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满丁玮 《江西金融职工大学学报》2009,(5):78-81
文章通过对A股市场由"牛市"转入"熊市"的原因和2008年以来已解禁非流通股减持情况的分析,发现"大小非"解禁后短期内并没有发生"大小非"恶性减持套利的现象,股市的低迷更多的是来自于投资者信心的不足,进而提出针对"大小非"解禁安排的一些建议。 相似文献
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湘源 《金融经济(湖南)》2013,(3):37
有人相信"红包"牛市,有人却嗤之以鼻,曰:"一坨牛屎"。市场当前的纠结,与其说是反弹遭遇波动,不如说是天真遇到现实。如果硬要说反弹是什么所谓"新政"的""红包",那么,获益的究竟是128亿减持套现的大小非,还是50万清仓离场账户的散户,这是首先需要弄弄清楚的。对于大小非来说,不管在多少点位上减持,套现的都是利润,反弹越高,"红包"无疑也就越是丰厚。而对于亏得苦不堪言的散户来说,所谓的逢高 相似文献
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为什么大部分人还是穷?无数人曾思索过这个问题,有人归纳为帝国主义的侵略,有人归纳为科学技术落伍,也有人归结于教育落后. 穷并不可怕,可怕的是受了穷却不知道穷的原因. 相似文献
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股市跌的太久,跌的太深,跌的太狠,市场一片悲凉气氛。在股市呆久了,你会发现股市的涨跌,如同自然界的潮起潮落。这期间有人为因素也有政策影响,但毕竟大家所面对的,是同一游戏规则,股市没有绝对的公平。比如"大小非"这样的不公平,也只能理解为中国特色。问题是:"大小非"是中国的股市的"特产",但在这轮全球性的股市暴跌过程中,没有"大小非"的股市也没能幸免于难啊。 相似文献
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股市从去年10月见顶以来,市场出现了连续大幅下跌,虽然有美国次贷危机引发的经济衰退风险和国内持续的通货膨胀等负面因素影响,但其最主要的原因还在于,"大小非"解禁导致市场供求关系出现了严重失衡。因此从本质上来看,市场进入全流通时代以后,原有的估值体系被打破,持续调整就是市场重新寻求合理估值体系的过程。 相似文献
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《武汉金融》2019,(10)
传统观点并未将实际汇率作为影响经济增长的核心变量之一,但"罗德里克新论"的出现肯定了汇率贬值对经济增长的积极作用。本文实证检验了实际汇率贬值的经济增长效应在不同样本国家中的检验情况,发现经"巴萨效应"修正后得到的实际汇率每贬值10%,经济将增长0.93%。分组检验的结果显示:(1)"贬值促增长"这一结论对发达国家不适用,其实际汇率偏离通常短暂地存在于市场运行过程中,无法通过维持偏离影响经济增长;(2)"贬值促增长"这一结论在发展中国家中显著成立,原因可能是其倾向于实施外部导向型政策来维持被低估的实际汇率进而推动增长。另外,正向关系对于中低收入国家以及实际汇率被低估国家始终成立。 相似文献
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I.F. Clarke 《Futures》1985,17(2):170-184
With this survey of developments in the futures field since 1945, I.F. Clarke completes his present series for Futures. He makes two major points: that forecasting techniques have become essential tools in the management of change; and that nuclear weapons and ecological problems have added a moral dimension to the study of the future. In the next issue of Futures he will start a new series on the range of future-thinking in the USA, from the expectations of the first settlers to the Star Wars programme. 相似文献
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融资融券业务正式运营已经开展,为证券市场带来了革命性的改革,作为证券市场的一大主体,基金公司面对融资融券也迎来了新的发展方向和挑战,本文从融资融券业务的运行机制入手,分析了基金公司融资融券的新契机,并对其即将面临的问题进行审视和剖析,进而提出策略建议. 相似文献
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银监会分设后,人民银行将专司货币政策、金融稳定、金融服务三大职能。作为人民银行的分支机构,基层人民银行的工作重心也将从金融监管调整到这三大职能上来。人民银行的科技部门,就要积极运用科技手段,为人民银行履行新的职能发挥“服务、支持、促进、发展”的作用。一、围绕三大职能搭建五大平台经过“六五打基础、七五作准备、八五大发展”几个阶段后,人民银行相继实现了核算电算化、清算网络化和办公信息化。特别是近一两年来,陆续开通了大额支付系统、信贷登记咨询系统、会计四集中系统、金融信息服务网站等系统,人民银行信息化水平又… 相似文献
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宋玲妹 《河南财政税务高等专科学校学报》2005,19(3):37-39
在中国,所有制形式的调整、改革与完善,先进生产力的发展,党的执政能力建设,是社会主义建设过程中密切结合在一起的三个不同层面的发展关系.应在相互促进和共同提高中促进社会的和谐发展,保证社会主义现代化建设战略目标的顺利实现. 相似文献
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Marjorie Rosenberg F.S.A. Ph.D. Warren Luckner F.S.A. 《North American actuarial journal : NAAJ》2013,17(4):64-82
Abstract The Society of Actuaries undertook a three-phase research project on mortality improvement in the three NAFTA countries: Canada, Mexico, and the U.S. Phase 1 consisted of a literature review of papers on projecting mortality levels in the future and a study of the trend in mortality improvement during this century. Phase 2 consisted of a discussion of different facets of modeling mortality rates at a seminar attended by 79 experts (actuaries, demographers, economists, and medical researchers) representing different countries. The last session of the seminar consisted of the completion of a survey by the attendees to obtain input for Phase 3, which would analyze the impact of mortality improvement on the social security system of each country. This paper summarizes the results of the survey. The survey results illustrate the difficulty in forecasting mortality levels, because the effects of many factors that could have significant impact on mortality rates are unknown. This suggests the need for dynamic forecasting, which allows for the possibility of random shocks. A majority of the survey respondents believe that stochastic forecasting models, despite their complexity, have significant potential to add value. Respondents also believe that both historical data and cause-specific mortality forecasts are useful as input and also in validating forecasts of the aggregate levels of mortality. The challenge is to develop more sophisticated forecasting models to produce results that are relatively easy to interpret and to communicate these results to the desired audiences, including the public and policymakers. The survey results suggest that the aggregate effect of lifestyle changes, medical advances, diseases, catastrophe, and physical environmental changes is an increase in life span. However, there is much uncertainty about the future. Respondents expect that beyond the year 2020 the mean annual rate of reduction in mortality for males age 65 and over will average about 0.58% for Canada, 0.76% for Mexico, and 0.67% for the U.S. The results for the female age 65 and over population are 0.64%, 0.83%, and 0.70%, respectively. The age 65 and over population is expected to see larger percentage reductions in mortality than the 0–14 and 15–64 populations. The reductions in male and female mortality will be ultimately the same, and the mortality levels in the three countries will ultimately converge, although differences may persist for decades. 相似文献
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Abstract: Prior research has shown the prevalence of measurement error in models used to estimate aggregate discretionary accruals. In these models, the incremental information content of the various components of accruals is ignored. Limited prior research and data gathered from firms under Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) litigation indicate that managers use either one or more than one component of accruals simultaneously, in a consistent way to manipulate bottom-line earnings in a given direction. I propose two measures that capture the consistency between the discretionary components of accruals and test their significance in earnings management (EM) detection in firms that have artificially added accrual manipulation and firms that were targeted by the SEC for accrual manipulation. There is evidence that this information is incrementally useful in detecting EM. This finding paves the way for improvements in the discretionary accruals measure by including consistency information from the components of aggregate accruals. 相似文献
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Richard A. Lord 《The Financial Review》1998,33(2):69-84
Empirical studies suggest that time-series regression estimates of the degrees of operating and financial leverage have a tendency to produce measures less than one. According to ex ante theory, these measures should be greater than one for firms operating above the breakeven point. There have also been suggestions that the biases in these estimates may be attributable to an underlying increase in unit sales. This work presents evidence that these counter-intuitive measures are produced by changes in the firm's operating parameters (unit price, variable cost, fixed cost and interest payments). It further suggests that attempts to control for the underlying change in unit sales substantially increase the volatility of predicted estimates. 相似文献
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金融纠纷案件是当事人以存单或进账单、对账单、存款合同、保险单、票据、证券等凭证为主要证据向人民法院提出诉讼的案件,对于不同种类金融纠纷的当事人的举证责任,我国现行的金融法律、法规及司法解释有不同的规定。由于金融机构的特殊法律地位,发生金融纠纷时存在有关当事人将最后偿付风险转移给金融机构承担的主观故意,在客观上会使金融机构难以提供相应的证据来对抗不法债权人的诉讼请求,而导致金融机构败诉。为此,对金融诉讼案件中金融机构的举证责任加以研究具有重要的实践意义。 相似文献
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The separation of a unit of account (UoA) from a medium of exchange (MoE) in the commodity–money system is investigated by considering explicitly a seller's choice of UoA in terms of either an MoE or a unit of metal weight. If the likelihood of debasement of an MoE and its rate are high enough, the price is posted in terms of a unit of metal weight rather than an MoE. Interestingly, this MoE–UoA separated equilibrium yields the flexible nominal price, whereas an MoE–UoA integrated equilibrium yields the sticky one. This implies the nominal price rigidity in the fiat‐money system where MoE and UoA are integrated. 相似文献
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一、引言随着国民经济的不断发展,银行业务与外部企业的联系越来越密切。银行正逐步成为现代经济活动的中心,作为数据处理核心的银行业务应用也越来越大型化、越来越复杂化,因此许多银行也把软件项目逐步由原来的自主开发转变为与公司合作的方式,或直接外包开发的方式,银行本身的技术人员也逐步由开发转向项目管理。二、项目外包的分类银行项目的外包有以下几种情况:①部分子系统外包,有时由于银行的软件项目太大,单靠银行自身的开发力量基本无法在预定的时间内完成项目,只好把相对独立的部分外包;②直接购买软件公司的成熟产品,有些金融软… 相似文献