余秋雨与听众对话

中华文化有部很早的古书叫《山海经》,＂海＂包括在里面了,所以严格讲起来,中华文化应该包含海洋文化,但是,中华文化确实对海洋不熟悉,有一种陌生感,所以中华文化要面向世界的时候,还需要调整。反过来,我们对于西方世界在地理大发现时建立的海洋秩序,也要表达出自己文化的优势。     

基于经济全球化视角的中国海洋文明与可持续发展研究

随着海洋技术的不断进步,人类对海洋的开发和利用不断向广度和深度延伸,并在一定程度上对海洋环境造成污染,破坏了海洋的生态平衡,致使许多海洋资源受到严重的威胁。我国应秉持可持续的海洋发展观,并以"和平崛起"为根本目标,构建以"可持续发展"为理念的海洋经济战略支撑体系。     

加强海洋生态文明建设的若干思考

深度开发利用海洋、重视海洋生态文明建设,已成为世界沿海国家和地区中长期战略的重要组成部分.我国既是陆地大国,也是海洋大国,拥有广泛的海洋战略利益.党的十八大报告在阐述大力稚进生态文明建设时明确提出要“提高海洋资源开发能力,发展海洋经济,保护海洋生态环境,坚决维护国家海洋权益,建设海洋强国”,这标志着海洋生态文明建设已上升到国家战略层面的高度.本文从加强海洋生态文明建设入手,对转变海洋经济发展方式,提高海洋开发保护管理能力,构建生态保护屏障以及完善管理体制等方面进行思考与探索,以期助推海洋经济的可持续发展.     

失落的海洋文化

自大航海时代后,人们对于蓝色星球有了更多认识与更多依赖,扩张中的海洋文化在与大陆文化碰撞中显示出更适应时代发展的优势。21世纪是海洋的世纪,找回失落的海洋文明、更深地迈向海洋,是今人需面对更需解决的课题。     

20世纪90年代中国海洋经济的高速增长与新世纪的展望

本文分析了９０年代中国海洋经济高速增长的原因,海洋经济增长速率,以及在国民经济中的比重、主要海洋产业部门增长及特点。展望了２１世纪－开发海洋世纪,中国海洋经济发展前景,并提出了中国建成为海洋强国及海洋经济可持续发展的对策与措施。     

基于生态文明建设的江苏海洋经济高质量发展研究

随着国家生态文明建设步伐的深入,江苏省生态文明建设在“263”专项行动等一系列措施的加持下,环境改善与监管、污染治理、制度法规跟进等方面取得了一定的成绩,既为江苏省海洋经济在规模扩展、结构优化、产业发展跟进与空间布局优化、资金投入与科技创新、海洋生态保护等方面实现高质量发展提供了有利的生态环境条件,又为江苏立足现有海洋产业发展条件,通过海洋生态产业化实现其海洋经济高质量发展目标奠定了坚实的环境基础。     

全球海洋经济及渔业产业发展综述

随着21海洋世纪的来临,开发利用海洋,已成为当今人类获取新资源、扩大生存空间、推动经济和社会发展的战略重点,也已成为新经济革命的前沿领域。在全球化时代,中国经济发展在总体上对外依赖程度越来越高,发展海洋产业显得尤为迫切。为此,本刊特辟专栏,对海洋经济发展进行系列探讨与报道。     

基于动态耦合模型的海洋生态文明与经济社会耦合演进研究

在收集我国2002~2011年间9个海洋生态文明和12个经济社会指标统计数据的基础上,建立了海洋生态文明和经济社会综合发展的评价体系。采用均方差赋权法计算了各指标的权重系数,利用动态耦合模型对海洋生态文明和经济社会耦合演进关系进行了定量分析研究。结果表明:2002~2011年间,我国经济社会发展呈快速发展态势,而海洋生态文明发展相对滞后,且海洋生态文明的动态演进具有随时波动性;从二者耦合演进关系来看,十年间我国海洋生态文明与经济社会总体上处于协调共生的发展阶段,但表现出了进入极限发展阶段的危机。说明加紧推进海洋生态文明建设对保证我国经济社会可持续发展具有一定的历史紧迫切性。     

许纪霖：中国如何以文明大国出现于世界

过去一个半世纪的中国,生存于以西方为中心的世界历史边缘,到了21世纪,中国重新回到世界舞台的中央,那是各大世界民族展现普遍精神的舞台。中国的返场,东方睡狮的苏醒,将重新定义并改变世界历史本身,那就是一个＂后轴心文明＂时代的降临。中国准备好了吗？     

企业集群发育形成过程中的创业机制分析

本文探讨了创业机制内涵,并从微观角度分析了创业机制在集群发育、成长、升级过程中的作用,以及在企业集群发育形成过程中的创业决策。最后,指出了企业集群战略的基点和要旨是建立完善有效的创业机制。     

Governance And The Implementation Of Technology Policy In Less Developed Countries

This study discusses key issues of technology policy in less developed countries from a governance perspective. In particular, it analyzes critical problems of policy implementation and looks for general principles which may be suitable as guideposts in making the state more effective regardless of the particularities of its technology policy. The main argument is that governments need to assume a market-enhancing role and must enhance the state's capabilities and capacities for implementing public policies. Crafting public institutions which ensure accountability, transparency, and predictability of policy making and involve the private sector in political decision-making processes is critical for successful policy implementation. Besides institutional arrangements which help governments to credibly precommit to policies, the quality and institutional design of the public administration and the public-private interface are crucial ingredients of an effective governance structure.     

Adoption Of Advanced Manufacturing Technology And Firm Performance In The Netherlands

This paper presents characteristics of firms that employ advanced manufacturing technology (AMT), explores the pattern of adoption of such technology, and traces the effects of adoption on the evolution of employment and productivity. The study uses linked firm-level data on production, factor inputs and on advanced manufacturing technology. It is found that the percentage of firms that employ advanced technology increases with higher labor productivity, higher export-sales ratios, and especially larger firm sire. Corrected for interactions, however, only initial size and the initial capital-labor ratio aid in predicting adoption of AMT. Conditional on adoption of AMT it is seen that intensity of advanced technology inputs decrease with firm sire and with labar productivity. Finally, firms which employed AMT in 1992 show higher average growth rates of (toral factor) productivity and employment between 1985 and 1991.     

Employment And Mobility Of Workers In Industries With Different Intensity Of Innovation: Evidence On Italy From A Panel Of Workers And Firms

In this paper a panel of workers and firms is used to investigate employment composition and dynamics in industries which differ by innovation intensity. To define the latter industry-wide statistics were used (for a subset of 2,800 firms, individual data on R&D expenditures and investments in innovative processes were available from a survey on manufacturing). Firms and workers are observed over the period 1985–1991. The paper document an high rate of labour turnover. Annual separation rates are high in all size-classes, but they decline from 50% in small firms (less than 20 employees) to 13% in large ones (with more than 1,000 employees). Separations are inversely related to an industry's innovative intensity (from 18% in the highly innovative industries to 31% in the traditional industries). A logit model, which controlled for the characteristics of workers and firms, showed that the probability of separation is higher among manual and young workers and decreases monotonically with the firm size. The probability of separation declines as job tenure and, perhaps more importantly, the individual's wage increases. After controlling for these factors, the evidence suggests that the highest probability of separation is in traditional industries, the lowest is in the more innovative industries. The result is strengthened when firm-level data on R&D and other innovative expenditures are used. Other things being equal, firms that invest in R&D have a more stable labour force, and firms that invest in non-innovative processes have a less stable labour force. We therefore find empirical evidence to support the hypothesis that more innovative firms cultivate more durable employer-employee relationships. The fraction of job-to-job moves (with no intervening period of unemployment) on total separations qualifies the turnover of workers. Controlling for firm size, the percentage of job-to-job moves increases fairly regularly with worker's skills and with the industry's innovative intensity. Thus the innovative intensity of he industry appears to have a positive effect on the share of job-to-job moves, while there is some evidence that it lowers the chances of separation. This result may be linked to the skills and specialisations of the workforce; it is certainly related to the higher demand for labour in the High Tech Sectors (where employment is growing) relative to the less innovative sectors.     

Research Networks And Organisational Mobility In An Emerging Technological Field: The Case Of Plant Biotechnology

This paper builds on social network theory to understand technological development. Based on the empirical evidence of 367 research organisations in plant biotechnology over a nineteen-year period, we demonstrate how a structural analysis of the research network within the technological community is used to identify four collaboration-based strategic groups of research organisations. The emergence of these groups can be linked to technological breakthroughs in the field. Analyses of the four clusters point to the influence of research collaborations on stratification within an evolving technological domain. Finally, as archival data sources are used to detect incidences of collaborative research and to trace the evolution of R&D networks in an emerging field, we conclude with a discussion of the potential contribution of bibliometric data to understand the development of new technologies in their early, pre-commercial phases.     

我国农业市场化改革的回顾与思考

我国农业市场取向改革30年来,极大地改变了农产品的供求状况,即从以往供给严重短缺到供求基本平衡,不少品种的农产品还出现供大于求。农业市场取向的改革方向是不容否定的,停顿和倒退是没有出路的。但是,与非农产业相比,农业比较利益偏低,市场风险更大,在市场竞争中处于不利地位。为了促进农业的持续健康发展,在继续完善市场经济体制的同时,还必须强化政府对农业的扶持和保护,遵循十七大报告指出的形成有利于科学发展的宏观调控体系,从制度上更好地发挥市场在农业资源配置中的基础性作用。     

Asymptotic Properties Of The Estimator Of The Long-Run Coefficient In A Dynamic Model With Integrated Regressors And Serially Correlated Errors

In this paper we examine the asymptotic properties of the estimator of the long-run coefficient (LRC) in a dynamic regression model with integrated regressors and serially correlated errors. We show that the OLS estimators of the regression coefficients are inconsistent but the OLS-based estimator of the LRC is superconsistent. Furthermore, we propose an alternative consistent estimator of the LRC, compare the two estimators through a Monte Carlo experiment, and find that the proposed estimator is MSE-superior to the OLS-based estimator.     

中原汉墓壁画线描图绘与中国画的用线艺术

中国画的线条是最简练、概括的基本造型语言。中国历代名家的绘画艺术,无不以各种线条的变幻组合和扩展延续而构成。从中原汉墓壁画线描图绘来看中国画线条不但有非凡的表现力,而且富有节奏感和韵律感,讲究闲淡的力度、速度以及情感的表达。其作用远远超出了塑造形体的要求,成为表达作者意念、思想、情感的手段。     

解决东北不良贷款的“迫切之举”与“长久之治”

在复兴东北的宏伟战略中,不良贷款的存在使得国有企业债务负担沉重,国有商业银行举步维艰。文章从东北三省的实际情况出发,从商业银行、国有资产管理公司、其他解决渠道三方面提出了解决不良贷款的“迫切之举”,并从体制入手阐述了真正解决这一问题的“长久之治”,即国有商业银行的股份制改造、国有企业的深入改革和政府机构的职能转变。