Study on Grey Model GM （1, 1） Forecasting for Airport Passenger Throughput

Airport passenger throughput is the most important yield guideline in airports, but there is not yet an effective method to forecast it. Grey model （GM） method can meet the request of forecast due to its strengths of little original data needed and high precision. Exploring application of GM in the forecast of airport passenger throughput can promote the development of airport industry to a great extent, so as to increase its economic profit. This paper discusses the application of grey model GM （1, 1） and its improved model in the short-term airport passenger throughput forecasting. The method for processing the forecasting data of the ordinary and special weekly throughput is offered to ensure a higher precision of forecasting.     

Study of Chinese iron and steel industry on continuous development

This paper analyzes the development status of Chinese iron ＆ steel industry, points out the problems that exist, and describes the development prospect of Chinese iron ＆ steel industry. It lists the reasons that we must choose the means of continuous development on the way to realize the change from an iron ＆ steel big country to an iron ＆ steel powerful country. Finally, some suggestions for the stable and healthy development of Chinese iron ＆ steel industry are put forward in the paper.     

The Positive Research on the Tendency of Industrial Agglomeration and Forecasting

New Economic Geography puts forward a famous law of inverted U curve. Meanwhile Chinese scholar Qi Liang proposes industry＇s life cycle theory, which is incompatible to the law of inverted U curve. In order to verify which theory is suitable for the situation of the industrial agglomeration of Chinese industry, we select ten kinds of representative products, carry on a positive analysis of the tendency of the industrial agglomeration from 1980 to 2003, observe where these industries center and forecast the industrial concentration of eight kinds of products in the following ten years.     

China＇s Industrial Policy in Relation to Electronics Manufacturing

China has become the biggest exporter of electronic products in the world. Government policy intervention has contributed significantly to the rapid expansion of the electronics industry. The present paper examines the evolutionary development of industrial policies related to the electronics industry in China and the impacts of such policies on the shaping of the industry. In particular, the relationship between foreign funded enterprises and domestic firms are examined in detail. The future trend of the industry is also discussed in the paper, and the policy focus of the Chinese Government is predicted.     

Research on customer classification based on logistic regression analysis

Customer classification based on the probability of customer churn was an important content of customer relationship management. The process of customer churn was analyzed by the logistic regression model. And this paper built a customer churn prediction model based on the analysis of customer＇s transaction data and the behavior pattern. Taking a domestic branch of China Construction Bank as an example, the paper forecast the defection of this commercial bank＇s VIP customers. And we can find that the method has a high accuracy rate and covering rate, and provide an effective measurement for customer classification.     

Analysis on Supervision Model of CPA Industry

The paper discusses the question of the super＇vision model of Certified Public Accountant （here- after ＂CPA＂）. The authority is the character of government supervision model, but the advantages of the self- supervision model are flexibility and adaptability. Every country should choose the supervision model that is most adaptable to its environment, supervision model should go with the international tide, enhance the quality and efficiency of supervision and protect the public benefit, This paper concludes we should choose the public supervision model through the analysis of government supervision model and industrial self-discipline model and according to the situation of CPA in China, It is beneficial to accelerate the development of CPA professional market.     

Basic Evaluation of the Process of China＇s Industrial Modernization

As China will change from a large industrial power into a strong industrial power in the 21st century, the inevitable demand is for industrial modernization. This paper puts forward three criteria for judging the degree of realization of industrial modernization: industrial growth efficiency, industrial structure and industrial environment. Together with these, it constructs an indicator system and indices for evaluating the level of industrial modernization, and uses this indicator system to evaluate the level of China‘s industrial modernization at the tam of the century. The resulting comprehensive index of China‘s industrial modernization is 28. 72. This indicates that, through the rapid industrialization which has taken place over more than 20 years of reform and opening up, China has commenced its industrial modernization, which is now in the primary stage of development. The core of the strategy for further development should be to accelerate the process of industrial modernization.     

The Development of China＇s Electronics Industry： Causes and Constraints

The development of China‘s electronics industry can be attributed to supportive government policies, strong domestic market demand and the opportunities provided by the international transfer of technology in the electronic manufacturing sector. China‘s enterprises can only continue to develop through technological upgrading due to the lack of core technologies of their own. Since this process is still ongoing, China has not become a competitive country in the field of electronic technology. As a country in transition, government initiatives designed to encourage the development of the electronics industry have also undergone changes in line with economic institutional reform. Direct government intervention policies have been gradually replaced by indirect regulatory policies and the market is playing a more and more important role in the electronics industry.     

Clusters Pulled by FDI in China and the Development of the SMEs： Theory and Typical Cases Study

In China, clusters are divided into two categories according to their initial power. One category is the spontaneous and endogenous industrial cluster represented by clusters of a range of small and medium-sized private enterprises such as those in Zhejiang. The other represents those attracted by the foreign direct investment （FDI） such as those in Guangdong and Jiangsu. This paper focuses on the second type. It is an attempt to analyze the role of FDI in the development of industry clusters. It also tries to explain how existing clusters attract new FDI. The factors that constrain the promotion and development of SME clusters are also examined in this research. The countermeasures of promoting the healthy development of clusters and SMEs further are put forward.     

The Theory and Demonstration of System Resource Constraint

Based on the former resource constraint theories, this paper analyzes the surplus phenomena of the scarce nature recourses in order to reveal the principle of resource and other industry＇s sustainable development. We propose thd System Resource Binding Theory, in which we take the market volume as a scarce resource. With the help of the theory, we analyze the energy industry＇s development characteristic and the constraint mechanism of Neo-economies.     

Forecasting and controlling of energy refining process based on multi-factor data barycentre method

A new and useful parameter estimation method is presented, and it is the application to the forecasting and controlling of coal refining process. This method can mostly decrease the errors of the fitting and forecasting results; Moreover, the strict hypotheses in least square method are not necessary in the method, which overcome the shortcoming of least square method and expand the application of multi-factor data barycentre method. Process forecasting and controlling models of coal refining are presented in this paper. From the comparison of multi-factor data barycentre forecasting method with least square method using in fitting and forecasting results of the mathematical model of coal refining process, we can conclude that the multi-factor data barycentre forecasting method is better than traditional least square regression forecasting method.     

Profitability and Productivity of the Chinese Textile Industry

This paper considers the cost structure, profitability and productivity of the Chinese textile industry and estimates the impacts of RMB appreciation on this industry. Using data for 1999-2006, we found that the industry has suffered from very low profit margins and returns on capital. Because input prices have been increasing, particularly since 2001, generating profits has become more difficult for the industry. Nevertheless, the industry achieved substantial productivity growth over the period examined. Although at an inadequate level the proJ~tability of the industry did show some signs of improvement. As long as this trend continues, the industry could obtain a decent level of profitability. Since 2005, however, the industry has faced a new challenge： the appreciation of the RMB. Based on 2006 data, we estimated the maximum rate of RMB appreciation that the industry would be able to sustain to be approximately 5percent a year.     

Actuality Analysis of the Development of Industry Association in China and its Countermeasures

With China＇s entry into WTO and the globalization of the market economy, changing the old management mode of administration of Chinese employer＇s organization as soon as possible and building the function mode of modem market mechanism have already, become the urgent task of China＇s economic reform and development. Based on the current situation of the development of industry association in China, this paper lists the problems and difficulties faced in the development of employer＇s organization at present and puts forward corresponding countermeasures and suggestions by analyzing the problems.     

Determinants of Competitiveness： Observations in China＇s Textile and Apparel Industries

This paper attempts to explore key determinants of competitiveness in the textile and apparel industries, with special reference to Chinese Mainland. The authors conduct a survey that is designed to use productivity, supply-side and demand-side determinants to measure enterprises＇ competitiveness. The collected survey data is then analyzed using factor analysis to capture the related determining factors indicative of competitiveness at the enterprise level. The findings demonstrate that government policies and related industry infrastructure are the most important determinants of competitiveness in the textile and apparel industries, followed by domestic demand. This suggests that the improvement of industry infrastructure can foster industry performance, and that more resources should be endowed to enhance the domestic business competitiveness of local enterprises. The development of domestic demand will foster the competitiveness of the textile and apparel industries on a more sustainable basis.     

Analysis on Affecting Factors of the Growth of Dairy Industry and Beef Cattle Industry in Inner Mongolia

Dairy industry and beef cattle industry are closely connected with livestock husbandries which all depend on the development of livestock husbandry. Inner Mongolia is famous for its livestock husbandry and dairy industry has grown into one with a competitive edge across the country but beef cattle industry cannot be match dairy industry as we haven＇t formed a complete industry chain from the breed of beef cattle chosen, improved, raised, processed to the consumption market and every internal part of industry is separate, unable to give fuller play to its resource superiority and to turn resource superiority into that of competition. So we need make a comparison and analysis of dairy industry and beef cattle industry of Inner Mongolia so as to find out the main factors that prevent the growth of resource-oriented industry, to push the rapid growing of beef cattle industry forward and maintain the dominant position of dairy industry.     

Industry Protection Countermeasures Based on Evaluation to Three Main Industries Safety of Shandong Province

The industry safety is an important part of the national economic safety. Based on the qualitative and quantitative analysis methods, combining with the reality of Shandong Province＇s development, an evaluation index system of three main industries safety is established and the countermeasures of safeguarding industry are put forward in this paper.     

Understanding Business Relationship Management in China： A Power and Leverage Perspective

This paper examines whether a power and leverage perspective, successfully applied to analyse extended buyer-supplier relationships in a western context, can be used to analyse business relationships in China. A single embedded case study is presented in this paper and a power and leverage approach is used to analyse business relationships. The power and leverage perspective is applicable for investigating buyer-supplier relationships in a Chinese cultural context. However, in this context using power as coercion is an extremely counterproductive relationship management strategy, which can draw both buyers and suppliers in to a ＂no-win＂ or negative sum situation. The findings are based upon a single case, which makes drawing generalisable conclusions more difficult. In addition, although every effort was made to limit the subjectivity of the power and relationship analysis, researcher interpretation of the data was required. In the Chinese business context, it may not be advisable to manage any relationships in an arms-length manner. Chinese business networks are centred on less explicit or formal power relationships and therefore companies that have learnt the rules of the game of exchange in the west need to modify their approach in China. This work extends the understanding of buyer-supplier relationships and provides additional empirical evidence validating a power and leverage perspective. In addition, the paper provides the first assessment of whether this approach can be used in a non-western context without significant modification.     

Development and application evaluation of industrial common technology in Liaoning

This paper focuses on the theories and studies related to industrial common technology. Adopting Hall＇s 3-D structure analysis tool in systematic engineering and taking the regional economic characteristics of Liaoning Province in China into consideration, this paper carries out deep studies on the feasibility of the development and application evaluation of the industrial common technology in Liaoning Province of China, provides reference information for the development of Liaoning regional industrial common technology studies and makes its modest contributions to the regional economic development of the province.     

China as a Global Manufacturing Powerhouse： Strategic Considerations and Structural Adjustment

This study examines the nature and consequences of China＇s rise to the center of world economic affairs through manufacturing-led development. Our historical analysis shows that China is still well short of the point in its developmental process where its growth might be reasonably expected to slow, or the energy, resource and carbon intensity of growth to recede. The study argues that the current trajectory of industrialization will have to be altered when China becomes more actively engaged in dealing with structural issues at home and abroad against the background of the unwinding of global imbalances. One profitable strategy that China might employ wouM be to approximate the incredibly fruitful mass-market integration efforts of the USA that eventually elevated it to its position of global primacy. The cyclical re-emergence of excess capacity in Chinese heavy industry, serious questions about the medium term ability of other major regions to accommodate further large gains in Chinese market share, and the stark conflict between the contemporary style of industrial development and the health of the biosphere indicate strongly that now is the time to catalyze the required adjustment and reform processes that will underpin sustainable long-run prosperity.     

Smooth production and supply of live pigs in China：Fluctuations and adjustment

Although the pig-breeding industry in China has been developing rapidly, it has undergone an unsmooth process, which features periodical fluctuations of live pig production. First, this paper explains the meaning of smooth production and supply of live pigs, then this paper analyses the fluctuations of production and price of live pigs in China based on related data, and by use of Griliches＇ partial adjustment model construct short-term and long-term models for the production and supply of live pigs in China. Finally, this paper analyses the obstacles hindering the smooth production and supply of live pigs in China, and puts forward some strategies for the smooth production and supply of live pigs.