FDICIA and bank failure contagion: Evidence from the two failures of first city bancorporation

We investigate contagion effects from the two failures of First City Bancorporation—the only large regional bank to fail before and after FDICIA. FDICIA imposes changes in the bank failure resolution process that expose uninsured depositors to substantially greater risk. We find that shocks to First City’s weekly returns affect the conditional volatility of all but the most financially sound banks in the 1985–1987 period. This risk spillover effect is not evident in the period leading up to First City’s 1992 failure, however, which suggests that the regulatory changes embodied in FDICIA have not contributed to a more risky banking system. We appreciate the comments of Richard Cebula, Ken Kroner, Jim Pappas, Joseph Mason, an anonymous reviewer, and seminar participants at the 1996 meetings of the Financial Management Association.     

Heterogeneity in bank pricing policies: The Czech evidence

We estimate the pass-through from market interest rates to bank interest rates using heterogeneous panel cointegration techniques to address heterogeneity at the bank level in the Czech Republic. The results indicate heterogeneity in bank pricing in the short, but not in the long term. Mortgage rates and firm rates typically adjust to money market changes, but often less than fully in the long run. Large corporate loans have a smaller mark-up than small loans. Consumer rates have a high mark-up and do not exhibit a cointegration relationship with money market rates even in the long run. Next, we examine how bank characteristics determine the nature of interest rate pass-through in a cross-section of Czech banks. We find evidence for relationship lending, as banks with a stable pool of deposits smooth interest rates and require a higher spread as compensation. Large banks are not found to price their products less competitively. Greater credit risk increases vulnerability to money market shocks.     

The impact of bank competition and concentration on bank risk-taking behavior and stability: Evidence from GCC countries

This paper presents a comprehensive assessment of the impact of competition on bank fragility pre and post financial crisis period in the GCC banking market as measured by bank risk-taking behavior and bank stability during the period 1998–2016. Our results indicate that a higher level of bank competition and the greater degree of concentration adds to financial fragility. The findings further shows that during the 2008 crisis, lower bank competition maintain the stability of GCC banks. We also find that lower level of competition and lower concentration in the banking market increases the risk-taking behavior of the low capitalized, low liquid and small banks which add to fragility in the banking system. Our findings suggest that countries with greater capital stringency, greater supervisory power, greater market discipline, and private monitoring, with explicit deposit insurance schemes, higher shareholder protection, and higher legal efficiency decrease banks’ risk-taking and increase their stability. We also find that greater regulatory restrictions and higher creditor protection decrease banks’ stability and increase risk in concerned countries. We find support for both competition-fragility and competition-stability hypotheses in the GCC banking market. The results also confirm that the use of a single measure of competition is insufficient to assess the role of competition in banking stability.     

审计失败对公司债券发行定价的传染效应——基于共同审计师的视角

审计失败会对客户公司产生负面影响,并且可能波及拥有共同审计师的公司。基于共同审计师视角,选取2007—2022年公司债数据,实证检验审计失败在债券发行定价中的传染效应。研究发现,当发生审计失败后,拥有共同审计师的关联公司债券发行定价显著提高,即审计失败对债券发行定价具有传染效应,经过多种稳健性检验后结论依旧成立。机制检验表明,风险信息传递、低质量会计信息是审计失败产生传染效应的作用机制。进一步研究发现,当聘用学历较高或具有行业专长的审计师、投资者面临风险更小、投资者保护更好时,传染效应有所减弱。     

商业银行贷款定价体系的构建

银行贷款利率与资本市场息息相关。文章通过对金融市场的分析,研究了我国商业银行贷款定价体系是对其的必要补充。     

Credit towards graduation: The impact of US bank deregulation on human capital accumulation

Credit markets affect the real economy. It is important to identify unintended consequences of financial policies. This paper studies the impact of bank branching deregulation on high school graduation. The use of National Longitudinal Survey of Youth 1979 geocoded data focuses the results on three deregulations: Ohio in 1979, Connecticut in 1980, and Alabama in 1981. Discontinuities in treatment assignment at borders between deregulated states and regulated states identify the effect of banking deregulation on high school graduation. Using a regression discontinuity type set up called differences-in-discontinuities, results indicate significant increases in the likelihood of high school graduation for treated individuals. Analysis provides evidence of heterogeneous effects of bank branching deregulation based on skill level and income level.     

Does the bank risk concentration freeze the interbank system?

Probably, one test of the stability of the banking system is to evaluate how risky assets are distributed across banks’ portfolios and the implications for the contagion via interbank relations. This paper explores theoretically a bank sector with risks concentration and the functioning of interbank markets. It employs a simple model where banks are exposed to both credit and liquidity risk that suddenly correlate over the business cycle. We show that risk concentration makes interbank market breakdowns more likely and welfare monotonically decreases in risk concentration.     

Deposit insurance subsidies,moral hazard,and bank regulation

The model developed in the paper separates deposit insurance subsidies into two components: a premium-linked subsidy which arises from an ex-ante mispricing of the deposit insurance premium, and an asset-linked subsidy which arises from a lack of ex-post monitoring of the bank's actions. The identification of these two subsidies provides important insight into the relation between deposit-insurance subsidies and bank risk. The asset-linked subsidy is higher for banks of average risk and lower for very-high and very-low risk banks. The premiumlinked subsidy behaves differently under risk-adjusted and fixed-rate premiums. The model also indicates that the implementation of a riskadjusted insurance-rate schedule alone would not be sufficient to eliminate the bank's excessive risk-taking behavior. Thus, some combination of risk-sensitive deposit-insurance pricing and regulatory control is necessary to reduce the moral hazard problem.     

Income diversification and bank risk in Asia Pacific

This paper investigates the effect of income diversification on bank risk for a large sample of commercial banks in 14 Asia Pacific economies over the period 2011–2016. Using a dynamic panel data model with a system generalized methodof moments estimator, we find that banks with a higher level of income diversification are less risky in general. We further consider both developed and emerging economies according to the International Monetary Fund's classification of the level of economic development. Specifically, for emerging economies, the results indicate that banks with a higher level of income diversification face less risk. However, the diversification of commercial bank income has no significant impact on bank risk in developed Asia Pacific economies.     

Financial innovation and bank behavior: Evidence from credit markets

This paper investigates whether, and through which channel, the active use of credit derivatives changes bank behavior in the credit market, and how this channel was affected by the crisis of 2007–2009. Our principal finding is that banks with larger gross positions in credit derivatives charge significantly lower corporate loan spreads, while banks׳ net positions are not consistently related to loan pricing. We argue that this is consistent with banks passing on risk management benefits to corporate borrowers but not with alternative channels through which credit derivative use may affect loan pricing. We also find that the magnitude of the risk management effect remained unchanged during the crisis period of 2007–2009. In addition, banks with larger gross positions in credit derivatives cut their lending by less than other banks during the crisis and have consistently lower loan charge-offs. In sum, our study is suggestive of significant risk management benefits from financial innovations that persist under adverse conditions – that is, when they matter most.     

Off-balance sheet activities and bank default-risk premia: A comparison of risk measures

This paper examines the market discipline of off-balance sheet activities on the default-risk premia of subordinated bank debt. The standard approach for determining whether market prices of subordinated debt reflect the risk of default is to regress the yield spread against accounting measures of bank risk. This approach may be inadequate because yield spreads are neither linear nor monotonic functions of bank risk. Moreover, the standard approach fails to consider that banks are regulated. This paper compares this approach and one where risk is measured with a contingent claims pricing model. Observed yields on subordinated bank debt over equivalent maturity treasuries are used to compute implied asset variances. OBS banking activities appear to reduce both linear risk-premia and implied asset variances. These results suggest that bank regulators may be overly concerned with the risk exposure of off-balance sheet banking activities.     

The impact of technological change on bank performance

Quarterly call report data for 225 banks over twenty-six quarters are used to estimate a quadratic cost function to provide a measure of technological change within the banking industry. The nature of the relationship between technological change and bank performance is then examined. A logit model is formulated to estimate the likelihood that banks will display a positive level of technological development. Return on assets and return on equity are selected as measures of banking performance. The results suggest that technological change is significantly related to over-all banking performance. Finally, a significant relationship is indicated between bank size and profitability and the rate at which banks implement technological change.     

A quality and risk-adjusted cost function for banks: Evidence on the “too-big-to-fail” doctrine

We estimate a multiproduct cost function model incorporating measures of bank output quality and the probability of failure. We model a bank's uninsured deposit price as an endogenous variable depending on the bank's output level, output quality, financial capital level, and risk measures. Accounting for these aspects in the cost model significantly affects measures of scale and scope economies. We find evidence that the too-big-to-fail doctrine significantly affects the price a bank pays for its uninsured deposits. For large banks, an increase in size, holding default risk and asset quality constant, significantly lowers the uninsured deposit price.     

Analysing contagion and bailout effects with copulae

In this paper, a new methodical framework that combines elements of event studies and copula methodology is proposed in the context of the analysis of bank contagion. Furthermore, to the best knowledge of the author, this paper is the first one to analyse changes in the dependence structure of banks around bailout announcements. The results of the empirical study show that significant contagion effects could be detected both in the German banking sector after the onset of the subprime crisis as well as in the Japanese banking sector in the mid-nineties. I find that announcements of crisis at struggling banks induce a significant increase of lower tail dependence in the banking sector. The analysed bailouts and rescue measures by the central bank proved to be effective in reducing this increased lower tail dependence while increasing tail independence of bank stock returns at the same time. In both data samples, I find that the bailout announcements did not simply restore the pre-crisis dependence structure, but rather only decreased the likelihood of a joint crash of bank stocks without increasing the chances of a joint boom.     

Cyclicality in losses on bank loans

Based on unique data we show that macro variables, the default rate and loss given default of bank loans share common cyclical components. The innovation in our model is the distinction between loans with either severe or mild losses. The variation in the proportion of these two types drives the cyclic behavior of the loss given default and constitutes the links with the default rate and macro variables. These links vary according to loan and borrower characteristics. During downturns, the proportion of defaults with severe losses increases, but the distribution of losses conditional on their being mild or severe does not change. although loans are monitored more closely than bonds and are more senior, the cyclical variation in their losses resembles those for bonds, albeit around a lower average level. This variation leads to an increase in the capital reserves required for loan portfolios.     

Network VAR models to measure financial contagion

Financial contagion among countries can arise from different channels, the most important of which are financial markets and bank lending. The paper aims to build an econometric network approach to understand the extent to which contagion spillovers (from one country to another) aris from financial markets, from bank lending, or from both. To achieve this aim we consider a model specification strategy which combines Vector Autoregressive models with network models. The paper contributes to the contagion literature with a model that can consider bank exposures and financial market prices, jointly and not only separately. From an empirical viewpoint, our results show that both bilateral exposures and market prices act as contagion channels in the transmission of shocks arising from a country to other countries.     

浅析我国网上银行及发展对策

在国际电子商务环境下,信息网络技术逐步溶入商业银行,打开了中国传统银行的虚拟之门。网上银行较之传统银行的确具有无可比拟的优势,但由于其发展时间较短,中国与发达国家还存在很大的差距。文章介绍了国内网上银行的发展现状,并进行了SWOT分析,提出了国内网上银行的一些发展对策。     

Commercial property prices and bank performance

We seek to assess the relationship between commercial property price movements and the behavior and performance of individual banks in a range of industrialized economies, extending the existing micro literature on bank performance. Our results suggest that commercial property prices tend to be positively associated with bank lending and profitability, and negatively associated with banks’ net interest margin and bad loan ratios. Further extensions show that the degree to which such a relationship holds is related to the size of the bank. The results underline the relevance of commercial property prices as a macroprudential variable that warrants scrutiny by the authorities.     

Agency costs and dividend payments: The case of bank holding companies

This paper examines the hypothesis that agency costs are a primary factor motivating dividend payments. Norohna et al. (1996) present evidence that the agency cost rationale is context specific and that dividends will not be driven by agency costs when other mechanisms exist for controlling agency problems. We argue that regulation of bank holding companies involves a context specific case where agency costs may be less relevant. Using an empirical methodology similar to Born and Rimbey’s (1993), we find that the abnormal returns associated with dividend announcements by bank holding companies are not related to their external financing activities. The monitoring activities of the capital markets are not a rationale for dividend payments in the presence of bank regulation. Our results are robust to an alternative explanation involving the signaling role of new equity financings.     

我国货币政策对房地产价格的传导机制研究

基于房地产价格的视角,采用我国1998年第一季度至2008年第二季度的相关季度数据,运用协整分析和Granger因果关系检验等计量方法对我国货币政策的资产价格传导机制进行了实证分析。实证结果表明,以房地产价格为代表的资产价格传导渠道已经成为我国货币政策传导的一条重要渠道,货币政策传导到房地产价格后将进一步传导到实体经济。央行应该充分发挥资产价格对货币政策的传导作用,从而增强货币政策的有效性,更好地调控宏观经济。