“十二五”时期我国投资、消费、净出口与经济增长的实证分析

本文通过国际比较和建立模型,分析了我国1978—2009年投资、消费、净出口三驾马车与GDP增长的相关关系,结合十二五规划的编制与实施,分析了当前我国转变经济发展方式中存在的突出问题,就政府宏观调控的路径选择提出了建议。     

基于超限战思维下的中、美、印、日、韩影视文化产业的国际竞争力比较及启示

本文采用文献法，运用超限战占思维理论，对美国、日本、印度和韩国在影视文化产业发展方面进行对比，分析这些国家影视文化产业保持国际竞争力的要素，以我国影视文化产业发展的现状和背景为基础，探讨了制约我国彩视文化产业发展的主要障碍，提出了我国影视文化产业的发展对策。     

改进就业与失业统计方法的探讨

本文针对我国就业与失业统计中存在的问题，按照现代经济理论和国际统计惯例，对就业、失业及相关范畴进行了理论分析，并对我国的就业、失业统计方法提出了改进意见     

英国、西班牙企业所得税涉外税收规则比较及启示

企业所得税涉外税收规则设计是世界上绝大多数开征企业所得税的国家必须面临的问题。我国的企业所得税自2008年两税合并后已经和世界基本一体化了,但在细节方面还存在许多差异,必须借鉴国际经验,结合本国国情加以完善。本文对英国、西班牙的企业所得税涉外税收规则进行了较为详细的比较分析,并主要从国际税收竞争有效性的角度指出了其对我国相关制度完善的启示意义。     

浅谈重庆房地产市场现状及发展

国际经济增长的周期性对国内房地产市场有明显的影响。随着近期美、欧等发达国家经济增长放缓甚至出现衰退，对我国经济产生较大的负面影响。随着经济的影响，未来两年我国房地产市场也将随之调整。文章根据相关调查分析，对重庆房地产市场的现状和发展趋势进行了相关分析探讨。     

我国企业对外投资优势、效应与存在问题

改革开放以来，中国企业对外投资有了长足发展，中国的跨国公司已成为国际投资市场上的一支重要力量。本文从所有权、内部化、区位的优势等方面分析了我国企业对外投资的优势及效应，并分析了目前我国企业对外投资尚存在的问题，提出我国对外直接投资应谨慎地分层次稳步发展。     

我国绿色食品销售趋势预测及评价

对我国绿色食品市场销售额的正确预测是我国绿色食品相关政府机构进行正确决策的基础。本文选择灰色预测模型，以2004--2010年我国绿色食品的国内市场销售额、出口销售额的相关数据为基础，对我国绿色食品2011-2014年国际、国内市场发展趋势进行预测，并对预测结果进行比较分析。     

中国与美国、欧盟农产品税制比较

本文通过对中国、美国、欧盟农产品税制的比较分析，提出了加入世界贸易组织以后中国农业面临的挑战以及我国农产品在税收体制上面临的一系列问题，从税收体制上提出了提高我国农产品国际竞争力的政策选择。     

我国应搭建“热钱”有效调控平台

国际游资即‘热钱”大规模进出，会扰乱我国金融秩序并带来诸多负面影响。本文通过对国际游资形成机制的分析，探讨相关的防范措施。     

对贸易保护主义措施——“反倾销”的再认识

采用国际经济学的相关理论进行分析，对倾销的经济学含义作进一步认识，从经济学角度揭示我国面临的“反倾销”案对于我国经济的影响和可能产生的后果。文章对出现这种情况的原因做出了分析，由此提出相关的可以采取的策略建议。     

Rule of law, democracy, openness, and income

We estimate the interrelationships among economic institutions, political institutions, openness, and income levels, using identification through heteroskedasticity (IH). We split our cross‐national dataset into two sub‐samples: (i) colonies versus non‐colonies; and (ii) continents aligned on an East–West versus those aligned on a North–South axis. We exploit the difference in the structural variances in these two sub‐samples to gain identification. We find that democracy and the rule of law are both good for economic performance, but the latter has a much stronger impact on incomes. Openness (trade/GDP) has a negative impact on income levels and democracy, but a positive effect on rule of law. Higher income produces greater openness and better institutions, but these effects are not very strong. Rule of law and democracy tend to be mutually reinforcing.     

Country terms of trade: trends,unit roots,over-differencing,endogeneity, time dummies,and heterogeneity

The debate about the Prebisch-Singer thesis has focused on primary commodities with some extensions to manufactures. We analyse trends in country terms-of-trade for goods and services rather than those for commodities according to the World Bank income classification. We find that the natural logarithm of the terms of trade for all groups except for the poorest has common unit roots, but none has individual unit roots. As low-income countries have no unit roots over-differencing is inefficient and biases significance levels in first differences against the fall in the terms of trade. For the low-income countries the terms of trade of goods and services are falling at a rate that is significantly negative without and with endogeneity treatment by system GMM. A comprehensive analysis of the effects of time dummies supports the result of falling terms of trade for low-income countries. When all coefficients are country-specific 50% of all low-income countries have falling terms of trade in a simultaneous equation estimation using the SUR method. Food and financial crisis have no effect on the number of countries with falling terms of trade, but (dis-)improve the terms of trade or the significance of the results for a very small number of countries.     

Inflation,money, interest rate,exchange rate,and casuality: the case of Egypt,Morocco, and Tunisia

This study provides further evidence of the inflationary efects of the rates of growth of money supply, gross domestic product, efective exchange rate, and imported inflation for Egypt, Morocco, and Tunisia using quarterly data from 1964 to 1990. In addition, it examines the Granger causality between inflation and money supply as well as between inflation and the real exchange rate in the countries under consideration. Most of the results are consistent with extant theory and empirical evidence.     

Democracy,Rule of Law,Corruption Incentives,and Growth

We bridge the gap between the standard theory of growth and the mostly static theory of corruption. Some public investment can be diverted from its purpose by corrupt individuals. Voters determine the level of public investment subject to an incentive constraint equalizing the returns from productive and corrupt activities. We concentrate on two exogenous institutional parameters: the “technology of corruption” is the ease with which rent‐seekers can capture a proportion of public spending. The “concentration of political power” is the extent to which rent‐seekers have more political influence than other people. One theoretical prediction is that the effects of the two institutional parameters on income growth and equilibrium corruption are different according to the constraints that are binding at equilibrium. In particular, the effect of judicial quality on growth should be stronger when political power is concentrated. We estimate a system of equations where both corruption and income growth are determined simultaneously and show that income growth is more affected by our proxies for legal and political institutions in countries where political rights and judicial institutions, respectively, are limited.     

Quality of judicial institutions,crimes, misdemeanors,and dishonesty

We investigate the extent to which quality of judicial institutions has an impact on individuals’ propensity for criminal and dishonest behavior and on their views regarding the acceptability of dishonesty and law-breaking. We use micro data on residents of 25 European countries and employ alternative measures of judicial quality as perceived by the residents of these countries. As an instrument for judicial quality we employ the procedures with which prosecutors and judges are appointed to their posts in each country. As alternative instruments, we employ an index of de jure institutional quality as well as its components, which provide similar results. The findings show that an increase in the perception of the quality of judicial institutions, such as an improvement in judicial independence or the impartiality of the courts, has a deterrent effect on dishonest and criminal acts. A higher perceived quality of the judicial system also makes individuals less likely to find acceptable a variety of dishonest and illicit behaviors, suggesting that institutions help shape the beliefs of the society. We obtain the same results when we analyze the sample of immigrants, whose cultural attributes should be (more) related to their countries of origin, rather than their countries of residence, and thus should be arguably uncorrelated with the factors that can impact the instrument. We show that people’s beliefs in the importance of the family, in the fairness of others, and the importance of being rich are not impacted by judicial quality, suggesting that judicial quality is not a blanket representation of underlying cultural norms and beliefs in the society.     

The spirit of capitalism, social status, money, and accumulation

This paper demonstrates the unambiguous existence of the Tobin portfolio-shift effect in the wealth-is-status and the spirit-of-capitalism models of growth. Namely, higher inflation leads to higher capital stock in the long run, and inflation increases the endogenous-growth rate of the economy.