Past Successes and New Challenges： China＇s Foreign Trade at a Turning Point

Since 1979, China has recorded a remarkable trade performance, which has been driven by international processing and the offshoring strategies of foreign firms. The diversification of Chinese exports and their technological upgrading have been phenomenal However, there is also inertia, illustrated by the persistent dualism of the trade sector, the unrelenting specialization in downmarket products and the deteriorating terms of trade. These weaknesses have helped its partners to adjust to the rise of this new trade power. In the past decade, China＇s economy has faced the adverse effects o fan export-led growth and the global crisis has revealed its vulnerability. China is now forced to rebalance its economy. This will imply major changes in foreign trade, in favor of ordinary trade and away from processing. In the foreseeable future, China is unlikely to become the driver of international demand but will remain the engine of Asian economic integration.     

Long-Term Development Trend of China＇s Economy and Importance of the Circular Economy

This paper aims to explore the solution to the contradiction between economic growth and resources and the eco-environment, based on an analysis of the features of China‘s economic development trend within a given future period, by promoting a new paradigm of technological economy, and speeding up development of the circular economy.     

Policy Options for China＇s Bio-ethanol Development and the Implications for Its Agricultural Economy

The present paper analyzes the potential impacts of bio-ethanol expansion on agricultural production, food prices and farmers＇ incomes in different regions of China. The results show that increase in demand for feedstock to produce bio-ethanol will lead to large increase in the prices of agricultural products. The increase in prices will trigger a significant rise in the production of feedstock at the cost of lower rice and wheat production. The study also reveals that the impacts of bio-ethanol on farmers＂ incomes vary largely among regions and farmer groups. Given the expected expansion of bio-ethanol production in the future, and the limited land resources for feedstock production in China, the viability of different crops as feedstock for bio-ethanol requires careful analysis before a large-scale expansion of China＇s bio-ethanol program. Bio-ethanol production in China should be relying more on the second generation of bio-ethanol technologies （i.e. using celluloses to produce bio-ethanol）, and China＇s government should increase research investment in this field.     

Adjustment of Global Imbalances and Its Impact on China＇s Economy

I. Introduction Global imbalances have aroused increasingly greater attention worldwide. The global current account deficits are mainly concentrated in the USA and the US current account deficit is rapidly expanding, whereas the counterpart surpluses are more and more concentrated in the East Asian economies,1 especially China and other East Asian economies other than China and Japan (including the four newly industrialized economies, Indonesia, Malaysia,72 Jianhuai Shi / 71 – 85, Vol.…     

How to View the Problems in China‘s Economy？——In Response to the Notion of “Coming Collapse of China”

Of late,some scholars at home and abroad have presented or played up the notion that China is about to collapse,arousing a good deal of reaction and concern internationally.Chinese scholars and economists have responded to the notion from different angles.Printed here below are the views of Dr.Fan Gang.It is hoped that more people of insight would join the discussion.     

China＇s Macroeconomic Development： Stages and Nonlinear Convergence

I. Introduction Since the second half of the 1990s, the Chinese economy has witnessed some unprecedented changes: a sharp increase in urban unemployment, stagnation of labor transfer from agriculture to non-agricultural sectors and serious deflation. All these changes indicate a significant departure from the previous development trajectory: sustained full employment in urban areas, rapid labor transfer from agriculture to non-agricultural sectors and persistent and significant inflation. Beg…     

China＇s Economy in 2007/2008： Coping with Problems of Runaway Growth

Fuelled by high domestic investment and rapid export expansion, China ＂s economy grew by ll.4 pereent in 2007, the highest increase since 1994 and the fifth eonseeutive year of double-digit growth. Such spectacular growth performance is unprecedented in the world＇s economic history. However, the Chinese Government is again worried about a possible ＂hard landing＂for the economy, as no economy can sustain very strong growth for extremely long period without overheating. Cracks in China ＂s economy are indeed emerging. The eonsumer priee index shot up to 6.9percent in November 2007, the highest level in a decade, with the annual inflation for 2007 rising to 4.S pereent, well above the government＇s ＂comfort level＂ of 3 percent. This prompted China＇s top leadership to declare that reducing economic overheating and curbing inflation would be the top poliey priorities for 2008. To contain such cost-push inflation, the government has to tackle its root causes, such as excessive liquidity, which is caused by the undervaluation of the renminbi, which in turn is attributable to China＇s chronic external and internal maeroeeonomie imbalances~ High growth is likely to continue in 2008, at around l O pereent, with inflation of S-6 pereent expected, despite the anticipated tighter maeroeeonomie control measures and the more troubled external economic environment （e.g. the expected US economic slowdown）. Regardless, China ＂s fundamental problems associated with runaway growth will largely remain. In addition, if the US economy slips into a serious recession, the Chinese economy will not be able to deeouple from it and escape unscathed.     

China‘s Economic Growth：New Trends and Implications

I. IntroductionSince the "reform and opening up" policy began in 1978, China has sustained high growth. This success is associated with a gradual market-oriented reform. A central feature of this gradual reform is that the dominant state-owned enterprises have not been directly privatized; instead, the government chose to gradually introduce market forces into the economy, and at the same time, gradually reduce restrictions on the development of market-oriented non-state-owned enterprises, especially rural collective enterprises.     

Analysis of the Adjustment of China＇s Fiscal Policy in 2005

The prudent fiscal policy adopted in 2005 is the result of adopting a series of measures to strengthen macro control in recent years. The process of implementation will be gradual.During this period, pushing forward reforms is the main focus of all the measures. Tax reform, social security system reform and rural reform will need the most emphasis.     

资源禀赋、增长模式与可持续发展

在经济增长路径的选择过程中,如果无视中国的基本国情,片面强调快速发展大规模的资本、技术密集型产业,则:一方面,会加大自然资源和资本的供给缺口,使经济发展与生态环境的关系更加紧张;另一方面,会导致大量失业,影响社会稳定,从而损害可持续发展的社会基础。因此,我国的经济增长路径的选择与转变应立足于可持续发展的高度,确立合理的技术结构;同时加快制度创新步伐,为确立适合中国国情的经济增长路径的提供制度保证。     

构建支持企业可持续发展的融资政策

从财务学视角,诠释了企业可持续发展的内涵,分析了融资政策与企业可持续发展的关系,指出企业应从融资规模、融资方式和融资结构等要素来动态构建融资政策,以支持企业的可持续发展。     

中国国家级经济开发区的可持续发展(英文)

I. IntroductionIn China, development zone is a general name for special economic zones, economic andtechnological development zones, high and new technology development zones, free tradezones, export processing zones, border economic cooperation zones, and tourism andvacationing zones. The object of study in this paper is the State-level economic andtechnological development zones approved by the State Council.At the beginning of 1984, to further open to the outside world, Chinese government…     

企业的可持续发展—可持续增长率模型的应用

相对于企业的增长缓慢,企业的主管往往并不会为企业的发展过快而担忧,他们甚至认为发展得越快越好。但是接踵而来的事情往往让他们措手不及,甚至处于濒临破产的境地。本文引入可持续增长率模型,说明其中原委,并简要阐述了企业应对市场的大好发展契机的几项具体措施。     

What India Can Learn from China and Vice Versa

A partial convergence of the Indian and Chinese growth models is likely. Judging from China's experience, sustaining India's impressive economic performance of recent years will require a significant further opening of its economy (externally and internally), higher savings and investments, especially in physical infrastructure and social services, and stronger labor absorption in the modern sectors. The base of India's current economic boom - software, IT-related services and high-end manufacturing - is narrow compared to China's. Poor performance in agriculture is responsible for still significant poverty in many parts of rural India. Bilateral India-China ties, including trade and investment, are increasing rapidly and could help to bring about the structural economic changes India needs. Through its exports to China, India is becoming linked to global supply chains centered on China. The notion that India-China relations are, or are bound to become, fundamentally antagonistic, held by many in the USA, is mistaken and potentially dangerous.     

关于转变经济发展方式的理论分析与实践探讨

科学发展观要求一国经济要实现可持续发展,其数量表现为可持续增长。经济发展方式是指经济体发展的总体特征表现为粗放和集约两种形式。无论从理论上说还是从历史逻辑角度看,经济发展方式总是不同程度地从粗放向集约转变。这是各种生产要素通过各种途径不断吸纳,从而提高了科技含量的结果。由于我国人口众多、人均资源少、技术水平相对落后等资源禀赋特点,造成按科学发展观进行经济发展方式由粗放向集约转变与就业的“两难”选择的矛盾,为解决此矛盾,必须实施一套以教育和公共事业为主的有利于人力、物力资源开发利用,改善社会经济环境的转变经济发展方式的策略。     

略论知识经济与商业银行可持续发展

金融是经济的核心 ,要实现经济的可持续发展 ,就必须保障金融可持续发展。知识经济呼唤银行业可持续发展。本文分析了知识经济与商业银行可持续发展的关系 ,从知识经济视野考察了商业银行可持续发展内涵 ,提出了知识经济时代的商业银行可持续发展战略对策。     

财务可持续增长模型在企业中的应用分析——以惠泉啤酒为例

“新常态”下增速放缓会影响很多企业对增长的信心,而财务可持续发展战略恰好可以给“创新驱动”提供一个新的维度。以财务可持续增长模型为工具,对惠泉啤酒2001—2014年的增长状况进行具体研究分析,结果发现：惠泉啤酒在14年间基本实现了可持续增长。销售净利率、总资产周转率、流动比率、资产负债率与资本增长率是影响惠泉啤酒增长效率的关键驱动因素。但公司在增长管理中仍应通过强化成本管理,提高企业盈利水平;优化资产结构,提升营运效率;改变债务结构,降低企业财务风险;增强融资能力,支持企业持续发展等对策来促进企业的可持续增长。