金融机构腐败洗钱风险与反洗钱对策分析

金融机构可能会被行贿和受贿者利用来进行贪污腐败活动,从服务风险、客户风险、国家风险三个方面分析金融机构面临的腐败洗钱风险,从特定腐败洗钱风险、一般腐败洗钱风险两个角度研究了针对性的反洗钱措施,提出了加强多方合作的政策建议。     

Money laundering and audit fees

We investigate the association between state-level money laundering sentences and audit fees in the US. Money laundering measures a broad category of offenses involving financial transactions using funds or monetary instruments gained through criminal activities and tax evasion. We find that firms headquartered in US states with high rates of money laundering sentences pay more audit fees. Our results suggest that auditors incorporate, as a fee premium, the higher risks involved when clients operate in those states. Our result remains robust to alternative specifications of money laundering proxies, and to the inclusion of a number of firm-level and state-level control variables. We also conduct two-stage least squares and propensity score matching analysis to mitigate the endogeneity problem that might arise from omitted variables, reverse causality, or model misspecification problems.     

The impact of tax on foreign direct investment: Empirical evidence and the implications for tax integration schemes

We estimate the impact of taxation on foreign direct investment (FDI) flows, using data on flows between seven countries for 1984 through 1989, and a sophisticated measure of the cost of capital. We find that the choice between domestic investment and total outward FDI is not significantly affected by taxation but that taxation does affect the location of outward FDI. These results are used to examine the impact of tax integration systems. Giving a tax credit to foreign shareholders may induce a large increase in inward FDI from exemption countries but not from partial-credit countries. For the United States, the total effect would be small.     

估算中国的IFDI和OFDI——来自“避税天堂”与返程投资的证据

本文梳理了现有文献对离岸金融中心导致的直接投资头寸统计偏差进行修正的方法,详细比较了直接投资头寸数据集的优劣差异,并以CDIS宏观数据集为基础,引入Orbis微观企业数据库作为重要补充,对直接投资的动机按避税目的和境外上市目的进行区分,以此估算我国的IFDI和OFDI存量。结果表明:(1)估算后,来自离岸金融中心的IFDI调减1.1万亿美元,其中超过80%是出于避税目的进行的返程投资;(2)考虑VIE架构境外上市企业的影响后,返程投资占比增长至近37%,规模约1万亿美元,其中VIE架构境外上市企业贡献了16%;(3)我国对外投资存在经过“避税天堂”进行中转的现象,其中最终投向英属维尔京群岛的OFDI存量约占1/4,是我国实际OFDI的最主要投向地。     

Mapping global money laundering trends: Lessons from the pace setters

This paper uses an exploratory data analysis tool to map countries according to key factors—internet penetration rates, brain drain, efficiency of legal system, and effective tax and financial systems on the incidence of money laundering. Pace setters and laggards in the pervasiveness of money laundering for 88 countries will be identified. The results indicate that pace setters have high development of internet adoption, low incidence of brain drain, sound legal, tax and financial systems, and low incidence of money laundering. From the study, key policy initiatives adopted by pace-setter countries to reduce money laundering activities were examined.     

Military experience and corporate tax avoidance

We find that managers with military experience pursue less tax avoidance than other managers and pay an estimated $1–$2 million more in corporate taxes per firm-year. These managers also undertake less aggressive tax planning strategies with smaller tax reserves and fewer tax havens. Although they leave tax money on the table, boards hiring these managers benefit from reductions in other gray areas in corporate reporting. The broad implications are as follows: for employee selection, boards can consider employees’ personal characteristics as a control mechanism when outputs are difficult to contract ex ante or measure ex post.     

How Does FDI React to Corporate Taxation?

Based on a panel of bilateral FDI flows among 11 OECD countries over 1984–2000, we show that, although agglomeration-related factors are strong determinants of FDI, tax differentials also play a significant role in understanding foreign location decisions. We further investigate non-linearities in the impact of tax differentials, and explore the impact of tax schemes. Our results are consistent with the imperfect competition literature which underscores the possibility of tax differentials across countries in equilibrium.JEL Code: F21, H25, H87     

Money Laundering as a Crime in the Financial Sector: A New Approach to Quantitative Assessment,with an Application to Italy

This study provides an answer to the question of how much cash deposited via a financial institution can be traced back to criminal activities, by developing a new approach to measure money laundering and proposing an application to Italy. We define a model of cash in‐flows on current accounts considering, besides “dirty money” to be laundered, also the legal motivations to deposit cash and the role of the shadow economy. We find that the average amount of cash laundered in Italy is around 6% of GDP. These findings are coherent with estimates of the nonobserved economy obtained in previous studies.     

借鉴境外经验加强对拍卖业的反洗钱监管

近年来,随着我国改革开放的深入发展,拍卖业以其独特的服务功能逐渐被人们熟知和认同。但因缺乏有效监管机制,拍卖行业极易成为行贿、洗钱、贪污等非法活动的温床,进而影响社会金融稳定。本文在借鉴国际先进经验基础上,针对拍卖业潜在洗钱风险隐患,提出完善拍卖业反洗钱监管的有关政策建议。     

With which countries do tax havens share information?

In recent years tax havens and offshore financial centres have come under increasing political pressure to cooperate with other countries in matters of taxation and efforts to crowd back tax evasion and avoidance. As a result many tax havens have signed tax information exchange agreements (TIEAs). In order to comply with OECD standards tax havens are obliged to sign at least 12 TIEAs with other countries. This paper investigates how tax havens have chosen their partner countries. We ask whether they have signed TIEAs with countries to which they have strong economic links or whether they have systematically avoided doing this, so that information exchange remains ineffective. We analyse 565 TIEAs signed by tax havens in the years 2008–2011 and find that on average tax havens have signed more TIEAs with countries to which they have stronger economic links. Our analysis thus suggests that tax havens do not systematically undermine tax information exchange by signing TIEAs with irrelevant countries. However, this does not mean that they exchange information with all important partner countries.     

Host-country governance, tax treaties and US direct investment abroad

We investigate how the quality of the host-country governance and a bilateral US income tax treaty affect the rates of return that US companies require on their foreign direct investment (FDI). Using indexes of corruption and political instability, we find that poor governance causes the companies to require significantly higher rates of return. This lends support to earlier authors who have concluded that poor governance discourages both local investment and inward FDI. After accounting for the quality of host-country governance, however, no evidence could be found that an income tax treaty has any effect on the required rates of return.      

Do Capital Flows Matter to Stock and House Prices? Evidence from China

This article analyzes the impacts of foreign direct investment (FDI) and short-term capital flows, otherwise known as hot money, on stock and house prices in China. Empirical results, estimated using the local projections approach, reveal that a positive hot money net inflow shock significantly increases stock and house prices and the impacts persist for up to 1–2 months, while a positive FDI net inflow shock contributes significantly to lagged house price appreciation but has no effect on stock prices. This study also identifies negative pass-through effects of FDI net inflows on hot money net inflows and positive pass-through effects of stock prices on house prices.     

Tax Havens,Tax Evasion and Tax Information Exchange Agreements in the OECD

Using data on Foreign Portfolio Investment (FPI), we find a positive relationship between higher tax burden and OECD residents’ tax evasion, especially via tax havens. Contrary to established investor preference for certain country characteristics, we find they are less important to tax evaders who value privacy and want to remain undetected by their home tax authorities. We find very limited evidence that OECD Tax Information Exchange Agreements (TIEAS) reduce tax evasion, controlling for other determinants of overall OECD FPI. Without the US in the OECD sample, tax havens play a lesser role and OECD policies appear to make a marginal impact.     

人民币国际化：从国际铸币税角度分析

一国货币国际化后会给货币发行国带来巨额的国际铸币税收益。人民币国际化前中国每年都要缴纳巨额的国际铸币税;如果人民币实现国际化,中国将会从世界征收丰厚的国际铸币税。因此,人民币应该加快国际化进程,参与国际铸币税的分配。     

洗钱罪认定与上游犯罪领域拓展研究

洗钱犯罪是为上游犯罪所获取的非法收入进行清洗、处置的犯罪,洗钱犯罪人员是上游犯罪资金清洗的协助者.如何完善法律、法规,从根本上打击洗钱犯罪,一直是各界关注的焦点.2020年12月26日,全国人大会议通过的《刑法修正案(十一)》在一定程度上降低了洗钱罪的判定难度,但仍无法解决对上游七类犯罪以外洗钱犯罪行为的定罪问题,监管层及金融行业在洗钱犯罪方面仍存在着较大压力.本文结合近年来我国洗钱犯罪、判定及上游犯罪等情况,讨论了现有洗钱犯罪定罪中存在的问题.重点探讨了现行洗钱罪上游犯罪认定是否狭隘,《刑法修正案(十一)》对自洗钱行为的判定是否有变化,洗钱罪删除"明知"概念后对洗钱定罪的影响,以及监管机构的职责与权利义务是否相匹配等问题,在此基础上提出了扩容洗钱罪上游犯罪、充实洗钱罪定罪类型、加强监管职权等政策建议.     

钻石贸易洗钱与恐怖融资：方式、监管及工作建议

本文对钻石贸易及其洗钱活动进行了概述和深入研究,分析了钻石贸易的脆弱性和洗钱漏洞以及利用钻石贸易进行洗钱和融资的不同方式。在此基础上,介绍了目前各国针对钻石交易和跨境运输等方面的监管现状,并为规范钻石贸易行业和加强反洗钱及反恐怖融资监管提出具体建议。     

The interplay between mandatory country-by-country reporting,geographic segment reporting,and tax havens: Evidence from the European Union

We investigate whether mandatory public country-by-country reporting (CBCR) by European Union (EU) banks affects geographic segment reporting. We find no significant change in the reported number of geographic segments, country segments, or line items per geographic segment disclosed in segment reporting notes after the introduction of CBCR. Consistent with the notion that EU banks may aggregate geographic segments to obfuscate tax haven activities, we find a positive association between tax haven intensity and geographic segment aggregation. Further, we document the location of banks’ operations and the extent of their economic presence in tax havens. We find that EU banks report significantly higher profit margins, turnover per employee, and profit per employee, and lower book effective tax rates for operations located in tax havens, relative to non-tax havens. Our evidence suggests that mandatory public CBCR has limited impact on geographic segment reporting. Nevertheless, CBCR provides additional information to better identify the existence and scale of tax haven involvement. Our results should be informative for EU policymakers currently considering the expansion of public CBCR to all industries. They might also be relevant to researchers considering the decision usefulness of CBCR for financial statement users in estimating after-tax profitability and tax enforcement risk.     

韩国、俄罗斯、澳大利亚三国FDI税收激励政策介绍及借鉴

随着经济全球化进程的加快,中国对外投资也在不断增长。本文从中国主要对外投资国中选取了三个具有代表性的国家——韩国、俄罗斯和澳大利亚,研究其外商直接投资(FDI)税收激励政策及发展趋势,并对我国进一步扩大对外投资和调整FDI税收激励政策提出了几点看法。     

Secrecy jurisdictions

This paper surveys tax haven legislation and links the literature on tax havens to the literature on asymmetric information. I argue that the core aim of tax haven legislation is to create private information (secrecy) for the users of tax havens. This leads to moral hazard and transaction costs in non-havens. The business model of tax havens is illustrated by using Mauritius and Jersey as case studies. I also provide several real-world examples of how secrecy jurisdictions lead to inefficient market outcomes and breach of regulations in non-haven countries. Both developed and developing countries are harmed, but the consequences seem most detrimental to developing countries.     

Estimating the magnitude of capital flight due to abnormal pricing in international trade: The Russia–USA case

Governmental and international lending agencies, as well as private sector firms, who engage in international trade, have long been concerned with detecting and determining the magnitude of abnormal pricing in international trade. To detect such abnormal pricings, we present a framework analyzing millions of import/export transactions between the U.S. and Russia. The objectives of this study are to estimate the economic impact of over-invoiced/under-invoiced Russian imports/exports from/to the U.S. and to determine if capital movement/capital flight through trade is due to money laundering, tax evasion or some sort of portfolio consideration. Our results lead us to conclude that capital movement through trade in this case can be attributed to either money laundering and/or tax evasion.