建立我国多层次资本市场体系的若干关键问题

我国资本市场发展的目标模式是建立多层次资本市场体系。为了实现这一目标,要进一步规范和发展主板市场,坚持市场化的改革取向,积极稳妥地解决主板市场上的结构性非均衡;在搞好中小企业板的基础上分步骤推进创业板建设;完善股份代办市场,实施功能转型,使之转变为真正的三板市场。     

我国审计市场类型分析及其启示

从市场中的“厂商”、“产品”、价格等要素来看,我国目前的审计市场显示为完全竞争市场。而根据福利经济学、信息经济学等对审计市场的分析,寡头垄断市场类型更适合理性的审计市场。结合国际上审计行业发展经验,本文认为,我国的审计市场类型将经历从完全竞争市场到寡头垄断市场的转变过程。在此基础上对市场类型转变过程中政府应给予的政策支持进行了探讨。     

欧债危机冲击我国股票与债券市场的风险传染研究？

欧债危机对金融市场产生了显著的冲击,引发了巨大的风险。本文通过构建二元GARCH-BEKK模型,实证检验了欧债危机背景下欧洲股票市场、我国股票市场、国债市场与企业债市场之间的波动溢出效应,揭示了欧债危机冲击我国股票市场、国债市场与企业债市场的风险传染路径。实证表明,欧债危机冲击我国股票市场与债券市场的风险传导路径为：欧债危机引发的风险通过欧洲股票市场传导到我国股票市场,然后传导到企业债市场,最后传导到国债市场。     

基于政府干预的审计市场分割与审计合谋治理审视

审计市场分割不但关系到审计市场自身的有序发展,还直接影响到资本市场引导资源配置功能的有效发挥,而且还是发生审计合谋的重要因素。审计市场分割可以理解为分割审计市场的行为或由于分割行为导致的审计市场非统一状态。地方政府具有很强的动机去干预提供审计服务的会计师事务所,以使其配合当地企业进行盈利操纵,进而帮助企业从股票市场获取更多资源,也即地方政府间接参与了审计合谋。因此,基于政府干预下审计市场分割的角度来审视审计合谋形成的原因,并提出有针对性的治理之策就显得尤为必要。     

基于游程检验的上海股票市场弱式有效性研究

有效市场假说理论是股票市场理论研究的基础之一,股票市场的有效性对政府的监管和投资者的投资策略都有着重要影响。本文选取2006年至2010年上海股票市场的一系列指数的日收盘价进行游程检验,得出上海股票市场是弱式有效市场的结论。     

中国房地产交易真的是卖方市场吗？——基于双边随机边界模型的实证研究

科学测算房地产交易市场买卖双方议价能力对市场价格形成的影响作用，是当前政府制定“因地施策”宏观调控机制的重要前提。采用双边随机边界模型，考察房地产交易环节中买卖双方议价能力的差异,结果表明：（1）买卖双方讨价还价因素对商品房销售价格的最终形成存在显著影响；（2）从全国平均水平看，对于整体市场以及住宅、写字楼和商铺等细分市场，卖房者议价能力在双方讨价还价过程中占主导地位，但买方议价能力的影响作用也不容忽视；（3）从一线、新一线、二线和三线城市角度看，除了一线城市商铺市场以及三线城市总体城市、住宅市场和写字楼市场外，其他均处于卖方市场阶段。     

Explaining variance in the accuracy of prediction markets

Thus far, the focus in prediction market research has been on establishing its forecast accuracy relative to those of other prediction methods, or on the investigation of a few single sources of forecast error. This article is the first attempt to overcome the narrow focus of the literature by combining observational and experimental analyses of prediction market errors. It investigates the prediction error of a real money prediction market uusing a logarithmic market scoring rule for 65 direct democratic votes in Switzerland. The article distinguishes between prediction market error due to the setup of the market, features of the event to be predicted, and the participants involved, and finds that the prediction market accuracy varies primarily according to the setup of the market, with the features of the event and especially the composition of the participant sample hardly mattering.     

DESIRABILITY AND SEQUENCE OF LIBERALIZATION AND STRUCTURAL REFORM POLICIES IN A MODEL WITH INFORMAL SECTOR

The paper develops a three-sector general equilibrium model with informal sector and examines the welfare effects of liberalization and structural reform in the presence of labor and capital market distortions. It attempts to determine a credible sequence of reforms that may be the most welfare-enhancing, since implementation of reforms in all the markets at a single stage may be neither feasible nor optimal. Foreign capital is welfare-improving only in the presence of labor market distortion, while welfare deteriorates if the capital market is distorted. While tariff and capital market reforms may be welfare-enhancing in the absence of labor market distortion, labor market reform may intensify the formal-informal wage gap and have a worsening effect on welfare in the presence of tariff distortion and capital market imperfection. One of the plausible sequences of reforms may be to initially undertake tariff reform followed by capital and labor market reforms, respectively.     

我国多层次证券市场体系建设研究

随着我国证券市场的快速发展,市场层次单一等问题也日益突出,成为我国证券市场体系建设的一块绊脚石,阻碍其健康快速发展。我们应该比较借鉴美国、日本等发达国家的市场建设经验,针对我国证券市场的现状,首先以交易所为基础,放大证券市场的空间;以"做市商"精神启动我国多层次市场建设;对沪、深交易所重新定位,建立合理的主板市场等。     

当前我国证券市场监管的现状及对策研究

在整个金融体系中,证券市场占有举足轻重的地位。证券市场的任何动荡都会波及到整个金融系统,并且影响到国家经济的稳定和发展。因此,证券市场的监管尤为重要,科学的监管措施可以有效克制证券市场不足,保护投资者的合法利益,保障证券市场平稳和透明,提高交易效率和证券创新能力,降低风险。文章分析了中国证券市场现行监管体制监管存在的问题,并提出了相应完善我国证券市场监管的对策。     

我国创业板市场发展对策探析

创业板市场由于主要吸纳处于创业阶段的小企业，其风险高于主板市场已经被国外实践所证明。我国即将开设的创业板市场虽然在初创阶段因吸收大量的已经超越了创业阶段，具有较高赢利水平而且发展潜力巨大的民营企业，其风险性比国外创业板小，也比国内A股市场小。但由于创业板市场门槛低，不要求企业有赢利记录，未来难免一些没有发展前景的中小企业进入创业板市场积聚风险。故为保证我国创业板市场运作成功，吸取A股市场教训，特别需要解决如下问题：1.避免政府部门的干预；2.严格监管；3.借鉴他国经验，为创业板市场合理定位。     

Do U.S. and Japanese uncertainty shocks play important roles in affecting transition mechanisms of Japanese stock market?

This research investigates the impacts of U.S. and Japanese uncertainty shocks on the transition mechanisms of the Japan stock market dynamics by utilizing the Markov-switching GARCH-jump model with a time-varying transition probability matrix and analyzes the economic policy uncertainty shock of Japan, the economic policy uncertainty shock of the U.S., and the uncertainty shock about the U.S. equity market volatility. The empirical results demonstrate that the Japan stock market responds to most shocks with the exception of the U.S. economic policy uncertainty shock. The equity market volatility shock of the U.S. plays a more crucial role than the economic policy uncertainty shock of Japan. Furthermore, an increase in the U.S. equity market volatility shock reveals totally different signals in different volatile states. It signals an adverse belief about the Japan stock market in a high-volatile state, but signals an optimism viewpoint about the Japan stock market in a low-volatile state. Finally, the impact of the uncertainty shock about the U.S. stock market volatility is stronger in a high-volatile market than in a low-volatile market.     

Risk spillovers and hedge strategies between global crude oil markets and stock markets: Do regime switching processes combining long memory and asymmetry matter?

This paper investigates risk spillovers and hedge strategies between global crude oil markets and stock markets. In the paper, we propose a multivariate long memory and asymmetry GARCH framework that integrates state-dependent regime switching in the mean process with multivariate long memory and asymmetry GARCH in the variance process. Our results first show that there are linear risk spillovers running from the US stock markets to the WTI oil market in the short term. However, the linear risk spillover effect running from the oil market to the US stock market can only exist in the long term. In addition, there is a bidirectional linear risk spillover effect between the European stock markets and the Brent oil market in the short and long terms. Furthermore, there is no linear risk spillover effect between the Dubai oil market and the Chinese stock market. Second, the nonlinear risk spillovers running from the WTI oil market to the US stock market can be found in the tranquil regime. Moreover, there is also a nonlinear risk spillover effect running from the European stock markets to the Brent oil market in the tranquil regime. In addition, the nonlinear risk spillover effect running from the Brent oil markets to the European stock market can be found in the crisis regime. Furthermore, there is bidirectional nonlinear Granger causality between the Dubai crude oil market and the Chinese stock market in the tranquil regime. Finally, dynamic hedge effectiveness shows that the regime switching process combined with long memory and asymmetry behavior seems to be a plausible and feasible way to conduct hedge strategies between the global crude oil markets and stock markets.     

Determining market power exertion between buyers and sellers

Empirical techniques commonly used in industrial organization to measure market power exertion typically assume imperfectly competitive behaviour by firms on only one side of the market. Firms on the other side are assumed to be perfectly competitive. In this paper we extend traditional NEIO methods by developing a method to estimate market power exertion when firms on both sides have potential market power. Using Monte Carlo simulations, we find that the model correctly estimates market power exercised by firms on either or both sides of a market and also correctly estimates firms' technology parameters. When applied to the US leaf tobacco market, findings indicate that cigarette manufacturers exert some monopsony power in purchasing leaf tobacco while producers, organized as a cartel, exhibit no countervailing monopoly market power. Copyright © 2000 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

城市地价分类管理研究

指出我国城市土地市场是国家垄断为主的一级市场与自由竞争的二级市场并存的二元结构,提出城市地价分类管理的基本思想,深入剖析地价体系中存在的基准地价缺陷、标定地价作用不充分以及市场机制形成土地价格不完善等问题,分别对一级、二级市场地价管理的目标和平台进行设计,初步构建基于分类管理的新的地价体系.     

The impacts of competition and shadow banking on profitability: Evidence from the Chinese banking industry

This paper contributes to the empirical literature on banking profitability by testing the impacts of competition and shadow banking on bank profitability using a sample of 100 Chinese commercial banks over 2003–2013 with 417 and 395 observations. The current study fills the gaps in the empirical studies by examining the competition in different banking markets (i.e. deposit market, loan market and non-interest income market) in China and further evaluating their impacts on bank profitability. The findings show that the non-interest income market has a higher level of competition compared to the deposit market and loan market. It is further reported that a lower level of competition in deposit market leads to an increase in the profitability of Chinese commercial banks. Finally, the results suggest that shadow banking improves the profitability of Chinese banks.     

Market consistent valuations with financial imperfection

In this paper, we study market consistent valuations in imperfect markets. In the first part of the paper, we observe that in an imperfect market one needs to distinguish two type of market consistencies, namely types I and II. We show that while market consistency of type I holds without very strong conditions, market consistency of type II (which in the literature is known as the usual definition of market consistency) is only well defined in perfect markets. This is important since the existing literature on market consistency considers perfect markets where the two market consistencies are equivalent. In the second part of the paper, by introducing a best estimator we find strong connections between hedging and market consistency of either type. We show under very general conditions, the type I and the type II market consistent evaluators are best estimators, and establish a two-step representation for the market consistent risk evaluators. In the third part of the paper, we present several families of market consistent evaluators in imperfect markets.     

中国啤酒海外市场开拓思路

随着市场经济的不断深化,啤酒行业也得到了迅速的发展,而中国已经成为当今世界最大的啤酒生产国与消费市场,同时啤酒市场在一定程度上也形成了竞争格局。中国啤酒行业要想持续健康发展,就必须开拓海外啤酒市场,提升品牌价值,以求在激烈的市场竞争中立于不败之地。     

The versatile role of sustainable market entrepreneurs in market transformation: An intervention framework for institutional change

This article investigates in which way sustainable entrepreneurship can generate institutional change that transforms markets towards sustainability. A transformation of models of economic organization and market structures through sustainable entrepreneurship fosters the path towards sustainability. Institutional change involves sustainable market entrepreneurs as institutional entrepreneurs that operate in an effectual manner in different market transformation phases. Sustainable market entrepreneurs while seeking entrepreneurial opportunities simultaneously shape existing market structures and market conditions in different sustainable market transformation phases thereby creating new opportunities. Accordingly, a framework that explains institutional change prompted by sustainable market entrepreneurs in market transformation phases is developed. In this framework, various interventions which encourage sustainable market entrepreneurs to co-create with the stakeholders of their choice are strategized. The provided framework enhances the understanding of the versatile role of sustainable market entrepreneurs and potentially the leverage of their actions towards institutional impact over time.     

我国职业教育的SWOT分析

职业教育学校实行市场化经营,是适应社会主义市场经济机制发展职业教育的关键,也是职业教育保持兴旺发达的必要前提。用市场的观点审视教育问题,将市场经营理念引入教育,使价值规律与教育规律有机地整合,在一个动态的市场系统中来研究,通过SWOT分析方法,为各类职业教育提供其发展战略思路。