Six-part series on the state of the RN workforce in the United States

This series on the state of the nursing workforce focuses on describing the results of the national surveys of RNs. The series begins with an analysis of RNs' perceptions of the current nursing shortage and whether they perceive the shortage has gotten better or worse over the past few years. Future topics will include RNs' perceptions of being a nurse and how they perceive certain aspects of their jobs; RNs' awareness of the J&J Campaign and whether they think it has been effective; RNs' perceptions of the impact of the shortage on the quality of patient care in hospitals; and various issues related to the age and diversity of the nursing profession.     

Underground Economy,Evasion and Inequality

Economic theory is paying increasing attention to a non-observed economy (NOE) and its causes. Recently, a couple of works (Rosser et al., 2000 Rosser, J. B., Rosser, M. V. and Ahmed, E. 2000. Income inequality and the informal economy in transitions economies. Journal of Comparative Economics, 28(1): 156–171.  [Google Scholar], 2003 Rosser, J. B., Rosser, M. V. and Ahmed, E. 2003. Multiple unofficial economy equilibria and income distribution dynamics in systemic transition. Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, 25(3): 425–447. [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) have claimed that there is a positive relationship between income inequality and the size of NOE. This supposed relationship is not so clear and deserves in-depth analysis. There is a crucial aspect that has been completely avoided in these studies: income inequality is mainly measured using ‘regular’ incomes and this fact could lead to some bias. The existence of a certain size of NOE implies some income evasion that can affect the inequality indexes used in the study of the relationship between NOE and inequality. Including the regional share of NOE in a wage equation, I find that, in the specific case of the Italian private sector employees, the income evasion attached to NOE tends to reduce inequality measured by regular wages statistics.     

An Evaluation on the Effects of the Policy of the Great Campaign of Western Development of China in the First 10 Years Based on the Kuznets Regional Inverted-U Theory

In order to reduce the regional differentials or narrow the gap in economic development between eastern and western areas and prevent the intensification of contradictions resulting from the regional inequality during the development process, the government of China launched the Great Campaign of Western Development （GCWD） in 2000. In this paper, we will evaluate the effects of the first 10 years＇ GCWD and use the latest Chinese annual data from 1978 to 2010 to investigate the problem of regional differentials in the development process, evaluate the effects of GCWD policy and test whether there is a regional Kuznets inverted-U curve in the regional development of China. The result shows that there are both good and bad news： the good news is that the inverted U-shaped curve of absolute differential between eastern and western areas finally emerges （the previous studies showed that the inverted-U curve did not appear and the differentials between eastern and western areas became worse） and the bad news is that the differential is in the first half of the inverted U-shaped curve in our choice of time span （1978-2010）, that is, it is still in the situation of deterioration, and the turning better point will emerge in 2025. Although the western areas have benefitted from GCWD, the absolute gap has been still widened. To narrow the gap, the western areas should accelerate the industrial development and the government should adjust the policy and make more efforts to support the development of the industry in the western areas, especially cultivate and support the development of the western characteristic and advantageous industry rather than just supporting the construction of infrastructure in the western areas.     

Population,food, and knowledge: a simple unified growth theory

This paper provides a unified growth theory, i.e. a model that explains the very long-run economic and demographic development path of industrialized economies, stretching from the pre-industrial era to the present-day and beyond. Making strict use of Malthus’ (An essay on the principle of population. London, printed for J. Johnson, 1798) so-called preventive check hypothesis—that fertility rates vary inversely with the price of food—the current study offers a new and straightforward explanation for the demographic transition and the break with the Malthusian era. Employing a two-sector framework with agriculture and industry, we demonstrate how fertility responds differently to productivity and income growth, depending on whether it emerges in agriculture or industry. Agricultural productivity and income growth makes food goods, and therefore children, relatively less expensive. Industrial productivity and income growth, on the other hand, makes food goods, and therefore children, relatively more expensive. The present framework lends support to existing unified growth theories and is well in tune with historical evidence about structural transformation.      

An analysis of quasi-qualification,modified auditor opinions and special treatment status on China's Shenzhen market

The development of accounting, auditing and capital markets in China were an integral component of China's economic reforms; auditing was regarded as being critically important to achieving the desired policy objective of delivering a market economy (Yang and Yang, 1998 Yang, J. W. and Yang, J. 1998. The Handbook of Chinese Accounting (in Chinese), Hong Kong: Oxford University Press.  [Google Scholar]). This article examines the quasi-qualification hypothesis and tests whether investors valued the introduction of Special Treatment (ST) status for firms in 1998. Our empirical analysis fails to find significant support for the quasi-qualification hypothesis. In contrast, it appears that the issuance of ST status was valued by investors; the issuance of ST status led investors to discriminate between firms.     

Another look at the spending response to the 2001 income tax rebates

This article revisits the spending response to the 2001 US tax rebates by focussing on two key aspects of how tax policy researchers use the Consumer Expenditure Survey (CEX). These two attributes, which are often overlooked, are as follows: the measures used for consumption and the ‘outlier’ criteria applied to the data. First, I reproduce the results in Johnson et al. (2006 Johnson, DS, Parker, JA and Souleles, NS. 2006. Household expenditure and the income tax rebates of 2001. American Economic Review, 96: 1589–610. [Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]), which (using the CEX) concluded that households immediately spent 20–40% of their rebates on nondurable consumption goods. Then, I show how making two changes – both of which are relied upon in the literature – affects their results. These adjustments reduce the estimated magnitude of the rebate's impact by as much as 100%.     

Routines, genes and program-based behavior

It is argued that the ‘routines as genes’ and the ‘routines as skills’ analogies are misleading in several respects. Neither genes, nor skills, nor routines program behavior, if this is taken to involve, first, that they do so in a way that excludes conscious, deliberate choice and, second, that they determine behavior. On a proper understanding of ‘gene’, ‘skill’ and ‘routine’, conscious, deliberate choice is not ruled out when genes, skills or routines are operating. Once we shift from analogy to ontology, genes and skills appear as basic constituents of routines. Routines cannot exist unless specific genes and skills are in place in the individuals involved in the operation of the routines. Both genes and skills can be said to act unconsciously as ‘If ..., then ...’ programs. Even complete knowledge of genes and skills of the individuals involved would fall far short of predicting individual and firm behavior, however. What would still be missing, it is argued, is knowledge about organization, the specific ways in which genes, skills and individuals are connected with one another, and knowledge of context-dependence, what environmental stimuli activate specific chains of genes, skills and individuals.

Thought experiments, counterfactuals and comparative analysis

This article discusses the problem of “thought experiments” in Austrian economics and takes as a starting point Lawrence Moss’ argument on the divide between the older Austrian economists—for whom thought experiments were crucial—and the new generation that, in Moss’ view, has “abandoned” such methods. The article is an attempt not only to bridge this alleged divide but also to contribute to the development of the Austrian methodology. It is argued that what may be perceived as “abandonment” bolsters rather than precludes the role of thought experiments in the Austrian paradigm. The article identifies an entire family of comparative and counterfactual analysis research strategies available to the Austrians, all enjoying a solid epistemological and methodological grounding. The “comparative-counterfactual analytics” pattern threads together the conjectural histories, spontaneous orders and empirical case studies of the contemporary Austrians, with the classic tradition of older works. Consequently, the recent evolution of Austrian scholarship should not be seen as an aberration or abandonment but as a deliberate, natural and commendable development.

Comment on Johnson’s creating dimensional stock-flow inconsistency in Binswanger’s model

Binswanger (2009 Binswanger, M. 2009. “Is There a Growth Imperative in Capitalist Economies? A Circular Flow Perspective.” Journal of Post Keynesian Economics 31:707–727. doi:10.2753/pke0160-3477310410.[Taylor &; Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) constructed a model of a pure credit money economy with production to demonstrate the existence of growth imperative in such economies. This model entails a misspecification because money may disappear from the economy at the alleged minimal steady state growth rate (Gilányi 2015 Gilányi, Z. 2015. “A Brief Note on Mathias Binswanger’s Model.” Journal of Post Keynesian Economics 37:590–596. doi:10.1080/01603477.2015.1049927.[Taylor &; Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]). Johnson (2015 Johnson, R. 2015. “Capitalism’s Growth Imperative: An Examination of Binswanger and Gilányi.” Journal of Post Keynesian Economics 37:597–622. doi:10.1080/01603477.2015.1049928.[Taylor &; Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) attributes this inconsistency to the confusion between the stock of outstanding loans at the end of period and the flow of loans taken during the period; that he calls dimensional stock-flow inconsistency. On the grounds of this criticism he modifies some flows to eliminate the problem raised by Gilányi. Binswanger (2015 Binswanger, M. 2015. “The Growth Imperative Revisited, a Rejoinder to Gilányi and Johnson.” Journal of Post Keynesian Economics 37:648–660. doi:10.1080/01603477.2015.1050333.[Taylor &; Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) omits this criticism because it is a simple misinterpretation of his model; rather he explains the inadequacy of Johnson’s specification of flows. Doing so, he makes believe that there is still an unsettled debate on whether to treat loans as stocks or as flows in his model. This note demonstrates that both model specifications are dimensionally stock-flow consistent. Hence, Johnson’s criticism is just a narrative behind the rationale of altering flows in the model; the controversy is not on dimensional stock-flow inconsistency but on the logically coherent specification of the magnitude of flows in the model.     

The extensive and intensive margins of Spanish trade

Recent empirical research highlights that differences in trade flows across countries, products and years are governed by two margins: the intensive margin and the extensive margin. The analysis of the relative contribution of each margin is very important to determine which policies can be more efficient to foster trade at the aggregate, geographic, product or firm level. We use the whole universe of firm level transaction data to analyse the relative contribution of these margins to changes in Spanish trade flows during the 1997–2007 period. We first apply the methodology proposed by Bernard et al. (2009 Bernard, A.B., Jensen, J.B., Redding, S.J. and Schott, P.K. 2009. The margins of US trade. American Economic Review: Papers & Proceedings, 99(2): 487–93. [Crossref], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]) to decompose trade variation over time into three components: net entry of firms, product-country switching and value growth by regular trading firms. The first two components correspond to the extensive margin and the last one refers to the intensive margin. We find that short-run changes in exports and imports are governed by firms’ intensive margin; however, in the long-run, both the extensive and the intensive margins are equally important to foster trade. We also examine the importance of the trade margins at the cross-sectional level for the year 2007. We find that large differences in the Spanish trade flows across countries and products, especially in the case of exports, are explained by the number of firms that participate in trade, which is consistent with the fact that the number of trading partners decline significantly with distance.     

Der monetäre Zahlungsbilanzanpassungsprozeß in einem ökonometrischen Modell für die Bundesrepublik Deutschland

Ohne ZusammenfassungDieser Beitrag ist dem unvergeßlichen Harry G. Johnson (1923–1977) in Dankbarkeit und Verehrung gewidmet.Er geht auf eine Kooperation mit ihm und den Mitgliedern des von ihm 1973 an der London School of Economics ins Leben gerufenen International Monetary Research Programme zurück.Der Aufsatz stellt die wichtigsten Ergebnisse aus einem am Institut für Wirtschaftspolitik der Universität Kiel durchgeführten größeren Forschungsprojekt über den internationalen monetären Anpassungsprozeß in der Bundesrepublik dar.Das in der Arbeit verwendete ökonometrische Modell wurde von Clifford R. Wymer im Rahmen des internationalen monetären Forschungsprogramms an der London School of Economics entwickelt. An der Übertragung des Modells auf die institutionellen Verhältnisse in der Bundesrepublik hat Diplom-Volkswirt Klaus Masuhr einen entscheidenden Anteil gehabt. Klaus Masuhr hat auch die Rechenoperationen durchgeführt.Die vorliegende Fassung wurde am 30. 11. 1976 an der Technischen Universität Wien und am 31. 11. 1976 vor der Nationalökonomischen Gesellschaft in Wien vorgetragen. Der Verfasser dankt vor allem seinem Kollegen Helmut Frisch für wertvolle Anregungen.     

Technological Complexity, Wage Differentials and Unemployment

A model is developed to analyse the relation between wages and technological complexity, as characterised by the "O–ring" theory of production. In equilibrium, the adoption of a relatively complex technology induces the employer to pay higher wages. We argue that the model can explain increased within–group wage inequality as a consequence of increased technological heterogeneity among firms.
JEL classification : J 31; O 33     

Bargaining over productivity and wages when technical change is induced: implications for growth, distribution, and employment

I study a model of growth and income distribution in which workers and firms bargain à la Nash (Econometrica 18(2):155–162, 1950) over wages and productivity gains, taking into account the trade-offs faced by firms in choosing factor-augmenting technologies. The aggregate environment resulting from self-interested, objective function-maximizing decision rules on wages, productivity gains, savings and investment, is described by a two-dimensional dynamical system in the employment rate and output/capital ratio. The economy converges cyclically to a long-run equilibrium involving a Harrod-neutral profile of technical change, a constant rate of employment of labor, and constant input shares. The type of oscillations predicted by the model is qualitatively consistent with the available data on the United States (1963–2003), replicates the dynamics found in earlier models of growth cycles such as Goodwin (A growth cycle, in C.H. Feinstein (ed). Socialism, Capitalism and Economic Growth. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge 1967. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 1967); Shah and Desai (Econ J 91:1006–1010, 1981); van der Ploeg (J Macroecon 9:1–12, 1987); Flaschel (J Econ: Zeitschrift für Nationalökonomie 44:63–69, 1984) and Sportelli (J Econ: Zeitschrift für Nationalökonomie 61(1):35–64, 1995), and can be verified numerically in simulations. Institutional change, as captured by variations in workers’ bargaining power, has a positive effect on the long-run rate of growth of output per worker but a negative effect on long-run employment. Economic policy can also affect the growth and distribution pattern through changes in the unemployment compensation, which also have a positive long-run impact on labor productivity growth but a negative long-run impact on employment. In both cases, employment can overshoot its new equilibrium value along the transitional dynamics.     

Trade-induced Industrialization and Economic Growth

Based on a modified Heckscher-Ohlin model of Deardorff and Park (2010 Deardorff, A. and Park, J.-H. 2010. A story of trade-induced industrialization. International Economic Journal, 24: 283–296. [Taylor & Francis Online] , [Google Scholar]), this paper develops a dynamic model of trade-induced industrialization and economic growth. It shows that a developing country may grow out of its autarky steady state with no industrialization into a new steady state with full industrialization by opening to trade with a large industrialized country, exporting the labor-intensive intermediate input in exchange for the capital-intensive intermediate input for the modern good. Even when the developing country is on its path toward complete industrialization under autarky, free trade may induce it to grow faster with its return to capital being raised and sustained at a level that is higher than its autarky level during its industrialization process. Once it completes its industrialization process by having all of its resources in the modern sector, then diminishing returns to capital come back to accompany further capital accumulation, slowing down the growth of the economy. This trade-induced industrialization and economic growth, having an expansion of international trade both in its absolute value and in its ratio to the size of the developing country, correspond well with the dynamic profiles of East Asian Miracle countries’ economic growth based on their export-oriented industrialization strategy.     

Super-modularity: Applications to convex games and to the greedy algorithm for LP

L. S. Shapley (Internat. J. Game Theory1 (1971), 11–26) showed that if a game is convex, then all the marginal worth vectors are members of the core. J. Edmonds (in “Combinatorial Structures and Their Applications” (R. Guy et al., Eds.), pp. 69–87, Gordon & Breach, New York, 1970) considered a class of linear programming problems for which the greedy algorithm works. The present paper unifies these studies, and establishes the converse of each theorem.     

Long-run validity of purchasing power parity and rank tests for cointegration for Central Asian countries

This study finds that Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) holds in the long-run for Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan and Kyrgyzstan, based on Breitung's (2001 Breitung, J. 2001. Rank tests for nonlinear cointegration. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 19: 331–40. [Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) rank tests for cointegration. Results from further analysis indicates that nominal exchange rates and relative prices are nonlinearly interrelated. Trade barriers, transportation costs and government intervention in the pricing system in these countries may have resulted in the establishment of the above-mentioned nonlinear relationship.     

Hospital nursing costs, billing, and reimbursement

Nursing intensity, estimated direct nursing costs, and daily billing were compared for 12 adult medical or surgical units at an academic medical center from January 1 to May 31, 2005 (22,649 patient days). Two main findings, nursing intensity and direct nursing costs, were highly variable within and across each of the study nursing units (mean 429 dollars, SD 160 dollars); direct costs of nursing care were significantly higher for private room rates compared to intermediate room per diem charges billed at a higher rate (441 dollars vs. 426 dollars, F 37.77, p < 0.001). The results demonstrate that the direct costs of nursing care are not aligned with current billing practices at this university hospital. The use of fixed room and board charges to account for nursing care in U.S. hospitals may be obsolete and an alternative nurse-centric costing, billing, and reimbursement model is proposed.     

Testing the Ben-Porath effect through the educational patterns of young cohorts

During the 20th century, life expectancy levels have converged across the world. Yet, macroeconomic studies, as [Acemoglu, D., Johnson, S., 2007. J. Polit. Econ. 11 (6), 925–985.], estimate that improvements in health have no impact on growth or any factors of growth; in particular, they find no impact of life expectancy increases on education. We argue that their pessimistic results with respect to schooling investment is due to the use of an imprecise proxy. Indeed, when life expectancy increases at time t, only the cohort born at t should increase its human capital investment. On the contrary, [Acemoglu, D., Johnson, S., 2006. Disease and Development: The Effect of Life Expectancy on Economic Growth. Technical Report. National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.] look at the impact of life expectancy improvements on the average education of the whole working age population, which evolves much slower. We have reproduced their estimations with a cohort-based measure of education¹ and find a positive and significant impact of life expectancy on education, of 20%–50%, which is in line with the expected magnitude of the Ben-Porath effect according to the theoretical literature.     

The ministry, plan changes, and the ratchet in planning

Do Soviet planners employ the ratchet, that is, do they increase targets in response to higher performance, as is generally accepted, or has David Granick (J. Comp. Econ., Sept. 1980, pp. 255–273) proved statistically that they do not? This paper tries to show that accepted views of planning behavior are well founded. The evidence comes from two sources: East German data show that targets are adjusted ex post, partly in response to performance; Soviet sources, presumed by Granick to prove the absence of a ratchet, are shown to prove its existence.     

The joint dynamics of inflation, unemployment and interest rate in the United States since 1980

In this paper, by using a combination of long-run and short-run restrictions, we identify a small structural VECM which includes inflation, unemployment and the federal funds rate and study the dynamic interactions at different frequencies among these variables. Our results show that: (a) in accordance with the traditional view of economic fluctuations, aggregate demand shocks and monetary policy shocks push inflation and unemployment in opposite directions in the short run; (b) the permanent supply shock explains the long-run movement of inflation and unemployment. These conclusions are at odds with the prediction of “natural-rate” models but are consistent with the idea of a propagation mechanism which links productivity shocks to inflation and unemployment at medium and low frequencies. Thus, with respect to some recent studies (e.g. Beyer and Farmer, ECB Working Paper 121, 2002, and Ireland, J Monet Econ 44:279–291, 1999), we offer a different interpretation of the low-frequency comovements between inflation and unemployment characterizing the US economy in the last decades.