信用迁移矩阵特性实证研究

本文根据随机过程的马尔可夫链原理,在商业银行评级体系的基础上,利用大量实际数据,统计得到多种信用等级迁移矩阵,深入分析了信用质量迁移的特性,并为后继的违约风险研究奠定基础.     

基于灰色关联分析的商业银行贷款损失拨备计提研究

贷款损失拨备计提对防范商业银行的经营风险,提高商业银行经营的稳定性具有十分重要的作用.本文在对已有的几种典型的贷款损失拨备计提方法即现金流折现法、动态准备金法、压力测试准备金法和基于马尔科夫链迁移矩阵的贷款损失准备金法进行分析的基础上,运用灰色关联的相关理论,提出了一种新的基于灰色关联分析的商业银行贷款损失拨备计提方法,并对其适用性进行了详细的论证,本研究将为完善我国商业银行风险管理体系,提高风险管理效率提供必要的理论支撑和实践依据.     

我国商业银行利益相关者治理

次贷危机的爆发让人们对商业银行股东至上的治理理念提出了质疑,商业银行经营的负外部性和危机的传染性要求其更加关注利益相关者的利益。本文在对商业银行利益相关者相关文献进行回顾的基础上,提出了界定利益相关者的三大属性,并采用问卷调查获取数据,利用SPSS统计软件,借鉴米切尔评分法,对我国商业银行利益相关者进行了界定和三维分类。在此基础上,将可进一步研究商业银行利益相关者参与公司治理的制度安排。     

转轨期我国商业银行竞争力研究——一个基于层次分析法和熵权法相结合的研究

本文在选择商业银行竞争力评价指标体系的基础上,利用层次分析法和熵权法两种方法相结合的综合方法,采用2002－2007年我国四大商业银行和招商、民生等十三家银行的原始数据,并通过构建标准化数据矩阵,计算出了我国商业银行的竞争力状况及其排名。     

基于因子分析的美国上市商业银行经营状况的研究

本文采用因子分析法对十家美国上市商业银行的效率进行了分析,将所有指标归纳为盈利性、风险性、流动性三个综合因子,利用回归的思想求得各个指标在每个综合因子中的系数,据此得到十家银行在每个因子上的得分,并给出了相应的排名以及由原始变量相关性矩阵的特征值确定权重的综合排名,结果发现在所有十家美国商业银行中,美国第一资本金融公司表现最为出色。在此基础上,本文针对每家商业银行的不足之处提出了提高效率的有关建议,也根据投资者的风险偏好分类提出了投资决策的建议。     

基于软集合理论商业银行高净值客户协同创新价值评价研究

在合理设计基于客户协同创新的商业银行高净值客户价值评价指标体系的基础上,运用软集合理论和客户价值矩阵,分析客户价值指标,计算客户价值,并通过设置客户价值的临界值与商业银行高净值客户价值相比较来细分高净值客户,为商业银行筛选出符合协同创新条件的高净值客户,合理利用银行资源,实现客户价值最大化。     

基于因子分析法的国有商业银行可持续发展评价研究

本文以金融可持续发展理论为基础,从剖析商业银行可持续发展的内涵入手,找出影响商业银行可持续发展的主要因素,构建出一套商业银行可持续发展评价指标体系。在此基础上利用相关数据,采用因子分析方法对我国国有商业银行的可持续发展进行了实证评价分析,得到了评价商业银行可持续发展的三个主因子以及我国国有商业银行可持续发展的综合排名,并据此分析了导致国有商业银行可持续发展水平高低的主要原因。     

商业银行信用风险评价的模糊集值统计方法

本文首先在剖析传统的商业银行信贷风险评价方法的基础上,指出这些方法的局限性;然后,构建了新的商业银行信用风险评价主要的4个方面内容;最后,本文采用模糊集值统计方法对商业银行信用风险进行评价,克服了传统商业银行信贷风险评价的局限性,为商业银行信贷风险评价探讨了一种新途径。     

我国商业银行进军保险业的SWOT分析及战略思考

随着银监会出台《商业银行投资保险公司股权试点管理办法》,银行业与保险业新的合作模式日益凸显,金融混业经营已是大势所趋。随着我国商业银行相继成立或酝酿建立银行系保险公司,其相关利弊必将对双方产生深远影响。本文通过SWOT分析的方法,分析了商业银行进军保险业的优势与劣势、面临的机遇与挑战,在此基础上运用SWOT矩阵对商业银行进军保险业进行合理化建议与战略分析。     

商业银行利用外部数据服务的潜在风险与应对措施

伴随着信息技术的发展,互联网金融服务也得到快速发展,商业银行不断拓展利用外部数据辅助进行管理的业务和领域.商业银行与互联网金融服务企业的合作模式也存在诸多风险隐患,其中合规与法律风险、信息安全以及业务连续性风险尤其要引起商业银行的重视.银行应当在谨慎合规利用外部数据的基础上,强化对具有逐利本质的互联网金融服务企业的监督...     

Bayesian Premium Rating with Latent Structure

We propose a fully Bayesian approach to non-life risk premium rating, based on hierarchical models with latent variables for both claim frequency and claim size. Inference is based on the joint posterior distribution and is performed by Markov Chain Monte Carlo. Rather than plug-in point estimates of all unknown parameters, we take into account all sources of uncertainty simultaneously when the model is used to predict claims and estimate risk premiums. Several models are fitted to both a simulated dataset and a small portfolio regarding theft from cars. We show that interaction among latent variables can improve predictions significantly. We also investigate when interaction is not necessary. We compare our results with those obtained under a standard generalized linear model and show through numerical simulation that geographically located and spatially interacting latent variables can successfully compensate for missing covariates. However, when applied to the real portfolio data, the proposed models are not better than standard models due to the lack of spatial structure in the data.     

The development of the group accounts disclosure system in Japan

The Japanese disclosure system of consolidated statements was introduced in 1977 and extensively revised in 1997. The role of the bureaucracy has been significant in these developments and seems to be part of Japan's closed culture. However, other explanations could also be applied. In particular, although Japanese firms opposed such disclosures on the basis of preparation costs, the Japanese government had to modernize the disclosure system, including consolidation, in order to develop the securities market regardless of an individual company's interests.     

Moments of Compound Mixed Poisson Distributions

Recursive formulae are derived for the evaluation of the moments and the descending factorial moments about a point n of mixed Poisson and compound mixed Poisson distributions, in the case where the derivative of the logarithm of the mixing density can be written as a ratio of polynomials. As byproduct, we also obtain recursive formulae for the evaluation of the moments about the origin, central moments, descending and ascending factorial moments of these distributions. Examples are also presented for a number of mixing densities.     

The designing of corporate accounting law in Japan after the Second World War

After the Second World War, during the neutralization of the controlled economy of wartime Japan, a design for a Corporate Accounting Law was elaborated by the Investigation Committee on the Business Accounting System. The Investigation Committee tried to establish not only new business accounting standards but also a central and independent administrative organ of corporate accounting regulation on the basis of the Corporate Accounting Law. The Corporate Accounting Law was expected to lay the legal foundation of the new corporate accounting regulation regime in Japan. Nevertheless, even though the original design of the fundamental accounting law was never realized, it should be considered the starting point for our understanding of external accounting history in post-war Japan.     

The deliberation around accounting techniques: accounting for depreciation and foreign exchange in an Indian jute company, 1870-1900

This paper examines the way two accounting techniques, namely depreciation and foreign exchange, were deliberated on, between 1870 and 1900, in an Indian jute company whose shareholders resided in the UK. The arena for these deliberations was the conflictual relationship between controlling and non-controlling shareholders as to how best to account for depreciation and foreign exchange especially when the particular accountings affected distributional issues such as the dividend decision. The purpose of this paper is to analyse and explain the processes by which a company's accounting practices emerge and develop as a contest between different interests. Accounting framed the parameters of the deliberations and provided the language of power and dissent. The paper uses a rich archive that includes narrative and accounting material.     

Pricing Dynamic Insurance Risks Using the Principle of Equivalent Utility

We introduce an expected utility approach to price insurance risks in a dynamic financial market setting. The valuation method is based on comparing the maximal expected utility functions with and without incorporating the insurance product, as in the classical principle of equivalent utility. The pricing mechanism relies heavily on risk preferences and yields two reservation prices - one each for the underwriter and buyer of the contract. The framework is rather general and applies to a number of applications that we extensively analyze.     

Guidelines for Manuscripts Submitted to The China Journal of Accounting Research

正The China Journal of Accounting Research"CJAR"(ISSN 1755-3091)publishes quarterly.It contains peer-reviewed articles and commentaries on accounting,auditing and corporate governance issues that relate to the greater China region.We welcome the submission of both theoretical and empirical research papers pertinent to researchers,regulators and practitioners.Authors should note:1 Submissions must be original     

International harmonization of Japanese accounting standards

Historically, Japanese accounting standards have been quite distinct from International Accounting Standards (IASs) which have been perceived as being modelled on British-American accounting standards. However, in the 1990s, after the publication of E32 in 1989 and the IASC-IOSCO Agreement in 1995, the Business Accounting Deliberation Committee (BADC), the standards-setting body in Japan, has pursued a policy of harmonization with IASs. Accounting standards relating to consolidated financial statements of companies that make cross-border offerings of securities or operate worldwide are being revised drastically. This paper focuses on the development of international accounting harmonization and its impact on Japan.     

Commodity financialization and sector ETFs: Evidence from crude oil futures

We investigate the diversification benefits of energy assets in the setting of commodity financialization using data on crude oil futures and Sector ETFs (SPDRs). Correlations between commodities and financial assets increased during the post-Commodity Futures Modernization Act (CFMA)/commodity bull cycle period, resulting in lower benefits of diversification. However, we find that conditional correlations between crude oil futures and sector ETFs meaningfully increased only since the 2008–09 financial crisis. The results therefore suggest that the financial crisis, rather than CFMA regulation, explains changes in the diversification benefits of commodities. Moreover, we find that oil futures returns are less correlated with SPDRs than with the S&P index. Thus, energy futures, and crude oil in particular, offer the potential for diversification benefits in sector-style investing.     

Dutch accounting in Japan 1609-1850: isolation or observation?

The trading station or factory maintained by the Dutch East India Company (VOC) was Japan's sole window on the Western world during most of the Tokugawa period (1600-1868). While many aspects of the factory's role in Dutch/Japanese cultural exchange have been researched little is known in the West of the accounting at the factory. This paper considers the possibility that double-entry bookkeeping employed by the Dutch may have been diffused to the Japanese. The available evidence is synthesized after considering the accounting system in the Dutch factory.