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1.
空间收敛第一规律与空间收敛第二规律   总被引:5,自引:0,他引:5  
金相郁 《南开经济研究》2001,45(3):46-50,80
本文在分析了有关区域经济理论和大量实证研究结果的基础上研究了空间收敛的一般特性。研究结果表明L(1)空间收敛一般规律存在两大特 ,即空间收敛第一规律和第二规律;(2)空收敛第一规律是指子集收敛,从纯经济理论角度来看,了集收敛是短期性的,但许多实证研究表明子集收敛的长期动态性;(3)空间收敛第二规律是指空间收敛的动态性和长期性,短期呈现空间收敛,长期出现空间收敛的波动。以往有关区域经济不平衡的理论不能够解释的不平衡的出现,空间收敛第二规律解释空间不平衡的演变过程,从时间和空间的角度来看,空间收敛第一规律指空间与收敛的关系,空间收敛第二规律是指时间和收敛的关系。  相似文献   

2.
曹宇  周卫峰 《特区经济》2006,(2):285-287
本文研究新古典收敛机制和技术扩散收敛机制对于中国区域经济增长差距的影响;其基本观点是:改革开放以来,大多数省都存在资本边际产出递减;劳均资本不存在收敛性,TFP在1978~1991年期间存在绝对收敛,在1992年之后也不存在收敛性,因此,新古典收敛机制和技术扩散收敛机制在中国区域经济增长的现实中并没有自动发挥作用;劳均资本积累和TFP增长的变动趋势共同解释了中国地区经济增长差距,相比较而言,前者的作用更为重要,未来若干年内区域经济增长的总体态势在很大程度上仍将由各地区劳均资本的变动趋势决定。  相似文献   

3.
以古典经济增长模型为基础,通过构建面板数据回归模型,对江西省11市经济收敛性问题进行了研究。实证研究表明:江西省11地市之间存在绝对β收敛和条件β收敛,但不存在σ收敛;人力资本、固定资产投资、政府支出和工业产值增加都对经济的增长有明显促进作用。  相似文献   

4.
运用2000—2019年我国31个省(市、自治区)的面板数据检验发现,我国存在着明显的绝对收敛和条件收敛。对外开放水平和基础设施建设与经济增长成正相关,劳动力流动减缓了经济收敛的速度,且对区域间经济差距的缩小并没有促进作用。同时,这一发现也证实了东中西地区差异缩小而南北地区差异扩大的结论:东部地区呈现“收敛—收敛”趋势,中部地区和西部地区呈现“发散—收敛”趋势;对于南北地区,北方地区表现出“发散—收敛”的趋势,南方地区则一直是发散趋势;此外,劳动力流动率对主要劳动力流入地的经济增长具有促进作用,对劳动力流出地的经济增长产生不利的影响。因此,必须因地制宜制定政策合理引导劳动力流动,促进区域经济协调发展。  相似文献   

5.
本文采用β-收敛法来测算我国区域经济增长的收敛性.研究发现从长期趋势和整体上来看,我国各省之间经济增长不存在绝对收敛的特征.在中国省际区域间经济增长的条件收敛中,财政支出作为控制变量并没有促进经济增长的收敛,加速了区域经济增长的发散.  相似文献   

6.
文章基于2003—2020年长江经济带107个城市的数据,采用传统收敛和空间收敛两种模型探讨了对外开放对地区经济差距的影响。研究发现:长江经济带经济总体上趋于绝对收敛,并且在空间关联作用下开放兼具促进经济增长和加快经济收敛的效应,有效缩小了地区经济差距;对外开放的影响存在显著的时空异质性,长江经济带不同地区在全面扩大开放的同时,既要实施差异化开放策略,又要强化开放联动,才能更好地助推区域协调发展。  相似文献   

7.
很多研究者认为1978年以来中国东部与中西部的发展差距可以用俱乐部收敛假说解释,由于文章利用参数和非参数估计方法对1978—2005年中国区域经济俱乐部收敛性进行检验时发现,20世纪90年代中期曾经出现了俱乐部收敛的特征,但最近几年趋于消失,所以在统筹区域发展时对俱乐部收敛特征的新变化要引起重视。  相似文献   

8.
长三角地区县域经济发展差异及其动态收敛研究   总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3  
王昱  肖红姗   《华东经济管理》2011,25(2):41-43,69
文章以长三角地区60个县(不包括区)1998—2009年间的人均GDP数据为基础,首先采用标准差系数和锡尔系数分析该地区内县域经济发展差异水平现状,然后根据经济增长收敛理论进一步对其动态收敛趋势进行实证分析。研究结果表明,长三角地区县域经济差异在1998—2009年间逐渐增大,并且基本不存在动态收敛的趋势,仅部分地区内县域经济存在俱乐部收敛。根据研究结果提出了初步的政策建议。  相似文献   

9.
居民消费水平的空间相关性与地区收敛分析   总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3  
本文以消费经济学理论与经济增长收敛理论为基础.运用1994-2006年中国省级区域全体居民消费水平数据,对我国31个省域的消费水平的空间差异性和地区收敛性进行了实证分析.通过探索性空间数据分析(ESDA)发现:省级地区的居民消费水平存在着全域正相关性和低值集聚现象;对地区消费水平的绝对β收敛模型进行空间计量实证分析显示,省级地区居民消费水平即使在考虑空间因素的情况下,绝对β收敛也不明显,通过进一步控制人均收入,发现存在条件β收敛,地理效应对收敛产生正向效应.本文认为,在依靠消费边际倾向的内在动力的同时,政府应制定地理空间协调政策,缩小地区间的收入差距,以便实现地区消费水平收敛的最终目的.  相似文献   

10.
中国的经济增长收敛与收入分配   总被引:146,自引:0,他引:146  
探讨长期内决定不同国家或地区经济增长绩效的因素是经济增长分析的一个基本立足点。本文结合增长理论既有的一些研究经验 ,对中国经济在近 2 0年来的高速增长提供一个较为全面的解释。我们通过经验分析来探讨影响中国经济增长绩效的主要因素 ;不同的省份或地区之间 ,是否存在“增长收敛”的现象及“增长收敛”现象中存在的时域和地域特性 ;同一区域内部 (特别是城乡之间 )出现人均收入水平发散的原因  相似文献   

11.
Consumer prices in Hong Kong at the time of writing have declined by 15 percent from the peak recorded in 1998. We investigate the deflationary impact on Hong Kong of price convergence with the Mainland China, using 1990–2001 annual data on commodity prices in the former and in major cities of the latter. We find evidence of price convergence between the two economies over the past decade. Furthermore, price convergence is estimated to have accounted for one‐fifth of the deflation in Hong Kong. The results suggest that a significant portion of the deflation in Hong Kong is attributable to a process of structural adjustment due to growing economic integration with the Mainland.  相似文献   

12.
This study tests economic growth and convergence across the Chinese provinces during the period 1981–2005 based on augmented neoclassical growth models where land is included as a production input. A positive steady-state growth of per capita output cannot be sustained if the population growth rate or the output elasticity of land is sufficiently high. The study implements a panel data approach and shows that land may have an output elasticity as high as 1/3, suggesting that the natural environment indeed poses an important constraint on China's economic growth. In this study of the Chinese provinces, the panel data approach has implied much higher rates of conditional convergence in per capita output, compared with cross-section estimations.  相似文献   

13.
Although capital is often portrayed as being more internationally mobile than labor, the theory of labor migrations typically ignores capital flows. Economic historians provide long-term evidence suggesting close linkages between capital and labor movements for high labor immigration/emigration economies. Analyzing this linkage shows that labor-cum-capital migrations have distinctive economic effects compared to labor migrations alone. These distinctive effects impact on international economic economic convergence. GNP per head is invariably a poor indicator of development trends when labor (with or without capital) migrates.  相似文献   

14.
网络技术的不断发展与完善催生了新经济生态的诞生,这使得传统经济的运行方法和体制构成发生了根本性的变化。网络经济时代相对于传统的实体物质经济时代而言,它以信息及网络技术为依托,利用网络平台进行交易,体现出了成本低廉、互动性强、效率高等优势特征。边疆地域有效利用互联网经营方式、平台建设和管理模式,促进自身贸易发展,是本文研究的重点内容。  相似文献   

15.
This study tests for convergence in economic freedom across the 50 U.S. states from 1981 to 2019. In particular, we test for stochastic convergence in overall economic freedom using unit root tests that account for structural breaks and bounded processes, two sources of parameter instability. We find limited evidence of stochastic convergence. Further analysis of relative (club) convergence and weak σ-convergence rejects the presence of overall convergence in the panel of the U.S. states, but the emergence of two convergence clubs with respect to state-level economic freedom. The logit analysis of the determinants of the convergence clubs reveals that more prosperous states and states with a higher initial level of economic freedom have a higher probability of being in the club with more economic freedom. However, more racially diverse states have a lower probability of being in the club with more economic freedom.  相似文献   

16.
One of the goals of the Southern African Development Community (SADC) is macro‐economic convergence leading to monetary unification and a single central bank. This goal is aligned with the goal of the African Union to build a monetary union for the entire continent in stages, starting with each of the subregions, of which SADC forms one important region. Despite views to the contrary, the current degree of compliance with the Maastricht criteria for convergence and membership of the European Union, shows that the challenges facing a SADC monetary union would not be insurmountable if the convergence criteria are viewed as permanent goals, rather than preconditions.  相似文献   

17.
Based on data of 31 Chinese provinces over the period 1980–2004, the study in this paper presents new evidence on the effects of structural shocks and structural transformation on growth and convergence among the Chinese regions. The division of overall regional growth in labour productivity into three components – growth due to structural shocks, growth due to structural transformation and a ‘residual’ indicating growth due to region-specific changes – provides us with a better framework than the traditional one-sector Solow growth model for attributing growth and convergence to various different sources. Among other findings, the study has shown that during 1990–1999, structural shocks worked to widen the gap between rich regions and poor regions in China, while structural transformation worked to narrow the gap.  相似文献   

18.
The upswing of regional income inequality in Spain (1860-1930)   总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2  
This paper studies the evolution of Spanish regional inequality from 1860 to 1930. The results point to the coexistence of two basic forces behind changes in regional economic inequality: industrial specialization and labor productivity differentials. The initial expansion of industrialization, in a context of growing economic integration of regions, promoted the spatial concentration of manufacturing in certain regions, which also benefited from the greatest advances in terms of labor productivity. Since 1900, the diffusion of manufacturing production to a greater number of locations has generated the emulation of production structures and a process of catching-up in labor productivity and wages.  相似文献   

19.
This paper investigates the formation of convergence clubs and examines the drivers of growth convergence in Africa by accounting for individual heterogenous effects and establishing transitional paths. We particularly employ the sophisticated log t test to identify underlying convergence clubs and use LSDVC as a benchmark model for analysing the drivers of convergence. We also apply the System Generalized method of moments (GMM) model for sensitivity purposes. Our results reveal four core convergence clubs; seemingly characterised by the measures of institutional stability with distinct transitional paths. We consequently highlight the importance of initial conditions, human capital and institutions in the formation of convergence clubs. Thus, the paper provides insights into the adoption of differentiated development policies consistent with the specific conditions of African countries with the integration agenda driven by accelerated levels of human capital development and technological progress.  相似文献   

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