我国高速公路建设融资问题初探

高速公路建设的迅速发展 ,使得项目融资矛盾日益突出。一方面是以财政拨款方式为主的融资渠道无法满足高速公路建设的需要 ;一方面是大量民间资本和国际资本无法顺畅地进入国内高速公路建设市场。文章提出并论证了运用BOT融资和资产证券化 (ABS)方式 ,通过有效地引入国际资本和拓宽民间资本的投资渠道 ,来解决高速公路的资金供需矛盾 ,同时提出加强和完善相应的法律法规是保证BOT融资和资产证券化顺利实施的关键所在。     

DIFFERENTIAL DEPRECIATION AND THE 2 × 2 MODEL OF DISTRIBUTION,PRICING AND PRODUCTION

In a two‐sector model it is entirely arbitrary to take the depreciation rate to be the same in both sectors; capital is being used differently in the two sectors! With differential depreciation rates factor‐intensity‐reversal can arise even when both sectors have a Cobb–Douglas technology. Efficient allocations do not involve mutual tangency points between consumption–good and capital–good isoquants.     

资本约束对银行信贷扩张的影响:基于中国的实证分析(1998-2009)——兼论当前宏观调控的一种新工具

本文从商业银行信贷井喷与大量融资要求的现象出发,以信贷可得性和资本约束为视角,提出两个假说:资本充足率与信贷扩张正相关,资本充足率越高,信贷扩张越快;商业银行的资本充足率具有顺周期特征.基于1998-2009年我国银行业的数据,本文采用动态面板数据方法验证了两个假说,并提出三点政策主张:强化宏观审慎监管意识,建立逆周期的资本监管制度;将资本充足率纳入宏观调控工具体系;强化资本质量要求.     

Why the interactions between state- and private-controlled banks matter in the unsuccessful reforms of the Chinese banking industry

Despite significant reforms of the banking system, the existing market in which Chinese banks operate is reminiscent of a cartel. On the basis of illustrations relying on ‘game theory’, the interactions between the credit allocations of state banks and private-controlled banks are highlighted. The very particular status of public banks creates serious barriers to the convergence of credit allocations towards more transparent and more cautious practices. This work intends to discuss a new model in which, in the existing system, ‘win–win–win’ solutions may still appear under some conditions.     

东南亚国家企业融资制度的信用危机及启示

企业融资制度是一国金融制度的微观基础,它对一国的经济发展和金融稳定有很重要的影响。在合理的企业融资制度下存在着使企业有效运用其融资与维护其信用的约束和激励信息机制。相反,在不合理的企业融资制度下企业存在着过度融资和无效使用其融资的机会主义倾向。文章对东南亚的企业融资制度进行了初步研究,发现东南亚的企业融资制度存在严重的内生性缺陷,极易引发信用危机。     

Political Rivalry Effects on Human Capital Accumulation and Inequality: A New Political Economy Approach

We propose an endogenous growth model with new political economy elements in order to (1) examine how political incentives affect economic allocations and (2) study the effects of political rivalry on human capital accumulation and income inequality. Focusing on two important policies affecting economic performance—fiscal policy and public investments in human capital accumulation—we find that different political incentives have distinct effects on policies and economic allocations. We also find that political rivalry increases income inequality and reduces economic growth and human capital accumulation through its negative impact on public investments in education, wages and individual learning choice.     

INCOME DISTRIBUTION,CREDIT RATIONING AND HOUSEHOLDS' DEBT

In this paper, we present a model of an economy with household debt, and discuss the conditions under which financial fragility arises. Financial instability is driven by distributive effects. In addition to the income transfers associated with interest payments, the accumulation of debt feeds back with the distribution of income between labour and capital. The model also gives a central role to banks and credit rationing. Contrary to the existing literature, credit supply does not depend on the characteristics of borrowers, but on those of banks. There is a feedback channel between the health of the financial system and the quantity of credit in the economy. We show that there is a diversity of channels through which financial fragility may arise. We identify three channels: a debt–deflation effect à la Fisher, a credit‐financed consumption boom and an exhilarating debt effect.     

银企关系与房地产公司的信贷违约--基于嵌入性视角的研究

嵌入性理论认为,社会资本是企业可以利用的重要资源。本文基于我国房地产上市公司信贷数据,发现银企关系作为企业一项重要的社会资本提供了财务变量和股票市场变量以外有关公司违约的重要信息,有助于提高违约风险模型的预测能力。其中银企双边关系久期、主营房地产业务时间以及公司国有背景与违约风险率显著负相关,银企关系规模的实际作用效果与关系网络的规模和结构有关。     

Masculinising domesticity: an investigation of men’s domestic foodwork

Abstract

This study examines how men configure their gendered identity in relation to a traditionally feminised domain. Hegemonic masculinity is said to structure men’s dominance over women. We use the lens of hegemonic masculinity along with social fields of cultural production to understand new allocations of status capital in relation to gendered identity work. Sweden, a country permeated by an ideology of egalitarianism and having a history of high economic and symbolic incentives for the domestic field, has seemingly legitimised the domestic consumption field in the search for higher status. By exploring the transforming meanings of masculinity when men enter a traditionally feminine consumption domain in this particular cultural context, we identify how feminised masculinities are shaped into hegemonic masculinity. This in turn suggests that the currently most honoured way of being a man includes forms of masculinities that incorporate egalitarian relationships between men and women.     

The Winner’s Curse of Human Capital

We extend a model developed by Evans and Jovanovic (1989) to explain when start-ups are credit constrained. We show that the magnitude of the credit constraint is conditioned by the relative productivity of human capital in both wage work and self-employment. The effect of predicted household income on start-up capital is used to indicate the existence of financial constraint. Empirical analysis reveals that entrepreneurs with high human capital have both greater financial wealth and greater levels of start-up capital pointing to the endogenous nature of credit constraints. High human capital relaxes financial constraints, apparently due to greater productivity of human capital in wage work than in self-employment. Those who are the least likely to be credit constrained in self-employment are those that are least likely to switch into self-employment,and vice versa.     

Giorgio Riello. A Foot in the Past: Consumers, Producers and Footwear in the Long Eighteenth Century

Through a case study of London's footwear trades, Giorgio Rielloventures to establish the interrelationship of consumption,retailing, and production in the (very) long eighteenth century.Documenting continuity and change from the 1650s to the 1890s,he addresses such disparate themes as fashion history, consumerism,retailing, urban and architectural history, credit and capital,craft organization, and industrialization. Riello succeeds admirablyin demonstrating that productive change is inextricably relatedto both consumption and distribution. And, he makes compellingclaims for     

Acquisition mode and credit card overspending behavior: An empirical analysis of the credit card industry

Although credit card overspending behavior has become a critical societal concern with severe negative impacts on consumer welfare and economic stability, research on credit card overspending behavior remains fragmented and understudied. This study investigates new types of antecedents of credit card overspending behavior that are overlooked in the prior literature—the acquisition mode of credit card companies. Based on data set from a large commercial bank in China, this study measures credit card overspending behavior using consumption amount, cash withdrawal amount and overdueness, and suggests that gift acquisition has a positive effect on cash withdrawal amount and overdue probability as well as a negative effect on consumption amount. Furthermore, we find that this relationship could be weakened for female customers and for customers with higher education levels. This study provides theoretical implications for both the credit card overspending literature and customer acquisition literature. It also has important implications for consumer welfare and public policymaking.     

农村民间资本风险控制研究

当前随着中小企业和农村经济发展对金融信贷的市场需求,农村民间资本呈现迅速发展的势头。但是,农村民间资本运营的风险性极高。农村民间资本风险控制要努力创造良好的信用环境,消除民间资本发展的信息障碍。加强信用建设,树立规则和信用意识,改善中小民营企业的融资条件。建立民间金融业诚信档案记录,提高失信成本,减少金融交易中的道德风险,以保证农村民间资本的良性发展。还要加大政策性金融的支农力度,发放政策性贷款,建立信用担保机构和农村保险基金来分担和转移风险,以更好地促进农村经济的发展。     

中小企业社会资本、信用水平与融资能

社会资本是一个近年来被引入经济学研究领域的概念,本文以中小企业社会资本为对象,运用结构方程模型分析社会资本、信用水平与融资能力之间的作用机制并得出研究结论。     

出口成本、信贷约束与企业出口

出口固定成本的存在将导致企业生产率的“自我选择”效应。如果存在出口信贷约束,信贷获取能力强的企业出口表现将优于信贷获取能力差的企业。本文利用世界银行调查数据,实证发现信贷约束限制企业出口,银行营运资金贷款和固定投资贷款对企业出口的影响存在非对称性。营运资金贷款对扩大出口集约边际和扩展边际的作用都很明显,而固定投资贷款仅仅扩大出口扩展边际。此外,对于财务脆弱的企业,银行信贷的出口促进作用更加显著。     

NUMERAIRE,SAVINGS AND THE INSTABILITY OF A COMPETITIVE EQUILIBRIUM

This paper addresses the stability of a multimarket competitive equilibrium. The dependence of stability on the choice of the numeraire is clarified. The traditional tâtonnement pricing is revised in order to satisfy some basic features of economic behaviour. Well‐known conditions for local stability are proved to be insufficient if a market for credit is introduced alongside the markets of dated commodities. Stability depends not only on the slopes of the demand and supply curves, but also on equilibrium prices. This result emerges without the occurrence of capital perversities, such as reswitching and reverse capital deepening.     

马克思消费信贷思想及现实指导意义

在研究资本主义消费和信用时,马克思分析了资本主义生产方式背景下的消费信贷,并阐述自己的消费信贷思想。马克思关于消费信贷的理论是对市场经济条件下消费信贷一般规律的揭示和反映,对于当前发展消费信贷、促进消费、扩大内需都有很强的指导意义。     

Capital buffer and credit‐risk adjustments in Islamic and conventional banks

The main purpose of this article is to empirically investigate the interactions between changes in capital buffer and changes in credit risk, using panel data of Islamic and conventional banks located in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region over the period 1999–2016. A negative two‐way relationship between the changes in capital buffer and the changes in credit risk is found for the two types of banks, that is, banks tend to decrease their capital buffers in response to an increase in risk exposure and limit their risky activities in response to an increase in their capital buffers. Dividing our period of study into three subperiods to assess the effect of the last financial crisis 2007–08 on the adjustment process, we point out the negative bidirectional relationship between the changes in capital buffer and the changes in credit risk of the two types of banks is present for the three subperiods except the case of conventional banks during the precrisis period. Moreover, we provide evidence that Islamic banks adjust their capital buffer in response to the changes in credit risk regardless of the existence or not of a deposit insurance scheme. In contrast, the negative two‐way relationship between the changes in capital buffer and the changes in credit risk in conventional banks is found only in countries without deposit insurance schemes.     

农村信用社资本、资产结构状况:安徽案例研究

本文是对安徽省农村信用社进行的实地考察。通过对样本农村信用社一线资料的掌握和研究,以资本构成、股本金构成、内源性融资能力、资本充足率、贷款结构的相关指标为实证分析重点,本文总结了样本农村信用社资本结构、资产结构的现状,分析其在发展过程中所遇到的困难及其原因,并提出相关建议。     

SIZE AND COMPOSITION OF PUBLIC SPENDING IN A NEOCLASSICAL GROWTH MODEL

This paper analyses the effect of public expenditures in a modified Solow model of capital accumulation with optimizing agents. The model identifies optimal government size and composition of public expenditures which maximize the rate of growth in the dynamics to the steady state and the long‐run level of per capita income. Different allocations of public resources lead to different growth rates in the transitional dynamics depending on their elasticities. However effects from fiscal policy are only temporary. Finally we argue that neglecting the non‐linear nature of the relationship between government spending and growth may lead empirical studies to biased results.