R&D and market value of Japanese firms in the 1990s

There is a concern in Japan that the R&D profitability of its domestic firms fell significantly in the 1990s, following the US pattern in the 1980s. This paper finds, however, that the effect of R&D on the market value of a firm, relative to that of tangible assets, increased in the 1990s in terms of both within firm variations and cross section variations, even though the average market value itself significantly fell. More trade and higher foreign ownership significantly enhanced the market value of a firm, and so did more patents in sectors such as pharmaceuticals. J. Japanese Int. Economies 20 (2) (2006) 155–176.     

CEO compensation and firm performance in Japan: Evidence from new panel data on individual CEO pay

Prior studies on Japanese executive compensation have been constrained by the lack of longitudinal data on individual CEO pay. Using unique 10-year panel data on individual CEO's salary and bonus of Japanese firms from 1986 to 1995, we present the first estimates on pay-performance relations for Japanese CEO compensation. Specifically we find consistently that Japanese CEO's cash compensation is sensitive to firm performance (especially accounting measures), and that the “semi-elasticity” of CEO's cash compensation with respect to ROA is 1.3 to 1.4, which is in general agreement with prior estimates elsewhere. As such, our estimates do not support that Japanese corporate governance is unusually defunct with regard to the significance and size of the sensitivity of CEO compensation to accounting profitability. On the other hand, to be consistent with the literature on Japanese corporate governance that tends to downplay the role of shareholders and stress the role of banks and employees, we find that stock market performance tends to play a less important role in the determination of Japanese CEO compensation. Finally, we find that the bonus system makes CEO compensation more responsive to firm performance in Japan. The finding is in contrast to the literature on compensation for regular employees in Japan which often argues that bonus is a disguised base wage. J. Japanese Int. Economies 20 (1) (2006) 1–19.     

The impact of family ownership and capital structures on productivity performance of Korean manufacturing firms: Corporate governance and the “chaebol problem”

This paper examines the relationship between corporate governance and productivity performance, focusing on family ownership and capital structure. Paying particular attention to chaebols, or large business groups with entrenched family control, diversified business structure, and heavy debt-dependence, we find the positive relationship between family ownership concentration and productivity performance to be much stronger in chaebol firms than in non-chaebol firms. Moreover, high debt reliance (or low equity–asset ratio) is shown to be negatively related to productivity performance in non-chaebol firms but positively in chaebol firms. J. Japanese Int. Economies 20 (2) (2006) 209–233.     

Debt,R&D investment and technological progress: A panel study of Japanese manufacturing firms' behavior during the 1990s

Based on a panel data set of Japanese manufacturing firms in research-intensive industries, we investigate quantitatively the extent to which outstanding debt affected firms' R&D activities during the 1990s. We find that massive amounts of outstanding debt had a significant, negative effect on R&D investment during that time. We also find that R&D expenditures were closely linked to firm-level total factor productivity growth over the same period. In fact, a ten-percentage-point increase in the debt–asset ratio lowered the rate of firm-level total factor productivity growth by 0.26 percentage points between 1999 and 2001, because it reduced R&D activities. J. Japanese Int. Economies 21 (4) (2007) 403–423.     

Firm-level analysis of information network use and productivity in Japan

This paper presents firm-level micro analysis of information network use and the impact of such use on a firm's productivity. The positive impact of information network use on productivity growth is confirmed using METI's firm-level data for Japanese manufacturers and distributors from 1991 to 2000. In addition, the relationship between information networks and business networks is investigated, and it is found that these two types of networks are complementary in promoting productivity growth of a firm. J. Japanese Int. Economies 21 (1) (2007) 121–137.     

A panel study of zombie SMEs in Japan: Identification,borrowing and investment behavior

Utilizing a panel dataset of firms for the period 1999–2008, we estimated the prevalence of zombies among Japanese Small- and Medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) and their borrowing and investment behaviors. We observe that 4–13% of SMEs were zombie firms during the period 1999–2008. The estimation of the borrowing function reveals that SME zombie firms did not change their loans in response to a change in land values due to evergreening. We also observe that the profitability of investment, measured by marginal q, did not have positive effects on investments of zombie firms. This indicates that investment increase resulting from evergreen loans was not necessarily productive or profitable.     

Pass-on trade: why do firms simultaneously engage in two-way trade in the same varieties?

This paper documents that a large fraction of trade flows at the firm level consists of simultaneous imports and exports in identical products, narrowly defined at the 8-digit product classification, which we call pass-on trade (POT). We use data on imports and exports at the firm and product level for Slovenian manufacturing firms in the period 1994–2008, to show that, on average, 70 % of all exporting firms engage in POT. This corresponds to more than 50 % of all exported products. Thus, imported products that are exported again by the same firm is a statistical regularity of trade of Slovenian manufacturing firms. We document that the use of POT is increasing in firm size, product diversification, multinational status as well as firm productivity and profitability. We offer and explore empirically a number of explanations for POT. Among possible explanations, we find evidence on the importance of firms’ multinational networks and demand complementarities between firms’ own and POT products. The latter confirms the theoretical explanations for carry-along trade (CAT) as developed by the recent work of Bernard et al. (2012).     

Asian foreign exchange risk exposure

We find that about 25 percent of Asian firms experienced economically significant exposure effects to the US dollar and 22.5 percent to the Japanese yen for the period January 1993 to January 2003. The overall extent of exposure is not sample dependent; a depreciating (appreciating) Asian currency against foreign currencies has a net negative (positive) impact on stock returns. The extent to which firms are exposed to exchange rate fluctuations varies with return horizons; short-term exposure seems to be relatively well hedged, where considerable evidence of long-term exposure is found. Firms with weak liquidity positions tend to have smaller exposures. J. Japanese Int. Economies 21 (1) (2007) 16–37.     

Fragmentation,welfare, and imperfect competition

In this paper, we explore the effect of fragmentation of production processes on social welfare in the imperfectly competitive market. We consider a situation in which firms located in a country strategically decide whether they produce at home or move their production overseas. We show that, in such a situation, there exists a Nash equilibrium in which all of the firms move production overseas although domestic production is socially desirable. This implies that “reverse imports” do not necessarily benefit the country. We also discuss the effectiveness of a subsidy for domestic production in improving the social welfare of the country. J. Japanese Int. Economies 21 (3) (2007) 365–378.     

The roles of closure and selloff in corporate restructuring

This paper compares the roles of closure and selloff in corporate restructuring, by examining 749 Japanese firms engaged in these two types of divestment activities in the 1990s and 1146 subsidiaries divested by these firms. For closure, we find that (1) divesting firms tend to be less profitable than non-divesting firm, (2) divested subsidiaries have characteristics suggestive of inefficiencies, and (3) divesting firms’ profitability improved after the closure, albeit slowly. The results suggest that firms employ closure mainly to discontinue inefficient operations. For selloff, in contrast, we find that (4) divesting firms are no less profitable than non-divesting firms, (5) divesting firms’ profitability did not change but their investment intensity increased substantially around the divestiture, and (6) divested subsidiaries had characteristics of high salability and separability. The results suggest that selloff is used to raise funds for the remaining parts of divesting firm. Overall, our results suggest that closure and selloff play heterogeneous roles in the restructuring of Japanese firms.     

Horizontal transfer,vertical promotion,and evolution of firm organization

This paper investigates interactions among horizontal transfers, promotions across ranks, and creation and destruction of jobs inside a large Japanese manufacturing firm. In this sample firm, we find that job creation and destruction accounts for the majority of horizontal transfers of employees within the firm. This is in sharp contrast to a popular perception that employees move according to a well-defined career path in a stable organization with an internal labor market. Instead, we find that units and jobs are constantly created and destroyed at this firm and that individual career paths are far more dynamic and state and path dependent than the popular perception would suggest.The econometric analysis on determinants of promotion policy confirm these findings, as well as predictions based on the multi-skilling model of human capital. First of all, transfers to functionally similar units which enable employees to acquire multiple skills do enhance promotion probability. On the other hand, transfers to functionally or geographically different units are often detrimental to the promotion prospect, especially those that occur at earlier stages of an employee's career. In general, an employee's career at this firm is significantly influenced by the success or failure of particular units and, in particular, we find that the promotion probability for some types of employees is significantly higher for those transferred from sections that had been eliminated, and also for those transferred into newly created sections. J. Japanese Int. Economies 20 (1) (2006) 20–49.     

Japanese Banks’ monitoring activities and the performance of borrower firms: 1981–1996

We construct an index measure that quantitatively describes the monitoring activities of Japanese banks. Using micro data on Japanese banks and borrower firms, we examine the effects of bank monitoring on the profitability of borrower firms. We find significant positive effects in the periods 1986–1991 and 1992–1996, although there is no significant effect in the period 1981–1985. We also examine how banks’ monitoring affects borrowers. The results show that the positive effects of banks’ monitoring on borrowers’ profitability are mostly caused by screening effects, not performance-improving effects.

Are Corporate Financing Decisions Different in Japan? An Empirical Study on Capital Structure

This paper investigates empirically how Japanese firms determine capital structure. I show that a firm's capital structure in Japan can be explained, to some extent, by real factors derived from theories of the capital structure. I also find remarkable results showing that the capital structure of Japanese firms is substantially affected by the institutional and regulatory characteristics of Japanese capital markets. Therefore, I conclude that both real and institutional factors are important determinants of corporate financing decisions in Japan. This result indicates that it is necessary to consider both theories and institutional features in each country to fully understand a firm's capital structure choice. J. Japan. Int. Econ., September 1999, 13(3), pp. 201–229. School of Commerce, Waseda University, 1-6-1, Nishiwaseda, Shinjuku-ku, Tokyo, 169-8050, Japan. Copyright 1999 Academic Press.Journal of Economic Literature Classification Numbers: G15, G32, G38.     

Determinants of Trade Credit in the Japanese Manufacturing Sector

This paper examines the determinants of trade credit in Japanese manufacturing companies. The empirical analysis presents evidence that the volume of trade credit is influenced not only by transactional factors but also by financial positions. The empirical test reveals that firms' future business prospects affect the volume of trade credit. Notably, for small firms whose liquidity is constrained, nontransactional factors such as an increase in cash flow reduce the need for trade credit. This paper also finds that trade payables act as a complement to bank loans. The quantitative relationship between trade payables and bank loans suggests that when monetary policy works in the financial markets, it also influences the trade-related credit markets. J. Japan. Int. Econ., June 2001, 15(2), pp. 160–177. Department of Economics, Fukushima University, 1 Kanayagawa, Fukushima-shi, Fukushima 960-1296, Japan. Copyright 2001 Academic Press.Journal of Economic Literature Classification Numbers: E52, G32.     

International Trade and Bank Groups: Welfare Enhancing or Welfare Reducing?

In international competition, are bank groups efficiency enhancing or efficiency reducing? This paper attempts to clarify this issue by asking instead: efficiency for whom? In a simple, illustrative model, this paper shows that bank groups can be efficiency enhancing for the bank and the member firms, but hurting its competitor. More important global welfare rises with bank groups. These results are robust when we allow the bank and the member firm to bargain over its loan rate, when bank groups can be formed endogenously and when there are multiple exporters. Results in this paper suggest alternative interpretations of existing econometric results concerning the role of Japanese groups in U.S.–Japan trade. J. Japan. Int. Econ., June 2002, 16(2) pp. 212–226. Department of Economics, University of California, Santa Cruz, Santa Cruz, California.     

International co-movements and business cycle transmission between Korea and Japan

This study examines the economic relationship and interdependence between Korea and Japan. Using macroeconomic data, an event chronology, and trade flows, I examine the question, are business cycles transmitted from Japan to Korea, and/or from Korea to Japan? And, how has that transmission changed over time? The study uses structured vector autoregressions (SVARs) to analyze monthly data 1960.01–2002.01 on industrial production, prices, interest rates, money supplies, and exchange rates. Japanese business cycles are found to have a moderate effect upon business cycle fluctuations in Korea, and that influence seems to be increasing over time. J. Japanese Int. Economies 18 (1) (2004) 57–83.     

Causes of the Long Stagnation of Japan during the 1990s: Financial or Real?

Corporate investment is the most important factor to explain the long stagnation of Japan during the 1990s. Using the Bank of Japan diffusion indices of “real profitability” and “banks' willingness to lend,” we estimate investment functions for four groups of firms: large/small and manufacturing/non-manufacturing. Our results suggest that for large firms, financing constraints are not significant whereas the converse is true for small firms. A fall of investment during 1992–94 is largely explained by real factors. However, the credit crunch occurred beginning 1997 and it lowered the growth rate of GDP by 1.6%. J. Japan. Int. Econ., September 1999, 13,(3), pp. 181–200. Faculty of Economics, Nagasaki University, 4-2-1 Katafuchi, Nagasaki 850-8506, Japan; and Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo, 7-3-1 Hongo, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo 113-0033, Japan. Copyright 1999 Academic Press.Journal of Economic Literature Classification Numbers: E22, E30, G21, N15.     

The Japanese Labor Markets: Unemployment and Vacancies

We employ a disequilibrium model to examine the disequilibrium and structural causes of unemployment and vacancies in Japanese labor markets on the basis of business survey data. The Keynesian is a primary determinant of unemployment and the underconsumption of vacancies in most subperiods for both large and small firms. The degree of mismatch in the labor markets for large firms is lower than that for small ones. It exhibits a decreasing trend until the beginning of the eighties, then reverses to an increasing one around the mid-eighties. This paper contributes to issues such as recently conspicuous structural causes, transfer of employees, and dual structure through an alternative approach to the conventional methods. J. Japan. Int. Econ. June 1999, 13(2), pp. 91–118. Faculty of Economics, Tohoku University, Sendai 980-8576, Japan; and Faculty of Economics, Niigata University, Niigata 950-21, Japan. Copyright 1999 Academic Press.Journal of Economic Literature Classification Numbers: D58, J60, C40.     

Labor Unions and Management’s Incentive to Signal a Negative Outlook*

Evidence suggests that the negotiated wage for a unionized employee group is an increasing function of the firm’s prior profitability. As a result, managers may have an incentive to strategically signal a negative outlook to their unionized workers in order to improve the firm’s bargaining position. I assess the strategy of missing mean consensus analysts’ earnings estimates as a way for managers to signal a negative outlook to their unionized employees. I find that unionized firms are more likely to miss estimates than their nonunionized counterparts. Additionally, this propensity to miss estimates is increasing in both the firm’s percentage of unionized employees and multiunionism, but is unaffected by the timing of the signal relative to contract renewal. Finally, the increased propensity to miss estimates appears to be driven by both differences in expectations management and earnings management across the two groups. Specifically, managers of unionized firms take less action than their nonunionized counterparts to guide forecasts downward when estimates are too high, and they take more action to deflate earnings when expectations are too low. Taken together, the findings suggest that managers do seek to project a negative outlook to their unions, and that this tendency is increasing in the union’s negotiation strength.     

Bribery and firm performance in India: A political economy perspective

This study examines how corruption affects firm performance in India using data from the World Bank Enterprise Survey for 2013-14. A set of testable hypotheses is formulated with regard to the interaction between bribery and the political environment to capture the nuances of the effect of corruption on firm performance. To overcome endogeneity between bribery and firm performance, the study employs two-stage least squares instrumental variables estimation. The foremost finding is that bribery has significantly negative effects on firm profitability and labor productivity. This finding confirms the hypothesis that in India bribery “sands the wheels” of business. A further finding is that the negative effect of bribery on productivity is stronger in states run by right leaning parties, although there is no significant effect of party orientation on the relationship between bribery and profitability. This finding supports the hypothesis that tighter connections between business and government facilitate rent seeking that undermines productivity even as profitability is unencumbered. Finally, bribery is found to have more harmful effects on smaller and older firms than on larger and younger ones.