Are Corporate Financing Decisions Different in Japan? An Empirical Study on Capital Structure

This paper investigates empirically how Japanese firms determine capital structure. I show that a firm's capital structure in Japan can be explained, to some extent, by real factors derived from theories of the capital structure. I also find remarkable results showing that the capital structure of Japanese firms is substantially affected by the institutional and regulatory characteristics of Japanese capital markets. Therefore, I conclude that both real and institutional factors are important determinants of corporate financing decisions in Japan. This result indicates that it is necessary to consider both theories and institutional features in each country to fully understand a firm's capital structure choice. J. Japan. Int. Econ., September 1999, 13(3), pp. 201–229. School of Commerce, Waseda University, 1-6-1, Nishiwaseda, Shinjuku-ku, Tokyo, 169-8050, Japan. Copyright 1999 Academic Press.Journal of Economic Literature Classification Numbers: G15, G32, G38.     

Impacts of the Basle Capital Standard on Japanese Banks' Behavior

This paper examines how the risk-based capital standards, the so-called Basle Accord, influenced 87 major Japanese banks' behavior between 1990 and 1993. As the Japanese stock prices fell, banks' latent capital gains, which is part of tier II capital, became smaller. Empirical findings are consistent with a view that banks with lower capital ratios tended to issue more subordinated debts (tier II) and to reduce lending (risk assets). J. Japan. Int. Econ., September 2002, 16(3), pp. 372–397. Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University, Kunitachi, Tokyo 186-8603, Japan; and Faculty of Economics, Meiji Gakuin University, Tokyo 108-8636, Japan. © 2002 Elsevier Science (USA).Journal of Economic Literature Classification Numbers: G18, G21, G28.     

Causes of the Long Stagnation of Japan during the 1990s: Financial or Real?

Corporate investment is the most important factor to explain the long stagnation of Japan during the 1990s. Using the Bank of Japan diffusion indices of “real profitability” and “banks' willingness to lend,” we estimate investment functions for four groups of firms: large/small and manufacturing/non-manufacturing. Our results suggest that for large firms, financing constraints are not significant whereas the converse is true for small firms. A fall of investment during 1992–94 is largely explained by real factors. However, the credit crunch occurred beginning 1997 and it lowered the growth rate of GDP by 1.6%. J. Japan. Int. Econ., September 1999, 13,(3), pp. 181–200. Faculty of Economics, Nagasaki University, 4-2-1 Katafuchi, Nagasaki 850-8506, Japan; and Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo, 7-3-1 Hongo, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo 113-0033, Japan. Copyright 1999 Academic Press.Journal of Economic Literature Classification Numbers: E22, E30, G21, N15.     

On the Determinants of Career Interruption by Childbirth among Married Women in Japan

The purpose of this paper is to investigate determinants of job continuity across childbirth for married women in Japan. We use data from the Statistical Bureau's 1992Employment Status Surveyon nearly 8000 married women who were employed right before childbirth. Our estimation and simulation results suggest that education and access to child care are important determinants for a married woman to continue her work across childbirth, while high wages and short working hours help her to continue to work but are less important determinants. Also, the estimation result suggests that diversified working environments across industries and firm sizes possibly influence women's decisions.J. Japan. Int. Econ., March 1999,13(1), pp. 73–89. Tokyo Metropolitan University, Department of Economics, Hachioji, Tokyo 192-03, Japan; and University of Tsukuba, Institute of Policy and Planning Sciences, 1-1-1 Tennodai, Tsukuba, Ibaraki 305-8573, Japan.Copyright 1999 Academic Press.Journal of Economic LiteratureClassification Numbers: J22.     

International Knowledge Spillovers and Technology Imports: Evidence from Japanese Chemical and Electric Equipment Industries

This paper clarifies the role of licensed technology imports by investigating data from over 200 Japanese firms in the chemical and electric equipment industries. The results from various estimation methods suggest that licensed technology imports encourage licensees' innovation, since they enhance foreign knowledge inflow. Moreover, the size of this effect depends on the industry and on firm-specific characteristics such as the technological level. Technology imports tend to have the greatest impact when substitute domestic knowledge is less developed than in foreign countries. The significance of technology imports also varies within each industry according to a firm's R&D capability. J. Japan. Int. Econ., September 2001, 15(3), pp. 271–297. Graduate School of Decision Science and Technology, Tokyo Institute of Technology, 2-12-1 Ōokayama, Meguro-ku, Tokyo, Japan 152-8550. Copyright 2001 Academic Press.Journal of Economic Literature Classification Numbers: O31, O34, F29.     

Modifications of the Balassa–Samuelson Model: The Effects of Balanced Growth and Capital Accumulation

In this paper modified versions of the Balassa–Samuelson model are developed. We stress the effects of balanced productivity growth and capital accumulation, which is often ignored or not fully understood in existing studies. Our theoretical analysis shows that these effects and the differential productivity growth effect can be presented in a unified framework. Empirical estimates using 1970–1990 sectoral data for the OECD show that our modified models are more suited to the data than the commonly used Balassa–Samuelson model. J. Japan. Int. Econ., March 2002, 16(1) pp. 31–49. Faculty of Economics, Nagasaki University, 4-2-1 Katafuchi, Nagasaki 850-8506, Japan. © 2002 Elsevier Science (USA).Journal of Economic Literature Classification Numbers: F36; F41; F43.     

Displaced Capital and Japanese Economic Growth

Implicit in many theories of Japan's macroeconomic malaise is the displacement of financial capital. It underpins the widely held view that physical investment has been retarded by the disruptive effects of nonperforming loans on financial intermediation. This paper recognizes that the displacement of capital also has real dimensions. It develops the view that the reemployment of displaced capital can compromise growth, perhaps to the point of perpetuating a recession. This may help to explain Japan's prolonged period of stagnation. J. Japan. Int. Econ., June 2000, 14(2), pp. 105–120. Reserve Bank of Australia, 65 Martin Place, Sydney NSW 2000, Australia; and Goldman Sachs Asia, 68th Floor, Cheung Kong Centre, 2 Queen's Road, Central, Hong Kong, China. Copyright 2000 Academic Press.Journal of Economic Literature Classification Numbers: E22, O16.     

Biased Technological Change and Japanese Manufacturing Employment

This paper examines the effect of technological change on the demand for production and nonproduction workers of the Japanese manufacturing industries since the 1980s. First, a decomposition of the change in the share of nonproduction workers in total employment into between-industry shifts and within-industry shifts reveals that the within-industry shifts were dominant in the 1980s. Second, cross-sectional regressions show that investment in computers has had a significant impact on increasing the share of the wage-bill held by nonproduction workers. These findings suggest that skill-biased technological change is at work in Japanese manufacturing industries. J. Japan. Int. Econ., September 2001, 15(3), pp. 298–322. Development Bank of Japan, 1-9-3 Otemachi, Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo 100-0004, Japan. Copyright 2001 Academic Press.Journal of Economic Literature Classification Numbers: J23, J31, O30.     

Declining Self-Employment in Japan

The self-employment rate has decreased in Japan. This paper examines reasons why working householders aged below 55 avoid self-employment, focusing on age, location, and gender effects. Increasing age and living in local areas encourage householders to be self-employed. Between 1989 and 1994, however, both the age and local effects weakened, while the positions of self-employed females were not improved. We estimate earnings functions for self-employed workers and employees, controlling sample selection bias. The decline in real income of self-employed workers relative to employees particularly in metropolitan areas was more likely to prevent over-35 householders from being self-employed. J. Japan. Int. Econ., March 2002, 16(1) pp. 73–91. Faculty of Economics, Gakushuin University, 1-5-1 Mejiro Toshima-ku, Tokyo 171-8588, Faculty of Economic, Tokyo Metropolitan University, 1-1 Minami-Osawa, Hachioji-city, Tokyo 192-0397, Japan. © 2002 Elsevier Science (USA).Journal of Economic Literature Classification Numbers: J23, J24, J31.     

Long-Run Relationship between Consumption and Income in Japan: Tests of the Deterministic Cointegration Restriction

This paper reexamines two versions of the permanent income hypothesis derived from R. E. Hall (1978, J. Polit. Econ.86, 971–987) and R. G. King, C. L. Plosser, J. H. Stock, and M. W. Watson (1991, Amer. Econ. Rev.81, 819–840) using Japanese quarterly data. The main focus is on the relationship between stochastic and deterministic trends of consumption and income. It is found that the deterministic cointegration restriction implied by the two models is strongly rejected in Japan in contrast to the U.S. result, and the rejection of King et al.'s model depends on the existence of a trend break. This finding suggests that the postwar Japanese economy experienced the change in a steady state path considered by the neoclassical growth model. J. Japan. Int. Econ., June 2002, 16(2) pp. 253–278. Graduate School of Economics, Hitotsubashi University, 2-1 Naka Kunitachi, Tokyo 186-8601, Japan. © 2002 Elsevier Science (USA).Journal of Economic Literature Classification Numbers: C32, E21.     

The Performance of Development Banks: The Case of the Reconstruction Finance Bank

This paper analyzes the performance of the Reconstruction Finance Bank (RFB) in order to shed light on the role of development banks in fostering economic growth. The RFB played a large role in Japan′s transition from war-time command economy to a market economy in the early post-war period. We use individual firm level data on sales, profits, and loans from the RFB, and find that, initially, the RFB was making loans to firms with below-average performance. We then find that this was partly a result of political interventions into the loan policy of the RFB. In fact, we also find evidence of improvements in the performance of the RFB after its loan policy became more independent. Implications for developing economies are also discussed. J. Japan. Int. Econ., Dec. 1995, 9(4), pp. 486-504. Faculty of Economics, The University of Tokyo, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo 13, Japan.     

Why Are There Rich and Poor Countries? Symmetry Breaking in the World Economy: A Note

This paper extends K. Matsuyama (1996, Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, 10, 419–439) to allow for the presence of a fixed factor such as land. By assuming that agricultural production is more land-intensive than manufacturing production, we generalized Matsuyama's results on symmetry breaking in the world economy. That is, international trade by causing an agglomeration of economic activities in different countries of the world makes inevitable the coexistence of rich and poor. J. Japan. Int. Econ. June 1999, 13(2), pp. 140–149. Department of Economics, Tufts University, Medford, Massachusetts 02155. Copyright 1999 Academic Press.Journal of Economic Literature Classification Numbers: F12 and O12.     

Downward Nominal Wage Rigidity in Japan

This paper analyzes whether or not Japanese nominal wages exhibit downward rigidity. We posit a wage adjustment model in which, below a certain wage inflation rate, wages may or may not move as much as optimal or notional wages do. By using data on wages of 18 industries and aggregate time series data, we find that nominal wages were rigid downward until 1998, but not with the inclusion of years 1999 and 2000. That is, Japanese wages responded flexibly downward to the recession of 1997–1998, but with a lag. The interpretation of such results is not straightforward. But we provide some preliminary discussions of possible factors behind such a pattern of wage movements, focusing on the relationship between wage changes and the seniority-based wage system. J. Japan. Int. Econ., March 2001, 15(1), pp. 50–67. The Bank of Japan, Chuo-ku, Tokyo 103-0021, Japan. Copyright 2001 Academic Press.Journal of Economic Literature Classification Numbers: E24, E31, J30.     

On the Role of Monetary Policy in a Deflationary Economy: The Case of Japan

In this paper we review the role of monetary policy for a country facing deflationary pressure based on the recent experience of the Japanese economy. We discuss economic background of inflation policy in Japan and analyze the impacts of the policy. We made simple calculations regarding how much the debt of selected companies and government can be reduced by mild inflation. Noting that the Fisher effect does not work perfectly under liquidity traps, the effect of inflation on debt issue appears quite large. To maintain controllable stable inflation, inflation targeting is a good candidate for the policy rule. J. Japan. Int. Econ., December 2000, 14(4), pp. 238–260. Graduate School of Economics, University of Tokyo, 7-3-1 Hongo, Bukyo-ku, Tokyo 113-0033, Japan Copyright 2000 Academic Press.Journal of Economic Literature Classification Numbers: E31, E52, E58.     

Measuring the Liquidity Effect: The Case of Japan

In this paper, we measure the liquidity effect in Japan, complementing the work done by F. Hayashi (2001, Int. Econ. Rev.42, 287–316) and compare it to the liquidity effect in the United States. Since institutional features are similar across these two countries, we apply J. Hamilton's (1997, Amer. Econ. Rev.87, 80–97; 1998, Carnegie-Rochester Conf. Ser. Public Pol. 49, 1–44) methodology to estimate the liquidity effect for each day of the maintenance period. Detailed daily data supplied by the Bank of Japan enable us to obtain more accurate estimates for Japan. Our key findings, which are not found in F. Hayashi (2001, Int. Econ. Rev.42, 287–316) are as follows: (1) On the final day of a reserve maintenance period, both countries show the strongest evidence of the liquidity effect, and (2) in both countries the liquidity effect tends to be larger and more statistically significant toward the end of the period. J. Japan. Int. Econ., September 2002, 16(3), pp. 289–316. Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry, 1-3-1 Kasumigaseki, Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo 100-8901, Japan. © 2002 Elsevier Science (USA).Journal of Economic Literature Classification Numbers: E43, E44, E52.     

Composition Effect of Migration and Regional Growth in Japan

I study roles of internal migration in regional income convergence in Japan. According to theory, migration from poor regions to rich ones should have been an important source of convergence, but previous empirical studies do not find such an effect. Some have argued this may be because migrants carry higher human capital than nonmovers. I investigate this hypothesis critically by studying how migration has affected educational attainment and demographic structure of the regions. It is shown that, although this effect did slow down convergence, its magnitude was too small to account for the discrepancy between theory and empirics. J. Japan. Int. Econ., March 2001, 15(1), pp. 29–49. Department of Economics, Yokohama National University, 79-3 Tokiwadai, Hodogaya-ku, Yokohama 240-8501, Japan. Copyright 2001 Academic Press.Journal of Economic Literature Classification Numbers: O40, O53, R11, R23.     

Government Deficit, Public Investment, and Public Capital in the Transition to an Aging Japan

This paper examines the effects of government deficits, public investment, and public capital on welfare in the transition to an aging Japan by applying a simulated general equilibrium growth model. One of the main results of this paper is that targeting only high economic growth would mislead us as to economic policies, and that a policy to reduce future government deficits is most preferable for almost all generations, even though a cut in future deficits must be followed by a decrease in public investment, thus a decrease in public capital in the future. J. Japan. Int. Econ., December 2002, 16(4), pp. 462–491. Faculty of Economics, Shiga University, Japan; and Management School, Imperial College, United Kingdom. © 2002 Elsevier Science (USA).Journal of Economic Literature Classification Numbers: H55, H54, H62, C68, J10.     

How Did the Dollar Peg Fail in Asia?

In this paper, we have constructed a theoretical model in which the Asian firm maximizes its profit, competing with the Japanese and the U.S. firms in their markets. The duopoly model is used to determine export prices and volumes in response to the exchange rate fluctuations vis-à-vis the Japanese yen and the U.S. dollar. Then, the optimal basket weight that would minimize the fluctuation of the growth rate of trade balance was derived. These are the novel features of our model. The export price equation and export volume equation are estimated for several Asian countries for the sample period from 1981 to 1996. Results are generally reasonable. The optimal currency weights for the yen and the U.S. dollar are derived and compared with actual weights that had been adopted before the currency crisis of 1997. For all countries in the sample, it is shown that the optimal weight of the yen is significantly higher than the actual weight.J. Japan. Int. Econ.,Dec. 1998,12(4), pp. 256–304. Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University, Kunitachi, Tokyo 186, Japan; Department of Commerce, Hitotsubashi University, Kunitachi, Tokyo 186, Japan; Department of Commerce, Takachiho University, Suginami, Tokyo 168, Japan.Copyright 1998 Academic Press.Journal of Economic LiteratureClassification Numbers F31, F33, O11.     

The Interdependent Telecommunications Demand and Efficient Price Structure

Rapid growth of mobile telecommunications is a widespread phenomenon in the world. This emerging network is supposed to be closely interdependent with the wire-based network. In this paper, after reviewing the Japanese regulatory scheme for mobile telecommunications, we investigate the interdependency by estimating both price elasticities and network effects among them. The own-price elasticities are relatively high, and the substitution, as well as the network, effect is substantial. Moreover, the resulting super-elasticities of mobile telephones are consistently larger than those of fixed-line telephones. These findings indicate that the Ramsey optimal price structure may have required a lower price–cost margin of mobile networks, relative to that of fixed-line networks. It should be noted, however, that the difference in super-elasticity between the two networks seems to have substantially diminished during our sample period. J. Japan. Int. Econ., December 1999, 13(4), pp. 311–335. Shinshu University, Nagano 390-8621, Japan and InfoCom Research Institute, Tokyo 107-0062, Japan. Copyright 1999 Academic Press.Journal of Economic Literature Classification Numbers: D12, L43, L96.     

Trade and the Wage Structure in the Presence of Price Differentials in the Product Market: The Japanese Labor Market 1965–1990

The decomposition of demand into domestic, export, and import components in a cross-industry study of 18 two-digit manufacturing industries suggests that export growth has less of an impact on interindustry wage differentials than the equivalent growth in domestic demand. The difference seems to be greatest in the case of full-time workers in large firms. This result for Japan is different from those of similar studies for the United States and is consistent with a model of industry rent-sharing with domestic–international price differentials in the product market.J. Japan. Int. Econ., March 1999,13(1), pp. 22–43. Nissan Institute of Japanese Studies, Oxford University, 27 Winchester Rd., Oxford OX2 6NA, EnglandCopyright 1999 Academic Press.Journal of Economic LiteratureClassification Numbers: F14, J31.