Predicting product life cycle patterns

In this paper, we propose a new model of adoption and repurchase due to upgrades driven by the utility of technology products that keep improving. The model is able to predict product life cycle patterns that could not be explained previously. Such patterns were used to challenge diffusion theory validity. Mathematically, the model is described as a nonlinear discrete system that depends on a small set of parameters. We investigate the dynamic properties of the nonlinear system using numerical stability analysis. We find domains in the parameters space in which the equilibrium point and the periodical orbits are stable. The domains correspond to population heterogeneity, tendency to upgrade, and the influence of industry response on market dynamics. We also implement our model to fit actual data of two real-world product life cycles with many irregularities and benchmark the results of our model vs. well-known models.     

The product life cycle trap

Many of America's most successful companies have gone through a life cycle similar to the product life cycle. They began as innovators, and then grew to be giants in their markets. But, as their products mature, they need new products to continue company growth. However, the organizational structure of an established company is no longer suited for innovation. The authors provide some insight into this cycle, and offer some solutions for big companies which need new products.     

Is market orientation affected by the product life cycle?

Considerable scholarly interest has been shown in the relationship between market orientation and business performance. Although a number of environmental moderators have been postulated to influence the market orientation–performance link, extant findings are inconclusive. This study takes a different approach by conceptualizing product life cycle stages in terms of variations in competitive intensity, market and technological turbulence. Data collected in Hong Kong reveal that Atuahene-Gima's [Atuahene-Gima, K. (1995). An exploratory analysis of the impact of market orientation on new product performance: A contingent approach. Journal of Product Innovation Management, 12: 275–293] product life cycle measure successfully discriminates stages in terms of market and technological turbulence, but fails to capture variation in competitive intensity. Market orientation is also found to be more highly valued by firms in growing and mature markets than firms in introductory and declining markets. Finally, the link between market orientation and firm performance is found to be strongest for firms in the growth stage and weakest for firms in the introductory stage of the product life cycle.     

An optimal control contribution to product life cycle theory

This article is aimed at analysing some determinants of the life cycle theory using an optimal control approach. A dynamic model of a monopoly facing demand saturation effects is presented and the optimal sales trend is compared with the classical product life cycle curve. Some strategic implications are derived.     

低碳旅游产品生命周期评价的初步构建

旅游产品是旅游业的核心要素,低碳旅游经济的发展其实就是旅游产品生产和消费的低碳化发展,但其组成的复杂性和碳排放的多元性决定了其生产难以采取单一的碳排放标准,因此,本文采用低碳旅游产品生命周期评价来统一旅游企业的经营理念,将旅游企业的经营行为分为面向环境的设计--低碳营销--清洁生产和绿色消费--碳中和四个阶段,并引用生命周期矩阵对各阶段环境影响进行评价,从而减少旅游产品生产过程中的碳排放,促进旅游业的可持续发展.     

Small business strategy and the industry life cycle

This article proposes that individual small firms, just like large firms, use different approaches to make strategy. Three processes relevant to small firms are identified: simplistic, participative and adaptive. The article examines how these processes are related to performance, depending on industry life cycle stage. Empirical analysis indicates that all three approaches are related to small firm performance, but that the importance and impact of these relationships will change according to the industry life cycle stage. Markedly, and contrary to evidence from studies in large firms, small firms in mature industries are most likely to benefit from using adaptive strategy-making processes.     

Branch plant location and the product cycle in computer manufacturing

This paper examines the implications of changes in product and process technology in the computer industry for the regional location pattern of production facilities. Emphasis is placed on the different locational needs of research and development activities as opposed to volume production of components. Using establishment data, the existing pattern of location is analyzed. A location model for branch plants is estimated across SMSAs; the results show that SMSA size and wage rates are repelling forces for branches. Agglomeration factors, educational level, and the supply of engineers, as well as the distance to headquarters, are positive influences on location.Manufacturing employment in the United States has grown faster outside than inside the traditional manufacturing belt for decades (Carlino 1984); this trend has accelerated in recent years. Causes of this redistribution may include surplus farm labor in the South (Cogan 1982), an attractive climate in the West, and unionization and high taxes in the North. Changes in product and process technology have also affected the location of some industries. This paper attempts to show how technology and the product life cycle influence the location of computer manufacturing.     

从企业的生命周期解读企业的生存危机

本文从企业生命周期的角度出发,分析企业处于生命周期不同阶段的生存危机,从而为企业加强危机管理,预防和避免危机的发生,提高企业适应环境变化的能力和竞争能力,及时而有效地采取相关措施提供参考.     

A life cycle model of multi-stakeholder networks

In multi-stakeholder networks, actors from civil society, business and governmental institutions come together in order to find a common solution to a problem that affects all of them. Problems approached by such networks often affect people across national boundaries, tend to be very complex and are not sufficiently understood. In multi-stakeholder networks, information concerning a problem is gathered from different sources, learning takes place, conflicts between participants are addressed and cooperation is sought. Corporations are key actors in many networks, because the problems addressed are frequently related to business activities. The aim of this article is to conceptualise multi-stakeholder networks by proposing a problem-centred stakeholder definition. From an analysis of several case studies, a life cycle model is deduced that distinguishes seven phases: initiation, acquaintance, first and second agreement, implementation, consolidation and institutionalisation.     

Comparative dynamics in a life cycle theory of the firm

Important insights and contributions to the corporate financial manager's decision problem have been provided by the balanced-growth financial modeling literature, e.g., see [4, 5, 8, 10, 11, 13, 15]. In the spirit of this research, the objective of this paper is twofold. First, a normative model of the dynamic financial planning process in a deterministic environment is constructed wherein the traditional, steady-state assumptions are relaxed. In contrast to prior models, the firm is allowed to pay a liquidating dividend and faces a time-dependent investment rate of return, interest rate, and equity discount rate. Necessary and sufficient conditions for the levered firm's optimal investment-financing-dividend policy decisions which maximize the wealth of its investors are developed, and a solution synthesis technique is employed to catalogue the different decisions at each time instant in terms of three earnings-growth stages over the firm's life cycle. Over this life cycle, the firm experiences high, low, and negative growth stages, with the latter stage distinguished by a liquidating dividend payout and retirement of debt outstanding. Secondly, the life cycle depiction further permits an analysis of the effects, in terms of both direction and magnitude, on the optimal duration of the firm's different growth stages and optimal growth rates due to changes in the firm's return on investment, debt-equity ratio, borrowing rate, equity discount rate, depreciation rate, and flotation costs via a comparative dynamics and simulation framework. Changes in the return on investment are found to have the most influence on the duration of the firm's growth periods and their respective earnings growth rates, while changes in the mix of financing and depreciation rate tend to have the least effect. Furthermore, the magnitudinal impact of marginal changes in any of the above firm variables is greatest at low levels of debt-to-equity and growth-in-earnings and quickly dissipates as the degree of leverage increases.     

网游生命周期有迹可循百度数据助力营销决策

国际金融危机逐渐波及实体经济。而网络游戏行业营收仍然保持了大幅增长．2008年我国网络游戏行业的销售收入达183．8亿元,比上年增长了76.6％.日前．百度数据研究中心近期发布的《2008百度风云榜网游行业报告》给了我们一些线索。     

Stochastic service life cycle analysis using customer reviews

This study proposes a stochastic service life cycle analysis to gauge where a service is in its life cycle and to give forecasts about its future prospects. We employ customer review data to measure customer-oriented service maturity and use a hidden Markov model to estimate the probability of a service being at a certain stage of its life cycle. Based on this, we also develop three indicators to represent the future prospects of a service’s life cycle progression. The main advantages of the proposed approach lie in its ability to model different shapes of life cycles without any supplementary information and to examine a wide range of services at acceptable levels of time and cost. We believe our method will assist firms in building stage-customised post-launch service strategies. A case study of mobile game services in the Apple App Store is presented.     

Product life cycle research: A literature review

The purposes of this paper are threefold: to review the scope of product life cycle (PLC) research; to pinpoint areas requiring further investigation; and to provide guidelines for future researchers. Because of the paucity of empirical evidence, only tentative conclusions are advanced. For example, the most common PLC pattern is the classical, bell-shaped curve, but it is not the sole shape. The application of various forecasting techniques across the PLC have met with merely moderate success. Very little research has been conducted either on how different characteristics of the firm influence the PLC or on the actual use of various PLC-strategy theories by business planners. Finally, investigators have focused almost exclusively on validating the existence of the PLC concept among nondurable consumer goods. Industrial items, as well as major product changes, have been nearly ignored. The main conclusion is that additional research-more diversified and extensive in nature-is needed on many PLC topics.     

Choose wisely: Crowdfunding through the stages of the startup life cycle

Crowdfunding is attractive to startups as an alternative funding source and offers nonmonetary resources through organizational learning. It encompasses the outsourcing of an organizational function, through IT, to a strategically defined network of actors (i.e., the crowd) in the form of an open call—specifically, requesting monetary contributions toward a commercial or social business goal. Nonetheless, many startups are hesitant to consider crowdfunding because little guidance exists on how the various types of crowdfunding add value in different life cycle stages and which type is best suited for which stage. In response to this gap, this article introduces a typology of crowdfunding, the benefits it offers, and how specific benefits relate to the identified crowdfunding types. On this basis, we present a framework for choosing the right crowdfunding type for each stage in the startup life cycle, in addition to providing practical advice on crowdfunding best practices. The best practices outlined have shown demonstrable contributions toward achieving funding goals and are likely to prove valuable for startups.     

The adaptive life cycle of entrepreneurial ecosystems: the biotechnology cluster

We propose an empirical framework for assessing the vibrancy and trajectory of regional entrepreneurial ecosystems. We apply this framework to study the US National Capital Region’s localized cluster of biotechnology-related entrepreneurship by building our analysis around a set of indicators of ecosystem vitality proposed by Stangler and Bell-Masterson (2015). This application constitutes an initial attempt at mapping the dynamics of an industry cluster within the adaptive life cycle of a wider regional ecosystem. We find that the biotechnology cluster in the National Capital Region entered a “reorientation” stage in the early 2000s, building up stored energy, capital, and connectedness in non-research-oriented activities. An increasing regional presence of large biotech firms in the past 5 years, a highly active and diverse start-up sector, increasing merger and acquisition activity, and declines in regional public funding for medical and clinical trials all suggest a transition of entrepreneurial activity in the region from a dynamic driven by federal research spillovers to one increasingly driven by private sector actors.     

Family,life cycle and consumption of services: the Spanish case

This article presents an analysis of service consumption patterns in Spanish homes, based on different stages in the life cycle of a family, using cross-section data from the Encuesta Continua de Presupuestos Familiares (Ongoing Survey of Family Budgets). The study's main objective consists of establishing a taxonomy of services consumed by the home by estimating income elasticity. The results obtained classify services as inferior, necessary and luxury and also point the public sector in the direction of some economic policy measures involving a more balanced distribution of income.     

以企业生命周期理论重新审视企业工作

企业如人,也有一个生命的周期。企业的发展大致分两个阶段:成长阶段和老化阶段。成长阶段包括孕育期、婴儿期、学步期、青春期、盛年期、稳定期;老化阶段包括贵族期、官僚化早期、官僚期、死亡。生命周期理论告诉我们两点:一是企业在生命周期的每一个阶段都面临着突然死亡的威胁,如刚刚辉煌几年的中国巨人集团、爱多公司、秦池集团在学步期或青春期就死掉了;拥有几十年历史的武汉长江音响在成熟期垮掉了;拥有230年历史的英国巴林银行在贵族期告别了人世。二是企业在生命周期的不同阶段其战略的重点、经营与管理的内容有所不同。如青春期重点…