Fiscal Leadership and Coordination in the EMU

We analyze the role of fiscal-monetary policy interactions and fiscal coordination in EMU under the assumption of strategic wage setting in unionized labour markets. We find that production subsidies and real wage distortions are strategic complements. The literature on macroeconomic stabilisation policies and policy games usually neglects this point and reaches overoptimistic conclusions about the desirable effects of accommodating fiscal policies. Central bank preferences also affect the desirability of fiscal coordination in a monetary union. In fact, contrary to Beetsma and Bovenberg (1998), we find that fiscal coordination improves outcomes in the case of a conservative central banker, whereas it leads to worse outcomes with a populist one.

Monetary and Fiscal Policy Interaction in the Euro Area with Different Assumptions on the Phillips Curve

In this paper we apply a static version of a New Keynesian macromodel to a monetary union (see Bofinger et al., J Econ Educ, 37:98–117 (2006), Walsh, J Econ Educ, 33:333–346 (2002)). We show in particular that a harmonious functioning of a monetary union critically depends on the correlation of shocks that hit the currency area. Additionally a high degree of integration in product markets is advantageous for the ECB as it prevents national interest rates from driving a wedge between macroeconomic outcomes across member states. In particular small countries are in need for fiscal policy as an independent stabilization agent with room to breath.

欧盟民主赤字的争论:国家主义与多元主义的二元分析

国家主义与多元主义的二元分析框架可以为国际关系理论与欧洲一体化理论之间的通约提供解释便利。这一理论通约可以将欧盟民主赤字的讨论放在国际关系理论的宏观背景下考察,即欧盟民主赤字的争论可以被放在调节自由主义、自由现实主义和规范自由主义之间进行展开。调节自由主义和自由现实主义对欧盟民主持抵制和批评的消极立场,而规范自由主义则表现出了追求欧盟民主的极大热情。欧盟民主赤字的争论展现出调节自由主义与自由现实主义结盟以对抗规范自由主义的景象。作者认为,欧盟民主赤字争论是康德与黑格尔关于欧洲未来讨论的当代版本。在国内政治中,康德主义越来越成为主导,但在国际政治中,黑格尔主义仍然处于话语和治理的霸权地位。反映在欧洲民主赤字的讨论中,其表现是:黑格尔主义色彩浓厚的调节自由主义和自由现实主义仍居于主导的位置,而作为康德思想当代翻版的规范自由主义则处在相对弱势的地位。     

Global Implications of Monetary and Fiscal Policy Rules in the EMU

In order to analyze successful strategies for economic policy in a global environment both international interdependencies and the strategic behavior of global players must be considered. We use a global model of the world economy (the MSG2 Model) to show the effects of dynamic policy optimization in the presence of various supply and demand shocks to different world regions. We show that fixed rules are generally superior for supply shocks, while demand shocks call for more active or discretionary policies.     

供给推动——论经济增长方式转型中的财政政策

本文讨论未来新形势下财政政策的目标定位问题.我们认为,财政政策的目标应从现有的需求管理转向供给推动,与此同时,这种以供给推动为主要目标的财政政策可以比现在更为积极.这种以供给推动为主要目标的更为积极的财政政策将有助于促进经济增长方式转型,并为中国在相当长时期内保持高速的经济增长提供保障.当中国经济能维持持续的高速增长时,债务问题则无需过虑.     

Does Money Have a Role in Monetary Policy for Price Stability under Inflation Targeting in Thailand?

This paper deploys Thai quarterly data for the study period 1999q1–2014q4 to econometrically investigate the proposition that money growth is an important, if not the sole, determinant of inflation under inflation targeting and that the money growth-inflation relation is not conditional on the stability of the money-demand function. The autoregressive distributed-lag (ARDL) bounds-testing results suggest that, across the study period, the Thai money stock (narrow or broad), real output, prices, interest rates and exchange rates maintained a long-run equilibrium relationship. The associated error-correction model of inflation confirms the cointegral relationship among money (narrow or broad), real output, prices, interest rates and exchange rates. It also suggests that money growth has a significant distributed-lag impact on inflation. The presence of this money growth-inflation relationship was associated with a stable narrow money-demand function, whereas the broad money-demand function remained unstable. These results for the study period are consistent with the view that the causal relationship between money growth and inflation holds in Thailand under inflation targeting when the Bank of Thailand deploys a short-term policy interest rate, rather than a monetary aggregate, as the instrument of monetary policy and that this relationship is not conditional on the stability of the money-demand function.     

Study on the Method of Regional Purchasing Power Parity in China

China is a country with great territory and the price level has remarkable disparity among various regions, which affects the accuracy of many economic indexes. Using the calculating way of the purchasing power parity of the United Nations International Comparison Project （ICP）, this paper chooses 127 samples of commodities and services as comparison programs for 31 provinces and calculates purchasing power parity of every province in 2002 by taking Shanghai as a norm. The aim of this article is to study the method of regional purchasing power parity of our country.     

新疆财政预决算偏离度问题研究

随着人们对财政预决算偏离度问题关注的增加,研究由此引发的对政府事权、财权、管理效率的思考就具有重要意义。近12年来,新疆财政预决算偏离度呈现增大趋势,本文对其现状及产生的原因进行了分析,并提出了相应的对策建议。     

近年来我国财政政策的回顾与未来走向分析

财政部长金人庆关于“中国将由实行积极和扩张的财政政策转向实行中立的财政政策以降低通货膨胀风险“的发言,使实施了6年的积极财政政策在总结和争论声中“相机“淡出了人们的视野.中性财政政策又成了关注的焦点,正确认识中性财政政策及未来我国财政政策的走向,必须从积极财政政策实施6年来的效绩分析及其二者间发生转化的内在原因分析着眼,才能更好地理解这种政策间转换的规律性,从而更好地理解和自觉地运用好这一政策工具,保证我国宏观经济的良性运行.     

Analysis of main subjects of the goods price formation in the market economy

The theoretical researchers, in the socialist market economy, are obliged to study the new features, the new rules, and the new important subjects of the product and service price formation in the contemporary economic development. Based on the theoretical analysis of the main subjects of the goods price formation, this paper reveals that the governmental policy is the main information resource of the main subjects of the goods price formation, the cost of goods is the main index of the main subjects of goods price formation and the consumer demand is the initial motivation of the main subjects of goods price formation.     

从产业关联角度分析煤电联动机制

煤电联动机制自出台以来,已经执行了两次煤电联动,电价相应两次提高,现在面临着是否进行第三次煤电联动的抉择。煤电联动缓解了电力行业的成本压力并缓和了煤电行业的紧张关系,却未能解决引发冲突的根本问题。文章拟用产业关联理论来分析煤电联动机制。     

欧盟区域间集体安全的构建——基于欧盟在非洲危机管理行动经验分析

欧盟区域间集体安全是欧盟在共同安全防务政策的制度和区域间合作框架中形成的对外危机管理概念。欧盟在非洲的危机管理行动经验表明,作为普遍性集体安全与区域性集体安全的"中间体",它既有集体安全的共同逻辑,如主权国家通过组织化的集体行动应对战争或其他大规模暴力的发生,具有大国主导和利益导向等特征;又有普遍性和区域性集体安全的共有特征,如依据《联合国宪章》等通行的国际法来指导其行为;也有区域性集体安全的共同特征,如拥有独立的制度框架和冲突预防的机制化;更有显著的"自我特性",如超国家机构的引入,综合安全方法和安全部门改革的机制化,军事权力、民事权力、规范权力的综合运用以及有效多边主义下的包容性进程等。作者认为,虽然欧盟区域间集体安全亦有明显的局限性,如行动的选择性、军事能力的不足、决策的单向性等,但它构建起了一种新的集体安全实践模式,进一步丰富了集体安全的内涵。     

房地产新政对地方财税的影响和对策分析——以江苏南通市为例

近年来,国家对房地产市场采取了一系列宏观调控措施,长三角地区更是作为被调控的重点地区,身处其中的江苏省南通市房地产市场也受到一定影响,进而造成地方财税的增幅出现下降态势,今后应通过稳定住房价格、鼓励房地产交易和严格税费征管等对策在促进地区房地产市场健康发展的同时使地方财税得到持续增长。     

土地承包经营权的特征与物权、债权性质差异--以《农村土地承包法》为分析依据

《农村土地承包法》规定了物权性质的土地承包经营权和债权性质的土地承包经营权两类,本文从分析土地承包经营权概念入手,首先研究了土地承包经营权的法律特征,其次对土地承包经营权的物权性质与债权性质之九方面差异进行深入研究,从中明确提出《农村土地承包法》重点和核心是调整和规范物权性质的土地承包经营权,达到真正赋予农民长期而有保障的农村土地利用权。     

西部地区承接产业梯度转移研究

承接国内外发达地区的产业梯度转移对于西部开发具有重要意义。但目前,西部地区无论是吸收外资还是国内东部发达地区的投资都不尽人意,其原因一方面在于外资企业和东部企业向外转移的动力不足;男一方面在于西部大多数地区也还不具备接受外资和东部产业转移的吸引力。因此西部地区应积极采取有效措施,改善投资的软硬环境,促进国内外产业向西部转移。     

苏南、浙北、浙南产业集群发展的共性和个性分析

苏南、浙北和浙南产业集群发展模式是中国具有代表性的产业集群发展模式,三者在促进县域经济发展、与专业市场耦合联动和开拓国际市场方面具有共性,在发展路径、发展模式、组织形式、外部环境和政府作用方面存在较大差异。     

湖南西部地区内部经济差异研究论纲

由于采取倾斜发展的战略,湖南西部地区内部已出现明显经济差异,并且差异程度呈扩大趋势,因此必须对该地区内部经济差异基本特征、变化规律及趋势作出准确测定,并适时对经济差异进行客观准确的预警.     

西部少数民族地区社会主义新农村建设的思考

建设社会主义新农村是"十一五"规划的重要内容.西部少数民族地区建设社会主义新农村有着重要的战略意义,必须按照科学发展观的要求,客观分析民族地区的现状,突破传统的思维定势,与时俱进,积极探索,勇于实践,全面建设社会主义新农村.     

《焦点访谈》之《国庆走基层》系列节目分析

2011年10月3日--10月7日,中央电视台的《焦点访谈》栏目推出了一档国庆特别节目--《国庆走基层》。本文将通过对这一系列共五期节目的分析,探索如何进行电视新闻节目的策划与制作。具体从这五期节目的选题立意与表现形式两个方面分析其独到之处,选题立意包括：报道题材选择的原因、作用;表现形式包括：节目内容编排（题目、顺序、节目的内容）、采访人物的选择、镜头的运用、主持人的表现、细节表现等方面。对四期节目分别进行具体分析之后,再从整体进行分析。     

深圳古村落文旅融合保护与开发模式探究

文化是旅游的灵魂,旅游是文化的载体,文旅融合是旅游业发展的必然趋势。深圳古村落文化是古村居民为适应当地环境、满足自身物质和精神需要而长期形成的文化积淀,对研究深圳传统文化具有重要意义。本文分析了文旅融合对深圳古村落发展的意义,并对深圳古村落文旅融合保护与开发模式进行了探讨。希望通过充分挖掘深圳古村落旅游的文化内涵,提升深圳文化旅游品质,实现旅游产业升级。