共查询到20条相似文献,搜索用时 781 毫秒
1.
Christoph Hinkelmann Steve Swidler 《The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics》2008,36(1):37-52
This paper examines the use of futures contracts to hedge residential real estate price risk. We examine whether existing
futures contacts can effectively be used to offset volatility in national house prices. Little evidence of any simple systematic
relation between national prices and futures prices is found. Since house prices are not easily replicated with a portfolio
of existing futures contracts, a further implication is that the Chicago Mercantile’s introduction of a financial asset whose
value reflects house prices will help complete the market. Nevertheless, the success of the CME’s new derivative contracts
may be limited in light of state and regional house price correlations.
相似文献
Steve Swidler (Corresponding author)Email: |
2.
Pricing futures on geometric indexes: A discrete time approach 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Arie Harel Giora Harpaz Jack Clark Francis 《Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting》2007,28(3):227-240
Several futures contracts are written against an underlying asset that is a geometric, rather than arithmetic, index. These
contracts include: the US Dollar Index futures, the CRB-17 futures, and the Value Line geometric index futures. Due to the
geometric averaging, the standard cost-of-carry futures pricing formula is improper for pricing these futures contracts. We
assume that asset prices are lognormally distributed, and capital markets are complete. Using the concepts of equivalent martingale
measure and the risk-neutral valuation relationships in conjunction with discrete time methodology, we derive closed-form
pricing formulas for these contracts. Our pricing formulas are consistent with the ones obtained via a continuous time paradigm.
相似文献
Jack Clark FrancisEmail: |
3.
How do commodity futures respond to macroeconomic news? 总被引:1,自引:1,他引:0
Dieter Hess He Huang Alexandra Niessen 《Financial Markets and Portfolio Management》2008,22(2):127-146
This paper investigates the impact of seventeen US macroeconomic announcements on two broad and representative commodity futures
indices. Based on a large sample from 1989 to 2005, we show that the daily price response of the CRB and GSCI commodity futures
indices to macroeconomic news is state-dependent. During recessions, news about higher (lower) inflation and real activity
lead to positive (negative) adjustments of commodity futures prices. In contrast, we find no significant reactions during
economic expansions. We attribute this asymmetric response to the state-dependent interpretation of macroeconomic news. Our
findings are robust to several alternative business cycle definitions.
相似文献
Alexandra Niessen (Corresponding author)Email: |
4.
The main purpose of the study is to explore the dynamic relationship among the TAIEX spot, futures, and options markets by
proposing an innovative multivariable GARCH-M MSKST (Multivariate Skewed-Student distribution) model. In addition to the considerable
feedback effects of these three markets in terms of return transmissions, a significant bidirectional relationship is also
found in volatility transmissions between futures and spot markets, and unidirectional spillover occurs from futures to options
markets. Specifically, futures are found to exert the most influence on spot and options, and play an important role in disclosing
information and pricing discovery to the other two markets. Comparing the magnitude of the effect the positive and negative
basis has on spot prices, it is evident that positive basis has a greater impact on the spot market than negative basis does.
Of interest, our study shows that positive basis has even more effect than negative basis does on the conditional variance
of return on spot and futures.
相似文献
Kai-Li WangEmail: |
5.
It is widely recognized that options and futures markets for housing can reduce and manage the risks inherent in consumers’
large investments in housing equity. The integrity of such markets depends, however, upon the use of transparent and replicable
benchmarks for house prices and settlement values. In the USA, a series of state and metropolitan indexes have been produced
by a government agency (the US Office of Housing Enterprise Oversight, OFHEO), and they have been widely disseminated for
over a decade. By construction, the entire historical path of each of these indexes is, in principle, subject to revision
quarterly, that is, every time the index is recalculated and data are published. This paper provides the first analysis of
the magnitude and bias of these revisions, and it analyzes their systematic effects on the settlement prices in housing options
markets. The paper considers the implications of these magnitudes for the development of risk-reducing futures markets.
相似文献
John M. QuigleyEmail: |
6.
Shinhua Liu 《Journal of Financial Services Research》2008,34(1):77-91
Theories predict that launching index futures could affect the price informativeness for the underlying stocks. We test this
hypothesis by taking advantage of the introduction of the Nikkei 225 futures contracts in Singapore on September 3, 1986.
Employing two alternative statistical methods applied to both daily and weekly data, we find that, following the listing of
the index futures, returns become significantly more random and less predictable for the underlying stocks, even after controlling
for concurrent marketwide shifts. These findings suggest improved price informativeness for the underlying stocks, which is
further corroborated by their higher trading volume following the event.
相似文献
Shinhua LiuEmail: |
7.
Sophocles N. Brissimis Thomas Vlassopoulos 《The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics》2009,39(2):146-164
Although the close empirical relationship between the evolution of mortgage lending and housing prices is well established
in the literature, the direction of causation is less clear from a theoretical standpoint. We apply multivariate cointegration
techniques in order to address this issue empirically for the Greek economy. Our results, based on a cointegration relationship
that we identify as a mortgage loan demand equation, indicate that housing prices do not adjust to disequilibria in the market
for housing loans. This suggests that in the long run the causation does not run from mortgage lending to housing prices.
In the short run we find evidence of a contemporaneous bi-directional dependence.
相似文献
Thomas VlassopoulosEmail: |
8.
Is the January effect still alive in the futures markets? 总被引:1,自引:1,他引:0
The January effect concerns the fact that small capitalization stocks have historically outperformed large capitalized stocks
in January. We analyze evidence as to whether this anomaly can be exploited in the futures markets as a speculative investment
or to add risk-adjusted value to portfolio performance. We find that the January effect is still alive in the futures markets
on the Value Line minus S&P 500 spread trade, but that the marginal liquidity of the Value Line stock index futures contract
has made it very risky to exploit the effect. Historically from 1982/3 to 2004/5, the trade has been profitable. This anomaly
was also exploitable through a Russell 2000 minus S&P 500 spread trade from 1993/4 to 2004/5.
相似文献
William T. ZiembaEmail: |
9.
The Structure of Chinese Urban Land Prices: Estimates from Benchmark Land Price Data 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Rui Wang 《The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics》2009,39(1):24-38
Taking the recent benchmark land prices published by the Chinese city governments, the paper estimates commercial and residential
land price curves of Chinese cities using cross-sectional data, controlling for urban population size and income level. The
urban land leasing price–distance relationship is estimated based on the argument that monocentric urban structure is representative
for Chinese cities. Both population size and income level are found to positively affect urban land price and price–distance
gradients. Commercial land prices are higher than residential land prices except in suburbs or outer central urban areas,
where the land prices of different uses converge. In most situations, commercial use price gradients are larger than those
of residential use.
相似文献
Rui WangEmail: |
10.
This paper examines the transitory price effects of index futures trading extension on the underlying stock market. Based
on the model formulation of George and Hwang (1995) and Amihud and Mendelson (1987) and using the Hong Kong data, we find that the extension of futures trading hour helps to reduce the opening pricing errors
and change the correlations between daytime and overnight stock returns. Our finding adds to the literature that the trading
behavior of derivatives has a significant influence on the transitory price changes of the underlying cash products.
相似文献
Louis T. W. ChengEmail: |
11.
C. Charles Okeahalam 《Journal of Financial Services Research》2008,33(3):147-162
I assess the impact of bancassurance on the price of retail financial services. I find that service fees in a product bundle
increase less than proportionally to the number of services; that an increase in the number of clients in each product bundle
market reduces fees by 1.5%; that the degree of competition in the markets of each bundle also reduces fees; that premium
products have higher average costs; and finally, that cross-holdings reduce prices by about 5% and bancassurance reduces prices
by just over 6%. The price reduction declines if both strategies are combined.
相似文献
C. Charles OkeahalamEmail: |
12.
Steven Shuye Wang Wei Li Louis T. W. Cheng 《Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting》2009,32(3):235-267
We conjecture that an introduction of the Hong Kong Hang Seng Chinese Enterprise Stock Index (H-share Index) futures induces
additional speculating activities in the underlying equities, leading to an increase in volatility and volume of the underlying
stocks. Whereas, a subsequent introduction of H-share index options increases the level of informed trading and opens up opportunities
for speculative and arbitrage activities using futures directly against options. These futures and options trading activities
are much cheaper and more efficient than using the underlying stocks, leading to a significant decline in spot market volatility
and volume. Our results are consistent with these arguments. We also find that derivative trading does not change the liquidity
of H-share constituent stocks. Further tests based on the difference-in-difference approach confirm that the above findings
are robust.
相似文献
Louis T. W. Cheng (Corresponding author)Email: |
13.
Julie Mueller John Loomis Armando González-Cabán 《The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics》2009,38(2):155-172
Unlike most hedonic studies that analyze the effects of a one-time event, this paper analyzes the effects of forest fires
that are several years apart in a small geographical area. We find that repeated forest fires cause house prices to decrease
for houses located near the fires. We test and reject the hypothesis that the house price reduction from one fire is equal
to the house price reduction from a second fire. The first fire reduces house prices by about 10%, while the second fire reduces
house prices by nearly 23%, a statistically significant difference. The pattern of these results are robust to several alternative
econometric specifications.
相似文献
John Loomis (Corresponding author)Email: |
14.
Antonio Díaz 《Journal of Financial Services Research》2009,36(1):45-63
I analyze implicit transaction costs of trading government debt securities on the Spanish stock exchanges (SE) electronic
trading system. The SE’s multilateral system is used mainly as an outlet for retail investors to liquidate Treasury accounts
positions before maturity. I compare identical Treasury security trades on the same day in two different markets: the SE and
the interdealer market. By analyzing these yield spreads I learn more about the behavior of the markdowns included in the
retail prices from the institutional prices. I find evidence that these yield premia depend on traditional features to explain
wholesale market liquidity premia.
相似文献
Antonio DíazEmail: |
15.
Pricing Structure in Tokyo Metropolitan Land Markets and its Structural Changes: Pre-bubble,Bubble, and Post-bubble Periods 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Chihiro Shimizu Kiyohiko G. Nishimura 《The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics》2007,35(4):475-496
In this paper, we estimate hedonic price equations of Japanese commercial and residential land prices for a 25-year period
and to investigate possible structural changes in these price equations. Our price equations are based on transaction prices,
not appraised land values, of commercial land in Central Business Districts of Tokyo (Chiyoda Ward, Chuo Ward, and Minato
Ward), and residential land of its suburb (Setagaya Ward). We find that price structure differs substantially among locations,
reflecting differences in supplier pricing and end-user preferences. We also find significant structural changes in price
structure, identifying pre-bubble, bubble and post-bubble periods.
相似文献
Chihiro ShimizuEmail: |
16.
Geoffrey K. Turnbull Jonathan Dombrow 《The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics》2007,35(1):57-76
This study examines how individual agents affect house selling prices and time on the market while controlling for brokerage
firm-specific effects as well as supply and demand conditions that vary by neighborhood. Firm size effects disappear once
firm specialization and agent characteristics are taken into account but geographic concentration by firms leads to higher
selling prices. For individual agents, neither sex nor selling own listings affects price or selling time, but there are gains
from partnering transactions across firms. Agents who specialize in listing properties obtain higher prices for their sellers
while those who specialize in selling obtain lower prices for their buyers. Houses nearer to other transactions of an agent
sell for higher prices. Finally, greater scale of listing and selling activity by an agent tends to lower selling price or
lengthen the time on the market.
相似文献
Geoffrey K. TurnbullEmail: |
17.
We propose two alternative models to estimate fundamental prices on real estate markets. The first model is based on a no-arbitrage
condition between renting and buying. The second model interprets the period costs as the result of market equilibrium between
housing demand and supply. We estimate both models for the USA, the UK, Japan, Switzerland, and the Netherlands. We find that
observed prices deviate substantially and for long periods from their estimated fundamental values. However, we find some
evidence that, in the long-run, actual prices tend to return to their fundamental values progressively. This result is due
to both impulse–response functions and forecast analyses. In particular, we find that using the fundamental price significantly
increases the accuracy of out-of-sample long-term forecasts of the price.
相似文献
Christian HottEmail: |
18.
Existing literature on housing prices is predominantly in a linear framework, and an important question that has not been
addressed is whether housing prices exhibit nonlinearity. We examine Smooth Transition Autoregressive (STAR) model based nonlinear
properties of housing prices over the 1969–2004 period for the entire US and the four regions. Our main findings are (1) housing
price for the entire US and all regions except for the Midwest show non-linearity, (2) the dynamic properties implied by the
nonlinear estimation explain the typical patterns that have characterized each housing market, and (3) results of Granger
causality tests look more plausible in the nonlinear framework where we find stronger evidence of Granger causality from housing
price to employment and also from mortgage rates to housing price.
相似文献
Radha Bhattacharya (Corresponding author)Email: |
19.
Patricia Fraser Martin Hoesli Lynn McAlevey 《The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics》2008,37(1):71-91
This paper studies actual (real) house prices relative to fundamental (real) house values in New Zealand for the period 1970–2005.
Utilizing a dynamic present value model, we find disparities between actual and fundamental house prices in the early 1970s
and 1980s and from 2000 to date. We model the bubble component that is related to fundamentals (the intrinsic component),
making it possible to highlight whether a bubble still exists after that component is accounted for. We then analyze any remaining
bubble to detect any momentum behavior. Much of the overvaluation of the housing market is found to be due to price dynamics
rather than an overreaction to fundamentals.
相似文献
Lynn McAleveyEmail: |
20.
Sema Bayraktar 《Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting》2009,32(2):169-195
This article derives international equity pricing relations by taking into account inflationary exchange risk under various
forms of market segmentation/integration. In a mean-variance framework, a two-country, two-period, two-goods model is analyzed
under three different market structures: segmented, mildly segmented and integrated. It is found that as long as investors
are consuming imported goods, in the presence of market frictions, inflationary exchange risk is an important determinant
of real equity prices. This is the case because inflationary exchange rate affects the real purchasing power of investors.
相似文献
Sema BayraktarEmail: |