信贷资金流入股市对货币政策的效应

随着股票市场的发展，资本市场对货币政策的传导起着越来越重要的作用，资本市场上的货币需求已成为影响中央银行货币政策制订与招待效果的重要因素， 生于资本市场的“财富效应”已成为主要货币信贷政策传导机制之一，从这个角度来分析，目前银行信贷资金流入股市对中央银行货币信贷政策具有正负两个方面的双重影响，为了深入地研究信贷资金违规流入股市途径及其对货币政策的影响，我们对赣鄂湘三省11个地市，商业银行53个分支行，36户企业及相关的证券部门信贷资金流入股市情况进行一次深入地调查。     

信贷资金流入股市对货币政策的效应

随着股票市场的发展，资本市场对货币政策的传导起着越来越重要的作用，资本市场上的货币需求已成为影响中央银行货币政策制订与执行效果的重要因素，产生于资本市场的“财富效应”已成为主要货币信贷政策传导机制之一。从这个角度分析，目前银行信贷资金流入股市对中央银行货币信贷政策具有正负两个方面的双重影响。为了深入地研究信贷资金违规注入股市的途径及其对货币政策的影响，我们对赣鄂湘三省11个地市、商业银行53个分支行、36户企业及相关的证券部门信贷资金流入股市情况进行一次深入的调查。     

信贷资金流入股市的原因与渠道分析

本文在对银行信贷资金违规进入股市的原因进行分析的基础上,探讨了信贷资金流入股市的不同渠道,并提出了相应的监控对策.     

信贷资金变相流入股市的成因与对策——来自常州市的调查报告

信贷资金违规流入股市问题是银行业监管部门监管操作的难点。2007年上半年,常州银监分局对此开展了调查。调查方法是将既有贷款又有证券投资行为的企业和个人作为重点调查对象,调查分析其信贷资金流向情况及有无违规流入股市等问题。经调查,虽未发现有信贷资金直接违     

银行信贷资金违规进入股市的思考

近年来,随着我国股票市场的迅速发展,银行信贷资金通过企业、个人和证券公司三种途径违规进入股市,增加了股市的泡沫,加大了银行信贷资金的风险.为此,我们建议商业银行要加强信贷资金的管理,金融监管机构要加强合作与监管,来防范银行信贷资金违规进入股市.     

银行信贷资金并未哄抬股市

不久前有媒体称,"金融机构的贷款保持了较高的增长速度,企业资金供给充足,其中很大部分投到了股市中.目前仅在上交所开户的工商企业已有9万户,而证券公司存放金融机构同业存款比去年初增长4420亿元.这表明从各种渠道流入股市的资金大增,成为股市活跃的重要原因."于是,有人得出结论:去年股指大涨的根本原因是银行信贷资金流入股市.西南财经大学金融研究所所长曾康霖认为,这种说法并不确切.     

连环四招 辨析信贷资金违规流入股市

信贷资金流入股市的典型模式 一种是借款人直接将信贷资金投入股市。少数企业借入贷款后稍作停留即将资金划入证券公司账户，表现手法直露、低劣，当然这也反映出部分银行内部管控体系的薄弱和低效。     

境外投机资金流入国内股市问题研究

境外资金流入国内股市,既有良性作用,也可能导致资金集中流出入的风险.本文阐述了境外资金流入国内股市的现状,分析了投机资金流入股市的原因及影响,然后从人民币汇率制度改革、加强监测等方面,提出对策建议.     

信贷资金违规进入股市危害重重

从目前各家商业银行开展的业务来分析,信贷资金进入股市可以有四条以上途径,包括流动资金贷款、证券公司或上市公司担保贷款、股票质押贷款以及未指定用途消费贷款、额度贷款等,其中又以股票质押贷款为最多.有识之士提出,防止和纠正信贷资金违规进入股市应当成为当前监管部门的重要任务.     

违规资金是如何流入股市的

2001年7月,央行在对沈阳四家商业银行分支机构的检查中,发现这些单位竟擅自放宽条件,对一些企业签发无真实贸易背景的23.77亿元汇票给予承兑与贴现,致使5.1亿元信贷资金流入股市.对此,央行给予了严厉的查处,并表明了央行坚持加大信贷资金违规入市的查处力度.     

Almanac of anticipations: The age of affluence—of anticipation—of anxiety—of automation—of discontinuity—of longing—of overkill—of space exploration

With this survey of developments in the futures field since 1945, I.F. Clarke completes his present series for Futures. He makes two major points: that forecasting techniques have become essential tools in the management of change; and that nuclear weapons and ecological problems have added a moral dimension to the study of the future. In the next issue of Futures he will start a new series on the range of future-thinking in the USA, from the expectations of the first settlers to the Star Wars programme.     

基金公司经营融资融券业务的问题审视

融资融券业务正式运营已经开展,为证券市场带来了革命性的改革,作为证券市场的一大主体,基金公司面对融资融券也迎来了新的发展方向和挑战,本文从融资融券业务的运行机制入手,分析了基金公司融资融券的新契机,并对其即将面临的问题进行审视和剖析,进而提出策略建议.     

对基层人民银行科技工作的几点建议

银监会分设后,人民银行将专司货币政策、金融稳定、金融服务三大职能。作为人民银行的分支机构,基层人民银行的工作重心也将从金融监管调整到这三大职能上来。人民银行的科技部门,就要积极运用科技手段,为人民银行履行新的职能发挥“服务、支持、促进、发展”的作用。一、围绕三大职能搭建五大平台经过“六五打基础、七五作准备、八五大发展”几个阶段后,人民银行相继实现了核算电算化、清算网络化和办公信息化。特别是近一两年来,陆续开通了大额支付系统、信贷登记咨询系统、会计四集中系统、金融信息服务网站等系统,人民银行信息化水平又…     

The Usefulness of Measures of Consistency of Discretionary Components of Accruals in the Detection of Earnings Management

Abstract:  Prior research has shown the prevalence of measurement error in models used to estimate aggregate discretionary accruals. In these models, the incremental information content of the various components of accruals is ignored. Limited prior research and data gathered from firms under Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) litigation indicate that managers use either one or more than one component of accruals simultaneously, in a consistent way to manipulate bottom-line earnings in a given direction. I propose two measures that capture the consistency between the discretionary components of accruals and test their significance in earnings management (EM) detection in firms that have artificially added accrual manipulation and firms that were targeted by the SEC for accrual manipulation. There is evidence that this information is incrementally useful in detecting EM. This finding paves the way for improvements in the discretionary accruals measure by including consistency information from the components of aggregate accruals.     

Summary of Results of Survey of Seminar Attendees

Abstract

The Society of Actuaries undertook a three-phase research project on mortality improvement in the three NAFTA countries: Canada, Mexico, and the U.S. Phase 1 consisted of a literature review of papers on projecting mortality levels in the future and a study of the trend in mortality improvement during this century. Phase 2 consisted of a discussion of different facets of modeling mortality rates at a seminar attended by 79 experts (actuaries, demographers, economists, and medical researchers) representing different countries. The last session of the seminar consisted of the completion of a survey by the attendees to obtain input for Phase 3, which would analyze the impact of mortality improvement on the social security system of each country. This paper summarizes the results of the survey.

The survey results illustrate the difficulty in forecasting mortality levels, because the effects of many factors that could have significant impact on mortality rates are unknown. This suggests the need for dynamic forecasting, which allows for the possibility of random shocks. A majority of the survey respondents believe that stochastic forecasting models, despite their complexity, have significant potential to add value. Respondents also believe that both historical data and cause-specific mortality forecasts are useful as input and also in validating forecasts of the aggregate levels of mortality. The challenge is to develop more sophisticated forecasting models to produce results that are relatively easy to interpret and to communicate these results to the desired audiences, including the public and policymakers.

The survey results suggest that the aggregate effect of lifestyle changes, medical advances, diseases, catastrophe, and physical environmental changes is an increase in life span. However, there is much uncertainty about the future. Respondents expect that beyond the year 2020 the mean annual rate of reduction in mortality for males age 65 and over will average about 0.58% for Canada, 0.76% for Mexico, and 0.67% for the U.S. The results for the female age 65 and over population are 0.64%, 0.83%, and 0.70%, respectively. The age 65 and over population is expected to see larger percentage reductions in mortality than the 0–14 and 15–64 populations. The reductions in male and female mortality will be ultimately the same, and the mortality levels in the three countries will ultimately converge, although differences may persist for decades.     

Separation of Unit of Account from Medium of Exchange

The separation of a unit of account (UoA) from a medium of exchange (MoE) in the commodity–money system is investigated by considering explicitly a seller's choice of UoA in terms of either an MoE or a unit of metal weight. If the likelihood of debasement of an MoE and its rate are high enough, the price is posted in terms of a unit of metal weight rather than an MoE. Interestingly, this MoE–UoA separated equilibrium yields the flexible nominal price, whereas an MoE–UoA integrated equilibrium yields the sticky one. This implies the nominal price rigidity in the fiat‐money system where MoE and UoA are integrated.     

银行软件项目外包管理分析

一、引言随着国民经济的不断发展,银行业务与外部企业的联系越来越密切。银行正逐步成为现代经济活动的中心,作为数据处理核心的银行业务应用也越来越大型化、越来越复杂化,因此许多银行也把软件项目逐步由原来的自主开发转变为与公司合作的方式,或直接外包开发的方式,银行本身的技术人员也逐步由开发转向项目管理。二、项目外包的分类银行项目的外包有以下几种情况:①部分子系统外包,有时由于银行的软件项目太大,单靠银行自身的开发力量基本无法在预定的时间内完成项目,只好把相对独立的部分外包;②直接购买软件公司的成熟产品,有些金融软…     

银行管理信息平台建设发展的思考

一、目前国内银行IT发展现状及面临的问题 银行数据集中工作的完成,标志着银行的业务由电子化建设阶段转入信息化建设阶段.一方面银行数据的集中提供了丰富全面的基础数据,面对日益庞大的数据源,如何将数字转化为对银行有用的信息,并从中发现知识,为银行的经营决策提供支持,是摆在银行IT人员面前的一个亟待解决的问题.另一方面用户对银行信息的需求日益增长,如果银行没有一套完整、实用的信息管理系统,将对业务发展非常不利.南京爱立信公司倒戈花旗银行事件曾经轰动一时,其中一个重要原因就是中国本地银行不能满足爱立信全球总部对南京爱立信公司的要求:每周财务上报和每天贷款限额管理.这一事件为中国商业银行的未来发展敲响了警钟,如果不加快管理信息系统的开发,迅速提升业务管理水平,类似的事件还会接连不断地发生,并最终导致国内商业银行在同国外商业银行的竞争中全面溃败.     

社会主义所有制形式的改革、完善与共产党执政能力的提高

在中国,所有制形式的调整、改革与完善,先进生产力的发展,党的执政能力建设,是社会主义建设过程中密切结合在一起的三个不同层面的发展关系.应在相互促进和共同提高中促进社会的和谐发展,保证社会主义现代化建设战略目标的顺利实现.     

金融企业员工考核系统的设计

一、概述 为配合公司人事考核制度的贯彻执行,保证该制度执行过程中各项工作能够长期、高效、准确地完成,我们开发了公司员工考核系统,实现了人事考核工作中员工投票、考核统计、考核信息分析、报表生成等功能,减少了人事部门人员的手工操作,提高了考核工作的自动化程度.