中国可持续发展油气资源安全态势

本文对可持续发展油气资源安全系统进行了界定，建立了相应的评价模型与评价指标体系，并就中国可持续发展油气资源安全态势进行了系统分析，提出了适合中国国情的提高油气安全程度的战略措施和对策。     

A fuzzy decision model for color reproduction

Color quality appraisal refers to a visual evaluation of an original color image and an assessment of the degree to which that image is matched in photomechanical or electronic reproduction. The evaluation of reproduction quality is quite subjective since it relies on the individual judgments of color technicians who have different perceptions of color and its component qualities. To reduce the amount of rework due to subjective evaluation of color reproduction, an objective model is proposed here. In this model, a fuzzy set of quality factors is introduced and a numerical quality value calculated. This measure is then compared with an acceptable quality value experimentally established for particular customers and printing processes. Finally, the installed model is tested in actual production, and compared with the conventional evaluation method in a cost analysis.     

利用Excel模型对乙烯裂解原料进行技术经济评价

根据乙烯原料裂解模拟评价单程收率,运用投入产出法和本量利分析法对原料进行技术经济评价,建立了一套动态评价、优化模型,对乙烯生产企业扩大原料选择范围,提高企业潜在的经济效益有一定参考价值。     

备选工程总承包商类别选择决策研究

由于工程总承包项目招标时,面对的是截然不同的三类对象,必须先确定备选总承包商的类别,才能有针对性地制定招标文件和评标标准,进而实施招标。论文从工程总承包项目的特点和招标程序以及设计单位、施工企业、联合体的特征出发,构建了备选工程总承包商类别选择决策的评价指标体系,建立了混合型多指标双层多属性决策数学模型,用模糊综合评价法结合Topsis法对模型进行了求解。对项目业主对项目各目标权重的分配,以及联合体叠加效果折减系数∥的变化对最终排序的影响等进行了分析。以变化的具体数据作为算例,对所得出的研究结果进行了验证。     

基于SVM的软件质量评价

为了提高软件质量评价的准确性,参考各软件质量模型中的质量因素,构建评价指标体系并构建基于SVM的软件质量评价模型,通过在WEKA下实例仿真,基于SVM的评价结果与期望的结果是一致的,表明该方法能够准确、科学和客观地评价软件质量。     

基于熵—物元模型的河北钢铁上市公司融资效率评价

论文从资金成本、风险因素及企业治理因素等影响钢铁企业融资效率的指标出发,建立了河北钢铁上市公司融资效率的物元评价模型。为克服指标各评价类取值区间的长度不相等给关联度计算带来的不利影响,改进了传统物元模型关联度函数;同时结合指标信息熵构建了AHP-Entropy评价指标组合权重。运用改进后的物元评价模型对河北钢铁上市公司融资效率进行评价,实例分析表明模型具有实用性。     

煤炭企业工作分享机制适用性综合评价研究

工作分享机制对提高员工的工作满意度,减少人才流失有着重要的作用。阐明煤炭企业实施工作分享机制的意义,初步提出一套评价煤炭企业工作分享机制适用性的层次模型,运用层次分析法与灰色关联分析法相结合的综合评价方法,对煤炭企业工作分享机制适用性进行了综合评价。     

3T0R类圆钢端面贴标混联机构构型优选

为保证用于圆钢端面贴标的工业机器人的设计质量,根据成捆圆钢端面贴标的工程应用场景,采用模糊综合评价法及层次分析法对尺度不确定的候选机构进行比较优选。以备选方案为基础建立模糊综合评价决策集,分析贴标工作及机构学相关知识,建立模糊综合评价因素集,比较各因素的重要性程度建立评价指标权重集,依据层次分析法对各评价指标建立模糊评判矩阵,由权重集及评判矩阵得到模糊决策集并对各方案进行排序优选,综合评价结果为RRP4RR RRRP4RRRRRRR。圆钢端面贴标混联机构可采用RRP4RR并联机构串接RR串联机构,所应用的模糊综合评价法可为贴标机构构型的优选提供决策依据。     

论基于博弈论的投标报价建模方法

随着我国经济建设的发展,建筑市场的规范、有序化管理已经逐步形成,其中招投标制度在工程承发包交易行为公开、公平、提高工程质量、发挥投资效益、防止腐败和不正当竞争等方面均起到了很好的促进作用。根据现行的主要招投标评标方法,分析基于博弈论建立与之相适应的投标博弈模型的方法,为施工企业投标的科学决策提供借鉴。     

药品监管队伍建设评估指标体系的设计

在当前药品安全形势日益严峻的情况下，公众对药品监管部门的工作也提出了更高的要求，药品监管队伍建设受到社会广泛关注。本文将结合药监队伍现实特征，借鉴公共部门绩效管理模型，构建药品监管队伍建设评估指标体系．以对药品监管队伍建设情况进行有效的评价。     

A framework for strategic industrial pricing

A model for pricing decision making in an industrial setting is described. Written from the perspective of a price setter, the model starts with an evaluation of the relative strengths and weaknesses of both buyer and seller. These evaluations are then input into a strategic framework, which integrates tactical considerations with several environmental concerns. The article concludes with a set of strategic pricing alternatives, in a matrix form, to be used by price negotiators and pricing executives of industrial companies.     

Voting behaviour in Singapore: A preliminary investigation from a multi-attribute attitudinal perspective

The multi-attribute attitude model is employed to study voter behaviour in Singapore. Specifically, a set of beliefs of the personal attributes of political candidates considered important to voters was examined. Results indicated that such beliefs did predict voters' affective evaluation and intention to vote for a typical political candidate reasonably well. Implications of the findings are discussed and suggestions for future research provided.     

An optimization approach to business buyer choice sets: How many suppliers should be included?

In many new or repeat purchasing situations, business buyers must decide how many suppliers to consider (a “choice set”) in determining which supplier(s) to actually buy from or contract with. This paper develops an optimization approach to determining the size of the choice set, taking into consideration buyer utility and search and evaluation costs. A theoretical model is developed for both one-time and repeat purchase situations. The model is estimated using empirical data received from bids received for procurement auctions. In these auctions, suppliers provide bids for steel pipe based on two product attributes (price and delivery time). Model sensitivity to small changes in parameters is also tested.     

发电企业战略经营业绩综合评价

对所设计一套指标体系并运用层次分析、模糊评价的一些原理,对企业的经营业绩进行分块分析、综合评价作了阐述。     

教学评价及反馈信息系统体系设计及其系统实现

针对高校教学评价系统中评教数据信息量大、复杂且数据不客观的问题,研究了通过数理统计的方法实现教学评价指标体系的设置及学生评教数据的处理,并进一步阐述了基于.NET技术实现评价系统的方法。     

严寒地区节能建筑外墙外保温施工方法优选

节能能源是我国的基本国策,建筑节能是我国节能工作的一个重要领域。严寒地区建筑物墙体节能是建筑节能的关键,而选择一种在严寒地区适用的墙体保温的施工方法显得尤为重要。文章将层次分析与模糊综合评判法引入到节能建筑外墙外保温施工方法优选中,在对节能建筑外墙保温要素分析的基础上,建立了施工方案优选的递阶层次结构,通过判断矩阵计算出层次总排序的权向量,并运用模糊综合评判模型优选出最佳方案。     

论市场结构范式的标准与评价体系

出于反对重商主义和垄断的需要,自由经济理论建立了完全竞争范式,并把完全竞争奉为经济学的金科玉律。自从20世纪40年代,熊彼特深刻地批判了完全竞争的缺陷以后,经济理论研究实际陷入了市场结构范式缺失的境地。50年代,舒马赫重谈完全竞争的老调,提出了“小的是美好的”理论。近期有学者根据SCP标准,提出了寡头垄断范式。也有学者希望通过对垄断企业的科学规制,建立完全垄断的市场结构范式。毫无疑问,作为经济学的基础理论,市场结构范式不可或缺。因此,建立一个合理的市场结构范式评价体系刻不容缓。     

基于可靠度的公路交通安全工程评估与应用分析

通过对三级道路交通安全工程分析和研究,从自然条件、路线条件、路侧条件等8个方面选取了28项对公路的交通安全影响较大的因素作为评价指标,建立了公路交通安全的评价指标体系。基于安全可靠度充分考虑各个影响因素之间的关系,运用层次分析法和模糊数学理论确定公路交通安全状况的模糊综合评价模型,提出了基于安全可靠度的用于评价公路交通安全的模糊综合评价方法,并结合国道212线甘肃省境内漳县段交通安全状况进行实例分析,结果表明,在安全可靠度满足要求条件下该方法与公路部门的调查具有很好的吻合性,能很好地反映该公路的交通安全状况。     

Robust Testing of the Utility‐based High‐technology Product Sales Forecasting Models Proposed by Decker and Gnibba‐Yukawa (2010)

Decker and Gnibba‐Yukawa (2010) propose an elegant utility‐based model for forecasting the sales of high‐technology products and suggest that the model yields forecasts that are highly accurate. However, this finding is based on forecasts for a total of only six holdout observations shared across three products. This number of observations is insufficient for reliable inferences to be drawn about the accuracy of a method and the use of such a small data set runs counter to an accepted principle of forecast evaluation. The authors’ proposed model was tested on more extensive data and sensitivity analysis applied to the results. No evidence was found that the utility‐based model could outperform a relatively simple extrapolative model despite the much greater effort involved in applying the proposed model. In addition, the utility‐based model is only applicable for forecasting sales during a narrow interval in a product's life cycle and requires several periods of historic sales data before it can be implemented. It also depends heavily on the accurate estimates of parameters that are determined outside the model (and which may depend on difficult judgments by managers) and assumes that consumers or households will only purchase the product once between the launch date and the forecast horizon. In light of this, it is argued that the utility‐based model is likely to have limited usefulness as a sales forecasting tool.     

第二产业企业经营业绩评价指标体系设计研究

企业经营业绩评价是企业经营管理中的一个重要问题,是企业经营战略实施状况的整体描述。工业时代的传统财务业绩评价指标体系一直存在着重短期业绩评价、轻长期业绩评价,重财务指标体系、轻非财务指标系统等问题,它在世界经济一体化的知识经济时代已变得力不从心,捉襟见肘。如何适应当今世界复杂多变的经济环境,建立非财务与财务评价并重的企业经营业绩评价指标体系,已成为重大课题。文章在研究比较国内外企业经营业绩评价体系的基础上,阐述了企业经营业绩评价指标体系设计的指导思想,并借鉴国外跨国公司的业绩评价,结合中国企业的实际情况,设计了一套比较完整的第二产业企业经营业绩评价指标体系,以期待对该领域的研究有所推进。