小企业与狼共舞的十大法则

在巨头已经牢牢占据各种机会和资源的环境下,面对其不容撼动的行业地位,创业小公司想要生存并分得一杯羹,只能转向微细分行业,并且还要时刻提防巨头的复制、抄袭和收购。针对目前普遍存在的这一情况,我认为,与其在狼群的虎视眈眈中瑟瑟发抖,不如与狼共舞。     

政治与媒体：背叛的艺术

默多克遭遇到重大危机,这也是英国政治和媒体关系的危机。记得BBC前政治主编安德鲁·马尔（AndrewMarr）曾经在回忆录《我的买卖》（MyTrade）中说,作为记者,要学会恰当地背叛自己的采访对象。默多克领导的新闻集团的理念,更加前卫,如果采访对象不给你采访和背叛的机会,那就直接去进攻,比如使用窃听手段。     

A Microsimulation Model for Projections of Japanese Socioeconomic Structure

The Integrated Analytical Model for Household Simulation (INAHSIM) is a microsimulation model for the Japanese population that was first developed in the 1980s as a tool for household simulation. This study attempted to improve the conventional INAHSIM in order to construct a more comprehensive alternative that incorporates a larger number of social and economic elements. It also overcame the problem for simulation—the lack of kinship relations in the initial population—by imputing parent-child relationships between those parents and children who do not live together. This paper provides an overview of INAHSIM and adds certain details of the imputation that is essential for simulating the life event of “adult children resettling to care for their aged parents.” In addition, I will show the importance of the said life event in Japan by comparing the difference in the family type of elderly people between its future distribution with or without this life event. Finally, I will discuss the future possibilities for research on microsimulation models that will play an important role in policy making.     

A Conjoint Analysis of Demand for the Japanese Mobile Phone Market

The Japanese mobile phone market is 55.8% of the total market in the telecommunications industry. This paper is a conjoint analysis on Japanese consumer preferences for Japanese mobile phones. The analysis in this paper is presented after a questionnaire survey was given to 3,412 Japanese mobile phone users over 15 years old. The results of this analysis show that a decline in the price of mobile phone sets, an increase in transmission speed, the application of family discounts, and the continuation of contracts with the same telecommunication companies, all raise demand for mobile networks. In addition, the author found that user groups of NTT DOCOMO, au (KDDI), Softbank, and MVNO have different utility functions. According to the estimation of Mean Willingness to Pay (MWTP) in this paper, suppliers of mobile phone networks may be able to optimize and maximize demand by adjusting attributions and their levels.     

“仁二代”的慈善与“富一代”的生意

根据媒体的“挖粪”．华商协会盈利方式之一即为慈善基金收入,而且不仅协会能从慈善基金中获得收益,业务员向会员私募善款,也有2％的提成奖励。     

道有道：APP时代的生意经

APPi在改变着生活．也在改变着生意。在人们娱乐的同时．商家们也开对如火如茶的移动应用程序展开了对其价值的思考。     

Research Note: Analysis of the Characteristics of Victims in Information Security Incident Damages: The Case of Japanese Internet Users

In this article, the authors investigate the attributes of victims in information security incident damages for the purpose of reducing the damages. The Information-Technology Promotion Agency, Japan, in 2010, conducted an Internet survey targeted to Japanese Internet home users entitled, “Survey of awareness toward information security incidents” that is used in this article. Using micro data collected from this survey, they employed multinomial logit regression analysis to show factors affecting the user’s experience of the incidents of damage through particular incidents. They concluded that the overconfidence regarding information security knowledge increased the probability for phishing and spoofing.     

不妨给院士候选人评选引入社会监督机制

我国工程院院士在人数上已经足以和英国皇家学会媲美了,但在科研成果上我们还停留在第三世界水平。     

The Substitution Effect of Mobile Games on Console Games: An Empirical Analysis of the Japanese Video Game Industry

In this paper, we discuss the substitution effects between mobile games and console games. We estimate such effects by a fixed-effect regression with instrumental variables using panel data of about 100,000 observations. The results showed that the substitution effects of playing smart devices on 3DS, Wii, and PSP were recognizable, but did not have significant effects on PS3, and the substitution effects on PSP were very small. Therefore, mobile games had a substitution effect on casual console games, or on console games in which the play situation resembled mobile games. In addition, the substitution effects were at most about 0.1. The substitution effects were small. Our results indicate that mobile games represent the pioneers in the new market of gaming at least during our observation period. But new games and traditional games will coexist for a while.     

An Advertising Strategy Using Consumption Externality and Forgetting in the Case of Japanese Electronic Books

We construct a two-period model in which a consumer recognizes the existence of goods after advertised by firms, and total sales of the first period affect the utility of each consumer’s purchase in the second period, indicating a consumption externality. Some consumers see advertisements in the first period and remember the product, whereas some forget the product in the second period. We show that the advertising volume changes given the differences in the forgetting rate. In particular, we apply our method to the data on Japan’s electronic books obtained through a conjoint analysis survey to clarify that a better strategy is to sell a product to a small number of people at a low price or to lower the price to a certain level during the early period, and then to sell the product to a specific consumer segment at a higher price after reflecting the externality.     

中关村:青年创业者的梦工厂

中关村管委会日前发布的2012中关村创业发展报告显示,2011年,中关村新创办企业数量达到4243家,当年新创办企业数占企业总数的比例超过了十年前互联网热潮时的水平。     

用友中小企业云服务平台全面启动

从祥云工程的创新布局方式和用友云灵活便捷的服务能力来看,这将更适合国内中小企业云应用普及的推进。     

The Effects of Proposals for Basic Pension Reform on the Income Distribution of the Elderly in Japan

The aging of the population in Japan is a serious problem, and the reform of the public pension scheme is a major political issue. Although the 2004 pension reform was enforced to ensure a sustainable pension system in such an aging society, people remain quite apprehensive about the pension system. Consequently, various sectors have created new proposals for pension reform to overcome these problems, and it has become a recent policy debate. The objective of this article is to prepare projections for the income distribution of households containing elderly people using the Japanese microsimulation model, INAHSIM (Integrated Analytical Model for Household Simulation), and to evaluate the effect of the proposals on the living standards of the elderly. According to the simulation results, the problem of very low pension amounts for the elderly does not appear to be growing. However, changes in co-resident families of the elderly, such as the increase in the number of people living alone, may cause a decline in their standard of living. The author points out the problems of the previously proposed reform plans and proposes an alternative reform plan based on the perspective used in this paper.     

科研经费不是“唐僧肉”

郭沫若诗云“千刀当剐唐僧肉”,那是因为陈玄奘虔信佛教,立志取经西天,可是他恪守佛家“慈悲”之说,迂拘软弱,不明事理,易受愚弄,屡为妖魔所欺骗。毛主席答诗则认为“僧是愚氓犹可训”,把矛头对准了妖魔鬼蜮。由此想开去,我感到时下的“科研经费管理”,那些把握“财政大权”的“高官”,     

泰山封禅降下帷幕（下）

封禅无非是借上帝之名来宣布帝王对天下土地人民的合法统治。而一个政权不考虑以富国强兵来克敌制胜,反而效法敌人的迷信行为,实为下策。     

北大附中：与“全世界的校长＂对话“国际评估

为学生做评估,在学校里司空见惯;为学生做国际评估,这可是件新鲜事!这种学术名称为“国际学生能力评量计划”的PISA评估项目是由著名的国际教育家安德烈亚斯·施莱克尔博士带入我国,并于金秋时节在北大附中召开了一场以“世界一流教育体系的特色,     

The Effect of Changes in Nuptiality Behavior after the 1980s on the Poverty Rate for the Elderly in Japan -Analysis Using a Dynamic Microsimulation Model-

The social security system in Japan was developed under the premise that postwar families represented the most common type of family. A “postwar famil” refers to a family in which: (1) men and women are married; (2) husbands work as regular employees and wives are dependent homemakers; and (3) husbands and wives seldom get divorced. Therefore, the social security system is particularly generous towards dependent wives and widows. However, these premises are no longer valid because Japanese nuptiality behavior has completely changed since the 1980s. Marriage rates have decreased and divorce rates have significantly increased. Nevertheless, society still suffers from a wage inequality between men and women. As a result, the number of never-married or divorced elderly women will increase, and these women might face a serious poverty risk in the future. In this study, the author makes simulations of the living arrangements and poverty rates for the elderly in Japan and evaluates the effect of changes in nuptiality behavior on these poverty rates using a dynamic microsimulation model. The simulation results indicate that changes in nuptiality behavior will affect the poverty rate for elderly women, but not for elderly men.     

长三角的中关村新局

中关村的建设者北科建集团,大举南下,以成功的中关村建设模式在长三角地区开拓新的科技地产,缔造新的科技之城。     

泰山封禅降下帷幕（上）

历史上许多正当的,甚至是崇高和悲壮的事情往往会以戏剧的滑稽表演来结束。