OVER-THE-COUNTER FIRMS,ASYMMETRIC INFORMATION,AND FINANCING PREFERENCES

A puzzling empirical finding is that firms often seem to follow a pecking-order hierarchy of financing. Asymmetric information has been hypothesized as one possible explanation for the pecking-order hierarchy. A survey of Fortune 500 firms found strong support for the pecking-order model. This study surveys over-the-counter firms which seem more likely to experience asymmetric information than the Fortune 500. The findings of this study provide empirical support for the asymmetric information hypothesis by demonstrating that managers of firms with greater asymmetric information are more likely to believe their stock is mispriced leading them to follow the pecking-order model of financing.     

DIVIDENDS,UNCERTAINTY, AND UNDERWRITING COSTS UNDER ASYMMETRIC INFORMATION

This paper presents a two-period model in which dividends act as a signal of the stability of the firm's future cash flows. It is demonstrated that firms with more stable future cash flows pay a higher dividend. Dividends are a credible signal because the promise of a higher dividend, ceteris paribus, increases the probability that the firm will have to issue equity and pay underwriting costs. Empirically testable implications of the model relating to the cross-sectional determinants of the level of dividends are also discussed.     

PORTFOLIO CHOICES,CONSUMPTION, AND PRICES IN A MARKET WITH DURABLE ASSETS

Recent research in investments has focused almost exclusively on financial assets such as corporate stocks. Although durable assets constitute an important part of investors' holdings, little effort has been made to explore their role in individuals' investments decisions and on assets pricing. This paper establishes results concerning the role of durable assets in the determination of optimum portfolio choices. The paper explores the effect of consumption considerations related to the service flows generated by durable assets on optimum portfolio considerations and asset prices. The main result is tied to the existence, or lack thereof, of efficient rental markets. In the absence of rental markets (or with restrictions on renting), investors' portfolio choices are not independent of consumption considerations as they are assumed to be in the standard CAPM. Individuals may thus hold different portfolios, and prices reflect the owner's inability to trade consumption flows. Under perfect market assumptions with unrestricted rental markets, optimum portfolio choices are undistinguishable from those implied by the standard CAPM in the sense that they are mean-variance efficient and identical for all individuals. Consumption is adjusted by trading service flows in the rental market. Prices, and the price of risk, however, reflect the existence of durable assets service flows as well as the risks involved in trading these flows in the rental market. In the model, risky rental income is introduced by uncertain rental costs. Equilibrium rental rates, an important part of the return expected from holding durable assets, are determined in the context of the mean-variance framework as a function of return and undiversifiable risk.     

对发展我国消费市场和消费信贷的理性思考

近年来我国相继推出了旨在启动消费市场和消费信贷的一系列政策举措,但从目前看其实施效果并不明显.本文试从历史和现实的角度,对中国消费市场和消费信贷及其相关政策的理论研究和现实运作,进行比较全面客观的分析评价,探讨其在社会经济文化背景、消费贷款发展过程性、消费主体利益、居民承贷能力、消费市场均衡性、贷款政策差别化等方面存在的忽略,围绕纠正这些忽略,比较系统地阐述了对政策、法律、社会保障、个人信用消费信贷体系和二级市场等消费相关配套条件的思路和见解;同时,提出银行应当从开发消费信贷品种、完善信用卡功能、加强风险防范和培养专门人才等方面进行努力.     

LIQUIDITY AND QUOTE CLUSTERING IN A MARKET WITH MULTIPLE TICK SIZES

We analyze market liquidity (i.e., spreads and depths) and quote clustering using data from the Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange (KLSE), where the tick size increases with share price in a stepwise fashion. We find that stocks that are subject to larger mandatory tick sizes have wider spreads and less quote clustering. We also find that liquidity providers on the KLSE do not always quote larger depths for stocks with larger tick sizes. Overall, our results suggest that larger tick sizes for higher priced stocks are detrimental to market liquidity, although the adverse effect of larger tick sizes is mitigated by lower negotiation costs (i.e., less quote clustering).     

THE FINANCING AND INVESTMENT OF A LEVERED FIRM UNDER ASYMMETRIC INFORMATION

This research extends the literature on financing and investment under asymmetric information by considering the effect of initial leverage. Because decisions affect the value of outstanding bonds, realistic behaviors arise that are absent in extant unlevered analyses. Leverage may induce social improvements in investment. Further, a stock offering may be a positive signal if lower-value firms face greater default risk and thus have lower debt values. Conditions that support positive reactions to equity funding appear to be present in the early 1990s.     

INDUSTRY PROSPECTS AND ACQUIRER RETURNS IN DIVERSIFYING TAKEOVERS

We use a sample of 816 diversifying takeovers from 1978 to 2003 to examine whether takeover announcements release negative information about the future prospects of the acquirer's main industry. We find that rivals that are most similar to the acquirer (homogeneous rivals) experience significant negative cumulative abnormal returns (CAR) around takeover announcements. Takeovers that result in negative wealth effects to acquirers are associated with negative abnormal revisions in analysts' forecasts of homogeneous rivals' earnings per share. We also find a decline in the posttakeover operating performance of rival firms. The decline is especially pronounced for homogeneous rivals and for takeovers with negative wealth effects to acquirers. Our findings imply that CAR-based estimates of acquirer wealth gains from takeovers that do not account for industrywide information releases are significantly biased downward.     

INFORMATION TRANSMISSION IN THE SHANGHAI EQUITY MARKET

We examine market efficiency and the price-volume relation in Class A and Class B shares on the Shanghai exchange relative to the U. S. equity market. Variance ratios and runs tests for market efficiency support the hypothesis that both Class A and Class B markets follow a random walk. In addition, the augmented Dickey-Fuller test supports the null hypothesis that the Shanghai market follows a random-walk process with drift. We also find a significantly positive relation between changes in volume and absolute price returns in both Class A and Class B shares, which is consistent with studies on U.S. equity markets. However, when using signed returns, our results are stronger than most U.S. studies on price-volume relations. We find no significant difference between the price-volume correlations in Class A and Class B shares. However, the price-volume correlations in both Class A and Class B shares are significantly stronger than the price-volume correlation in the U.S. market. This suggests volume may be more important to information transmission in China than in the U. S. markets.