发展高风险、高损失行业责任险意义重大

目前，机动车第三者责任险、承运人责任险、旅行社责任险已经成为强制保险，同时，这些险种也是目前责任险重要的险种，但是在一些高风险、高损失行业的责任险发展亟待国家宏观调控，加强政策和法律支持。兹有如下建议。     

责任保险发展策略

今年以来，中国保监会大力推进责任险试点工作，将责任险的发展问题提到重要议事日程，因此，我们应当认真分析研究推进我国责任险发展的策略问题。     

食品安全责任保险模式研究

食品安全问题深受国人关注,源于其损失事件的特点。食品安全责任险作为产品责任险的一种,是转移食品安全风险的途径之一。我国政府希望通过设立食品安全强制责任险来保障受害人的合法权益,减少食品生产销售企业损失,引导食品行业健康发展,协助政府处理危机。从国外经验来看,仅有高度风险和特定职业两个领域适用强制责任险,食品安全不属于这两种领域。现阶段推广食品安全强制责任险应该首先在有注册登记准入制度的食品生产销售企业展开,并通过相应的制度安排提高投保率,控制经营风险。     

发展我国物流责任保险的思考建议

物流责任保险是伴随物流业这一新兴服务产业的发展而产生的,目的是将物流企业在经营物流业务过程中,因发生意外事故而应承担的责任风险转嫁给保险公司,从而保证物流企业经营的稳定性和持续快速的发展。在我国,物流责任险是一个相对比较新的险种,从保险实践来看,国内物流责任险发展滞后,推广普及率低,物流责任险保险产品的公众认可度不高。     

浅谈高管责任险发展“边缘化”

万福生科“财务造假”案,承销商平安证券先行设立3亿元基金补偿投资者,后再向万福生科相关责任人追偿。一时间,高管责任险被推上了风口浪尖。从“默默无闻”到成为“焦点”,受制于监管、法律、上市公司合规管理多方面原因,起源于国外的高管责任险在我国的发展似乎并不乐观,使得该产品在保险公司一直处于“边缘化”地位。高管责任险拒绝为“欺诈”行为埋单说起高管责任险,可能很少人知道该险种,其实高管责任险在我国并非新鲜事物。1934年,第一份董事和高管人员职业责任保险诞生,目前在美国覆盖率已达99％。1996年,美亚保险上海分公司承保了中国第一张“董监事及高级管理人员责任保险”保单。随后,     

机动车辆第三者责任保险伤残案件的症结与诊治措施

近几年，我省机动车辆保险业务发展迅速，已成为财产险的骨干险种，随着服务领域的不断扩大，业务量大幅度增加，相继出现了一些新问题，特别是第三者责任险伤残案件，问题较多。由于处理第三者责任险伤残案件受社会诸多因素的制约，因此，给管理工作加大了难度，如何有铲地管理机动车辆第三者责任险伤残案件,始终困扰着各级公司业务管理人员。笔者就这方面问题谈些粗浅看法。     

析车上人员责任险的“车下责任”

在机动车辆保险中，车上人员责任险是第三者责任险项下的附加险，是第三者责任险的扩大和延伸，只有投保了第三者责任险的条件下才能投保该附加险。但是，在遇到责任事故时，保险公司应如何处理“车上风险引至的车下责任”，值得探讨。     

医疗责任保险的现状及展望

在中国保监会积极发展责任保 险的工作指导下,全国都掀 起了积极开拓责任保险市场热 潮。按照《北京市实施医疗责任 保险的意见》,从2005年1月1 日起,北京市所有非营利性医院 开始统一实施医疗责任保险,这 为2005年医疗责任险业务发展 鸣响了第一枪。除北京外,上海、 深圳、沈阳等地都已有和卫生局 合作,探索性地经营医疗责任险 的做法、而南京等地也在积极地 研究推动方案。 本文主要从北京、深圳、上海 三地医疗责任险的比较分析出     

产品责任保险在我国法律上的现状及发展

随着经济的发展,大工业生产带来的产品质量问题也进一步显现,为了保障商家的持续经营,也为了保护受害人及时获取补偿,产品责任险出现并发展壮大。我国的产品质量险正处于成长初期,随着新《保险法》和《侵权责任法》的颁布,给我国产品责任险也带来了新的机遇。     

论财产保险产品品牌优势的构建北大核心

本文在分析我国财产保险产品品牌发展现状的基础上,提出可以通过发展责任险产品增强财产保险品牌优势。同时,本文还分析了如何通过推动加强责任险产品创新,来提升财产保险公司核心竞争力。最后,本文从加大产品推广力度、打造知名品牌、提升产品适应性以及实现客户与财产保险公司互利共赢等四个方面提出对策建议。     

Almanac of anticipations: The age of affluence—of anticipation—of anxiety—of automation—of discontinuity—of longing—of overkill—of space exploration

With this survey of developments in the futures field since 1945, I.F. Clarke completes his present series for Futures. He makes two major points: that forecasting techniques have become essential tools in the management of change; and that nuclear weapons and ecological problems have added a moral dimension to the study of the future. In the next issue of Futures he will start a new series on the range of future-thinking in the USA, from the expectations of the first settlers to the Star Wars programme.     

基金公司经营融资融券业务的问题审视

融资融券业务正式运营已经开展,为证券市场带来了革命性的改革,作为证券市场的一大主体,基金公司面对融资融券也迎来了新的发展方向和挑战,本文从融资融券业务的运行机制入手,分析了基金公司融资融券的新契机,并对其即将面临的问题进行审视和剖析,进而提出策略建议.     

对基层人民银行科技工作的几点建议

银监会分设后,人民银行将专司货币政策、金融稳定、金融服务三大职能。作为人民银行的分支机构,基层人民银行的工作重心也将从金融监管调整到这三大职能上来。人民银行的科技部门,就要积极运用科技手段,为人民银行履行新的职能发挥“服务、支持、促进、发展”的作用。一、围绕三大职能搭建五大平台经过“六五打基础、七五作准备、八五大发展”几个阶段后,人民银行相继实现了核算电算化、清算网络化和办公信息化。特别是近一两年来,陆续开通了大额支付系统、信贷登记咨询系统、会计四集中系统、金融信息服务网站等系统,人民银行信息化水平又…     

The Usefulness of Measures of Consistency of Discretionary Components of Accruals in the Detection of Earnings Management

Abstract:  Prior research has shown the prevalence of measurement error in models used to estimate aggregate discretionary accruals. In these models, the incremental information content of the various components of accruals is ignored. Limited prior research and data gathered from firms under Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) litigation indicate that managers use either one or more than one component of accruals simultaneously, in a consistent way to manipulate bottom-line earnings in a given direction. I propose two measures that capture the consistency between the discretionary components of accruals and test their significance in earnings management (EM) detection in firms that have artificially added accrual manipulation and firms that were targeted by the SEC for accrual manipulation. There is evidence that this information is incrementally useful in detecting EM. This finding paves the way for improvements in the discretionary accruals measure by including consistency information from the components of aggregate accruals.     

社会主义所有制形式的改革、完善与共产党执政能力的提高

在中国,所有制形式的调整、改革与完善,先进生产力的发展,党的执政能力建设,是社会主义建设过程中密切结合在一起的三个不同层面的发展关系.应在相互促进和共同提高中促进社会的和谐发展,保证社会主义现代化建设战略目标的顺利实现.     

Summary of Results of Survey of Seminar Attendees

Abstract

The Society of Actuaries undertook a three-phase research project on mortality improvement in the three NAFTA countries: Canada, Mexico, and the U.S. Phase 1 consisted of a literature review of papers on projecting mortality levels in the future and a study of the trend in mortality improvement during this century. Phase 2 consisted of a discussion of different facets of modeling mortality rates at a seminar attended by 79 experts (actuaries, demographers, economists, and medical researchers) representing different countries. The last session of the seminar consisted of the completion of a survey by the attendees to obtain input for Phase 3, which would analyze the impact of mortality improvement on the social security system of each country. This paper summarizes the results of the survey.

The survey results illustrate the difficulty in forecasting mortality levels, because the effects of many factors that could have significant impact on mortality rates are unknown. This suggests the need for dynamic forecasting, which allows for the possibility of random shocks. A majority of the survey respondents believe that stochastic forecasting models, despite their complexity, have significant potential to add value. Respondents also believe that both historical data and cause-specific mortality forecasts are useful as input and also in validating forecasts of the aggregate levels of mortality. The challenge is to develop more sophisticated forecasting models to produce results that are relatively easy to interpret and to communicate these results to the desired audiences, including the public and policymakers.

The survey results suggest that the aggregate effect of lifestyle changes, medical advances, diseases, catastrophe, and physical environmental changes is an increase in life span. However, there is much uncertainty about the future. Respondents expect that beyond the year 2020 the mean annual rate of reduction in mortality for males age 65 and over will average about 0.58% for Canada, 0.76% for Mexico, and 0.67% for the U.S. The results for the female age 65 and over population are 0.64%, 0.83%, and 0.70%, respectively. The age 65 and over population is expected to see larger percentage reductions in mortality than the 0–14 and 15–64 populations. The reductions in male and female mortality will be ultimately the same, and the mortality levels in the three countries will ultimately converge, although differences may persist for decades.     

银行软件项目外包管理分析

一、引言随着国民经济的不断发展,银行业务与外部企业的联系越来越密切。银行正逐步成为现代经济活动的中心,作为数据处理核心的银行业务应用也越来越大型化、越来越复杂化,因此许多银行也把软件项目逐步由原来的自主开发转变为与公司合作的方式,或直接外包开发的方式,银行本身的技术人员也逐步由开发转向项目管理。二、项目外包的分类银行项目的外包有以下几种情况:①部分子系统外包,有时由于银行的软件项目太大,单靠银行自身的开发力量基本无法在预定的时间内完成项目,只好把相对独立的部分外包;②直接购买软件公司的成熟产品,有些金融软…     

银行管理信息平台建设发展的思考

一、目前国内银行IT发展现状及面临的问题 银行数据集中工作的完成,标志着银行的业务由电子化建设阶段转入信息化建设阶段.一方面银行数据的集中提供了丰富全面的基础数据,面对日益庞大的数据源,如何将数字转化为对银行有用的信息,并从中发现知识,为银行的经营决策提供支持,是摆在银行IT人员面前的一个亟待解决的问题.另一方面用户对银行信息的需求日益增长,如果银行没有一套完整、实用的信息管理系统,将对业务发展非常不利.南京爱立信公司倒戈花旗银行事件曾经轰动一时,其中一个重要原因就是中国本地银行不能满足爱立信全球总部对南京爱立信公司的要求:每周财务上报和每天贷款限额管理.这一事件为中国商业银行的未来发展敲响了警钟,如果不加快管理信息系统的开发,迅速提升业务管理水平,类似的事件还会接连不断地发生,并最终导致国内商业银行在同国外商业银行的竞争中全面溃败.     

Separation of Unit of Account from Medium of Exchange

The separation of a unit of account (UoA) from a medium of exchange (MoE) in the commodity–money system is investigated by considering explicitly a seller's choice of UoA in terms of either an MoE or a unit of metal weight. If the likelihood of debasement of an MoE and its rate are high enough, the price is posted in terms of a unit of metal weight rather than an MoE. Interestingly, this MoE–UoA separated equilibrium yields the flexible nominal price, whereas an MoE–UoA integrated equilibrium yields the sticky one. This implies the nominal price rigidity in the fiat‐money system where MoE and UoA are integrated.     

Properties of time-series estimates of degree of leverage measures

Empirical studies suggest that time-series regression estimates of the degrees of operating and financial leverage have a tendency to produce measures less than one. According to ex ante theory, these measures should be greater than one for firms operating above the breakeven point. There have also been suggestions that the biases in these estimates may be attributable to an underlying increase in unit sales. This work presents evidence that these counter-intuitive measures are produced by changes in the firm's operating parameters (unit price, variable cost, fixed cost and interest payments). It further suggests that attempts to control for the underlying change in unit sales substantially increase the volatility of predicted estimates.