我国商业银行理财产品现状及发展趋势

作为商业银行一个新型中间业务,银行理财产品近几年在我国发展迅速,银行理财业务已成为银行业发展的新热点,跨行业、跨市场的理财产品日益丰富,市场竞争日趋激烈。本文对商业银行理财产品的种类和特点进行了较为详细的描述,从理财产品现状入手,探析我国商业银行理财产品存在的问题以及解决问题的途径和方式。旨在促进商业银行理财产品的健康发展,对未来的银行理财产品发展奠定理论基础。     

商业银行理财产品会计核算及相关风险控制

投资理财产品已成为银行与其他金融机构拓展业务、增加收入的主要手段,强化理财产品的会计核算,与市场动态紧密结合,对商业银行的理财产品进行科学的开发和精准投放,这样才能对市场风险进行有效评估和控制,从而保证商业银行理财产品业务的平稳发展,并可以不断地取得良好的收益。本文在总结我国商业银行理财产品分类及会计核算的功能价值基础上,对我国商业银行理财产品面临的主要风险进行剖析,并从财务视角探讨其风险管理对策,以期推动商业银行理财产品的健康发展,推动我国金融行业的可持续发展。     

银行个人理财产品开发的供需分析

近年来，我国银行个人理财产品发展迅速，理财产品层出不穷。本文对我国商业银行个人理财产品的开发进行供给和需求分析，得出如下结论我国银行个人理财产品供求不均衡，市场需求大于供给，已开发的理财产品不能很好的满足市场需求。在此基础上，本文通过我国个人理财产品的市场存活性分析，给出了我国商业银行理财产品开发的立足点：以市场需求为导向，着眼于成本低、收益高的项目。     

我国商业银行理财产品发展趋势研究

本文利用2004～2011年涉及我国商业银行理财业务的全部45258个理财产品数据,从总体趋势、发行银行"成分"结构趋势、各类银行理财产品数量趋势、理财产品投资币种趋势、理财产品投资品种趋势,以及合并分类趋势多视角,较为全面地、细致地实证考察和分析了我国商业银行理财产品发展趋势,得出了一些有意义的规律性的结论;并在此基础上对我国商业银行今后理财业务的发展,作出了展望。     

关于商业银行理财产品现状及发展的分析

近年来,伴随着我国改革开放不断深化,金融体制改革的稳步推进,我国的银行业从简单的银行体系逐步转变成为现代化多层次的银行体系,我国商业银行理财产品在种类、规模等方面都取得了较大进步。但在发展的同时也要注意到存在的问题,本文主要对我国商业银行理财产品存在的问题和风险进行分析,从而从各个问题的角度提出我国商业银行理财产品发展的对策。     

银行个人理财产品创新与规范研究

本文基于对驻济商业银行个人理财产品发展状况的调查,分析了目前商业银行个人理财业务发展的特点和实践中存在的主要问题,并通过比较国际上完善而先进的银行个人理财产品市场发展的成熟经验,进而剖析了我国银行个人理财产品市场发展的体制性、技术性等制约因素。在此基础上,结合我国金融业全面对外开放后,尤其是在中间业务领域所面临的与外资银行的激烈竞争,提出了加快创新和规范我国银行个人理财产品市场发展的若干设想和对策建议。     

监管新规下的银行理财业务:影响与发展

商业银行理财业务是我国商业银行近几年发展速度较快的业务之一。为规范商业银行理财业务健康有序发展,针对商业银行理财业务的实际发展情况,监管部门相继出台了一系列新规。在新规下,信贷资产类理财产品将进一步规范,银行理财产品有望回归稳健,银行理财业务也将向着公开、透明的方向发展。     

银行个人理财产品创新与规范研究

本文基于对驻济商业银行个人理财产品发展状况的调查,分析了目前商业银行个人理财业务发展的特点和实践中存在的主要问题,并通过比较国际上完善而先进的银行个人理财产品市场发展的成熟经验,进而剖析了我国银行个人理财产品市场发展的体制性、技术性等制约因素.在此基础上,结合我国金融业全面对外开放后,尤其是在中间业务领域所面临的与外资银行的激烈竞争争,提出了加快创新和规范我国银行个人理财产品市场发展的若干设想和对策建议.     

我国商业银行理财产品销售中存在的问题及解决方法

我国经济处于高速发展的阶段,居民的生活水平在不断的提升,对理财的意识和观念也在不断的增强,为了满足我国居民的需要我国各商业银行开发了大量的理财产品,并得到了迅猛的发展。理财产品是银行比较重要的一项中间业务,给银行带来了良好的经济效益,同时也为银行拓展客户提供了有利的支持和保障。但是随着银行产品的迅速发展,各种问题也逐渐的突显,商业银行理财产品的投诉以及涉嫌违规的现象接连出现,销售过程中存在诸多的问题,给商业银行的发展带来了一定的影响。     

理财业务发展要以对客户负责为基本准则——由中国社会科学院“银行理财产品评价报告”引发的思考与启示

近年来,我国银行理财产品市场发展迅速,已经成为各大银行主要的中间业务收入来源,但在发展中也出现了很多问题,本文在对2007年我国银行理财产品的发展情况的2008年中国社会科学院“银行理财产品评价报告”进行简要介绍的基础上,提出了我国商业银行要以对客户负责为基本准则,有效披露产品信息,充分揭示产品风险的启示和思考。     

Almanac of anticipations: The age of affluence—of anticipation—of anxiety—of automation—of discontinuity—of longing—of overkill—of space exploration

With this survey of developments in the futures field since 1945, I.F. Clarke completes his present series for Futures. He makes two major points: that forecasting techniques have become essential tools in the management of change; and that nuclear weapons and ecological problems have added a moral dimension to the study of the future. In the next issue of Futures he will start a new series on the range of future-thinking in the USA, from the expectations of the first settlers to the Star Wars programme.     

基金公司经营融资融券业务的问题审视

融资融券业务正式运营已经开展,为证券市场带来了革命性的改革,作为证券市场的一大主体,基金公司面对融资融券也迎来了新的发展方向和挑战,本文从融资融券业务的运行机制入手,分析了基金公司融资融券的新契机,并对其即将面临的问题进行审视和剖析,进而提出策略建议.     

对基层人民银行科技工作的几点建议

银监会分设后,人民银行将专司货币政策、金融稳定、金融服务三大职能。作为人民银行的分支机构,基层人民银行的工作重心也将从金融监管调整到这三大职能上来。人民银行的科技部门,就要积极运用科技手段,为人民银行履行新的职能发挥“服务、支持、促进、发展”的作用。一、围绕三大职能搭建五大平台经过“六五打基础、七五作准备、八五大发展”几个阶段后,人民银行相继实现了核算电算化、清算网络化和办公信息化。特别是近一两年来,陆续开通了大额支付系统、信贷登记咨询系统、会计四集中系统、金融信息服务网站等系统,人民银行信息化水平又…     

The Usefulness of Measures of Consistency of Discretionary Components of Accruals in the Detection of Earnings Management

Abstract:  Prior research has shown the prevalence of measurement error in models used to estimate aggregate discretionary accruals. In these models, the incremental information content of the various components of accruals is ignored. Limited prior research and data gathered from firms under Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) litigation indicate that managers use either one or more than one component of accruals simultaneously, in a consistent way to manipulate bottom-line earnings in a given direction. I propose two measures that capture the consistency between the discretionary components of accruals and test their significance in earnings management (EM) detection in firms that have artificially added accrual manipulation and firms that were targeted by the SEC for accrual manipulation. There is evidence that this information is incrementally useful in detecting EM. This finding paves the way for improvements in the discretionary accruals measure by including consistency information from the components of aggregate accruals.     

社会主义所有制形式的改革、完善与共产党执政能力的提高

在中国,所有制形式的调整、改革与完善,先进生产力的发展,党的执政能力建设,是社会主义建设过程中密切结合在一起的三个不同层面的发展关系.应在相互促进和共同提高中促进社会的和谐发展,保证社会主义现代化建设战略目标的顺利实现.     

Summary of Results of Survey of Seminar Attendees

Abstract

The Society of Actuaries undertook a three-phase research project on mortality improvement in the three NAFTA countries: Canada, Mexico, and the U.S. Phase 1 consisted of a literature review of papers on projecting mortality levels in the future and a study of the trend in mortality improvement during this century. Phase 2 consisted of a discussion of different facets of modeling mortality rates at a seminar attended by 79 experts (actuaries, demographers, economists, and medical researchers) representing different countries. The last session of the seminar consisted of the completion of a survey by the attendees to obtain input for Phase 3, which would analyze the impact of mortality improvement on the social security system of each country. This paper summarizes the results of the survey.

The survey results illustrate the difficulty in forecasting mortality levels, because the effects of many factors that could have significant impact on mortality rates are unknown. This suggests the need for dynamic forecasting, which allows for the possibility of random shocks. A majority of the survey respondents believe that stochastic forecasting models, despite their complexity, have significant potential to add value. Respondents also believe that both historical data and cause-specific mortality forecasts are useful as input and also in validating forecasts of the aggregate levels of mortality. The challenge is to develop more sophisticated forecasting models to produce results that are relatively easy to interpret and to communicate these results to the desired audiences, including the public and policymakers.

The survey results suggest that the aggregate effect of lifestyle changes, medical advances, diseases, catastrophe, and physical environmental changes is an increase in life span. However, there is much uncertainty about the future. Respondents expect that beyond the year 2020 the mean annual rate of reduction in mortality for males age 65 and over will average about 0.58% for Canada, 0.76% for Mexico, and 0.67% for the U.S. The results for the female age 65 and over population are 0.64%, 0.83%, and 0.70%, respectively. The age 65 and over population is expected to see larger percentage reductions in mortality than the 0–14 and 15–64 populations. The reductions in male and female mortality will be ultimately the same, and the mortality levels in the three countries will ultimately converge, although differences may persist for decades.     

Separation of Unit of Account from Medium of Exchange

The separation of a unit of account (UoA) from a medium of exchange (MoE) in the commodity–money system is investigated by considering explicitly a seller's choice of UoA in terms of either an MoE or a unit of metal weight. If the likelihood of debasement of an MoE and its rate are high enough, the price is posted in terms of a unit of metal weight rather than an MoE. Interestingly, this MoE–UoA separated equilibrium yields the flexible nominal price, whereas an MoE–UoA integrated equilibrium yields the sticky one. This implies the nominal price rigidity in the fiat‐money system where MoE and UoA are integrated.     

银行软件项目外包管理分析

一、引言随着国民经济的不断发展,银行业务与外部企业的联系越来越密切。银行正逐步成为现代经济活动的中心,作为数据处理核心的银行业务应用也越来越大型化、越来越复杂化,因此许多银行也把软件项目逐步由原来的自主开发转变为与公司合作的方式,或直接外包开发的方式,银行本身的技术人员也逐步由开发转向项目管理。二、项目外包的分类银行项目的外包有以下几种情况:①部分子系统外包,有时由于银行的软件项目太大,单靠银行自身的开发力量基本无法在预定的时间内完成项目,只好把相对独立的部分外包;②直接购买软件公司的成熟产品,有些金融软…     

银行管理信息平台建设发展的思考

一、目前国内银行IT发展现状及面临的问题 银行数据集中工作的完成,标志着银行的业务由电子化建设阶段转入信息化建设阶段.一方面银行数据的集中提供了丰富全面的基础数据,面对日益庞大的数据源,如何将数字转化为对银行有用的信息,并从中发现知识,为银行的经营决策提供支持,是摆在银行IT人员面前的一个亟待解决的问题.另一方面用户对银行信息的需求日益增长,如果银行没有一套完整、实用的信息管理系统,将对业务发展非常不利.南京爱立信公司倒戈花旗银行事件曾经轰动一时,其中一个重要原因就是中国本地银行不能满足爱立信全球总部对南京爱立信公司的要求:每周财务上报和每天贷款限额管理.这一事件为中国商业银行的未来发展敲响了警钟,如果不加快管理信息系统的开发,迅速提升业务管理水平,类似的事件还会接连不断地发生,并最终导致国内商业银行在同国外商业银行的竞争中全面溃败.     

Properties of time-series estimates of degree of leverage measures

Empirical studies suggest that time-series regression estimates of the degrees of operating and financial leverage have a tendency to produce measures less than one. According to ex ante theory, these measures should be greater than one for firms operating above the breakeven point. There have also been suggestions that the biases in these estimates may be attributable to an underlying increase in unit sales. This work presents evidence that these counter-intuitive measures are produced by changes in the firm's operating parameters (unit price, variable cost, fixed cost and interest payments). It further suggests that attempts to control for the underlying change in unit sales substantially increase the volatility of predicted estimates.