港英政府应对公共危机管理的现代化开端——以19世纪末20世纪初香港鼠疫为研究对象

公共危机是现代化转型过程中的诸多因素引发的重大危机,对公众利益产生很大的负面影响,公共危机管理是现代政府的重要职能。19世纪末20世纪初香港鼠疫频发,港英政府设立专门的危机管理机构,采取积极有效的措施进行应对,开香港公共危机现代化管理之先河。     

基于旅游费用法的长沙洋湖湿地公园游憩价值评估

城市湿地公园是城市生态系统的重要组成部分,具有极高的生态、社会和景观价值。文章在城市湿地公园迅速增长、相关理论研究数量有限的情况下,选取游憩价值评估最为成熟的旅行费用法作为评估方法、长沙市最大的城市湿地公园——洋湖湿地公园作为研究对象,通过运用问卷调查、实地访谈等方法对其游憩价值进行了评估,得出结论如下：公园目前游客实际旅行费用为4411.983万元,而其总游憩利用价值为81 578.473万元,相比之下,公园应有的游憩利用价值尚未得到充分发挥,存在很大程度的资源闲置,开发潜力巨大。     

Ecosystem services value of wetland in Suzhou Taihu Lake

Based on a comprehensive analysis on various classifications of natural resource values,this paper summarizes an ecological services system of constructed wetland（CW） ecosystems for the accounting of ecological economic value.With the research,the wetland ecosystem services can be classified into six categories,that is waste treatment,food and material production,water supply,gas regulations,disturbance and water regulations,habitat and refuge provision.For decision making in terms of environmental economics for wetland construction,ecosystem services value for the wetland in Suzhou Taihu Lake National Tourist and Holiday Resort is accounted for 7,088,769 USD/yr through Environmental Economics Analysis.Ecosystem services value of waste treatment is 825,000 USD/yr,that of food and material production is 1,430 USD/yr,that of water supply is 4,752,000 USD/yr,that of gas regulation is 2,251USD/yr,that of disturbance and water regulations is 1,3721 USD/yr,and that of habitat and refuge provision value is 1,494,367 USD/yr.The ecosystem services values of a pilot constructed wetland in Suzhou are compared with those of other wetlands as a mean and of a typical human-interfered wetland in Wenzhou of China.Results show that in both finite and infinite time horizons considered,the wetland in Suzhou Taihu Lake National Tourist and Holiday Resort has the largest services value.This paper analyzes all the probability that may weaken the value of the Suzhou Taihu Wetland in order to provide some advices for the wetland protection.     

长沙市洋湖垸湿地公园的功能定位与建设经验

湿地公园是生态城市的绿肺和市民亲近自然的桥梁。长沙市洋湖垸湿地公园的生态与社会功能的定位在于提升城市生态品质、满足人们精神需求、开发湿地生态资源和推动区域经济发展,其建设经验体现在规划先行、科学保护与精心管理等方面。     

Efficient ecosystem services and naturalness in an ecological/economic model

In an integrated economic/ecological model, the economy benefits from ecosystem services that include: (1) the consumptive use of a harvested species, (2) the non-consumptive use of popular species, and (3) naturalness, i.e., the divergence of the ecosystem’s biodiversity from its natural steady state. The biological component of the model, which is applied to a nine-species Alaskan marine ecosystem, relies on individual optimizing behaviour by plants and animals to establish population dynamics. The biological component is used to define naturalness. By varying harvesting we arrive at different steady-state populations and humans choose from among these steady states. Welfare maximizing levels of the ecosystem services are derived, then it is shown that in the laissez-faire economy overharvesting occurs when the harvesting industry ignores ecosystem services (2) and (3). Lastly, we introduce efficiency restoring taxes and standards that internalize the ecosystem externalities.

银行业放松管制的理论分析与宏观效果——兼论中国加入WTO对大陆和香港的影响

本文建立了一个包含银行、消费者和生产者的三部门一般均衡模型 ,获得了短期均衡和长期均衡条件 ,分析了存贷差扩大和国有银行改革的关系。本文有两个重要理论发现 :一个是发现了用于短期分析的D 曲线和G 曲线。另一个是发现了长期稳定均衡状态对国有银行体制改革和长期经济增长的含意。理论分析表明 ,银行业实行资产负债比例管理与利率的严格控制存在矛盾 ;中国加入WTO后 ,银行业放松管制 ,引入竞争 ,不仅能推动中国大陆的GDP、投资、消费和储蓄的增长 ,而且可以缓解通货紧缩压力 ;但是国有银行的垄断利润将下降。中国加入WTO将给香港的银行部门带来新的发展机会。     

香港区域竞争优劣势评析

文章探讨区域经济竞争力的基本概念及其构成,讨论香港的产业结构竞争力优势、区域运行机制竞争力优势、区域制度竞争力优势、区域文化竞争力优势及区域生态环境竞争力优势,分析制约香港经济发展的三大＂软肋＂：产业结构转型与相应的资源支撑不足、＂积极不干预主义＂政策尚未寻找到适应新时期经济发展要求的＂支点＂以及与珠江三角地区资源整合尚存一定的制度障碍,并指出增创香港经济发展新优势必须＂扬长＂与＂避短＂。     

The direct medical cost of rheumatoid arthritis in Hong Kong

Summary

Rheumatoid arthritis (RA) is an autoimmune disorder of unknown aetiology. Both treatment and rehabilitation for RA are costly. Knowledge of the cost of management of RA is important for better planning for allocation of medical resources, and the present study aimed to evaluate and describe the direct medical cost of the management of RA from the perspective of a public health organisation in Hong Kong.

A retrospective study was performed of RA patients at the Prince of Wales Hospital in Hong Kong. The study cohort consisted of randomly selected RA patients from the 1st January 2002 to the 31st December 2002. Cost items studied included hospital stay, outpatient clinic visits, diagnostic tests, medications, auxiliary care, and cost for management and prophylaxis of side effects induced by the drugs for RA management.

A total of 147 patients were included in the study. The average age and duration of disease of the subjects was 54.7 years (standard deviation 10.9 years) and 12.6 years (standard deviation 7.0 years), respectively. The annual direct medical cost per RA patient was HK$18,657 (US$1 = HK$7.8). Inpatient care contributed the highest proportion of the total cost (43.8%). The annual direct medical cost for the management of RA in Hong Kong was HK$443 million, which comprised 1.4% of the total healthcare budget in the year 2002.

The cost of RA has an economic impact on the healthcare budget in Hong Kong. Early and more aggressive measures could reduce the need for hospitalisation and hence reduce costs.     

The determinants of banking efficiency in Hong Kong 2004-2014

The cost efficiency of the Hong Kong Banking sector over the period 2004–2014 is estimated by data envelopment window analysis. A second stage regression analysis finds that bank size and GDP growth are positively associated with efficiency, whereas revenue diversification and inflation are associated with lower efficiency. Stock exchange listing status is associated with lower efficiency but no clear relationship between measures of market structure and efficiency is found.     

粤港澳高等教育一体化研究

高等教育一体化不仅是粤港澳地区社会、经济发展的要求,也是三地高等教育现代化、国际化发展的要求;粤港澳的高等教育只有走一体化之路,才能充分发挥高等教育对粤港澳经济一体化的巨大推动作用。文章从粤港澳高等教育一体化与经济一体化的关系入手,从粤港澳高等教育的可持续发展出发,分析了粤港澳高等教育一体化之重要性、必要性和可行性及其困难与问题,并提出了实现一体化的对策与建议,并指出三地只有进一步挖掘和利用《珠江三角洲地区改革发展规划纲要》的政策优势和平台作用,积极推进粤港澳高等教育一体化进程,才能为三地在世界高等教育领域谋得更大的话语权。     

内地赴港游客在深圳旅游消费行为研究

内地赴港游客是深圳市重要的旅游细分市场。本文对游客消费特征、购买行为、购后行为等方面进行研究,分析影响赴港游客在深圳消费行为的因素。研究表明,通过深圳的赴港游客有三分之一在深圳停留,并且以个人游的中青年游客为主,性别、年龄结构、职业、旅游目的影响他们的停留动机、停留时间和停留目的。所以,应提供便利的交通,提供丰富的产品组合,扩大酒店规模,拓宽营销渠道和开发潜在游客,以更好地针对内地赴港游客发展深圳旅游业。     

21世纪环太平洋区域经济发展趋势与香港面临的机遇和挑战

本文从世界经济总体上分析了21世纪环太平洋区域经济发展趋势；在香港回归祖国后为谋求经济持续发展，提出了要扬长避短，保持和发挥香港的自身优势等问题；为适应形势变化，指出了不断探索、培育新的经济增长点，走以质量、创新、信息取胜的道路。     

港商在内地投资的区位布局与实证研究

改革开放以来,港商在内地投资发展迅速,但港商在内地投资并不均衡,主要集中在珠三角地区,特别是其东部城市。本文先利用详实资料分析港资在内地及珠三角的详细区位布局及典型生产特征;然后为探究影响港资在珠三角选址的因素,运用主成分分析法找出影响其选址的几个主要成分,并作多元回归分析计算各成分对吸引港资的贡献率。     

基于引力模型的内地与香港双边贸易流量研究

内地各省市(自治区)的GDP和人均GDP、香港人均GDP、绝对距离以及泛珠三角区域合作组织等解释变量.是影响双边贸易流量的主要因素,但影响程度各有不同.因此,内地与香港应采取针对性的措施,进一步加强经贸交流和合作,充分发挥各自的区位优势和竞争优势,实现两地经济的共同繁荣.     

粤港澳地区货运代理企业管理信息系统的开发与实施

分析粤港澳三地物流业的特点,针对货运代理企业,提出了一种一体化的管理信息系统解决方案,并结合广东威盛国际货运代理公司企业信息化改革进程中的经验,给出了管理信息系统的实施方法。     

Measuring economic loss caused by ecological damages： a case study of China＇s forest ecosystem in 2005

At present about 60% of ecosystem has been damaged and degraded severely, resulting in enormous ecological loss globally. The essential cause is the irrational utilization of ecosystem by humankind, so it is tire key to changing improper environmental performance of humankind so as to prevent ecosystem from being damaged The quantitative valuation on the loss of ecological damage is an effective tool to guide human eco-environmental performance. In this paper, the concepts related to the valuation on ecological damage cost are introduced,＂ uncertainties that might arise in the valuation on the loss of ecological damage such as area coverage of valuation, ecological damage quantity, borders of ecological damage cost and data support are analyzed and the valuation approaches for the loss of ecological damage are also discussed As a case study, the economic losses of ecological damage of forest in 2005 in China are valuated.     

沪深港股市动态联动性研究——基于三元VAR-GJR-GARCH-DCC的新证据

随着经济全球化的迅速发展,国际资本市场呈现出一体化趋势,各地证券价格的联动性也日趋显著。本文梳理已有理论文献,并总结经验成果的不足,在此基础上,构建三元VAR-GJR-GARCH-DCC整合分析框架,对沪深港股市联动效应进行了严谨而全面的实证检验。研究结果表明:沪深港三个市场具有联动效应,直接或间接引导对方;沪深股市对港市的新息冲击做出类似的反应,并且它们与港市的动态关联性具有趋同性,该结论为沪深两市合并提供了新证据;三个市场的相关性具有时变的动态特征,"中国因素"与"世界因素"的相关性正趋于增强。上述实证结论对投资者重新认识市场运行机制,合理制定投资策略以及监管当局有效防范国内外股市风险,推进股市整合均具有重要的启示意义。     

CEPA背景下深港旅游合作的创新策略

区域旅游合作是旅游经济的自身发展规律所决定的，区域整合体已经成为当今旅游业竞争的基本单位。作为粤港澳区域旅游合作的子系统，深港旅游合作在CEPA背景下无疑更加具有先导和典范意义。以CEPA为切入点，从操作主体、合作原则与合作方式的角度探讨了深港旅游合作的创新策略，试图构建出两地合作策略创新的开放型系统，从而为两地的旅游合作战略初步建立了实施的概念框架。     

粤港澳台高校德育比较

由于历史政治、人丈地理、经济发展水平等多方面因素,粤港澳台高校德育存在诸多差异。本文从粤港澳台德育的意识形态背景、理论依据、德育形式、对待古今中外德育理论的态度和方式等方面进行了一定的比较分析。同时,文章也在新形势下基于一国两制的社会背景,对两岸四地的高校德育进行了展望。     

生产性服务业是经济中心的核心要素——基于上海和香港的实证分析

经济圈发展模式已被众多国家和区域广泛采用。经济中心对区域经济的发展具有重要作用,而生产性服务业是经济中心发挥作用的决定因素。从一定意义上讲,生产性服务业是经济中心的核心要素。通过对生产性服务业对经济中心核心要素作用的探讨和对这一作用进行实证分析,得出的结论是,生产性服务业能够优化经济中心的产业结构,增加经济中心整体就业水平,提高经济中心的核心竞争力;同时,能够为经济中心吸引高素质人才。因此,经济中心城市核心作用的体现需要大力发展生产性服务业。