基于因子分析法的海南省科技服务业发展水平评价研究

科技服务业从某种程度上直接反映了一个地区的科技创新能力和经济发展水平。通过因子分析方法,以科技服务业发展水平、全社会科技活动和科技服务业外部发展环境为3个一级指标,选取22个二级指标构建科技服务业发展水平的评价指标体系,通过构建评价模型,综合评价、比较分析海南省科技服务业在全国31个省市中的发展水平,并根据评价结果,从区域科技发展角度对海南省科技服务业发展提出对策建议,为提升海南省科技服务业发展水平提供有益参考。     

“新时代”背景下服务业评价指标体系研究及实证分析

利用因子分析法对各省服务业发展现实水平、服务业增长潜力以及服务业发展综合实力进行评价,并根据评价结果划分出服务业发展强势地区、优势地区、普通地区以及弱势地区.根据评价结果,提出相关发展建议:服务业发展综合实力强势地区应进一步优化自身经济结构;优势地区应该重点加快区域内服务业的发展速度,同时扩大其规模;普通类地区应该合理利用地区优势培育本地区的特色产业;弱势地区目前应该提高传统服务业的发展水平.     

天津科学研究和技术服务业事业单位创新水平评价

科技服务业是推动产业结构升级优化的关键产业,而科学研究和技术服务业事业单位是科技服务业中重要的组成部分。本文对天津科学研究和技术服务业事业单位的创新水平进行评价：首先,对发展现状进行描述,包括科技创新资源和科研产出两方面;其次,构建了创新水平评价指标体系,包括两个层次6个指标;再次,基于天津科学研究和技术服务业事业单位11年的数据进行因子分析,得出每年创新水平的综合得分;最后,对结果进行分析,并针对目前存在的问题提出对策建议。     

基于神经网络和综合评价模型的山东省信息服务业分析

信息服务业是信息产业的一个重要组成部分，它在国民经济发展中起着重要的作用。首先描述了山东省各地区信息服务业发展现状，然后分别运用神经网络和综合评价模型对山东省各地区信息服务业发展水平进行了归纳和分类，最后综合两种分析结果得出了一致结论。     

合肥市现代服务业发展现状及路径选择北大核心CSSCI

发展现代服务业是合肥市转变经济增长方式、推动产业结构优化升级的重要举措。文章根据现代服务业的发展水平、基础条件、发展环境和典型行业优势等四个方面构建了评价指标体系,利用主成分分析法考察了合肥市现代服务业的综合发展水平和影响因素。研究结果表明,当前合肥市现代服务业发展水平较低,在长三角和中部地区的省会城市中基本上处于末位状态,发展形势不容乐观。合肥市可从合理规划空间布局、明确重点发展领域、优化环境力等方面推动现代服务业的快速健康发展。     

广东省市域城市化与服务业协调发展格局及其对策研究

通过构建评价城市化与服务业协调发展的综合评价体系，对广东省21个地级市的数据，运用多种方法进行定量分析，得出广东省市域城市化与服务业的综合发展指数、协调度、发展度及协调发展度。通过分析结果得出以下结论：珠三角整体水平最高，粤东优于粤北，粤西最低。协调发展程度的不同，阻碍发展的因素存在不同。协调水平以广深两市遥遥领先其他地市，地区之间和地区内部差异大。最后基于广东省21个地市所属协调发展类型提出广东省城市化与服务业协调发展的相应对策和建议。     

福建省制造业和服务业融合水平测度及模式评价研究

根据福建省地区投入产出表,按照行业分类标准,将制造业和生产性服务业各部门按照低技术、中技术和高技术密集程度进行划分,测算“两业”融合发展程度。通过构建“两业”融合发展评价指标体系以及耦合协调度模型,对福建省“两业”融合发展情况进行综合评价。结果表明：福建省“两业”之间的单向融合度较高,制造业对生产性服务业影响力系数较低,其中传统制造业影响力系数较高;与东南地区其他省份相比,福建省“两业”综合融合度较高,制造业的耦合协调度居中且发展程度较为稳定,生产性服务业发展程度较低但耦合协调度呈上升趋势;总体来看,福建省“两业”协调水平处于初级协调阶段,制约因素为生产性服务业滞后型。     

青海省服务业发展水平综合评价

本文利用主成分分析方法,从纵向和横向视角,对青海服务业发展水平进行了比较分析。结果表明:纵向比较,青海服务业发展速度加快、规模扩大,服务业综合发展水平稳步提升,但服务业整体效率低下;横向比较,青海服务业发展在全国乃至西部仍处于落后地位,并表现出差距不断拉大的趋势。为此,围绕提升青海服务业水平,需:创新理念与体制,提升服务业生产效率,走市场化发展路径;合理谋划,突出优势部门的发展潜能;统筹优化,构建合理的区域服务业发展体系。     

基于DEA的中国服务业发展技术效率差异及其变动趋势分析

构建了基于DEA方法的服务业发展技术效率模型,重点针对我国1995年到2006年间服务业发展中技术含量的提升对服务业整体发展水平的影响进行了评价和比较,探讨了20世纪前后技术进步对我国服务业发展产生了那些影响,以及在不同地区之间,技术水平对服务业的促进作用有怎样的差别,最后通过对比分析,提出提升我国服务业技术创新贡献水平的对策建议。     

江苏省服务业的结构变迁——基于1997-2007年投入产出表的实证分析

文章采用投入产出法,从江苏省省级层面动态分析了服务业整体及内部结构的变迁,得出以下结论:服务业增加值比重稳中有升,但对经济贡献率依然较小;制造业与服务业已呈现出融合发展的趋势;服务业中间投入已逐渐从传统服务业向现代服务业转变,现代服务业在经济增长中的重要性逐渐上升;服务业内部尚未完全形成专业化分工;交通运输、仓储和邮政业仍然是江苏经济发展的重点部门和“瓶颈”部门.     

Penetration and Post-infection Development of Meloidogyne Incognita on Tobacco as Treated by Rhizobacteria Pseudomonas Fluorescens Strain P-72-10

The bio-control potential of rhizospere bacteria Pseudomonas fluorescens against plant-parasite nematode had been demonstrated. P. fluorescens had shown the effect to enhance tobacco resistance to root-knot nematode Meloidogyne incognita. Inoculation with P. fluoreseens in tobacco could lead to significant reductions in the number of juveniles that penetrated tobacco root and further life stage development of the juveniles. The number of juveniles penetrated into tobac- co root in treatment with P. fluorescens is significantly different from CK at 2DAI, 6DAI, 8DAI and 10DAI. Significant reduction and delayed development of juveniles that penetrated into tobacco root and treated were observed in treatment at 14DAI, 21DAI, 28DAI and 35DAI. In addition, P. fluoreseens treatment leads to a significant reduction in the number of eggs per egg-mass at 35 DAI. The results show P. fluorescens induced a continuously suppression on root-knot nema- tode M. incognita throughout their entire early infection phase of root penetration, subsequent life stage development and reproduction.     

For Better or for Worse? Local Impacts of the Decentralization of Indonesia’s Forest Sector

This paper quantifies the local impacts of mechanized logging on forest-dependent communities in Indonesia, before and after decentralization. A conceptual framework incorporates financial, social, enforcement, rent-seeking, and environmental impacts. Using data from 60 communities in East Kalimantan, the empirical results suggest that significantly more households received financial and in-kind benefits after decentralization compared to before. Many communities engaged in self-enforcement activities against firms both before and after decentralization. Post-decentralization, a significantly higher proportion of households perceived community forest ownership. There were few significant differences in perceived environmental impacts. Little evidence exists of a post-decentralization trade-off between environmental and financial contractual provisions.     

以资本管理为核心的银行治理综合评价指标研究

商业银行的特殊性体现在风险性、外部性和多重治理目标上,尤其集中体现在风险管理的本质上。风险管理日益成为现代商业银行的主体活动和核心职能,资本管理成为现代商业银行风险管理的核心。在整合EVA和RAROC指标的基础上。文章构建了以资本管理为核心的银行治理的综合评价指标,以求真实反映银行经营的成果,有效衡量风险收益和风险成本的对比关系,从而反映以资本管理为核心的银行风险管理的过程、能力和效率。     

Markteintrittstiming von Telekommunikationsdiensteanbietern

Zusammenfassung Die vorliegende Studie analysiert für 87 Neuprodukteinführungen (NPE) und Auslandsmarkteintritte (AME) von Telekommunikations(TK)-Diensteanbietern in Deutschland, zu denen 42 Schlüsselinformanten in einer schriftlichen Befragung Auskunft gaben, (1) inwieweit deren zeitliche Eintrittspositionierung durch Marktcharakteristika und Unternehmensressourcen erkl?rbar ist sowie (2) inwieweit und gegebenenfalls unter welchen unternehmensexternen und -internen Situationsbedingungen deren Markteintrittstiming mit dem wahrgenommenen Eintrittserfolg assoziiert ist. Ein früher Markteintritt wurde dann realisiert, wenn die Wettbewerbsintensit?t im adressierten Gesch?ft niedrig und das Budget für den Expansionsschritt überdurchschnittlich ausfielen. Zwischen dem Markteintrittstiming und der Beurteilung des Eintrittserfolgs bestand ein nicht monotoner, umgekehrt U-f?rmiger Zusammenhang: Frühe Folger wiesen signifikant bessere Erfolgswerte auf als Pioniere und sp?te Folger, deren Erfolgsniveaus nicht signifikant divergierten. In einer Industrie, die durch starke externe Netzeffekte gepr?gt ist, fallen offenbar die Nachteile eines Markteintritts als Pionier oder sp?ter Folger st?rker ins Gewicht als die Vorteile dieser beiden zeitlichen Eintrittspositionierungen. Unabh?ngig vom Markteintrittstiming wurden NPE/AME von TK-Unternehmen als erfolgreicher eingestuft, wenn sie sich in einen Markt mit stark wachsender Nachfrage und aufeinander abgestimmt (re)agierenden Wettbewerbern mit qualitativ überdurchschnittlichen, abw?rtskompatiblen, erprobbaren und wenig erkl?rungsbedürftigen TK-Diensten engagierten.      

利用膜技术回收利用碱性废水研究进展

回顾了利用膜分离技术处理碱性废水的工艺与综合利用技术所取得的丰硕成果，总结了各种治理方法的特点、适用性及发展方向。     

Taxing Times in Indonesia: The Challenge of Restoring Competitiveness and the Search for Fiscal Space

Indonesia’s economic growth picked up slightly in mid-2016 but remains below the level demanded by government and popular aspirations. Despite a plethora of reforms intended to increase efficiency and productivity, some policies are perverse and longstanding problems of implementation remain. The share of manufacturing has declined, the real exchange rate has appreciated, exports have dwindled, and growth has been trending downwards. The banking sector is stable but inefficient, with wide net interest margins and numerous barriers to competition. Trade protection, particularly in basic food commodities, has created high costs that weigh particularly heavily on the poor. Declining government revenues have placed increasing pressure on the public budget, even as the current administration aims to increase spending on infrastructure and welfare and to enhance productivity. In an effort to increase revenues, the government has announced a tax amnesty program and other measures. In addition, Sri Mulyani Indrawati, the new finance minister, has taken steps to cut non-essential expenditure in order to secure high spending on infrastructure and at the same time keep within the 3% budget deficit limit stipulated by law. Although the overall debt situation is not yet alarming, declining revenues and budget cuts that do not fully reflect this decline are putting pressure on increasing debt levels. The government’s high-profile tax amnesty program was the major policy initiative implemented in the second half of 2016 that aimed to relieve this pressure. Despite widespread criticism of, and scepticism about, the tax amnesty (both within and outside Indonesia), its first phase had a much higher participation rate than most independent accounts expected. Revenues raised so far through the amnesty are less than 60% of the official target, but this is actually a strong result for the short term. The bigger question, however, is whether the amnesty is a key element of a more encompassing strategy to overhaul the system of taxation and tax administration.     

The causes of Japan's ‘lost decade’: The role of household consumption

In this paper, I analyze the causes of the prolonged slowdown of the Japanese economy in the 1990s and find that the stagnation of investment, especially private fixed investment, was the primary culprit. I then investigate the causes of the stagnation of household consumption during the 1990s and find that the stagnation of household disposable income, the decline in household wealth, and increased uncertainty about the future are among the contributing factors. Finally, I consider whether demand side factors or supply side factors were more important as causes of the prolonged slowdown of the Japanese economy in the 1990s and conclude that the former (especially misguided government policies) were probably more important.