双十一盛宴的背后 折射的电商的新格局

11月12日消息,一天成交额350亿,平台模式的淘宝网和天猫,无疑已经成为全球最大规模的在线商业地产。刚刚过去的那一天,各家电商平台数据持续刷新,整个互联网一片沸腾。对阿里来说,＂双十一＂是一次大练兵。技术、运营、无线、公关甚至后勤都要接受这一年一度的考验。＂双十一＂开始后第一分钟内,支付宝的交易额就达到了1.17亿元,     

铁打的，流水的

说到温泉关战役，多数人可能只是似曾相识，但说到斯巴达勇士，任何一个国度的俊男美女都会为之热血喷涌。一场温泉关战役，斯巴达勇士成为惊天动，泣鬼神的千古英雄。     

小的是美好的

不知大家是否还记得,上个世纪70年代,英国有个经济学家舒马赫写了一本书——《小的是美好的》,认为资源密集型的大型化生产导致经济效益降低,贫国与富国的差距拉大,资源枯竭和环境污染,因此大家要超越对“大“的盲目追求,提倡小型机构、适当规模、中间技术等。这本“小书“很快成了声讨现代工业文明弊病的经典著作,书名本身也演变成流传世界的一句名言。     

有限的经费有情的运作有效的服务

几年来,北汽福田汽车股份有限公司工会（以下简称福田公司工会）以争创全国模范职工之家为目标,以员工文化交流平台、价值展示平台、情感互动平台为载体。以开展首都职工素质教育工程、经济技术创新工程、送温暖工程为重点,     

我的青春 我的梦想 我的财富

我出生在上世纪70年代初期，没有经历过太贫穷的生活，也没有大富大贵的梦想，所以对钱一直没有太多概念。20岁那年，我中专毕业，开始在家乡河北的一个事业单位上班，生活状态也算是“饿不死、撑不着”的，和周围的同学、朋友相比，真正是“比上不足，比下有余”，倒也自得其乐。那时候，根本没有什么理财的概念，对于个人财富的理解，也不过是凑到一定数额，去存个定期，或买了国债。大家都知道，     

我的梦想 我的舞台 我的光荣

心有多大，梦想就有多大，梦想有多大，舞台就有多大。     

自己的才是根本的

相邻的两个企业,产品一样,规模不相上下,技术水平相当,都是私营企业。不同的是,老板的身份不一样,一个是内地公民,一个是台商,但一年下来,两者的赢利数字大相径庭,内资性质的那个企业赢利30万元人民币,台商老板那个企业赢利120万元人民币。也许这里面有销售和成本方面的因素,但据知情人士透露,两者相差甚微,甚至可以说基本相同。那么是什么导致了两个企业这么大的赢利差距呢?是企业所得税!中国现在对外资太优惠了,三免六减半,这样的优惠政策,内资企业拿什么和他们竞争呢?外资企业的企业所得税税率低,这是其一;其二,人员工资税前全额扣除,这…     

绿的才是美好的

英国经济学家舒马赫在1973年出版的经济学名著《小的是美好的》历史性颠覆了工业经济时代对规模的拜物教,值得思考的是,这本书出版时正值全球第一次石油危机。如今国内肆虐蔓延的雾霾,在刺激人们呼吸道的同时,也刺激了环保产业的市场需求,从而触发了不可低估的商机。     

Almanac of anticipations: The age of affluence—of anticipation—of anxiety—of automation—of discontinuity—of longing—of overkill—of space exploration

With this survey of developments in the futures field since 1945, I.F. Clarke completes his present series for Futures. He makes two major points: that forecasting techniques have become essential tools in the management of change; and that nuclear weapons and ecological problems have added a moral dimension to the study of the future. In the next issue of Futures he will start a new series on the range of future-thinking in the USA, from the expectations of the first settlers to the Star Wars programme.     

基金公司经营融资融券业务的问题审视

融资融券业务正式运营已经开展,为证券市场带来了革命性的改革,作为证券市场的一大主体,基金公司面对融资融券也迎来了新的发展方向和挑战,本文从融资融券业务的运行机制入手,分析了基金公司融资融券的新契机,并对其即将面临的问题进行审视和剖析,进而提出策略建议.     

对基层人民银行科技工作的几点建议

银监会分设后,人民银行将专司货币政策、金融稳定、金融服务三大职能。作为人民银行的分支机构,基层人民银行的工作重心也将从金融监管调整到这三大职能上来。人民银行的科技部门,就要积极运用科技手段,为人民银行履行新的职能发挥“服务、支持、促进、发展”的作用。一、围绕三大职能搭建五大平台经过“六五打基础、七五作准备、八五大发展”几个阶段后,人民银行相继实现了核算电算化、清算网络化和办公信息化。特别是近一两年来,陆续开通了大额支付系统、信贷登记咨询系统、会计四集中系统、金融信息服务网站等系统,人民银行信息化水平又…     

The Usefulness of Measures of Consistency of Discretionary Components of Accruals in the Detection of Earnings Management

Abstract:  Prior research has shown the prevalence of measurement error in models used to estimate aggregate discretionary accruals. In these models, the incremental information content of the various components of accruals is ignored. Limited prior research and data gathered from firms under Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) litigation indicate that managers use either one or more than one component of accruals simultaneously, in a consistent way to manipulate bottom-line earnings in a given direction. I propose two measures that capture the consistency between the discretionary components of accruals and test their significance in earnings management (EM) detection in firms that have artificially added accrual manipulation and firms that were targeted by the SEC for accrual manipulation. There is evidence that this information is incrementally useful in detecting EM. This finding paves the way for improvements in the discretionary accruals measure by including consistency information from the components of aggregate accruals.     

社会主义所有制形式的改革、完善与共产党执政能力的提高

在中国,所有制形式的调整、改革与完善,先进生产力的发展,党的执政能力建设,是社会主义建设过程中密切结合在一起的三个不同层面的发展关系.应在相互促进和共同提高中促进社会的和谐发展,保证社会主义现代化建设战略目标的顺利实现.     

Summary of Results of Survey of Seminar Attendees

Abstract

The Society of Actuaries undertook a three-phase research project on mortality improvement in the three NAFTA countries: Canada, Mexico, and the U.S. Phase 1 consisted of a literature review of papers on projecting mortality levels in the future and a study of the trend in mortality improvement during this century. Phase 2 consisted of a discussion of different facets of modeling mortality rates at a seminar attended by 79 experts (actuaries, demographers, economists, and medical researchers) representing different countries. The last session of the seminar consisted of the completion of a survey by the attendees to obtain input for Phase 3, which would analyze the impact of mortality improvement on the social security system of each country. This paper summarizes the results of the survey.

The survey results illustrate the difficulty in forecasting mortality levels, because the effects of many factors that could have significant impact on mortality rates are unknown. This suggests the need for dynamic forecasting, which allows for the possibility of random shocks. A majority of the survey respondents believe that stochastic forecasting models, despite their complexity, have significant potential to add value. Respondents also believe that both historical data and cause-specific mortality forecasts are useful as input and also in validating forecasts of the aggregate levels of mortality. The challenge is to develop more sophisticated forecasting models to produce results that are relatively easy to interpret and to communicate these results to the desired audiences, including the public and policymakers.

The survey results suggest that the aggregate effect of lifestyle changes, medical advances, diseases, catastrophe, and physical environmental changes is an increase in life span. However, there is much uncertainty about the future. Respondents expect that beyond the year 2020 the mean annual rate of reduction in mortality for males age 65 and over will average about 0.58% for Canada, 0.76% for Mexico, and 0.67% for the U.S. The results for the female age 65 and over population are 0.64%, 0.83%, and 0.70%, respectively. The age 65 and over population is expected to see larger percentage reductions in mortality than the 0–14 and 15–64 populations. The reductions in male and female mortality will be ultimately the same, and the mortality levels in the three countries will ultimately converge, although differences may persist for decades.     

银行软件项目外包管理分析

一、引言随着国民经济的不断发展,银行业务与外部企业的联系越来越密切。银行正逐步成为现代经济活动的中心,作为数据处理核心的银行业务应用也越来越大型化、越来越复杂化,因此许多银行也把软件项目逐步由原来的自主开发转变为与公司合作的方式,或直接外包开发的方式,银行本身的技术人员也逐步由开发转向项目管理。二、项目外包的分类银行项目的外包有以下几种情况:①部分子系统外包,有时由于银行的软件项目太大,单靠银行自身的开发力量基本无法在预定的时间内完成项目,只好把相对独立的部分外包;②直接购买软件公司的成熟产品,有些金融软…     

银行管理信息平台建设发展的思考

一、目前国内银行IT发展现状及面临的问题 银行数据集中工作的完成,标志着银行的业务由电子化建设阶段转入信息化建设阶段.一方面银行数据的集中提供了丰富全面的基础数据,面对日益庞大的数据源,如何将数字转化为对银行有用的信息,并从中发现知识,为银行的经营决策提供支持,是摆在银行IT人员面前的一个亟待解决的问题.另一方面用户对银行信息的需求日益增长,如果银行没有一套完整、实用的信息管理系统,将对业务发展非常不利.南京爱立信公司倒戈花旗银行事件曾经轰动一时,其中一个重要原因就是中国本地银行不能满足爱立信全球总部对南京爱立信公司的要求:每周财务上报和每天贷款限额管理.这一事件为中国商业银行的未来发展敲响了警钟,如果不加快管理信息系统的开发,迅速提升业务管理水平,类似的事件还会接连不断地发生,并最终导致国内商业银行在同国外商业银行的竞争中全面溃败.     

Separation of Unit of Account from Medium of Exchange

The separation of a unit of account (UoA) from a medium of exchange (MoE) in the commodity–money system is investigated by considering explicitly a seller's choice of UoA in terms of either an MoE or a unit of metal weight. If the likelihood of debasement of an MoE and its rate are high enough, the price is posted in terms of a unit of metal weight rather than an MoE. Interestingly, this MoE–UoA separated equilibrium yields the flexible nominal price, whereas an MoE–UoA integrated equilibrium yields the sticky one. This implies the nominal price rigidity in the fiat‐money system where MoE and UoA are integrated.     

我国助学贷款改革刍议--"双担保"机制设计

国家新出台的助学贷款政策,还不过是既有的框架下的局部调整,存在诸多不完善的地方。为此,对国家助学贷款应构建高校与就业单位的“双担保”机制。从长期来看,要构建一个系统有效的“政府部门管理和商业银行运作相结合”、“多层次、多渠道、多方式”、“担保和非担保、贴息和非贴息、市场和非市场运作互相补充”的中国教育金融框架。