我国省级公共资本经济效应分析——基于面板VAR模型的实证分析

在现有文献研究的基础上,利用1999—2010年我国29个省(自治区、直辖市)的面板数据,基于内生增长理论构建计量经济模型,检验了公共资本存量、私人资本存量与经济增长之间的面板Granger因果关系。构建面板VAR模型度量公共资本存量对经济的冲击。结果表明:公共资本存量的冲击对人均私人资本存量和人均GDP都产生正向影响,但长期看该影响不具有持续效应。     

国内资本流动对我国区域经济增长的影响

通过运用1992～2002年我国的分省时间序列数据和截面数据,对国内资本的跨省流动性及其对我国区域经济增长差异的影响进行实证研究。研究表明,国内资本的跨省流动性在1992～1993年较差,之后逐渐增强。国内资本的跨省流向总体上是流向增长较慢的省份。国内资本的这种流向以及流动程度不断增强,促使各省之间的GDP增长率差异显著下降。     

信息技术业增长机会对资本结构影响的实证研究

选择面板数据模型对沪深两市A股市场信息技术业55家上市公司2005-2009年248组数据进行全面分析,结果表明,信息技术业资本结构与增长机会呈显著负相关,其增长机会的投资主要来源于股权融资或内部融资。     

我国人力资本和物质资本对经济增长影响的实证分析

经济增长是一个复杂的社会现象，影响因素很多。随着科技的发展和生产力的提高，人力资本对经济增长的作用越来越大，物质资本对我国经济增长的贡献仍然不可替代。现阶段我国经济发展过程中，要进一步提高物质资本的利用率，加大对人力资本的研究及开发。     

基于区域层面的房地产投资对经济增长影响研究

基于1997--2007年中国三十一个省级行政单位的面板数据,分析中国各省份以及区域层面的房地产实际投资对经济增长的影响。研究结果表明：中国房地产实际投资直接影响到中国的经济增长水平,其对经济增长的贡献率存在个体差异和区域差异,各地区的房地产实际投资对GDP的贡献不相同,西部地区最高,中部次之,东部最低。     

我国实体经济资本配置效率与行业差异

本文首先参考JeffreyWurgler( 2 0 0 0 )的“资本配置效率”模型 ,考察了我国1 993— 2 0 0 2年整体的资本配置效率 ,发现这十年间我国的资本配置效率为 0 1 60 ,处于较低水平。随后 ,通过模型的动态化 ,分析了 1 994— 2 0 0 2年间 ,我国每一年的资本配置效率变化。最后 ,本文建立了资本配置效率的面板数据模型 ,以较高的置信度计算出我国资本配置效率为 0 0 81 ,同时给出了各个行业的自发投资水平 ,并进行了扼要的行业分析。     

分企业经济类型的工业行业资本配置效率研究

文章参考Jeffrey Wurgler的方法,使用2003-2008年我国36个工业行业的季度数据,测算各经济类型企业的资本配置效率,发现私营企业与外商和港澳台投资企业的资本配置效率处于相对较高水平,而国有企业和股份制企业则处于低水平;各类企业的动态分析表明,资本配置效率显著地受到各季度宏观政策的影响;分行业进行对比分析,发现国有企业起主导作用的行业其资本配置效率不高,不同类型企业中,资本配置效率较高的行业在分布上存在一定互补性。     

我国政府投资与区域经济增长差异研究

改革开放30多年来,我国经济快速增长的同时,地区经济增长差异持续扩大也是不争的事实。本文构建面板数据模型,实证分析了西部大开发以来政府投资和经济增长两者之间的关系,实证结果显示,政府投资是造成区域经济增长差异的重要原因。在实证研究结果基础上,本文相应提出了几点政策建议。     

资本流动对区域经济增长的影响及启示

本文以近年来资本流动对区域经济增长影响的相关研究为主线,对区域中资本的流动进行分类,然后归纳了国外学者对资本流动与区域经济增长影响的研究,并就相关研究的方法及主要结论做了梳理。通过本文的研究,以期对分析我国资本流动与区域经济增长关系有所借鉴。     

The impact of foreign capital on the Chinese banking market

In China, the foreign capital share of banks was restricted to 25% until 2006. Does such a relatively low share of foreign capital have any impact on the banking sector? In this paper, we use panel data on 19 major banks during 1996–2004 to shed light on the impact of foreign capital participation on the Chinese banking industry. We find that although the operating performance of foreign-owned banks is basically worse than that of domestic banks, as the market share of foreign-owned banks rises, they improve. For domestic banks, non-interest income decreases, while interest income increases. Therefore, the net effect of the foreign-owned banks' share on the profitability of domestic banks is small.     

The impact of public capital on the US private economy: new evidence and analysis

This paper presents new evidence on the impact of public capital on the productivity of the US private sector. Using a production function approach, we estimate the impact of public investment on private capital productivity, specifically addressing the empirical critiques of earlier studies. We find evidence of a cointegrating relationship in a dynamic specification of an empirical model that includes public infrastructure as a factor of production, indicating the existence of a long‐run relationship between the US public capital stock and the productivity of the private capital stock. The results are used to explore how the decline in the growth rate of the public capital stock would have affected the performance of the private sector.     

美国量化宽松货币政策对中国经济的冲击效应研究

基于VAR模型,运用2010年12月—2013年3月间中美月度数据,对美国量化宽松货币政策对我国经济影响进行探讨,以期有效化解美国量化宽松货币政策对我国宏观经济带来的负面冲击,并为此提出科学的理论依据和有针对性的对策方案。     

The impact of Chinese monetary policy on co-movements between money and capital markets

From 2010 to 2017, with interest rate liberalization and capital market development in China, the impact of monetary policies on China’s financial markets underwent continuous evolution. Using the DCC-GARCH model, this study investigates the transmission process of monetary policies from the money market to capital markets (stock and bond markets). The results show that in the early stage the instability of the money and stock markets and the downturn in the bond market are primarily caused by the block of monetary policy transmission and the paucity of fund sources in the capital markets. Subsequently, the outbreak of the 2013 money shortage and the 2015 stock market crash are also closely related to monetary policies. In the later periods, the money and stock markets maintain a low degree of correlation for a long time, reducing the impact of destabilizing factors on the stock market. By contrast, with the advancement of interest rate reform and the optimization of bond market structure, the bond market is highly relevant to the money market. The central bank regulates the bond market more effectively using both traditional and innovative monetary policy tools.     

The impact of the demographic transition on capital formation

"The population of the United States is aging. We review a variety of the implications this has for U.S. national saving rates, and discuss the policy issues that they raise. After reviewing what different models would predict for household saving over the next several decades, we consider how the demographic transition may also affect national saving through changes in government behavior. Ways in which the composition of household saving might change as individuals age are also analyzed along with the implications of changes in government fiscal policy for asset composition."     

谨慎性原则的再认识

谨慎性原则贯穿于会计准则体系的很多方面,在会计实践操作中发挥着重要作用,是会计职业判断的重要依据.在当前经济形势动荡的环境下.需要重新认识谨慎性原则的意义和作用.本文认为,谨慎性原则的核心是一种风险拨备概念,对当期会计收益的修正相当于一种风险折价,以此来抵御市场变化的风险.     

The impact of immigration on the human capital of natives

"Implications of the quantity (number) and quality (skill) of immigration on the destination economy are analyzed, including impacts on value added, wages, quasi rents, rates of return, and the skill distribution of the native labor force. Quantity-quality trade-offs are considered for both immigrant and native workers. Medium- and long-run labor-supply responses by natives to immigrant-induced changes in wage rates are shown to have second-order effects which subtantively affect the impacts of immigrants. The impact of immigration policy depends on the quality as well as quantity of immigrants, the time horizon, and the speed of factor market adjustment."     

Some capital market failures in the socialist labor-managed economy

We examine the behavior of the labor-managed firm in the capital market and show that the decentralization of capital allocation decisions in the socialist labor-managed economy is hazardous. We first show that the firm's behavior, when equilibrium is disturbed, is disequilibrating, and that therefore the importance of free entry is greater in this economy than in a capitalist one. We then establish that the difficulties raised by the credit-rationing literature are next to insoluble in the labor-managed market, due to the impossibility of requiring any collateral in a socialist market. As a result, free entry is impossible. We conclude that meaningful decentralization is impossible in the socialist labor-managed economy.     

Entrepreneurial competition and its impact on the aggregate economy

This paper models entrepreneurship as the entrepreneur’s information processing activity in order to predict changes in demand and reallocate resources. The results show that allocative efficiency—and therefore aggregate productivity—increases through intensified competition by entrepreneurs grasping at opportunities. This fierce competition leads to price reductions that result in the improvement of measured aggregate productivity. The price reduction also forces relatively less able entrepreneurs to become workers. As resources are then dealt with only by relatively talented entrepreneurs, this selection effect also increases aggregate productivity. The paper also discusses how the selection effect influences the distribution of firm size.      

关于国际经济与贸易对环境的影响探究

国际经济与贸易的快速发展,有效推进了国内经济的健康发展,但同时也为国内环境带来了诸多不利影响。究其原因,主要是一些地方政府和企业为了获取更多的经济利益而盲目追求外贸发展,却忽略了环境保护,因此出现了很多环境污染问题,从而导致生态环境失衡,对人们的生存环境产生了负面影响。所以,有必要采取有效措施,及时化解并预防环境污染问题。基于此,本文在分析了国际经济与贸易对国内环境带来的影响基础上,提出了相应的措施。