有一位作家

有一位战争时期的作家,自幼聪颖过人,酷爱文学。他同时要为一个理想奋斗终生,所以参加了队伍,边打仗边写作。这个作家一直让我尊重和崇敬。有很多人的写作都在模仿这位作家,我更是如此。他的作品,我每一个宇都读过,这份景仰无以言表。现在好多人一读到那个时期的文学,就要先有几分轻薄。     

"神器"的黯然:日本终身雇佣制改革

20世纪90年代以来,日本经济曾陷入长期低迷,广受赞誉的日本企业雇佣管理制度——终身雇佣制也开始受到广泛质疑。面对激变的经营环境,日本企业开始纷纷推出改革举措,其主要特征是:引进绩效主义、彻底改革有日本经营"神器"之称的终身雇佣体制。经营环境决定企业的经营方式,日本企业的此次雇佣体制的制度创新尚处于初始阶段,终身雇佣制的"外壳"仍将继续存在一段时间。     

别有一番“天地”

占地面积近100亩,26栋花园式标准厂房,11万平米建筑面积,企业入驻率达98％以上……在软件产业发展迅猛的上海,这里不是成立最早的园区,但无疑已成为上海中心城区中规模最大的高科技产业园区之一.2012年,园区年产值50亿元,年税收2.2亿元,累计吸纳就业人数10000多人(本科以上学历占80％)……记者近日走访了上海天地软件园,探究这份漂亮成绩单背后的故事.     

The Korean Economy in Transition: In Search for a New Model

Abstract

Prior to the 1997 financial crisis, the Korean economy had based its growth policies on East Asia's economic catch-up model which was based mainly on the Japanese development experience. However, the events that lead to the 1997 crisis and the changes instituted in the Korean economy after the crisis have put to question whether the traditional East Asian growth model will continue to be viable. This paper examines two alternative models of development, namely the “Anglo-Saxon” and the “Continental European” models, and evaluates their relevance for Korea's future development challenges. Despite many common features these models share, they are also quite distinctive with regard to their treatment of the labor market system and the role of government. By focusing on the model's capacity to expand employment and to provide sustainable growth as the most important criteria, it is suggested that Korea should follow the “Anglo-Saxon model”, at least in the short- to medium-term. In comparing Korea's economy with other advanced economies when they were at the similar stage of development, it is found that Korea's growth potential lags behind that of countries such as Japan, Germany, Finland, and Ireland. The efficiency of Korea's investment is found to be only slightly better than Japan while it is inferior to all other advanced economies. Despite these challenges, Korea is apparently moving toward the “Continental European model”, with the Korean government increasing its own size and plans for further expenditures on social security and welfare. However, in order to ensure sustainable development with significant job creation, this paper argues that Korea should switch its direction and adopt the “Anglo-Saxon model” as soon as possible.     

Developing a Risk Group Predictive Model for Korean Students Falling into Bad Debt

Using direct loan data for 2012 to 2014 from the Korea Student Aid Foundation, we develop a risk group predictive model for borrowers defaulting on their loans. We used a logistic regression model and the Cox proportional hazards model to develop the risk predictive model. We verified the validity of the models using a receiver operating characteristic curve and a validation dataset. The present study shows that area under the receiver operating characteristic curves is similar for the models and that the major influencing factors for defaulting on their loans are household income, whether a national grant was received, age, whether more than two accounts are overdue, field of study and the monthly repayment amount. The risk group predictive model in this study will be the basis for more efficient management of direct student loans.     

Is There a Hidden Technical Potential?

This paper analyzes the determinants of choosing a technical study at university level and of staying in it. We find that – in The Netherlands – there is little correlation between the probability of a student choosing a technical study and the probability of completing it. This implies that a substantial number of technically talented people choose non-technical studies. Especially female students and students from high income families are unlikely to attent a technical study but these students are relatively successful in such studies. A large part of these technically talented students are attracted to medical studies and law schools, where they are no more likely to persist than other medical and law students. This finding is predicted by the tournament model in which rewards are based on relative performance instead of absolute performance.     

济南韩国产业城：韩商聚集的地方

“韩国人对孔子、泰山非常熟悉,济南和曲阜、泰安的距离非常近,这有利于韩国人了解济南文化。济南本身就是一个有着厚重文化气息的城市,这也是济南的魅力所在。”     

有一种城市习惯叫盖碗茶

说起重庆,许多人都知道这样两句话：＂雄起＂——重庆男儿刚烈如山;＂幺妹乖＂——重庆女儿柔情似水。人有如此特征,皆因地域和地理环境使然。重庆,＂山城、雾都、水码头＂是也!其实,受地理与气候影响的,还有重庆人的生活习性。夏季高温而冬天阴湿,于是重庆人爱喝酒、饮茶,喜食麻辣,藉以驱风祛湿。久之,便有了今天＂什么都可烫,什么都敢吃＂的重庆火锅;因为地势的缘故,所有的建筑都沿山体依次建造,于是有了临江靠岩的吊脚楼……     

中国住房市场存在泡沫吗

本文在住房特性基础上,通过构建消费者-开发商模型和投机者-投机者模型说明了住房泡沫的大小以及泡沫破灭的条件。本文利用1996~2006年中国31个省份数据,采用系统GMM模型对本文的理论模型进行了经验检验。本文结果表明,中国东部地区存在较严重的住房泡沫,中西部地区没有明显的住房泡沫。本文认为降低东部地区房价主要是降低预期、抑制投机;降低中西部地区房价要将降低预期和开发成本同举并用。     

再望长安

对于西安,我始终怀着敬畏之心。从某种意义上说,西安就是中国。中国以5000年灿烂文化著称．西安有3000年历史．且历经13朝帝都。她是中国历史上建都朝代最多、时间最长的文化名城,也是中国惟一超过千年的都城。     

小巷深处,有位名人

在上世纪二三十年代,青岛可谓是中国北方文化的聚集地。中国历史上许多著名的文人墨客都曾来到这里,他们或著书、或讲学、或定居、或游历,总之,他们的印记被深深留在这里。轻轻翻开青岛的地图,你会发现,名人们的故居犹如市南老城区的地标,以一种特有的文化历史方式诠释着青岛深厚人文底蕴。     

Real wages once more: a response to Judy Stephenson

This article examines Judy Stephenson's claim that institutional wage series such as those of Greenwich Hospital overstate the earnings of building workers by 20 to 30 per cent, and it is argued here that the conclusion is unpersuasive. Whatever adjustments to existing wage series are necessary in view of her new evidence would have no significant implications for real wages in England compared to the rest of the world. Consequently, Stephenson's findings do not call into question the high wage explanation for the industrial revolution.     

黄金价格中存在棘轮效应吗

对黄金市场供求结构的分析显示,黄金投机需求和金条囤积需求是决定黄金价格变化的两大主要力量.由此,本文构建了一个包含投机者和投资者的异质性市场参与者模型以揭示金价棘轮效应的成因.相应的实证分析表明,美元汇率、通货膨胀和风险水平的变化具有促使黄金价格“易涨难跌”的非对称性影响,因此黄金价格中确实存在棘轮效应.这一结论对于黄金价格的相关理论研究和黄金投资实践均具有一定意义.     

房地产昔日繁荣重现

进入2009年以来，房地产市场迎来了久违的繁荣，各地房价飙升，“地王”频现……恍惚中，2007年房地产盛况重现。这是房地产市场自然转暧，还是新一轮泡沫的前兆     

车生活，总有一款适合你

向A级车展冲刺的重庆国际车展,2013年6月移师新落成的重庆国际博览中心,实现了它的完美蝶变。顶级进口品牌豪车,沉稳内敛的轿跑,以柔克刚的城市SUV,坐拥主场之利的自主品牌……荟萃全球90个汽车品牌、60余款首发车,在规模突破10万平米的展会上揭开神秘面纱。车,是生活的一部分,是我们移动的家。以美好     

中韩两国时装产业中顾客资产模型的比较研究

将顾客资产模型应用到时装市场领域,以拓展该模型的应用范围,并且验证该模型是否受到文化差异的影响。采用问卷调查法收集数据,并分析数据。结果表明,在顾客资产的三大驱动要素中,只有关系资产和品牌资产对时装企业的顾客资产产生显著影响。另外,在中韩两国,这两个驱动要素对顾客资产的影响也存在显著差异。     

文明,只有起点没有终点——青岛市文明办负责人就创建全国文明城市工作答记者问

2011年岁末,青岛市以省会和副省级城市复查测评总分第一名的成绩再获全国文明城市称号.这一刻,是800多万青岛人值得欢庆的时刻;这一刻,是青岛实现文明新跨越的重要时刻:这一刻,也是青岛开始新文明征程的新起点.在全市上下经历了无数个艰难奋战的日夜之后,青岛,这个全国重要的沿海开放城市和经济中心城市,再次与全国文明的最高荣誉深情相拥,在这片大爱的土地上生活的人们也切实感受到文明城市实至名归的荣耀.     

临沂“水城”新姿

打开临沂市地图,你会发现一个并不复杂的"达芬奇密码":纵贯全境的沂河、沭河两大水系,像两位依依并行的亲密姐妹,所流经的临沂中心城市及所属九座县城,恰如两姐妹飘飘裙裾上的两串闪亮明珠,构成一幅水系相通、城水相依、适宜人居的天然画卷.