The U.S. Essential Air Service Program and SARS C0V-2, 2019–2020

The Essential Air Service (EAS) Program in the United States has provided government-subsidized air service to many small and rural communities for several decades. A program expectation is that it should provide service in light of prevailing market conditions. This paper assesses EAS during the height of the SARS CoV-2 (CoV2) pandemic from three interrelated perspectives: the program in aggregate, individual communities, and EAS connecting hubs. Using a combination of methods, including complex network analysis, we find that, in aggregate, EAS airports performed better than non-EAS airports in preserving seat capacity. However, there was variation in performance between individual EAS communities in particular and some distinct regional geographic patterns in general. In addition, we found substantial variation in the hubs' performance, which connect EAS to the U.S. National Air System.     

The importance of markets,politics, and community support: An analysis of the Small Community Air Service Development Program

Across the U.S., smaller communities face a challenging environment for attracting and retaining commercial air service as a result of airline industry changes. Increasingly, airports and communities in smaller markets are developing air service development programs (ASIPs) to provide incentives to reduce the financial risk to airlines while also marketing the new service to the community. A key source of funds for many of community-based incentive programs is the Small Community Air Service Development Program (SCASDP), which is a discretionary grant program operated by the Department of Transportation that provides funding to communities to supplement their own ASIPs. Despite the growing importance of this tool used by many communities, we know little about the factors that drive the allocation of SCASDP grants by the DOT. Using an analysis of 164 applications to the SCASDP program between 2011 and 2013, we assess the effect of market, political, and economic factors on the DOT's allocation of grants. Our findings suggest the DOT largely relies on the criteria in its published guidelines to allocate SCASDP grants. Specifically, the agency is more likely to approve applications for SCASDP grants when the community has the support of members of Congress who represent the community and the support of businesses and citizens through local match contributions. We also find the DOT allocates grants to communities with letters of support from air carriers and prior experience, either through multiple applications in the past or through an experience air service development consultant, with the application process.     

Do Public Service Obligations hamper the cost competitiveness of regional airlines?

Panel data is used to model the cost of a set European and US regional air carriers between 1991 and 2002 to see the extent to which they are affected by Public Service Obligations or the US's Essential Air Service Program. Pooling the data set indicates that the Public Service Obligations in Europe do affect the economic performance of carriers, but this is not the case for the US's Essential Air Service Program.     

Economic contribution of essential air service flights on small and remote communities

The Essential Air Service Program (EAS) has attracted considerable criticism and has been a target for either modification or complete termination almost since its inception through the Airline Deregulation Act in 1978. Although its opponents emphasize the program's inefficiency, its supporters claim that the program is crucial to accessing small and remote communities, which helps them develop economically and socially. This paper demonstrates the economic contributions of EAS flights to small and remote communities. Using a two-stage least squares estimation, the major findings indicate that a 1% increase in air passenger traffic in EAS airports with a minimum annual air passenger traffic of 1000 likely leads to a 0.12% increase in per capita income of the community served by that airport. Our results also suggest that EAS communities that are able to sustain their subsidized flights experienced higher per capita income growth in the 1999–2011 period than did ex-EAS communities that lost their flights as a result of non-eligibility.     

A spatial analysis of air transport access and the essential air service program in the United States

In the United States, the goal of essential air service (EAS) is to provide a minimum level of air transport service from smaller, often remote communities to the national network. While supporters of EAS tout the economic benefits of connecting rural and isolated communities, critics cite high costs, low use and antiquated eligibility requirements as factors which compromise the value of the program. In this paper, a comprehensive database of US airports is combined with network analysis techniques and a geographic information system to evaluate population access (at the census tract level) to EAS airports for 2006. Results suggest that redundant coverage of EAS market areas by alternative Federal Aviation Administration designated hub airports can contribute to EAS airport market leakage and that alternative definitions of EAS community eligibility have the potential to dramatically increase programmatic efficiency and reduce federal monies spent on EAS subsidies.     

A community evaluation of Essential Air Services

Because the Essential Air Service (EAS) is a controversial federal program, a debate regarding its rehabilitation options and even its complete termination has been on the political agenda for more than a decade. For the beneficiaries of the program, most notably communities receiving subsidized air services and regional airlines supplying these services, EAS flights increase the accessibility of small and remote communities. For those people defending low government expenditures and free markets, EAS flights are a typical example of public intervention and wasteful government spending. In addition, increasing federal appropriations, rising per passenger subsidies, and the growing number of communities asking for subsidized air services have generated public attention, resulting in calls for improvements to enhance the efficiency of the program. Using Web-based survey data gathered from a pool of 95 city officials representing 56 EAS communities, this study aimed at contributing to the debate by attempting to provide evidence regarding how EAS communities perceived the importance of EAS flights to their communities, how they evaluated the then-current state of EAS flights, how they locally supported EAS flights, and how they assessed the possible rehabilitation options. The results of the survey revealed that EAS communities (1) assigned a high importance to EAS flights but not as high an importance to creating more jobs, improving the quality of education, and improving the quality of health services; (2) believed that the frequency of the flights was at the right level and that the airfares were expensive; (3) undertook marketing efforts to increase awareness of the flights, to attract air carriers to their communities, and to implement market studies for determining the potential of the flights; and (4) did not believe that rehabilitation options, such as employing alternative transportation modes, using smaller aircrafts, and consolidating EAS flights, would work, but they supported awarding longer-term EAS contracts.     

Predicting the loss of commuter air service in the United States

This paper looks at the probability of loss of commuter air service in the United States. Logistic regression using a model consisting of geographic, economic, and social variables is constructed to examine those communities in the United States that are in danger of losing commercial air service. After modeling the loss of service, patterns are discovered as to the location of these communities. The paper concludes with analysis of those cities targeted for loss of service and solutions for what these communities can do to continue to be part of the commercial air system.     

The impact of Air Service Agreement liberalisation: The case of Nigeria

The positive impact of air transport liberalisation as suggested by economic theories and empirical studies has inspired many developing countries like Nigeria to liberalise some of its Air Service Agreements (ASAs). This paper seeks to examine the extent to which international air service liberalisation has impacted upon Nigeria ten years after it was introduced. The research developed a cross-sectional model with passenger traffic as the dependent variable, while macroeconomic factors (trade and GDP), historical links, distance and ASAs (a proxy for liberalisation) served as independent or predictor variables. The analysis revealed a set of ASA stages in the country's policy-making process (restricted Bilateral Air Service Agreement, Open Skies Agreement and Yamoussoukro Declaration). Further analysis showed that the predictor variables were all significant in explaining passenger demand. The model demonstrated that the liberalisation of market access to the Open Skies Agreement level could stimulate traffic growth by at least 65 percent. The findings can assist in guiding policy and industry stakeholders in future decisions relating to liberalisation and ASAs.     

Spatial and operational factors behind passenger yield of U.S. nonhub primary airports

Nonhub airports are an essential component in the National Plan of Integrated Airport Systems (NPIAS) of the United States in that they connect regional towns and small communities to the air transportation network. Understanding the interplay of operational and spatial factors in determining average passenger yield of nonhub airports provides airlines with valuable information for network planning and revenue management. This study examines factors contributing to the yield variation among nonhub airports in the U.S. Using ordinary least squares (OLS) based econometric models, this study captures the spatial dependence of passenger yield of nonhub airports, which tends to increase with a corresponding increase in distance to the nearest large hub airport. Nonhub airports surrounding large hub airports with higher passenger enplanements and higher average yields also have higher yields than other nonhub airports. In addition, this study finds the effect of Allegiant Airlines in lowering the average passenger yield of the nonhub airports served directly by the airline, which can be termed as ‘Allegiant Effect’. Findings of this study could provide valuable guidance for airlines to analyze network planning strategies and to identify future markets for growth and for policymakers when allocating resources to communities relying on these nonhub airports.     

Intermodal logistics: The interplay of financial,operational and service issues

This research addresses strategic planning for an interregional, hub based, intermodal logistics network operated by a logistics service provider. A tabu search meta-heuristic is used to solve a mathematical optimization model that extends the p-hub median model for interacting hub location-allocation problems to the domain of intermodal logistics. An empirical study based on a subset of US freight flows shows that intermodal logistics networks differ significantly from traditional over-the-road logistics networks in their hub locations, network structure, and their use of direct and inter-hub shipments. Furthermore, intermodal logistics networks are more sensitive to changes in service requirements and costs.     

Are passengers willing to pay more for additional legroom?

This paper investigates whether or not the efforts by two of the largest US airlines to increase seat pitch (i.e. legroom) across their aircraft fleet during 2000 resulted in fare premia relative to the other ‘full service carriers’. Using panel data from 1998 to 2002, we estimate fixed-effects regressions in markets with overlapping service between large hub and spoke carriers and find that United's ‘Premium Economy’ program was more successful than American's ‘More Room Throughout Coach’ program at generating fare premia.     

Analytic Hierarchy Process assessment for potential multi-airport systems – The case of Cape Town

This paper discusses the application of an Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) analysis for the assessment of a potential multi-airport development. The case study presented evaluates the potential introduction of a second airport in the City of Cape Town, which is currently served solely by Cape Town International Airport. With socioeconomic development, spatial planning, transportation improvement, environmental preservation and financial viability proposed as the main objectives of airport development, a survey of key stakeholders addressed the relative weighting of these criteria in the AHP. The multi-criteria decision-making assessment, as well as analyst judgement, concluded that the City of Cape Town should continue to utilise a single-airport system until passenger volumes per annum increase beyond the 27 Million Air Passengers per annum level.     

高速铁路综合客运枢纽协同管理研究

随着城市快速发展和旅客运输服务品质的提升,高速铁路综合客运枢纽已经成为我国综合客运枢纽的重要组成部分。在分析高速铁路综合客运枢纽发展现状及存在问题的基础上,针对综合客运枢纽协同管理较为薄弱、协同管理服务水平有待突破、协同管理机构有待健全等问题,从规划建设协同、运营管理信息协同、管理机构协同等方面提出高速铁路综合客运枢纽协同管理对策,为高速铁路综合客运枢纽提升服务品质提供决策支持。     

Long-term route traffic forecasts and flight schedule pattern for a medium-sized European airport

This paper develops a methodology for assessing the future route network and flight schedule at a medium-sized European airport. The starting point is the existing origin and destination demand from the base airport across the world. This is expanded using growth rates by country or region for the period up to year 2015. The future origin and destination demand is then converted into route traffic, subject to a threshold for direct service. Where demand falls below this level, traffic is reallocated via various appropriate hubs. A model of frequency and aircraft size is applied to estimate the future air service on each route and a schedule created, allocating these flights to specific times of day. The scenario where the base airport operates as a hub is then investigated. This involves identifying a suitable hub model, considering geographical and competitive issues. The origin and destination demand is increased, resulting in an enlarged network of routes. Flights are then scheduled within the constraints of an optimal wave pattern. The outputs are of considerable interest in long-term airport planning and also offer an insight into future airline network strategies and opportunities.     

From traditional to professional Air Navigation Service Provider: A typology of European ANSP business models

This paper proposes a business model typology based on factor analysis of mixed data sourced from the 2016 Air Traffic Management Cost Effectiveness (ACE) benchmarking report, European air navigation service provider (ANSP) websites and annual reports. It provides ANSP management insight into the key strategic business model decisions to be made, their resulting models as well as how these business model decisions contribute to ATM/CNS profits. The findings suggest that ANSPs can benefit from increasing both their level of corporatisation as level of outsourcing. The paper can be used by ANSP managers to position themselves within the European air navigation services (ANS) landscape and as a discussion starter for future business model developments; or by ANS customers to better understand the strategic objectives of the ANSPs.     

Hub network design problems with profits

This paper presents a class of hub network design problems with profit-oriented objectives, which extend several families of classical hub location problems. Potential applications arise in the design of air and ground transportation networks. These problems include decisions on the origin/destination nodes that will be served as well as the activation of different types of edges, and consider the simultaneous optimization of the collected profit, setup cost of the hub network and transportation cost. Alternative models and integer programming formulations are proposed and analyzed. Results from computational experiments show the complexity of such models and highlight their superiority for decision-making.     

Are we keeping up? Accessibility,equity and air quality in regional planning

Many US metropolitan areas have undergone dramatic shifts in socioeconomic organization.. As urban areas gentrify, many low-income residents and communities of color have transitioned towards the exurban periphery. These suburban neighborhoods tend to have fewer employment opportunities and are fairly disconnected from public transportation networks serving the urban core. Using regional transportation plans (RTPs) for three California MPOs, we show that the transportation accessibility and environmental health issues affecting these exurban communities are unique and inadequately captured by the MPOs' current equity metrics. MPOs performance evaluation is regional and achieving equity within the urban core communities will not address emerging equity, accessibility and air quality concerns for exurban communities. With a brief history and a focused case study of RTPs for the San Francisco Bay Area, San Diego, and Fresno, we examine how air pollution, equity, and transportation interact in three different types of 21st century cities. We find that when allocating limited transportation funds, California metropolitan planning organizations (MPOs) prioritize the improvement of existing public transportation in urban core areas over expansion of transit networks towards disconnected exurbs. This approach is an effective way to reduce vehicle miles traveled (and thus, air pollution) at the regional level due to high population concentrations in urban cores. However, this approach also concentrates the air quality benefits of VMT reduction in these same urban core areas. Exurban residents' on-road and near-road exposure to Traffic-Related Air Pollution (TRAP) will not be reduced by improving public transit within the urban core. We argue that although these suburban and exurban communities are a small percentage of the regional population, they have a right to share in the benefits of transportation investments, particularly given the historical and ongoing patterns of displacement and economic exclusion from urban core areas.     

Small community airport choice behavior analysis: A case study of GTR

The issue of airport selection attracts considerable attention. However, most studies focus on using advanced discrete choice models to analyze airport choice behavior in metropolitan areas with several closely located, competing airports. This paper addresses passengers’ choice behavior in selecting between local small community airports and more distant major commercial airport. It looks at factors affecting air travelers’ airport choice behavior in cities with small community air service. Data relating to the Golden Triangle Regional Airport in Mississippi is used in logistic regressions to identify the key factors that influence air travelers’ airport choices. Ticket price, experience with Golden Triangle Regional Airport and flight schedule were found to be the strongest effects.     

Competition and cooperation between high-speed rail and air transportation services in Europe

New high-speed rail (HSR) lines may have an enormous influence on the provision of air services. The attention has been devoted to competition between both transportation modes but in some cases HSR services may also have an intermodal complementary role with air transportation. By taking a supply oriented empirical analysis, we study the impact of HSR on air service frequencies and seats offered by airlines in large European countries. We emphasize the distinction between routes with and without a hub airport as an endpoint and we also examine the influence of the location of the HSR station. We generally find direct competition between HSR and airlines, but we also provide some evidence that HSR can provide feeding services to long haul air services in hub airports, particularly in hub airports with HRS stations.     

建设虹桥枢纽 服务区域经济——上海虹桥综合交通枢纽规划与运营

上海虹桥综合交通枢纽是城市规划和城市交通规划的一次大胆尝试。介绍虹桥综合交通枢纽项目的由来、功能定位、开发策划、规划设计、道路交通规划、信息系统规划、空铁联运、防灾规划，对综合交通枢纽的规划与运营进行总结和探讨。