家的经济、金融体系安全问题紧密地联结在一起。     

通货膨胀与房地产市场的相关性分析

本文通过对我国居民消费价格指数与房地产市场的价格指数之间的相关性进行统计分析,结果表明两者之间存在显著的正相关。文章进而分析了我国近年来房地产市场的发展对CPI的主要影响渠道,并指出房地产市场的理性调整有利于控制当前的通货膨胀。     

Corporate Real Estate and Stock Market Performance

An interesting question in corporate real estate literature is whether real estate can improve the stock market performance of property-intensive non-real estate firms. Using a data set comprising 75 non-real estate corporations that own at least 20 percent properties, this paper empirically assesses and compares the pair-wise return, total risk, systematic risk and Jensen abnormal return performance of composite (with real estate) and hypothetical business (without real estate) firms. We employed Morgan Stanley Capital International world equity index instead of a local market index to provide some insights into the performance of the local market relative to the global market during the 1997–2001 volatile periods experienced by many Asian countries. Our results suggest the inclusion of real estate in a corporate portfolio appears to be associated with lower return, higher total risk, higher systematic risk and poorer abnormal return performance. It is therefore likely that non-real estate firms own properties for other reasons in addition to seeking improvement in their stock market performance. Further research is needed to explore the main factors contributing to corporate real estate ownership by non-real estate firms.     

上市房企流动性风险显著增加-2014年上市房企中报分析

上市房企资产负债率创历史新高,非龙头企业债务负担形势严峻
　　名义资产负债率远超警戒线。2014年二季度末,开发类房企整体资产负债率达到76.4%,创历史新高,并远超70%的警戒线。其中,招保万金（招商地产、保利地产、万科A、金地集团）4家龙头房企的资产负债率远高于整体水平,达到77.4%,较2013年自身的平均水平有所降低;其他房企的资产负债率为75.6%,再创历史新高（见图1）。     

难解的中国房地产市场公案——兼谈思维误区和解决途径

从利率上调到严控第三套房,再到近日的经济适用房新规,政府对于被称为已近疯狂状态的房地产市场调控之策频出,上海、北京、深圳等地的房市交易量也应声下跌。对此,坊间评论不一。商品房为商品其性质到底如何?政府、开发商、投资者和银行的前期行为都有哪些可指摘之处?钱学宁先生为读者提供一看待房市的新视角,尤其需要指出的是,同各种媒体所示带有情绪的评论甚至抱怨相比,此文冷静又不失尖锐的评论尤为显得更客观和公正些。     

房地产市场治理的国际比较

2010年9月底,国务院继4月份新政后对房地产市场存在回暖迹象的部分城市进行二次调控,效果却不理想。本文综合分析德国稳定房地产市场和新加坡治理房地产泡沫的成功经验,以及日本上世纪90年代房地产泡沫破灭的教训,结合国内经济发展和金融市场背景,提出房地产市场需要脱离支柱行业的产业转型、构建充足保障安居房并制定完善的分配制度、建立完善的风险预警机制、实行分税制以抑制投资性需求、兼顾中产阶级购房问题等方面的政策建议。     

外部经济失衡、流动性过剩与房地产投资过热

随着我国经济的高速发展,国际收支顺差不断增加,外部经济失衡加剧;同时,国内经济方面出现了由流动性过剩引起内部经济的结构性失衡,导致了我国经济出现了内外"双失衡"。该文通过国际收支顺差、流动性过剩和国内房地产投资之间关系的实证分析,认为国际收支顺差与流动性过剩是我国房地产投资过热的主要原因,并依此提出了政策建议。     

房地产调控“组合拳”

与以往的调控相比,此轮出台的政策更加强调利用金融信贷、财政税收、土地供应、交易规范等多管齐下精密配合。除了遏制高房价、打击投机购房的目标以外,2010年的房地产调控目标直指行业结构调整     

房地产市场的多方博弈和金融风险研究

2009年3月后,在一系列政策的刺激下,我国房价出现短期拐点,有回暖迹象.本文以博弈论的观点分析房地产市场的参与各方策略选择问题,指出在全球经济动荡的背景下,在政策救与不救及如何救的策略选择中,需注意金融风险转移,适时采取风险防范措施.     

中国房地产市场趋势分析

未来一段时间内,中国房地产行业将进入一个新的发展阶段,突出表现为以下几个特征:市场分化、价格分化、公司分化.市场分化,即区域房地产市场走势差异化明显将长期存在.     

当前房地产市场的形势分析

房地产市场开始降温 2003年以来,中央对房地产宏观调控政策出台频率之高,调控力度之大,都是前所未有的。以央行121号文件为标志的信贷政策收紧了房地产投资的资金链条,而国土资源部、监察部联合下发的71号令则牢牢地控制了房地产的另一投入要素--土地供应。同时,央行实行加息举措等宏观调控政策对促进房地产市场健康发展     

我国房地产调控政策分析

自2003年以来,我国房地产价格开始急剧攀升,尤其是金融危机之后,房价上涨的速度更是惊人。国家统计局公布的数字显示,2009年全国商品房平均销售价格比2008年上涨了23%,同时,2009年下     

中国房地产金融市场的问题和对策

中国房地产金融市场的发展历程如果从1991年政府向房地产企业的IPO放行开始算起,已有近20年的历史了,无论从哪个角度看,中国还远未形成体系化的房地产金融市场,本文就中国房地产市场存在的问题和相关对策进行分析.