存贷比取消对商业银行资产负债管理的影响

随着金融及利率市场化改革的推进,曾经对我国商业银行资产负债管理产生过积极影响的存贷比已不在适应监管要求。外资银行在没有存贷比监管指标下,始终坚持流动性、盈利性、安全性"三性平衡"原则,开展有效的资产负债管理。借鉴外资银行的经验,探讨取消存贷比后资产负债管理的新思路,对化解当前商业银行资产负债管理存在的问题意义重大。     

云南银监局:积极支持优质外资银行入滇

<正>据云南银监局相关负责人介绍,外资银行对云南金融生态环境起到了良性促动的作用。第一是对经济发展贡献度不断增强。外资银行能够发挥业务优势、产品优势,找准定位、创出特色,持续加大对地方经济的支持力度。2008年以来,外资银行累计发放各项贷款逾110亿元;同时,在滇外资银行存贷比较高,2014年12月末,云南省外资银行整体存贷比为133.96%,表明在滇外资银行自省外引入资金支持本地贷款发放,实现了自身的提质增效与促进经济发展     

存贷比限制对央行货币调控的影响分析

本文通过面板数据的计量模型针对存贷比限制以及中央银行调控政策对商业银行信贷规模的影响进行分析.研究结果显示存贷比限制明显地影响了商业银行的放贷规模,中央银行通过存款准备金来调控信贷的效果不明显.银监会的存贷比限制一定程度上架空了中央银行的货币调控政策,为了保证中央银行调控信贷的政策空间,存贷比政策需进行一定程度上的修改.     

优化商业银行存贷比指标的十种途径

当前监管环境下,商业银行如何依托各类业务创新优化自身的存贷比指标已成为各家银行关注的重点.本文在对存贷比监管指标的演进历程、部分上市银行存贷比现状分析的基础上,结合当前各家银行主要业务动向,分别从存款、贷款和投行业务三个角度梳理归纳出同业存贷比优化的三个方面十种优化途径,并针对商业银行提出对策建议.     

存贷比监管改革与银行风险承担——来自中国商业银行的准自然实验北大核心

2015年存贷比不得超过75％的监管规定取消后,中国商业银行存贷比持续攀升现象引发了存贷比监管改革如何影响银行风险的思考.本文选取2013-2018年124家中国商业银行的微观面板数据,结合连续型DID和中介效应模型进行研究,结果表明:第一,存贷比监管改革降低了银行风险承担,说明此项改革与"防范系统性风险"目标一致;第二,存款竞争和影子银行业务的风险转移以及资产收益的风险吸收是三个重要的传导渠道;第三,异质性分析发现存贷比监管改革主要降低了资产规模不小于2000亿元的非国有银行风险承担;第四,银行信贷风险管理能力具有显著的调节作用,当银行信贷风险管理能力较差时,存贷比监管改革对银行风险承担施加了负向影响,表明存贷比监管改革有进一步优化的空间.本文为不断完善我国银行业监管改革提供了一定参考.     

存贷比何去何从

正近年来,在银行业比较突然地出现了对存贷比的强烈质疑,银监会6月30日对存贷比计算口径进行了微调,扩大了分母口径、缩小了分子口径。同时,也有许多支持存贷比管理的声音,认为存贷比对于金融稳定仍然具有重要的意义。那么,究竟应该如何理解存贷比,存贷比到底何去何从?本文讨论了存贷比的运作机理,分析了存贷比受到质疑的原因,提出了存贷比改革的管理建议。总的看,存贷比与深刻复杂的中国金融体制紧密关联,其改革涉及到金融体制中的许多方面,应积极看待、有序推进。     

试论外资银行在中国金融市场的新发展——结合农村金融发展分析

2008年以来,外资银行在中国发展式微,其在城镇金融市场的发展优势逐渐减弱.2006年,银监会放宽农村金融市场准入措施.为外资银行试水农村金融市场提供了政策依据,外资银行纷纷入主农村金融领域,在改善农村金融市场环境、促进农村金融发展的同时,也为自身的长远发展提供夯实了基础.     

存贷比指标的历史沿革与下一步改革

正最近银监会发布通知调整了商业银行存贷比计算口径,但似乎并未给激烈讨论的存贷比问题划上句号。口径调整的靴子已然落地,但指标存废的问题又摆上了桌面。存贷比演进与我国基础货币投放方式存在内在联系,基础货币投放方式的变化决定着银行业整体存贷比的走向。未来存贷比超过75%将是大趋势,继续实行存贷比监管指标的负面作用将进一步显现。因此,短期看存贷比指标简单易用,口径调整后仍可继续发挥调控银行信贷规模和管理银行流动性等作用,但从中长     

当前存贷比监管的合理性分析与改革建议

近年来,围绕存贷比监管的存废问题,社会上产生了广泛的讨论。本文在对160家银行机构进行专题调查的基础上,结合相关文献资料,针对当前存贷比监管的合理性进行了深入分析。存贷比指标在我国的产生有其特定的历史背景,在监管实践中也发挥了积极的作用,但存贷比作为流动性监管指标的缺陷以及对金融运行的不利影响也日益显现。短期内取消存贷比监管的条件还不成熟,可采取相应措施适当缓解存贷比监管的不利影响。     

现阶段存贷比宜放宽不宜取消

只要商业银行盈利模式没有得到根本解决,只要商业银行依然存在贷款冲动,监管层就不会轻易取消存贷比管理从去年以来,一些专家和部分商业银行人士强烈呼吁监管部门取消银行存贷比管理,媒体上也不断有类似的报道或观点出现,其诉求基本上集中在是否要彻底取消银行存贷比管理,或是放松存贷比指标,尤其是改变75%存贷比指标值上。我认为,短期内取消存贷比管理几无可能,适当放宽存贷比指标是一个可能选择,但何时放宽、放宽到什么程度,仍取决于监管者甚至高层决策者的意愿。     

Debt and Taxes and Uncertainty

With a graduated personal tax schedule, Miller showed that there could be an equilibrium debt supply for the corporate sector as a whole. In the presence of uncertainty there is also a unique debt/equity ratio for each individual firm, and this ratio is related to the firm's operational risk characteristics. However, if firms merge and spin off in response to tax incentives, the identity of firms is ambiguous and only the corporate sector is a meaningful construct. These arguments are developed in both discrete and continuous models that employ extensions of the arbitrage-free pricing theory.     

教育与资本怎样的前景怎样的现实

来自政府的声音: "动员各种社会资源,发展教育" 此次论坛上财政部长助理张少春的发言是最受关注的发言之一.他的演讲传达出的信息有这样几方面:第一,谈到现实,他认为全社会对教育的巨大需求与我国公共投入不足已成为我国教育事业发展的突出矛盾.近年来,以公共部门投入为主,多渠道筹措教育经费的教育投入机制成为解决这一问题的重要途径,也使得公共部门与私营部门在教育领域的合作日益密切.第二,谈到前景,他认为,1.中国经济持续、快速的增长对高技能人才产生巨大的需求,这为私营部门的参与提供了广阔空间.2.随着公共财政职能的不断完善,财政资金将在各项教育事业中重新进行分配,进一步优化财政支出结构,提高资金的使用效率.在"十一五"期间,我国将把公共支出的重点转移到农村.我们将逐步把全体农村适龄儿童的义务教育全部纳入公共财政体制.     

Director gender and mergers and acquisitions

Does director gender influence CEO empire building? Does it affect the bid premium paid for target firms? Less overconfident female directors less overestimate merger gains. As a result, firms with female directors are less likely to make acquisitions and if they do, pay lower bid premia. Using acquisition bids by S&P 1500 companies during 1997–2009 we find that each additional female director is associated with 7.6% fewer bids, and each additional female director on a bidder board reduces the bid premium paid by 15.4%. Our findings support the notion that female directors help create shareholder value through their influence on acquisition decisions. We also discuss other possible interpretations of our findings.     

Political corruption and mergers and acquisitions

This research examines the relation between political corruption and mergers and acquisitions (M&As). We find that local corruption increases firm acquisitiveness but decreases firm targetiveness. The levels of corruption in acquirer areas relate positively to the bid premiums and negatively to the likelihood of deal completion. Corruption motivates acquiring firms to use excess cash for payment, which mitigates the negative effect of corruption on acquirer shareholder value. The evidence indicates that acquisitions help acquiring firms convert cash into hard-to-extract assets and relocate assets from the high to low corruption areas, thereby shielding their liquid assets from expropriation by local officials.     

East and west and north and south : A preliminary model

The Brandt report and other proposals for a new North-South world order continue to be the focus of lively debate, yet it is often argued that little concrete has emerged from their recommendations. A major reason for this, the author argues, is that the East-West conflict component is not sufficiently taken into consideration-East-West tensions are a severe constraint on and a determining factor of North-South relations. Using influence diagrams, the author develops a flexible framework for discussion and assessment of N/S-E/W relations.     

Trust and cross-border mergers and acquisitions

A number of studies suggest that social trust matters for investment. Using different measures of trust from World Values Survey, we show that countries where people display higher levels of trust engage in more cross-border M&A activities. When they do, these acquirers pay lower premiums. To the extent that these acquirers also tend to engage in larger acquisitions as well, our findings suggest that a larger selection pool of potential targets and higher value targets enable these acquirers to negotiate for lower premiums. We do not find evidence of the significant effect for target country trust levels. Hence, trust may benefit those acquiring firms in cross-border transactions.     

Tournament-based incentives and mergers and acquisitions

This research examines the relation between tournament-based incentives, which are proxied by the difference between a firm's CEO pay and the median pay of the senior managers, and mergers and acquisitions (M&As). We find that tournament-based incentives are positively related to firm acquisitiveness and acquiring firms' stock and operating performance. Further analysis indicates that positive acquisition performance increases the likelihood of the CEO being promoted from inside the acquiring firm. Our evidence is consistent with the view that tournament-based incentives motivate acquiring firms' managers to make greater efforts and take more risk that result in superior acquisition performance.     

Corporate Innovations and Mergers and Acquisitions

Using a large and unique patent‐merger data set over the period 1984 to 2006, we show that companies with large patent portfolios and low R&D expenses are acquirers, while companies with high R&D expenses and slow growth in patent output are targets. Further, technological overlap between firm pairs has a positive effect on transaction incidence, and this effect is reduced for firm pairs that overlap in product markets. We also show that acquirers with prior technological linkage to their target firms produce more patents afterwards. We conclude that synergies obtained from combining innovation capabilities are important drivers of acquisitions.