A general class of estimators for estimating population mean using auxiliary information

Summary A general class of estimators for estimating the population mean of the character under study which make use of auxiliary information is proposed. Under simple random sampling without replacement (SRSWOR), the expressions of Bias and Mean Square Error (MSE), up to the first and the second degrees of approximation are derived. General conditions, up to the first order approximation, are also obtained under which any member of this class performs more efficiently than the mean per unit estimator, the ratio estimator and the product estimator. The class of estimators in its optimum case, under the first degree approximation, is discussed. It is shown that it is not possible to obtain optimum values of parameters “a”, “b” and “p”, that are independent of each other. However, the optimum relation among them is given by (b−a)p=ρ C _y/C _x. Under this condition, the expression of MSE of the class is that of the linear regression estimator.     

Estimation of poverty measures with auxiliary information in sample surveys

The analysis of poverty measures has been receiving increased attention in recent years. This paper contributes to the literature by developing percentile ratio estimators based on the pseudo empirical likelihood method. In practice, variances of poverty measures could be not expressible by simple formulae and consequently other techniques should be used in the variance estimation stage. Assuming percentile ratios, resampling techniques are investigated in this paper. A numerical example based on data from the Spanish Household Panel Survey is taken up to illustrate how suggested procedures can perform better than existing ones. The effect of a model-misspecification on the proposed estimators is also evaluated by using simulated populations.     

On estimating the variance of a finite population

Summary Observing that the estimator for a finite population variance as recommended byLiu [1974a, b] can sometimes become negative, we suggest a few non-negative alternative estimators and note some of their properties. UnlikeLiu we follow the conventional Bayesian approach to get another estimator with an optimal property of uniform admissibility.This paper, however, was prepared when the author worked in the Department of Economic Statistics, University of Sydney.     

Imputation methods of missing data for estimating the population mean using simple random sampling with known correlation coefficient

This paper considers three ratio estimators of the population mean using known correlation coefficient between the study and auxiliary variables in simple random sample when some sample observations are missing. The suggested estimators are compared with the estimators of Singh and Horn (Metrika 51:267–276, 2000), Singh and Deo (Stat Pap 44:555–579, 2003) and Kadilar and Cingi (Commun Stat Theory Methods 37:2226–2236, 2008). They are compared with other imputation estimators based on the mean or a ratio. It is found that the suggested estimators are approximately unbiased for the population mean. Also, it turns out that the suggested estimators perform well when compared with the other estimators considered in this study.     

Consistent estimation when the left-hand variable is exogenous over part of the sample period

This paper proposes a consistent estimation method for regression equations with a left-hand variable that is endogenous for some observations, and exogenous for others. This method is applied to the estimation of a demand-for-money function for Switzerland over a time interval which includes periods of monetary control; that is periods when the quantity of money can best be viewed as exogenous.     

Optimal critical values of pre-tests when estimating the regression error variance: analytical findings under a general loss structure

This paper re-visits the problem of estimating the regression error variance in a linear multiple regression model after preliminary hypothesis tests for either linear restrictions on the coefficients or homogeneity of variances. There is an extensive literature that discusses these problems, particularly in terms of the sampling properties of the pre-test estimators using various loss functions as the basis for risk analysis. In this paper, a unified framework for analysing the risk properties of these estimators is developed under a general class of loss structures that incorporates virtually all first-order differentiable losses. Particular consideration is given to the choice of critical values for the pre-tests. Analytical results indicate that an α-level substantially higher than those normally used may be appropriate for optimal risk properties under a wide range of loss functions. The paper also generalizes some known analytical results in the pre-test literature and proves other results only previously shown numerically.     

Optimum strategies for estimating the variance of a finite population under a superpopulation model

Considering a superpopulation model we have derived optimum model-unbiased, design-unbiased and model-design unbiased strategies for estimating the variance of a finite population. Bayesian estimation of variance w.r.t. priors covered by this model has also been looked into and some of its properties investigated.     

The conduct of the sample average when the first moment is infinite

Summary Many books about probability and statistics only mention the weak and the strong law of large numbers for samples from distributions with finite expectation. However, these laws also hold for distributions with infinite expectation and then the sample average has to go to infinity with increasing sample size. Being curious about the way in which this would happen, we simulated increasing samples (up to n= 40000) from three distributions with infinite expectation. The results were somewhat surprising at first sight, but understandable after some thought. Most statisticians, when asked, seem to expect a gradual increase of the average with the size of the sample. So did we. In general, however, this proves to be wrong and for different parent distributions different types of conduct appear from this experiment. The samples from the “absolute Cauchy”-distribution are most interesting from a practical point of view: the average takes a high jump from time to time and decreases in between. In practice it might well happen, that the observations causing the jumps would be discarded as outlying observations.     

The conduct of the sample average when the first moment is infinite

Summary  Many books about probability and statistics only mention the weak and the strong law of large numbers for samples from distributions with finite expectation. However, these laws also hold for distributions with infinite expectation and then the sample average has to go to infinity with increasing sample size.
Being curious about the way in which this would happen, we simulated increasing samples (up to n = 40000) from three distributions with infinite expectation. The results were somewhat surprising at first sight, but understandable after some thought. Most statisticians, when asked, seem to expect a gradual increase of the average with the size of the sample. So did we. In general, however, this proves to be wrong and for different parent distributions different types of conduct appear from this experiment.
The samples from the "absolute Cauchy"-distribution are most interesting from a practical point of view: the average takes a high jump from time to time and decreases in between. In practice it might well happen, that the observations causing the jumps would be discarded as outlying observations.     

标准方法中取样量有限定值时的实验操作技巧

本文介绍了一种方法,在取样后能明确判断出所取样量是否在标准规定范围之内,从而保证实验数据的准确性。     

A finite sample correction for the variance of linear efficient two-step GMM estimators

Monte Carlo studies have shown that estimated asymptotic standard errors of the efficient two-step generalized method of moments (GMM) estimator can be severely downward biased in small samples. The weight matrix used in the calculation of the efficient two-step GMM estimator is based on initial consistent parameter estimates. In this paper it is shown that the extra variation due to the presence of these estimated parameters in the weight matrix accounts for much of the difference between the finite sample and the usual asymptotic variance of the two-step GMM estimator, when the moment conditions used are linear in the parameters. This difference can be estimated, resulting in a finite sample corrected estimate of the variance. In a Monte Carlo study of a panel data model it is shown that the corrected variance estimate approximates the finite sample variance well, leading to more accurate inference.     

A generalized procedure to recover the first derivatives of a production function when the firm is a profit maximizer

Partial derivatives of production functions are necessary in many instances to characterize the technology of firms. We present here a general method to recover the first derivatives of the production function of a profit maximizing firm. The method is systematic and applies even when the optimization problem of the firm is subject to additional constraints. It allows researcher to recover returns to scale and technological progress in complex situations.

Estimation of the threshold stochastic frontier model in the presence of an endogenous sample split variable

Heterogeneity among firms has been an important issue in studying firms’ technical efficiencies. If firms do not randomly fall into different groups with different technologies but by self-selection, statistically it implies the data are subject to the sample selection bias. In this paper, we generalize the stochastic frontier (SF) model to accommodate heterogeneous technologies among firms by considering the threshold SF model with an endogenous threshold variable. We discuss the econometric techniques appropriate for the threshold SF model with panel data. To determine the optimal number of regimes, we use modified the model selection criteria of Gonzalo and Pitarakis (J Econom 110(2):319–352, 2002) and investigate their finite sample performance by some Monte Carlo experiments. Finally, we also demonstrate our approach by an empirical example.     

On the exact variance of an unbiased product type estimator and its comparison with the sample mean

We consider the usual product estimator adjusted for its bias, considered by Robson (1957). The exact variance of this estimator has been obtained through a direct method. Its superiority over the sample mean and the product estimator is demonstrated. The research of these authors has been partially supported by their respective NSERC grants A3661 and A3989.     

A robust approach to estimating production functions: Replication of the ACF procedure

We study Ackerberg, Caves, and Frazer's (Econometrica, 2015, 83, 2411–2451; hereafter ACF) production function estimation method using Monte Carlo simulations. First, we replicate their results by following their procedure to confirm the existence of a spurious minimum in the estimation, as noted by ACF. In the population, or when sample sizes are sufficiently large, this “global” identification problem may not be a concern because the spurious minimum occurs only at extreme values of capital and labor coefficients. However, in finite samples, their estimator can produce estimates that may not be clearly distinguishable from the spurious ones. In our second experiment, we modify the ACF procedure and show that robust estimates can be obtained using additional lagged instruments or sequential search. We also provide some arguments for why such modifications help in the ACF setting.     

Nonparametric methods in sample surveys. Application to the estimation of cancer prevalence

We address the problem of the estimation of the population mean and the distribution function using nonparametric regression. These methods are being used in a wide range of settings and areas of research. In particular, they are a good alternative to other classical methods in the survey sampling context, since they work under the assumption that the underlying regression function is smooth. Some relevant nonparametric regression methods in survey sampling are presented. Data on breast cancer prevalence derived from 40 European countries are used to study the application of the nonparametric estimators to the estimation of cancer prevalence. Result derived from an empirical study show that nonparametric estimators have a good empirical performance in this study on cancer prevalence.     

On the properties of the coefficient of determination in regression models with infinite variance variables

We examine the asymptotic properties of the coefficient of determination, R²$R^2$, in models with α-stable$\alpha \text{-stable}$   random variables. If the regressor and error term share the same index of stability α<2$\alpha <2$, we show that the R²$R^2$  statistic does not converge to a constant but has a nondegenerate distribution on the entire [0,1]$[0,1]$ interval. We provide closed-form expressions for the cumulative distribution function and probability density function of this limit random variable, and we show that the density function is unbounded at 0 and 1. If the indices of stability of the regressor and error term are unequal, we show that the coefficient of determination converges in probability to either 0 or 1, depending on which variable has the smaller index of stability, irrespective of the value of the slope coefficient. In an empirical application, we revisit the Fama and MacBeth (1973) two-stage regression and demonstrate that in the infinite-variance case the R²$R^2$  statistic of the second-stage regression converges to 0 in probability even if the slope coefficient is nonzero. We deduce that a small value of the R²$R^2$  statistic should not, in itself, be used to reject the usefulness of a regression model.     

A survey technique for estimating the proportion and sensitivity in a dichotomous finite population

In this paper, a simple survey technique to measure the sensitivity of survey issues is presented. It can be applied to estimate the population proportion as well as the probability that a respondent truthfully states that he or she bears a sensitive character when experienced in a direct response survey. An unbiased estimator of mean square error for direct response survey is obtainable so as to be able to judge the effect on the accuracy in estimation. It is also found that the proposed technique is more efficient than some traditional techniques. A simple extension for polychotomous situations can be developed as well.     

A test for the weights of the global minimum variance portfolio in an elliptical model

In this paper we consider the weights of the global minimum variance portfolio (GMVP). The returns are assumed to follow a matrix elliptically contoured distribution, i.e., the returns are assumed to be neither independent nor normally distributed. A test for the general linear hypothesis is given. The distribution of the test statistic is derived under the null and the alternative hypothesis. It turns out that its distribution is invariant with respect to the type of the matrix elliptical distribution, i.e., the stochastic properties of the GMVP do not depend either on the mean vector or on the distributional assumptions imposed on asset returns. In an empirical study we analyze an international diversified portfolio.