中国国家高新区发展模式解读

国家高新区第一个十年以布局为主,第二个十年更多体现五个转变。为发展高科技、实现产业化,党中央、国务院做出了建设国家高新区的重大战略部署。2006年国务院总理温家宝指出国家高新区＂四位一体＂的功能定位,即高新区成为促进技术进步和增强自主创新能力的重要载体,成为带动区域经济结构调整和经济增长方式转变的强大引擎,成为高新技术企业＂走出去＂参与国际竞争的服务平台,成为抢占世界高新技术产业制高点的前沿阵地。     

Prediction Model for Bollywood Movie Success: A Comparative Analysis of Performance of Supervised Machine Learning Algorithms

The main purpose of this paper is to do a comparative analysis of prediction models using various machine learning techniques. The models will be used to predict whether a movie will be a hit or flop before it is actually released. The techniques used for comparisons are decision tree, random forest (RF), support vector machine, logistics regression, adaptive tree boosting, and artificial neural network algorithms. The major predictors used in the models are the ratings of the lead actor, IMDb ranking of a movie, music rank of the movie, and total number of screens planned for the release of a movie. The results of most models indicated a reasonable accuracy, ranging from 80 to 90%. However, models based on two techniques, RF and logistic regression, achieved an accuracy of 92%. From the results, the most important predictors of a movie’s success are music rating, followed by its IMDb rating and total screens used for release.

     

中关村软件园信用园区建设 助力科技金融服务创新

目前,中关村软件园已有65家企业使用信用评价报告,获得总额逾1.3亿元的融资。此外,借助信用园区建设,把园区信用叠加到企业信用上,帮助企业实现＂信用倍增＂效果,放大信用价值。     

科学发展“干部是决定的因素”

“7·23”动车追尾重大事故的发生让国人心痛。《南方周末》用了近5个版面作了详细的报道,在“高铁之乱”的总题下,客观地分析了这“‘不可能’的事故”发生的原因,读来很有启发意义。     

中关村未来发展的晴雨表——“中关村指数”2012在京发布

＂中关村指数＂的编制,借鉴了硅谷指数编制的方法和思路,把全球指数编制的最新技术、成果进行学习、借鉴、集成,创造出了自己的一套指标体系。     

打造聚焦中关村发展的国际化交流平台——访中关村论坛协会秘书长夏颖奇

中关村论坛是政府、民间、企业可以聚在一起沟通的平台。——夏颖奇     

“App”时代软件业的B2B2C模式

前不久,东软刚刚庆祝完自己的20周年生日。虽然走过了20年的历程,但我认为东软还处于童年,刚走过认识自我的阶段。不过,10年后,我想东软的年营收将从现在的50亿元增长到250亿元,其中国际业务会占到60%。     

文化对中国未来发展的关键意义

最近,全社会都在关注文化问题,尤其是文化作为国家关注的焦点上升为战略的高度,更凸显了文化发展对于整个社会发展的重大意义,显示了中国社会面对未来长远发展的新视角和新战略。     

构筑创意产业大发展的强大动力引擎

海淀文化底蕴深厚,文化资源丰富,文化氛围浓郁,海淀园科技实力强劲,拥有促进文化与科技融合、释放双轮驱动效应的独特优势,为园区创意经济发展提供了强大动力。     

中关村发展集团：“集群投资”锻造物联网“超级舰队”

成立于2010年3月、注册资本达100亿元的中关村“超级航空母舰”——中关村发展集团,近期又有了大动作。     

创意与科技创新：经济发展的“黄金双翼”

与其说冯军卖的是数码产品,不如说他其实卖的是文化,爱国者公司依靠文化提升了产品的竞争力。     

海淀北部：将推动四个创新型产业集群发展

海淀北部地区,区位优势明显,同时具有广阔的发展空间和良好的生态环境,是建设科技园区、推动战略性新兴产业集群式发展的理想之地。     

寻找契机，乘势而上，再攀新台阶——谈海滨如何科学发展

今年3月,国务院批复建设中关村国家自主创新示范区,并明确海淀区的海淀园为核心区。海淀区如何为建设创新型国家做好示范引导作用,是一件关乎到中华崛起和民族振兴的大事情,也引起了许多专家学者的关注。 日前。国情研究专家、本刊主笔胡鞍钢教授做了题为《科学发展观：中国理论与实践》的报告,前一部分是“科学发展与中国之路”;后一部分是“海淀如何科学发展”。兹将“海淀如何科学发展”的内容,刊发于后,以飨读者。     

创新驱动发展 开创核心区建设新局面

去年以来,在北京市委市政府的领导下,在市有关部门的大力支持下,海淀区委区政府认真贯彻落实刘淇书记提出的＂加快建设环境优美、和谐宜居的高科技核心区＂的指示精神,围绕建设具有全球影响力的科技创新中心的总体目标,中关村核心区创新发展取得了新的进步。     

The Substitution Effect of Mobile Games on Console Games: An Empirical Analysis of the Japanese Video Game Industry

In this paper, we discuss the substitution effects between mobile games and console games. We estimate such effects by a fixed-effect regression with instrumental variables using panel data of about 100,000 observations. The results showed that the substitution effects of playing smart devices on 3DS, Wii, and PSP were recognizable, but did not have significant effects on PS3, and the substitution effects on PSP were very small. Therefore, mobile games had a substitution effect on casual console games, or on console games in which the play situation resembled mobile games. In addition, the substitution effects were at most about 0.1. The substitution effects were small. Our results indicate that mobile games represent the pioneers in the new market of gaming at least during our observation period. But new games and traditional games will coexist for a while.     

中关村发展集团两周年：整合资源办大事

中关村发展集团成立二周年之际的几大动作,鲜明地凸显了集团＂自主创新体系的市场化集成运营平台＂的战略定位。不知不觉地,中关村发展集团度过了两周岁生日,在这个时候,宣布一些重大项目的推进似乎有特别的意义。     

科技园区开出“生态”之花——访北京经开投资开发股份有限公司总裁周世义

"北京经开历来倡导自然、和谐的产业生态。这种产业生态的形成不是人为干预的结果,而是企业根据自身发展需要自然聚集的结果。"     

A Conjoint Analysis of Demand for the Japanese Mobile Phone Market

The Japanese mobile phone market is 55.8% of the total market in the telecommunications industry. This paper is a conjoint analysis on Japanese consumer preferences for Japanese mobile phones. The analysis in this paper is presented after a questionnaire survey was given to 3,412 Japanese mobile phone users over 15 years old. The results of this analysis show that a decline in the price of mobile phone sets, an increase in transmission speed, the application of family discounts, and the continuation of contracts with the same telecommunication companies, all raise demand for mobile networks. In addition, the author found that user groups of NTT DOCOMO, au (KDDI), Softbank, and MVNO have different utility functions. According to the estimation of Mean Willingness to Pay (MWTP) in this paper, suppliers of mobile phone networks may be able to optimize and maximize demand by adjusting attributions and their levels.     

Contributions of Econometrics to Public Policy Analysis in the Information Age

In this paper we model U.S. economic growth over the next 25 years. Despite the anticipated aging of the population, moderate population growth will provide growing supplies of labor well into the 21st century. Improvements in labor quality due to education and experience will also continue for some time, but will eventually disappear. Productivity growth for the U.S. economy will be below long-term historical averages, but labor-using technical change will be a stimulus for growth of labor demand. Year-to-year changes in economic activity will be primarily the consequence of capital accumulation. However, the driving forces of economic growth over the long term will be demography and technology. This is a revised version of the keynote speech that I delivered on 16 January 2009 at the 6th International Conference of Socionetwork Strategies, at Kansai University, Japan.