Auctions with resale and bargaining power

We show that when the weak bidder’s bargaining power in the resale market is weakened, the auctioneer’s revenue from the first-price auction with resale is lower. Using the idea of Coase Theorem, we show that when the resale market is a sequential bargaining model with no commitment, the auctioneer’s revenue is substantially reduced, and the ranking is the opposite of Hafalir and Krishna (2009). We establish a version of the Coase Theorem in the context of the auctions with resale. When Coase Theorem holds, we show that the revenue of the auction with resale is lower than the revenue of the same auction without resale. We also provide the existence and uniqueness of equilibrium for our model of auctions with resale.     

新加坡:从房屋转售看地产市场

新加坡建屋发展局房地行政与产业处处长叶振铭这样表示:"公共住屋(组屋)、教育、医疗劳动福利,这是新加坡社会的4大支柱,而公共住屋(组屋)又是其中的重中之重."……     

Default rates in the loan market for SMEs: Evidence from Slovakia

Financial markets in emerging economies are often perceived as more risky than those in developed countries. We investigate whether this is true for loans to SMEs using a unique unbalanced panel of nearly 700 loans made to SMEs in Slovakia between 2000 and 2005. Several probit and panel probit models show that liquidity and profitability factors are important determinants of SME defaults. Moreover, we find that indebtedness significantly increases the probability of default. Liability as proxied by the legal form of SMEs has important incentive effects. Finally, there exist significant differences between sectors. We show that default rates and factors converged to values found in developed financial markets.     

Learning through Simultaneous Play: Evidence from Penny Auctions

This paper contributes to the emerging empirical literature on penny auctions, a particular type of all‐pay auctions. We focus on the potential learning effects that bidders may experience over time but also (and particularly) across auctions as a result of their auction participation. Using detailed bid‐level information, we find that, similarly to earlier literature, bidders suffer from a sunk cost fallacy, whereby their probability of dropping out of an auction is decreasing in the number of bids they have already placed in that auction. Although we do find that learning through repeated participation alleviates the sunk cost fallacy, participation in simultaneous penny auctions emerges as a much more effective learning mechanism, ultimately contributing toward bidders earning higher individual surpluses.     

Synergies in Wireless Telephony: Evidence from the Broadband PCS Auctions

We examine bid data from the first two broadband PCS spectrum auctions for evidence of value synergies. First, we estimate a benchmark regression for the determinants of final auction prices. Then, we include variables reflecting the extent to which bidders ultimately won or already owned the adjacent wireless properties. Consistent with geographic synergies in an ascending-bid auction, prices were higher when the highest losing bidder had adjacent licenses. The footprints of winning bidders suggest that they were often successful in realizing these synergies.     

An empirical model of the market for resale homes

A model of the search process for a house is formulated, where both buyers and sellers are permitted adaptively to alter reservation prices. Houses on the market in a given period are sold or withdrawn or search for a buyer is continued. The empirical predictions are examined for single-family residential homes.     

Reputation in Auctions: Theory, and Evidence from eBay

Employing a procedure suggested by a simple theoretical model of auctions in which bidders and sellers have observable and heterogenous reputations for default, we examine the effect of reputation on price in a data set drawn from the online auction site eBay. Our main empirical result is that seller's, but not bidder's, reputation has an economically and statistically significant effect on price.     

Marshallian labour market pooling: Evidence from Italy

This paper employs a unique Italian data source to take a comprehensive approach to labour market pooling. It jointly considers many different aspects of the agglomeration — labour market relationship, including turnover, learning, matching, and hold up. It also considers labour market pooling from the perspective of both workers and firms and across a range of industries. Overall, the paper finds some support for theories of labour market pooling, but the support is weak. Specifically, there is a general positive relationship of turnover to local population density, which is consistent with theories of agglomeration and uncertainty. There is also evidence of on-the-job learning that is consistent with theories of labour pooling, labour poaching, and hold up. In addition, the paper provides evidence consistent with agglomeration improving job matches. However, the labour market pooling gains that we measure are small in magnitude and seem unlikely to account for a substantial share of the agglomeration benefits accruing to Italian workers and firms.     

Seasonality in asset returns: Evidence from the gold market

In this paper we test monthly mean daily returns to gold over the period January 1975 to December 1984 against three definitions of seasonality. Weak evidence exists for seasonality under the second of the three definitions. However, this is not prima facie evidence of market inefficiency, as the pattern is consistent with seasonality in Eurodollar interest rates reported by other authors. Differences in the time pattern of returns between on- and off-shore rates raises further questions.     

Subtle discrimination in the rental housing market: Evidence from e-mail correspondence with landlords

We find that landlords practice subtle discrimination in the rental housing market through the use of language associated with describing and viewing a unit, inviting further correspondence, making a formal greeting, and using polite language when replying to e-mail inquiries from a white name more often than to an African American name, they also send longer e-mails and respond quicker to white names.     

Revealed preference for relative status: Evidence from the housing market

This paper investigates the value individuals place on their relative housing consumption as compared to absolute housing consumption. Using observed housing sales from three Ohio MSAs in 2000, a spatial Durbin hedonic price model provides total marginal willingness-to-pay estimates for both characteristics of housing units and those of its neighbors. Using this revealed-preference approach, we find evidence suggesting individuals do value relative house size, but the absolute effect dominates. For instance, the estimates indicate that if all homes in Columbus were to increase in size by 100 square feet, the net effect of impacts on absolute and relative consumption would be to increase house prices by $605 on average. This stands in contrast to the stated preference literature, which frequently find individuals to be willing to forgo absolute well-being in exchange for relative status gains.     

A reexamination of the market efficiency hypothesis: Evidence from an electronic intra-day,inter-dealer FX market

Researchers acknowledge that the evidence of autocorrelation (price dependency) in daily/weekly asset returns provides no conclusive evidence against the market efficiency hypothesis since the holding period of actual speculative positions may be less than a day. Using a high frequency (up to one hundredth of a second), transaction-based, electronic foreign exchange (FX) brokerage data set, we show that dealers in this market tend to close their speculative positions in less than a minute. We provide evidence that there is a significant negative autocorrelation in the rate of return on DM/USD exchange rate. However, when we sample data at frequencies shorter than a minute, profits are infeasible for two reasons: (1) the structure of the autocorrelation pattern is not consistent enough; (2) the largest potential speculative profit derived from the autocorrelation pattern is smaller than the regulated tick size. Our results support the market efficiency hypothesis as dealers have evidently engaged potentially profitable speculation based on price dependency.     

Transaction costs and market efficiency: Evidence from commission deregulation

This study analyzes the impacts of explicit transaction costs on weak-form market efficiency within the context of the brokerage commission deregulation in Japan in October 1999, which led to lower commission rates across the market. Applying two alternative statistical tests to both daily and weekly data, we find that return randomness (unpredictability) increases significantly for stocks listed in Japan, but not for the Japanese stocks dually listed in the United States, which are immune to the deregulation. These results suggest an inefficiency loss or an efficiency gain in the Japanese equity market following the deregulation, insofar as randomness proxies for efficiency.     

Labor market rigidities and economic efficiency: Evidence from Spain

In the 1990s, Spain approved two labor reforms aimed at reducing the unemployment level and its volatility. Overall, these reforms involved two measures designed to induce firms to meet their labor needs via adjustment of permanent positions: restricting the use of temporary workers and reducing the amount of severance payments. This paper empirically assesses the impact of these reforms on the allocative efficiency of the labor input employing Petrin and Sivadasan's (2011) value of the marginal product-marginal cost gap methodology. We find a statistically significant increase in within-firm permanent labor gaps following the reforms. These results suggest that restrictions on the use of temporary workers (increasing the probability of hiring fragile workers for permanent positions), when coupled with uncertainty about enforcement of reduced severance payments, could more than offset the reduction in severance payments; hence, the net effect of the reforms could be to increase adjustment costs for permanent positions.     

Inventory management effects,isolated: Evidence from the federal funds market

The federal funds market is highly competitive, has uniform information, and does not have most order-processing cost components of equity markets. Hence, it provides an opportunity to study the effect of inventory management on the bid-ask spread in an isolated fashion. Using a unique data set of daily borrowing and lending federal funds quotes posted by a large commercial bank, we find that the bank maintains a fairly constant bid-ask spread throughout a two-week reserve maintenance period. It acts similarly to a market maker facilitating flow of funds between depository institutions throughout the reserve maintenance period. The bank becomes more active toward the end of the period. In particular, on settlement Wednesday it increases the bid and ask quotes relative to the effective federal funds rate in an apparent attempt to manage its reserve inventory and satisfy its own reserve requirements.     

Regional foreclosures and Mexican remittances: Evidence from the housing market crisis

This study investigates the extent to which Mexican workers’ remittances are affected from the recent housing market decline in the United States. Results from a multivariate model reveal that an increase in the national U.S. foreclosure rate has a negative and statistically significant impact on Mexican remittances. At the regional level, foreclosure rates of the South and the West have a significant impact on workers’ remittances in the same negative direction. However, foreclosure rates from the North Central and East Central regions do not appear to have this statistically significant impact. Lastly, in contrast to previous results in the literature, real exchange rate movements and Mexican remittances seem to be insensitive to one another once the housing market is accounted for in the analysis.     

Stock returns and volatility: Evidence from the Athens Stock market index

This paper investigates the volatility of the Athens Stock excess stock returns over the period 1990–1999 through the comparison of various conditional hetero-skedasticity models. The empirical results indicate that there is significant evidence for asymmetry in stock returns, which is captured by a quadratic GARCH specification model, while there is strong persistence of shocks into volatility.     

The characteristics of technically orientated firms: Evidence from the unlisted securities market

The results of a survey of the research, design and development activity of firms listed on the UK Unlisted Securities Market are reported. The significance of different corporate objectives, types of market structure, forms of rivalry, different groups as project initiators, and techniques of project evaluation, is reported. Technically progressive firms could not be distinguished from less technically progressive firms using univariate tests. Multiple discriminant analyses indicated that technically progressive firms operate in markets where products characteristics and advertising are significant forms of rivalry, the growth rate of profits is more important as a corporate objective and the significance of interdepartmental committees as an initiating group is higher than for less technically progressive firms. The latter firms judged price competition and the objective of achieving a target level of units sold as more significant than the former group.     

Valuation effects of capital inflows: Evidence from emerging market economies

This paper studies valuation changes of capital inflows in 19 emerging market economies (EMEs). In most of the EMEs, we find that there are significant valuation changes and a positive rate of return on external liabilities by foreigners. Furthermore, the nonlinear effects of exchange rate movements on valuation changes are investigated using panel smooth transition regression models. Empirical results show that the transition is centered at approximately −22.3% of exchange rate change, which implies that when the exchange rate appreciates more than this level, foreign investment value gains increase considerably.