The Perron-Frobenius theorem without additivity

We prove the following non-linear generalization of the Perron-Frobenius theorem. Let A:R^m₊→R^m₊ be continuous, homogeneous of degree 1 and primitive (i.e., for some integer l, x≥yA^lxA^ly); then A has a positive eigenvector x₀, unique up to multiplication by a positive scalar, and for all x0, Aⁿx/|Aⁿx| converges to x₀/|x₀|.     

Estimation of the parameters in the gravity model for trip distribution : A new method and solution algorithm

For the unique determination of the parameters in the doubly constrained gravity model with exponential friction function two approaches are common: (1) entropy maximization and (2) application of a travel cost budget. This paper shows by making use of geometric programming that both of these approaches are equivalent with another natural criterion: the minimization of the deviation between the observed [t_1j] and the estimated [x_1j] table for a base year. By means of calculating the derivative of total cost as a function of σ the construction of an efficient algorithm for estimation of σ is made possible.     

The restricted regularity of admissible minimax criteria for many well known parametric statistical problems

Summary The stability of test selection criteria is a question that was raised byLeCam in 1964 [seeLeCam, 1964], but which seems to have received very little subsequent attention. Roughly, the problem posed byLeCam was to decide whether a given criterion is regular at a given statistical problem, i.e. given that the criterion prescribes the test ₀ for the statistical problem, (₀,D ₀,R ₀), whether it prescribes a best which is nearly the same as ₀ for any statistical problem, (, D,R), near to (₀, D₀,R ₀).A more precise formulation ofLeCam's question is one of the objectives of this paper. This involves defining a suitable topology on the domain of problems where the criterion in question is to be applied. Elementary minimax results of a general nature are proved, and counter examples are given to show that the assumptions used are not completely superfluous. The generality of these results seems to lend support to the authors opinion, that the method of formulation is suitable for treating minimax questions. We then consider the standard elementary problems of parametric statistics, (monotone likelihood ratio, general exponential family) and prove that the admissible minimax criterion is regular with respect to certain types of perturbations in these problems. The treatment is, in a sense, restricted and departs fromLeCam in holding the risk function essentially constant while varying the parameter space. That the problem variations considered may be of some practical interest and that the general formulations used are not completely unrealistic is shown at the conclusion of the paper where we apply a rest, icted regularity theorem to obtain regularity results for the binomial case.     

Hierarchical analysis: Classification with ordinal object dissimilarities

Summary Lerman [1970] has demonstrated, that the dissimilarity indices normally used in data analysis are identical up to strictly monotone transformationsf:R ₊R ₊ if the data are nominal and each set of attribute scores is finite.In that case he proposes to use a preorder between pairs of objects to express similarity or dissimilarity, in order to avoid inconsistent classification results that might occur, if clustering schemes which are not monotone invariant are applied to a quantitative index. Here it is shown, how a hierarchy on the objects can be calculated if such a preorder relation is given.     

The average number of events per time unit and its estimation

Let ζ _t be the number of events which will be observed in the time interval [0;t] and define as the average number of events per time unit if this limit exists. In the case of i.i.d. waiting-times between the events,E[ζ _t ] is the renewal function and it follows from well-known results of renewal theory thatA exists and is equal to 1/τ, if τ>0 is the expectation of the waiting-times. This holds true also when τ = ∞.A may be estimate by ζ _t /t or where is the mean of the firstn waiting-timesX ₁,X ₂, ...,X _n . Both estimators converage with probability 1 to 1/τ if theX _i are i.i.d.; but the expectation of may be infinite for alln and also if it is finite, is in general a positively biased estimator ofA. For a stationary renewal process, ζ _t /t is unbiased for eacht; if theX _i are i.i.d. with densityf(x), then ζ _t /t has this property only iff(x) is of the exponential type and only for this type the numbers of events in consecutive time intervals [0,t], [t, 2t], ... are i.i.d. random variables for arbitraryt > 0.     

Ordering sellers in sequential auctions

We examine how buyers’ behaviors, sellers’ profits and the social welfare (the total surplus of all sellers and buyers) vary with the order of sellers in sequential auctions where sellers have different reservation values. First, when reserve prices are exogenously set to be sellers’ reservation values, a social planner would order sellers from low to high based on their reservation values, which yields a uniquely efficient order that maximizes the social welfare. However, an auctioneer charged with maximizing the total profit of all sellers would want to reverse the increasing order in certain situations. Second, when reserve prices can be endogenously selected in addition to the order of sellers, the auctioneer would always want to adopt the increasing order for the optimally chosen reserve prices. Sequential auctions with optimally chosen reserve prices and an increasing order are shown optimal among the class of voluntary and incentive-compatible mechanisms.     

Realization of closed,convex, and symmetric subsets of the unit square as regions of risk for testing simple hypotheses

It is well-known that the region of risk for testing simple hypotheses is some closed, convex, and (1/2, 1/2)-symmetric subset of the unit square, which contains the points (0, 0) and (1, 1). It is shown that for any such subsetR of the unit square and any atomless probability measureP on some -algebra there exists some probability measureQ on the same -algebra such thatR is the corresponding region of risk for testingP againstQ. This generalizes a result of [4] and is as a first step derived here for the special case, whereP is equal to the uniform distribution on the unit interval. The corresponding distributionQ is given explicitly in this case and the general case is treated by some well-known measure-isomorphism. This method of proof shows thatQ might be chosen to be of typeQ=Q ₁+(1–)Q ₂ for some satisfying 01, whereQ ₁ is a probability measure, which is absolutely continuous with respect toP andQ ₂ is a one-point mass.     

A queueing problem with correlated arrivals and correlated phase-type service zur theorie des rangtests

Summary This paper studies the steady-state behaviour of a discrete-time, single-channel, first-come-first-served queueing problem wherein (i) the arrivals at two consecutive time-marks are correlated (ii) the service is accomplished in phases and (iii) the completion of phases at two consecutive time-marks are correlated. The probability generating function (p.g.f.) of the number of phases waiting and in service is obtained. Further, the p.g.f. of queue length is obtained for the case when each unit demands only one phase of service, and the mean queue length is derived therefrom. Finally, the p.g.f. and the mean queue length are discussed for the special cases, (i) r=0,R≠0, (ii) r≠0,R=0, (iii) r=0,R=0, (iv) r≠0,R=−I, (v) r=0,R=−I, (vi) r=−I,R≠0, (vii) r=−I,R=0, (viii) r=I,R≠0, (ix) r=I,R=0, (x) r≠0,R=I, (xi) r=0,R=I, where r andR are the respective coefficients of correlation between arrivals and completion of phases at two consecutive time-marks.     

Competitive Mixed Bundling and Consumer Surplus

Mixed bundling in imperfectly competitive industries causes some prices to rise and others to fall. This paper studies under what conditions mixed bundling works for or against the consumer interest. We find that if buyers incur firm-specific costs or have shop-specific tastes then competitive mixed bundling lowers consumer surplus overall and raises profits—the same is true of competitive volume discounts. Competition without these volume discounts causes all prices to be kept low as larger customers are targeted; with volume discounts the prices for heavy users drop, but more is extracted from small users. The consumer surplus result is reversed if the differentiation between components as opposed to firms is key.     

Minimax estimation under convex loss when the parameter interval is bounded

In the present paper families of truncated distributions with a Lebesgue density forx=(x ₁,...,x _n ) ε ℝ ⁿ are considered, wheref ₀:ℝ → (0, ∞) is a known continuous function andC _n (ϑ) denotes a normalization constant. The unknown truncation parameterϑ which is assumed to belong to a bounded parameter intervalΘ=[0,d] is to be estimated under a convex loss function. It is studied whether a two point prior and a corresponding Bayes estimator form a saddle point when the parameter interval is sufficiently small.     

Das Gesetz des iterierten Logarithmus für kumulative Prozesse

Summary Smith [1955] defined cumulative processes. He proved a strong law of large numbers and a central limit theorem for such processes. This paper deals with the Hartman-Wintner law of the iterated logarithm for cumulative processes using that one for sums [Hartmann/Wintner] and that one for renewal counting processes [Neffke, 1980; cf. alsoWalk].

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Für identisch verteilte Zufallsvariablen wird der Index in Ausdrücken wieE (),P fortgelassen, alsoP , steht fürP _i,i2.

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Im folgenden beschränkt man sich aufv _t()< für allet, also P. Dieses ist mit Wahrscheinlichkeit Eins erfüllt.     

Shrinkage estimation of <Emphasis Type="Italic">P</Emphasis>(<Emphasis Type="Italic">X</Emphasis><<Emphasis Type="Italic">Y</Emphasis>) in the exponential case with common location parameter

We consider the problem of estimating R=P(X<Y) where X and Y have independent exponential distributions with parameters and respectively and a common location parameter . Assuming that there is a prior guess or estimate R₀, we develop various shrinkage estimators of R that incorporate this prior information. The performance of the new estimators is investigated and compared with the maximum likelihood estimator using Monte Carlo methods. It is found that some of these estimators are very successful in taking advantage of the prior estimate available.Acknowledgments. The authors are grateful to the editor and to the referees for their constructive comments that resulted in a substantial improvement of the paper.     

Estimating a restricted normal mean

Let X ₁, X ₂, ..., X _n be a random sample from a normal distribution with unknown mean μ and known variance σ ². In many practical situations, μ is known a priori to be restricted to a bounded interval, say [−m, m] for some m > 0. The sample mean , then, becomes an inadmissible estimator for μ. It is also not minimax with respect to the squared error loss function. Minimax and other estimators for this problem have been studied by Casella and Strawderman (Ann Stat 9:870–878, 1981), Bickel (Ann Stat 9:1301–1309, 1981) and Gatsonis et al. (Stat Prob Lett 6:21–30, 1987) etc. In this paper, we obtain some new estimators for μ. The case when the variance σ ² is unknown is also studied and various estimators for μ are proposed. Risk performance of all estimators is numerically compared for both the cases when σ ² may be known and unknown.     

Customer or Complementor? Intercarrier Compensation with Two‐Sided Benefits

Both senders and receivers derive benefits from telecommunications messages. Hence, consumers’ sending and receiving decisions generate external effects. We explore whether intercarrier compensation (i.e., an access charge) can induce carriers to set retail prices that internalize these external effects. We find that an access charge can induce constrained‐efficient sending and receiving prices for exchanging messages across networks, taking the sum of these prices as given, but cannot induce the correct sum. We also show that the internalizing role for the access charge can imply a nonzero access charge is efficient even in highly symmetrical situations, and that the efficient access charge may be positive or negative.     

Boundedly complete families which are not complete

Summary Completeness of a family of probability distributions implies its bounded completeness but not conversely. An example of a family which is boundedly complete but not complete was presented by Lehmann and Scheffe [5]. This appears to be the only such example quoted in the statistical literature. The purpose of this note is to provide further examples of this type. It is shown that any given family of power series distributions can be used to construct a class containing infinitely many boundedly complete, but not complete, families. Furthermore, it is shown that the family of continuous distributions , is boundedly complete, but not complete, whereU denotes the uniform distribution on [a, b] and {P _ϑ,ϑ ∈ IR}, is a translation family generated by a distributionP ₀ with mean value zero, which is continuous with respect to the Lebesgue measure.     

What Is the Economic Meaning of FDH?

The central feature of the FDH model is the lack of convexity for its production possibility set, TF. Starting with n observed (distinct) decision making units DMU_k , each defined by an input-output vector p _k = [y _k -x _k], domination is defined by ordinary vector inequalities. DMU_k is said to dominate DMU_j if p _k ≥ p _j , p _k ≠ p _j . The FDH production possibility set TF consists of the observed DMU_j together with all input-output vectors p=[y_k,?x_k] with y ≥ 0, x ≥ 0, y ≠ 0, x ≠ 0 which are dominated by at least one of the observed DMU_j. DMU_k is defined as “FDH efficient” if no DMU_j dominates it. In the BCC (or variable return to scale) DEA model the production possibility set TB consists of the observed DMU_k together with all input-output vectors dominated by any convex combination of them and DMU_k is DEA efficient if it is not dominated by any p in TB. In the DEA model, economic meaning is established by the introduction of (non negative) multiplier (price) vectors w = [u,v]. If DMU_k is undominated (in TB) then there exists a positive multiplier vector w for which (a) w ^T p _k = u ^T y _k ? v ^T x _k ≥ w ^T p for every p ∈ TB. In everyday language, the net return (or profit) for DMU_k relative to the given multiplier vector w is at least as great as that for any production possibility p. On the other hand, if DMU_k is FDH but not DEA efficient then it is proved that there exists no positive multiplier vector >w for which (a) holds, i.e. for any positive w there exists at least one DMU_j for which w ^T p _j > w^T p _k . Since, therefore, FDH efficiency does not guarantee price efficiency what is its economic significance? Without economic significance, how can FDH be considered as being more than a mathematical system however logically soundly it may be conceived?

     

A conventional statistical problem with irregular minimax behavior

Summary The problem of testing the mean vector of the two dimensional circularly symmetrical normal distribution with unit variances, where the data consists of just one sample point inR ², is examined for stability of -maximin criteria. If the null hypothesisH ₀ is the one point set containing the origin and the alternative set equal to the whole ofR ²–H ₀, then the -maximin is not unique. If a zone of indifference _I containingH ₀ is introduced, then the problem of testingH ₀ againstR ² – _I can turn out to have a unique -maximin test. In the present paper we show a class of such _I for which this is the case. We show further that, given any -maximin test for testingH ₀ againstR ²–H ₀, there is a decreasing sequence of _I , with intersection equal toH ₀, for which the corresponding sequence of -maximin tests forH ₀ againstR ² – _I approaches a limit (in the usual weak star topology) which is not equivalent to .     

The role of the list price in housing markets: Theory and an econometric model

Houses are routinely sold at prices below, but rarely sold at prices above, their list prices. List prices appear to be price ceilings that preclude the possibility of sales at higher prices. This paper presents a theory of sellers' behaviour that explains why there are list prices in housing markets and why list prices are distinct from sellers' reservation prices. The theory forms the basis of an econometric model that has been estimated using data from the Baltimore, MD, area. The estimated model predicts sale and reservation prices conditional on list prices. The predictions of sale prices are considerably more accurate than those obtained from a standard hedonic price regression. The estimated model also explains why sellers may not be willing to reduce their list prices even after their houses have remained unsold for long periods of time.     

Comparison of test vs. control treatments using distance optimality criterion

We consider the problem of comparison of one test treatment (τ₀) with a set of v control treatments (τ₁, τ₂, …, τ_v) using distance optimality [DS-optimality] criterion introduced by Sinha (1970) in some treatment-connected design settings. It turns out that the nature of DS-optimal designs is quite similar to that for the usual A−, D− and E− optimality criteria. However, the optimality problem is quite complicated in most situations. First we deal with the CRD model and derive DS-optimal allocations for a given set of treatments. The results are almost identical to the A-optimal allocations for such problems. Then we consider a block design set-up and examine the nature of DS-optimal designs. In the process, we introduce the method of weighted coverage probability and maximize the resulting expression to obtain an optimal design. Received: December 1999